Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, January 6, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cavaliers | 65% | 117 | 120 | |
| 26 | Pacers | 35% | 112 | 116 | |
Updated: Jan 6, 2026 11:31 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Magic | 70% | 119 | 112 | |
| 29 | Wizards | 30% | 112 | 120 | |
Updated: Jan 6, 2026 11:31 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 65% | 120 | 105 | |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 35% | 115 | 106 | |
Updated: Jan 7, 2026 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 40% | 114 | 94 | |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 60% | 117 | 122 | |
Updated: Jan 7, 2026 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | 60% | 119 | 111 | |
| 27 | Pelicans | 40% | 116 | 103 | |
Updated: Jan 7, 2026 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 68% | 117 | 100 | |
| 30 | Kings | 32% | 111 | 98 | |
Updated: Jan 7, 2026 03:31 AM
game detailMonday, January 5, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 57% | 114 | 90 | |
| 10 | Pistons | 43% | 112 | 121 | |
Updated: Jan 6, 2026 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | 18% | 112 | 101 | |
| 2 | Celtics | 82% | 123 | 115 | |
Updated: Jan 6, 2026 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 49% | 115 | 100 | |
| 15 | Raptors | 51% | 116 | 118 | |
Updated: Jan 6, 2026 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 15% | 108 | 124 | |
| 1 | Thunder | 85% | 121 | 97 | |
Updated: Jan 6, 2026 01:02 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nuggets | 12% | 104 | 125 | |
| 6 | 76ers | 88% | 119 | 124 | |
Updated: Jan 6, 2026 01:02 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 67% | 112 | 102 | |
| 19 | Clippers | 33% | 107 | 103 | |
Updated: Jan 6, 2026 03:02 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 39% | 118 | 117 | |
| 22 | Blazers | 61% | 121 | 137 | |
Updated: Jan 6, 2026 03:02 AM
game detailSunday, January 4, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 38% | 113 | 114 | |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 62% | 117 | 110 | |
Updated: Jan 4, 2026 06:31 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 35% | 110 | 127 | |
| 18 | Magic | 65% | 114 | 135 | |
Updated: Jan 4, 2026 08:01 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nuggets | 60% | 116 | 115 | |
| 26 | Nets | 40% | 112 | 127 | |
Updated: Jan 4, 2026 08:01 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pelicans | 26% | 114 | 106 | |
| 10 | Heat | 74% | 122 | 125 | |
Updated: Jan 4, 2026 11:01 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 73% | 120 | 141 | |
| 30 | Wizards | 27% | 112 | 115 | |
Updated: Jan 4, 2026 11:01 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 47% | 116 | 114 | |
| 16 | Lakers | 53% | 117 | 120 | |
Updated: Jan 5, 2026 02:01 AM
game detailSaturday, January 3, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 49% | 115 | 125 | |
| 9 | Heat | 51% | 116 | 115 | |
Updated: Jan 3, 2026 09:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 41% | 112 | 117 | |
| 16 | Raptors | 59% | 115 | 134 | |
Updated: Jan 4, 2026 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 51% | 121 | 112 | |
| 23 | Bulls | 49% | 120 | 99 | |
Updated: Jan 4, 2026 01:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Blazers | 28% | 113 | 115 | |
| 10 | Spurs | 72% | 120 | 110 | |
Updated: Jan 4, 2026 01:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 72% | 116 | 104 | |
| 21 | Mavericks | 28% | 108 | 110 | |
Updated: Jan 4, 2026 01:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 18% | 114 | 114 | |
| 3 | Warriors | 82% | 126 | 123 | |
Updated: Jan 4, 2026 03:02 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 59% | 114 | 146 | |
| 12 | Clippers | 41% | 111 | 115 | |
Updated: Jan 4, 2026 03:31 AM
game detailFriday, January 2, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nuggets | 22% | 113 | 108 | |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 78% | 123 | 113 | |
Updated: Jan 3, 2026 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 36% | 115 | 121 | |
| 10 | Bucks | 64% | 119 | 122 | |
Updated: Jan 3, 2026 12:57 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Blazers | 61% | 118 | 122 | |
| 30 | Pelicans | 39% | 114 | 109 | |
Updated: Jan 3, 2026 12:57 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 78% | 114 | 131 | |
| 18 | Warriors | 22% | 104 | 94 | |
Updated: Jan 3, 2026 03:00 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 49% | 116 | 121 | |
| 20 | Lakers | 51% | 117 | 128 | |
Updated: Jan 3, 2026 03:31 AM
game detailThursday, January 1, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 76ers | 60% | 116 | 123 | |
| 21 | Mavericks | 40% | 112 | 108 | |
Updated: Jan 2, 2026 01:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 82% | 120 | 120 | |
| 28 | Kings | 18% | 108 | 106 | |
Updated: Jan 2, 2026 03:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 14% | 107 | 101 | |
| 11 | Clippers | 86% | 121 | 118 | |
Updated: Jan 2, 2026 03:01 AM
game detailWednesday, December 31, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 70% | 118 | 132 | |
| 20 | Hornets | 30% | 111 | 125 | |
Updated: Dec 31, 2025 05:46 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 59% | 117 | 102 | |
| 17 | Hawks | 41% | 114 | 126 | |
Updated: Dec 31, 2025 08:01 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 64% | 115 | 112 | |
| 23 | Pacers | 36% | 110 | 110 | |
Updated: Dec 31, 2025 08:01 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 31% | 112 | 113 | |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 69% | 119 | 129 | |
Updated: Dec 31, 2025 08:31 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 47% | 120 | 118 | |
| 25 | Bulls | 53% | 121 | 134 | |
