Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, November 23, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Hornets | 19% | 109 | 110 |
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Updated: Nov 23, 2025 10:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Magic | 30% | 108 | 129 |
 | 5 | Celtics | 70% | 115 | 138 |
Updated: Nov 23, 2025 10:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Nov 23, 2025 10:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Nets | 25% | 111 | 109 |
 | 15 | Raptors | 75% | 120 | 119 |
Updated: Nov 23, 2025 10:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Thunder | 88% | 121 | 122 |
Updated: Nov 23, 2025 11:57 PM
game detailSaturday, November 22, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 53% | 115 | 131 |
| 21 | Hornets | 47% | 114 | 116 |
Updated: Nov 22, 2025 05:31 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Knicks | 47% | 115 | 121 |
| 10 | Magic | 53% | 116 | 133 |
Updated: Nov 22, 2025 09:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 79% | 119 | 115 |
 | 29 | Pelicans | 21% | 109 | 98 |
Updated: Nov 22, 2025 11:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Bulls | 81% | 129 | 121 |
Updated: Nov 23, 2025 01:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Pistons | 65% | 116 | 129 |
 | 24 | Bucks | 35% | 110 | 116 |
Updated: Nov 23, 2025 01:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 25 | Mavericks | 37% | 111 | 96 |
Updated: Nov 23, 2025 01:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Nov 23, 2025 02:57 AM
game detailFriday, November 21, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 7 | Cavaliers | 83% | 125 | 120 |
Updated: Nov 22, 2025 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 15% | 107 | 113 |
| 3 | Celtics | 85% | 120 | 105 |
Updated: Nov 22, 2025 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 14% | 111 | 110 |
| 13 | Raptors | 86% | 125 | 140 |
Updated: Nov 22, 2025 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | 45% | 111 | 115 |
| 24 | Mavericks | 55% | 113 | 118 |
Updated: Nov 22, 2025 01:32 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Timberwolves | 60% | 117 | 113 |
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Updated: Nov 22, 2025 02:03 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 38% | 115 | 112 |
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Updated: Nov 22, 2025 02:34 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 88% | 122 | 144 |
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Updated: Nov 22, 2025 03:03 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Blazers | 22% | 111 | 127 |
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Updated: Nov 22, 2025 03:03 AM
game detailThursday, November 20, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 39% | 107 | 101 |
| 10 | Magic | 61% | 111 | 129 |
Updated: Nov 20, 2025 11:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 31% | 114 | 96 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 69% | 120 | 137 |
Updated: Nov 21, 2025 12:56 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 23 | Bucks | 49% | 114 | 114 |
Updated: Nov 21, 2025 12:56 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 54% | 117 | 126 |
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Updated: Nov 21, 2025 12:56 AM
game detailWednesday, November 19, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 49% | 116 | 114 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 51% | 117 | 104 |
Updated: Nov 20, 2025 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 56% | 119 | 118 |
| 26 | Pacers | 44% | 117 | 127 |
Updated: Nov 20, 2025 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 51% | 118 | 121 |
| 16 | 76ers | 49% | 117 | 112 |
Updated: Nov 20, 2025 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 29% | 112 | 96 |
 | 12 | Heat | 71% | 119 | 110 |
Updated: Nov 20, 2025 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 14% | 111 | 109 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 86% | 124 | 120 |
Updated: Nov 20, 2025 12:58 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 77% | 122 | 125 |
| 25 | Pelicans | 23% | 112 | 118 |
Updated: Nov 20, 2025 12:58 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | 68% | 121 | 113 |
| 22 | Mavericks | 32% | 115 | 111 |
Updated: Nov 20, 2025 02:32 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bulls | 62% | 122 | 122 |
| 24 | Blazers | 38% | 117 | 121 |
Updated: Nov 20, 2025 03:02 AM
game detailTuesday, November 18, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 52% | 112 | 113 |
| 10 | Magic | 48% | 111 | 121 |
Updated: Nov 19, 2025 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pistons | 40% | 110 | 120 |
| 15 | Hawks | 60% | 114 | 112 |
Updated: Nov 19, 2025 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Grizzlies | 40% | 116 | 101 |
| 19 | Spurs | 60% | 119 | 111 |
Updated: Nov 19, 2025 12:57 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Suns | 46% | 118 | 127 |
| 21 | Blazers | 54% | 119 | 110 |
Updated: Nov 19, 2025 03:41 AM
game detailMonday, November 17, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 27% | 115 | 106 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 73% | 123 | 118 |
Updated: Nov 18, 2025 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 34% | 110 | 112 |
| 22 | Pistons | 66% | 116 | 127 |
Updated: Nov 18, 2025 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Clippers | 38% | 110 | 108 |
