Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, February 21, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Knicks | 28% | 112 | 105 |
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Updated: Feb 21, 2025 11:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 17 | Magic | 40% | 109 | 104 |
Updated: Feb 21, 2025 11:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Bucks | 62% | 115 | 104 |
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Updated: Feb 21, 2025 11:42 PM
game detailThursday, February 20, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Grizzlies | 55% | 121 | 113 |
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Updated: Feb 20, 2025 11:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Celtics | 66% | 116 | 124 |
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Updated: Feb 20, 2025 11:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 46% | 109 | 114 |
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Updated: Feb 21, 2025 12:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 72% | 117 | 110 |
 | 23 | Nets | 28% | 108 | 97 |
Updated: Feb 21, 2025 12:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Bulls | 25% | 115 | 111 |
| 8 | Knicks | 75% | 125 | 113 |
Updated: Feb 21, 2025 12:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 20 | Bucks | 42% | 108 | 116 |
Updated: Feb 21, 2025 12:47 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Hornets | 15% | 104 | 115 |
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Updated: Feb 21, 2025 01:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Lakers | 54% | 112 | 110 |
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Updated: Feb 21, 2025 02:47 AM
game detailWednesday, February 19, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hornets | 28% | 104 | 100 |
| 10 | Lakers | 72% | 113 | 97 |
Updated: Feb 20, 2025 02:42 AM
game detailThursday, February 13, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Feb 14, 2025 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 29 | Pelicans | 32% | 112 | 140 |
Updated: Feb 14, 2025 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Heat | 54% | 106 | 113 |
 | 26 | Mavericks | 46% | 104 | 118 |
Updated: Feb 14, 2025 01:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Thunder | 75% | 114 | 101 |
 | 16 | Timberwolves | 25% | 104 | 116 |
Updated: Feb 14, 2025 01:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 72% | 118 | 120 |
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Updated: Feb 14, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailWednesday, February 12, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 2 | Celtics | 76% | 120 | 116 |
Updated: Feb 12, 2025 11:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hornets | 28% | 97 | 86 |
| 17 | Magic | 72% | 106 | 102 |
Updated: Feb 12, 2025 11:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 71% | 123 | 134 |
| 29 | Wizards | 29% | 115 | 130 |
Updated: Feb 12, 2025 11:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 34% | 115 | 148 |
| 8 | Knicks | 66% | 121 | 149 |
Updated: Feb 13, 2025 12:22 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 75% | 120 | 131 |
 | 21 | Raptors | 25% | 111 | 108 |
Updated: Feb 13, 2025 12:22 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Pistons | 61% | 118 | 128 |
| 27 | Bulls | 39% | 114 | 110 |
Updated: Feb 13, 2025 12:52 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | 29% | 103 | 103 |
| 13 | Timberwolves | 71% | 111 | 101 |
Updated: Feb 13, 2025 12:52 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kings | 66% | 119 | 119 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 34% | 113 | 111 |
Updated: Feb 13, 2025 12:52 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 16% | 101 | 101 |
| 1 | Thunder | 84% | 115 | 115 |
Updated: Feb 13, 2025 12:52 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 14 | Rockets | 74% | 114 | 119 |
Updated: Feb 13, 2025 01:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 27% | 113 | 121 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 73% | 122 | 132 |
Updated: Feb 13, 2025 01:47 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 54% | 116 | 107 |
| 15 | Mavericks | 46% | 115 | 111 |
Updated: Feb 13, 2025 02:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Grizzlies | 41% | 113 | 114 |
| 5 | Clippers | 59% | 117 | 128 |
Updated: Feb 13, 2025 03:12 AM
game detailTuesday, February 11, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 31% | 109 | 106 |
| 11 | 76ers | 69% | 117 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 48% | 117 | 128 |
| 12 | Pacers | 52% | 118 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 59% | 118 | 132 |
| 27 | Bulls | 41% | 115 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Grizzlies | 63% | 122 | 119 |
| 17 | Suns | 37% | 117 | 112 |
Monday, February 10, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | 33% | 109 | 107 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 67% | 116 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 41% | 106 | 112 |
| 17 | Magic | 59% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Spurs | 76% | 121 | 131 |
| 30 | Wizards | 24% | 111 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hornets | 38% | 104 | 89 |
| 25 | Nets | 62% | 109 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 75% | 113 | 103 |
| 20 | Heat | 25% | 103 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 64% | 117 | 125 |
| 21 | Bucks | 36% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pelicans | 9% | 101 | 101 |
| 1 | Thunder | 91% | 121 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | 43% | 114 | 129 |
| 14 | Mavericks | 57% | 117 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 31% | 113 | 117 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 69% | 121 | 146 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 25% | 109 | 113 |
| 7 | Lakers | 75% | 119 | 132 |
Sunday, February 9, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hornets | 32% | 104 | 102 |
| 19 | Pistons | 68% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 31% | 108 | 87 |
| 10 | Rockets | 69% | 115 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 53% | 112 | 127 |
| 21 | Bucks | 47% | 111 | 135 |
Saturday, February 8, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Rockets | 47% | 110 | 105 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 53% | 111 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 53% | 112 | 117 |
| 18 | Lakers | 47% | 111 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | 47% | 106 | 111 |
| 16 | Magic | 53% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 62% | 120 | 125 |
| 29 | Wizards | 38% | 116 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 67% | 121 | 132 |
| 27 | Bulls | 33% | 115 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 52% | 117 | 125 |
| 4 | Grizzlies | 48% | 116 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 104 | 98 |
| 15 | Timberwolves | 62% | 109 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 58% | 117 | 131 |
| 6 | Knicks | 42% | 115 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 63% | 120 | 122 |
| 19 | Suns | 37% | 115 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pelicans | 28% | 112 | 118 |
| 13 | Kings | 72% | 121 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 12% | 103 | 110 |
| 5 | Clippers | 88% | 121 | 130 |