Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, October 7, 2014

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Rockets			111	109.9	101	110.6
		Mavericks			108	106.9	101	93.7

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+20

-23

DAL

+20

-23

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.12 56.1%

DAL

1.08 54.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden G · 6'5" 220 · 25	23.6	17	65%	1	2	3	0	2	4	0	1	8-9	89%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Trevor Ariza F · 6'8" 215 · 29	22.3	12	75%	4	3	0	0	2	2	1	3	0-2	0%	3-3	100%	2-4	50%
Patrick Beverley G · 6'1" 185 · 26	21.0	9	64%	4	4	1	0	2	4	2	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-5	60%
Terrence Jones F · 6'9" 252 · 23	20.6	7	70%	2	0	0	0	3	5	1	1	5-6	83%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 29	15.4	6	33%	6	1	1	0	4	6	2	4	4-6	67%	1-6	17%	0-0	-

Donatas Motiejunas F-C · 7'0" 220 · 24	27.0	18	64%	3	2	2	0	0	3	2	1	4-8	50%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Kostas Papanikolaou F · 6'8" 235 · 24	25.7	12	46%	6	1	1	0	0	3	1	5	4-5	80%	1-4	25%	2-7	29%
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 26	18.5	9	56%	4	0	2	0	1	1	1	3	0-2	0%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Jeff Adrien · 6'7" 245 · 29	16.9	11	69%	4	1	1	1	1	4	2	2	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Nick Johnson G · 6'3" 202 · 22	15.8	4	50%	2	2	2	0	2	3	0	2	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Tarik Black F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23	9.6	3	75%	3	0	0	0	3	6	1	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Isaiah Canaan G · 6'0" 200 · 23	8.5	3	50%	0	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Troy Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 23	8.5	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Josh Powell F · 6'9" 240 · 32	6.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Joey Dorsey · 6'8" 268 · 31	\| DND - Left Foot
Robert Covington F · 6'9" 225 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Francisco Garcia G-F · 6'7" 215 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Clint Capela C · 6'10" 256 · 20	\| DND - Groin
Jason Terry G · 6'2" 185 · 37	\| DND - Hamstring
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	56%	40	19	14	1	23	0	14	26	29-45	64%	26-52	50%	10-26	38%

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Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden G · 6'5" 220 · 25	23.6	17	65%	1	2	3	0	2	4	0	1	8-9	89%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Trevor Ariza F · 6'8" 215 · 29	22.3	12	75%	4	3	0	0	2	2	1	3	0-2	0%	3-3	100%	2-4	50%
Patrick Beverley G · 6'1" 185 · 26	21.0	9	64%	4	4	1	0	2	4	2	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-5	60%
Terrence Jones F · 6'9" 252 · 23	20.6	7	70%	2	0	0	0	3	5	1	1	5-6	83%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 29	15.4	6	33%	6	1	1	0	4	6	2	4	4-6	67%	1-6	17%	0-0	-

Donatas Motiejunas F-C · 7'0" 220 · 24	27.0	18	64%	3	2	2	0	0	3	2	1	4-8	50%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Kostas Papanikolaou F · 6'8" 235 · 24	25.7	12	46%	6	1	1	0	0	3	1	5	4-5	80%	1-4	25%	2-7	29%
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 26	18.5	9	56%	4	0	2	0	1	1	1	3	0-2	0%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Jeff Adrien · 6'7" 245 · 29	16.9	11	69%	4	1	1	1	1	4	2	2	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Nick Johnson G · 6'3" 202 · 22	15.8	4	50%	2	2	2	0	2	3	0	2	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Tarik Black F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23	9.6	3	75%	3	0	0	0	3	6	1	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Isaiah Canaan G · 6'0" 200 · 23	8.5	3	50%	0	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Troy Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 23	8.5	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Josh Powell F · 6'9" 240 · 32	6.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Joey Dorsey · 6'8" 268 · 31	\| DND - Left Foot
Robert Covington F · 6'9" 225 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Francisco Garcia G-F · 6'7" 215 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Clint Capela C · 6'10" 256 · 20	\| DND - Groin
Jason Terry G · 6'2" 185 · 37	\| DND - Hamstring
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	56%	40	19	14	1	23	0	14	26	29-45	64%	26-52	50%	10-26	38%

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Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chandler Parsons F · 6'10" 230 · 26	24.2	14	78%	1	1	2	1	3	0	0	1	6-6	100%	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Monta Ellis G · 6'3" 185 · 29	23.5	13	59%	0	3	0	0	6	5	0	0	9-12	75%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Al-Farouq Aminu F · 6'9" 220 · 24	19.7	8	44%	11	1	2	1	1	1	3	8	6-8	75%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 33	17.1	3	25%	4	2	0	0	2	2	2	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Tyson Chandler C · 7'1" 240 · 32	13.9	10	71%	6	0	0	1	1	5	4	2	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-