| 15 | 76ers | 62% | 114 | 110 |
Updated: Nov 18, 2025 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Knicks | 48% | 119 | 113 |
| 16 | Heat | 52% | 120 | 115 |
Updated: Nov 18, 2025 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 30% | 116 | 108 |
| 12 | Raptors | 70% | 123 | 110 |
Updated: Nov 18, 2025 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mavericks | 17% | 108 | 96 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 83% | 120 | 120 |
Updated: Nov 18, 2025 12:59 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 93% | 117 | 126 |
| 29 | Pelicans | 7% | 98 | 109 |
Updated: Nov 18, 2025 12:59 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 19% | 114 | 130 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 81% | 126 | 127 |
Updated: Nov 18, 2025 01:32 AM
game detailSunday, November 16, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 34% | 107 | 118 |
| 7 | Celtics | 66% | 112 | 121 |
Updated: Nov 16, 2025 08:31 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 32% | 117 | 110 |
| 17 | Spurs | 68% | 123 | 123 |
Updated: Nov 16, 2025 08:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 47% | 117 | 129 |
| 30 | Wizards | 53% | 118 | 106 |
Updated: Nov 16, 2025 10:32 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 28% | 109 | 113 |
| 3 | Rockets | 72% | 116 | 117 |
Updated: Nov 17, 2025 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warriors | 78% | 118 | 124 |
| 28 | Pelicans | 22% | 108 | 106 |
Updated: Nov 17, 2025 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Blazers | 53% | 116 | 133 |
| 24 | Mavericks | 47% | 115 | 138 |
Updated: Nov 17, 2025 12:32 AM
game detailSaturday, November 15, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Grizzlies | 25% | 115 | 100 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 75% | 124 | 108 |
Updated: Nov 15, 2025 09:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 91% | 121 | 109 |
| 28 | Hornets | 9% | 104 | 96 |
Updated: Nov 15, 2025 11:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 69% | 120 | 129 |
| 27 | Pacers | 31% | 114 | 111 |
Updated: Nov 15, 2025 11:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 46% | 116 | 123 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 54% | 118 | 112 |
Updated: Nov 16, 2025 01:02 AM
game detailFriday, November 14, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 36% | 115 | 132 |
| 8 | Knicks | 64% | 119 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 16% | 107 | 98 |
| 10 | Magic | 84% | 120 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 57% | 113 | 105 |
| 24 | Pistons | 43% | 111 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Blazers | 29% | 111 | 116 |
| 3 | Rockets | 71% | 119 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 29% | 117 | 134 |
| 12 | Bucks | 71% | 124 | 147 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 22% | 113 | 110 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 78% | 123 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Lakers | 71% | 118 | 118 |
| 27 | Pelicans | 29% | 111 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 55% | 111 | 133 |
| 23 | Mavericks | 45% | 110 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 48% | 115 | 109 |
| 11 | Spurs | 52% | 116 | 108 |
Thursday, November 13, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 32% | 117 | 126 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 68% | 123 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 43% | 116 | 98 |
| 19 | Suns | 57% | 118 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 58% | 118 | 132 |
| 27 | Jazz | 42% | 115 | 122 |
Wednesday, November 12, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 58% | 118 | 100 |
| 27 | Hornets | 42% | 116 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 58% | 117 | 113 |
| 24 | Pistons | 42% | 114 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Magic | 41% | 114 | 124 |
| 4 | Knicks | 59% | 117 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 28% | 111 | 95 |
| 5 | Celtics | 72% | 118 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Cavaliers | 48% | 118 | 130 |
| 15 | Heat | 52% | 119 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 8% | 107 | 112 |
| 2 | Rockets | 92% | 125 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Blazers | 69% | 118 | 125 |
| 28 | Pelicans | 31% | 112 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 39% | 114 | 125 |
| 9 | Spurs | 61% | 117 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | 53% | 116 | 123 |
| 23 | Mavericks | 47% | 115 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 30% | 109 | 92 |
| 1 | Thunder | 70% | 116 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 69% | 118 | 133 |
| 25 | Kings | 31% | 112 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 54% | 114 | 130 |
| 11 | Clippers | 46% | 113 | 116 |
Tuesday, November 11, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 73% | 121 | 119 |
| 29 | Nets | 27% | 113 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | 34% | 115 | 120 |
| 8 | Knicks | 66% | 121 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 59% | 117 | 100 |
| 20 | 76ers | 41% | 114 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 27% | 107 | 102 |
| 1 | Thunder | 73% | 115 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 61% | 117 | 128 |
| 28 | Jazz | 39% | 113 | 152 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 76% | 126 | 122 |
| 24 | Kings | 24% | 117 | 108 |