Updated: Jan 1, 2026 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nuggets | 34% | 111 | 106 | |
| 16 | Raptors | 66% | 116 | 103 | |
Updated: Jan 1, 2026 12:32 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 23% | 111 | 114 | |
| 15 | Bucks | 77% | 120 | 113 | |
Updated: Jan 1, 2026 12:32 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Blazers | 11% | 105 | 95 | |
| 1 | Thunder | 89% | 121 | 124 | |
Updated: Jan 1, 2026 12:32 AM
game detailTuesday, December 30, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 53% | 116 | 139 | |
| 18 | Grizzlies | 47% | 115 | 136 | |
Updated: Dec 31, 2025 12:56 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 77% | 124 | 129 | |
| 26 | Jazz | 23% | 115 | 119 | |
Updated: Dec 31, 2025 01:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pistons | 60% | 115 | 128 | |
| 19 | Lakers | 40% | 112 | 106 | |
Updated: Dec 31, 2025 03:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 25% | 107 | 90 | |
| 11 | Clippers | 75% | 116 | 131 | |
Updated: Dec 31, 2025 03:56 AM
game detailMonday, December 29, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bucks | 52% | 115 | 123 | |
| 23 | Hornets | 48% | 114 | 113 | |
Updated: Dec 30, 2025 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Suns | 78% | 120 | 115 | |
| 30 | Wizards | 22% | 110 | 101 | |
Updated: Dec 30, 2025 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 65% | 116 | 120 | |
| 20 | Nets | 35% | 111 | 107 | |
Updated: Dec 30, 2025 12:32 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 51% | 120 | 123 | |
| 13 | Heat | 49% | 119 | 147 | |
Updated: Dec 30, 2025 12:32 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Magic | 51% | 111 | 106 | |
| 18 | Raptors | 49% | 110 | 107 | |
Updated: Dec 30, 2025 12:32 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 62% | 121 | 136 | |
| 16 | Bulls | 38% | 117 | 101 | |
Updated: Dec 30, 2025 12:48 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 20% | 104 | 119 | |
| 5 | Rockets | 80% | 115 | 126 | |
Updated: Dec 30, 2025 12:48 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 73% | 123 | 130 | |
| 27 | Pelicans | 27% | 115 | 125 | |
Updated: Dec 30, 2025 12:48 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hawks | 13% | 105 | 129 | |
| 1 | Thunder | 87% | 119 | 140 | |
Updated: Dec 30, 2025 12:48 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 41% | 118 | 113 | |
| 4 | Spurs | 59% | 121 | 101 | |
Updated: Dec 30, 2025 12:48 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Mavericks | 46% | 114 | 122 | |
| 22 | Blazers | 54% | 116 | 125 | |
Updated: Dec 30, 2025 03:31 AM
game detailSunday, December 28, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 65% | 115 | 127 | |
| 18 | Raptors | 35% | 110 | 141 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 14% | 104 | 104 | |
| 1 | Thunder | 86% | 118 | 129 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | 70% | 121 | 112 | |
| 29 | Wizards | 30% | 114 | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 69% | 118 | 108 | |
| 24 | Blazers | 31% | 112 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pistons | 55% | 112 | 99 | |
| 12 | Clippers | 45% | 110 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kings | 23% | 109 | 101 | |
| 20 | Lakers | 77% | 119 | 125 | |
Saturday, December 27, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Mavericks | 58% | 114 | 107 | |
| 30 | Kings | 42% | 111 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 64% | 119 | 126 | |
| 21 | Magic | 36% | 114 | 127 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 56% | 116 | 123 | |
| 25 | Pelicans | 44% | 114 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | 60% | 120 | 128 | |
| 11 | Hawks | 40% | 117 | 125 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 32% | 110 | 116 | |
| 14 | Heat | 68% | 117 | 142 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 42% | 117 | 112 | |
| 16 | Bulls | 58% | 119 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 45% | 113 | 100 | |
| 6 | Rockets | 55% | 115 | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 19% | 107 | 123 | |
| 4 | Timberwolves | 81% | 119 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 14% | 114 | 127 | |
| 7 | Spurs | 86% | 128 | 114 | |
Friday, December 26, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 41% | 117 | 126 | |
| 12 | Hawks | 59% | 120 | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 41% | 113 | 120 | |
| 20 | Magic | 59% | 116 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 70% | 117 | 117 | |
| 29 | Wizards | 30% | 110 | 138 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 71% | 114 | 140 | |
| 23 | Pacers | 29% | 107 | 122 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 57% | 121 | 102 | |
| 17 | Bulls | 43% | 118 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 35% | 112 | 104 | |
| 15 | Grizzlies | 65% | 117 | 125 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Suns | 61% | 117 | 115 | |
| 26 | Pelicans | 39% | 114 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pistons | 73% | 123 | 129 | |
| 28 | Jazz | 27% | 115 | 131 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Clippers | 55% | 114 | 119 | |
| 22 | Blazers | 45% | 112 | 103 | |
Thursday, December 25, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 43% | 117 | 124 | |
| 6 | Knicks | 57% | 120 | 126 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spurs | 23% | 109 | 117 | |
| 1 | Thunder | 77% | 119 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 22% | 109 | 116 | |
| 2 | Warriors | 78% | 119 | 126 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 59% | 115 | 119 | |
| 11 | Lakers | 41% | 112 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 54% | 118 | 138 | |
| 12 | Nuggets | 46% | 117 | 142 | |