Ricky Ledo G · 6'7" 195 · 22	16.1	2	20%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Jae Crowder F · 6'6" 235 · 24	16.0	2	50%	2	1	0	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Devin Harris G · 6'3" 185 · 32	14.8	9	75%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	1-4	25%	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Brandan Wright F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27	14.4	8	67%	1	0	0	2	1	2	0	1	6-6	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Charlie Villanueva F · 6'11" 232 · 30	14.0	13	72%	1	0	0	1	2	6	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
Greg Smith C · 6'10" 250 · 24	13.7	7	88%	5	1	0	0	0	5	1	4	5-6	83%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Raymond Felton G · 6'1" 205 · 30	12.4	6	60%	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	2-6	33%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Gal Mekel G · 6'3" 191 · 27	12.0	7	88%	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Richard Jefferson F · 6'7" 233 · 34	12.0	2	20%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	2-6	33%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Ivan Johnson F · 6'8" 255 · 30	10.2	2	17%	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-2	0%
Bernard James C · 6'10" 235 · 30	6.0	2	100%	2	0	0	2	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Dirk Nowitzki C-F · 7'0" 245 · 36	\| DND - Right Hip Contusion
Doron Lamb G · 6'4" 200 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	54%	40	14	6	9	23	0	15	25	47-64	73%	17-36	47%	9-28	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	DAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.12 56.1%

DAL

1.08 54.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

64%

DAL

57%

Midrange

HOU

40%

DAL

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

15.0

38%

58%

DAL

13.5

32%

48%

Free Throws

HOU

64%

DAL

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Motiejunas	18	64%	9.0 / 14
J. Harden	17	65%	8.5 / 13
T. Ariza	12	75%	6.0 / 8
K. Papanikolaou	12	46%	6.0 / 13
J. Adrien	11	69%	5.5 / 8
P. Beverley	9	64%	4.5 / 7
I. Smith	9	56%	4.5 / 8
T. Jones	7	70%	3.5 / 5
D. Howard	6	33%	3.0 / 9
N. Johnson	4	50%	2.0 / 4
T. Black	3	75%	1.5 / 2
I. Canaan	3	50%	1.5 / 3
T. Daniels	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Powell	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Parsons	14	78%	7.0 / 9
M. Ellis	13	59%	6.5 / 11
C. Villanueva	13	72%	6.5 / 9
T. Chandler	10	71%	5.0 / 7
D. Harris	9	75%	4.5 / 6
A. Aminu	8	44%	4.0 / 9
B. Wright	8	67%	4.0 / 6
G. Smith	7	88%	3.5 / 4
G. Mekel	7	88%	3.5 / 4
R. Felton	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Nelson	3	25%	1.5 / 6
R. Ledo	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Crowder	2	50%	1.0 / 2
R. Jefferson	2	20%	1.0 / 5
I. Johnson	2	17%	1.0 / 6
B. James	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 100.3 4 107.3	HOU 109.9 +3.0 DAL 106.9
Pace	16 97.1 14 97.2	HOU 110.6 +16.9 DAL 93.7
Avg. Poss. Time	25 14.3 16 14.9	HOU 13.0 −2.4 DAL 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 46.9% 6 51.1%	HOU 52.6% +4.9% DAL 47.7%
TO %	17 18.0% 6 16.3%	HOU 19.7% −1.0% DAL 20.7%
ORB %	2 28.6% 17 25.1%	HOU 35.9% DAL 36.6% +0.7%
FTrt	12 37.6 15 36.3	HOU 57.7 DAL 100.0 +42.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	33 51.5% 13 63.6%	HOU 52.8% DAL 53.8% +1.0%
STL %	2 11.6% 22 8.4%	HOU 13.9% +8.0% DAL 5.9%
BLK %	24 7.6% 16 8.3%	HOU 2.8% DAL 17.3% +14.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	30 49.4% 11 53.2%	HOU 56.1% +2.1% DAL 54.0%
Rim FG%	25 56.1% 3 64.8%	HOU 63.6% +6.5% DAL 57.1%
Mid FG%	35 27.4% 28 37.3%	HOU 40.0% DAL 40.9% +0.9%
3P %	15 34.6% 22 33.5%	HOU 38.5% +6.4% DAL 32.1%
FT %	32 67.8% 26 70.5%	HOU 64.4% DAL 73.4% +9.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 37.7% 24 33.1%	HOU 28.2% +6.3% DAL 21.9%
Mid Att. %	2 26.8% 5 30.8%	HOU 38.5% DAL 34.4% −4.1%
3P Att. %	3 35.4% 2 36.1%	HOU 33.3% DAL 43.8% +10.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.

Game Totals	HOU	DAL
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	21.9	25.9
Points	111	108
Rebounds	40	40
Assists	19	14
Steals	14	6
Blocks	1	9
Turnovers (Team)	23 (1)	23 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (6)	15 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (1)	25 (5)
Field Goals	36-78	26-64
At-the-Rim FG	14-22	8-14
Midrange FG	12-30	9-22
2-Point FG	26-52	17-36
3-Point FG	10-26	9-28
Free Throws	29-45	47-64
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg