Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, January 21, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Trail Blazers | 26% | 109 | 116 | |
14 | Heat | 74% | 119 | 107 |
Updated: Jan 22, 2025 12:22 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Magic | 54% | 107 | 93 | |
25 | Raptors | 46% | 105 | 109 |
Updated: Jan 22, 2025 12:22 AM
game detailMonday, January 20, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Mavericks | 62% | 115 | 105 | |
24 | Hornets | 38% | 110 | 110 |
Updated: Jan 20, 2025 04:52 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pistons | 30% | 106 | 107 | |
5 | Rockets | 70% | 113 | 96 |
Updated: Jan 20, 2025 06:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Timberwolves | 40% | 112 | 106 | |
4 | Grizzlies | 60% | 116 | 108 |
Updated: Jan 20, 2025 07:12 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Hawks | 35% | 115 | 110 | |
8 | Knicks | 65% | 120 | 119 |
Updated: Jan 20, 2025 07:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Suns | 32% | 116 | 92 | |
3 | Cavaliers | 68% | 122 | 118 |
Updated: Jan 20, 2025 08:12 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 65% | 118 | 125 | |
14 | Warriors | 35% | 112 | 85 |
Updated: Jan 20, 2025 09:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Jazz | 29% | 109 | 119 | |
23 | Pelicans | 71% | 117 | 123 |
Updated: Jan 21, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Bulls | 36% | 112 | 112 | |
17 | Clippers | 64% | 117 | 99 |
Updated: Jan 21, 2025 03:12 AM
game detailSunday, January 19, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Nuggets | 61% | 111 | 113 | |
22 | Magic | 39% | 107 | 100 |
Updated: Jan 19, 2025 10:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Lakers | 36% | 107 | 102 | |
11 | Clippers | 64% | 112 | 116 |
Updated: Jan 20, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Bulls | 64% | 121 | 102 | |
28 | Trail Blazers | 36% | 115 | 113 |
Updated: Jan 20, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Wizards | 15% | 110 | 100 | |
6 | Kings | 85% | 126 | 123 |
Updated: Jan 19, 2025 09:53 AM
game detailSaturday, January 18, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Suns | 53% | 114 | 125 | |
18 | Pistons | 47% | 113 | 121 |
Updated: Jan 18, 2025 08:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Hawks | 22% | 112 | 119 | |
1 | Celtics | 78% | 123 | 115 |
Updated: Jan 18, 2025 11:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | 76ers | 27% | 108 | 102 | |
11 | Pacers | 73% | 117 | 115 |
Updated: Jan 18, 2025 11:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Wizards | 19% | 109 | 114 | |
15 | Warriors | 81% | 122 | 122 |
Updated: Jan 19, 2025 01:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Cavaliers | 52% | 112 | 124 | |
6 | Timberwolves | 48% | 111 | 117 |
Updated: Jan 19, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Rockets | 76% | 118 | 125 | |
27 | Trail Blazers | 24% | 108 | 103 |
Updated: Jan 19, 2025 02:42 AM
game detailFriday, January 17, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Magic | 19% | 101 | 94 | |
1 | Celtics | 81% | 114 | 121 |
Updated: Jan 17, 2025 11:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Timberwolves | 48% | 110 | 116 | |
9 | Knicks | 52% | 111 | 99 |
Updated: Jan 18, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Nuggets | 54% | 114 | 133 | |
17 | Heat | 46% | 113 | 113 |
Updated: Jan 18, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Raptors | 30% | 110 | 112 | |
8 | Bucks | 70% | 118 | 130 |
Updated: Jan 18, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Jazz | 27% | 110 | 123 | |
18 | Pelicans | 73% | 120 | 136 |
Updated: Jan 18, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Grizzlies | 55% | 118 | 140 | |
15 | Spurs | 45% | 116 | 112 |
Updated: Jan 18, 2025 02:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Thunder | 52% | 111 | 98 | |
16 | Mavericks | 48% | 110 | 106 |
Updated: Jan 18, 2025 01:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Hornets | 44% | 117 | 125 | |
21 | Bulls | 56% | 119 | 123 |
Updated: Jan 18, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Nets | 35% | 105 | 101 | |
25 | Lakers | 65% | 111 | 102 |
Updated: Jan 18, 2025 03:12 AM
game detailThursday, January 16, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Pacers | 55% | 114 | 111 | |
19 | Pistons | 45% | 113 | 100 |
Updated: Jan 16, 2025 11:47 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Suns | 78% | 123 | 130 | |
29 | Wizards | 22% | 112 | 123 |
Updated: Jan 16, 2025 11:47 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 39% | 110 | 114 | |
2 | Thunder | 61% | 114 | 134 |
Updated: Jan 17, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Clippers | 61% | 113 | 118 | |
27 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 109 | 89 |
Updated: Jan 17, 2025 02:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Rockets | 39% | 110 | 127 | |
6 | Kings | 61% | 114 | 132 |
Updated: Jan 17, 2025 02:42 AM
game detailWednesday, January 15, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Knicks | 71% | 117 | 125 | |
25 | 76ers | 29% | 108 | 119 |
Updated: Jan 15, 2025 11:47 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 79% | 121 | 97 | |
22 | Raptors | 21% | 109 | 110 |
Updated: Jan 16, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Warriors | 37% | 109 | 116 | |
6 | Timberwolves | 63% | 113 | 115 |
Updated: Jan 16, 2025 02:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Mavericks | 54% | 113 | 116 | |
23 | Pelicans | 46% | 112 | 119 |
Updated: Jan 16, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Grizzlies | 61% | 119 | 129 | |
14 | Spurs | 39% | 115 | 115 |
Updated: Jan 16, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Rockets | 65% | 114 | 128 | |
21 | Nuggets | 35% | 109 | 108 |
Updated: Jan 16, 2025 01:57 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Hornets | 64% | 113 | 117 | |
30 | Jazz | 36% | 107 | 112 |
Updated: Jan 16, 2025 01:57 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Heat | 49% | 109 | 108 | |
15 | Lakers | 51% | 110 | 117 |
Updated: Jan 16, 2025 02:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Nets | 19% | 102 | 67 | |
10 | Clippers | 81% | 115 | 126 |
Updated: Jan 16, 2025 03:12 AM
game detailTuesday, January 14, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 63% | 117 | 127 | |
14 | Pacers | 37% | 112 | 117 |
Updated: Jan 14, 2025 11:52 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Thunder | 88% | 115 | 118 | |
28 | 76ers | 12% | 98 | 102 |
Updated: Jan 14, 2025 11:52 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Pelicans | 40% | 118 | 119 | |
19 | Bulls | 60% | 121 | 113 |
Updated: Jan 15, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Nuggets | 48% | 116 | 118 | |
11 | Mavericks | 52% | 117 | 99 |
Updated: Jan 15, 2025 02:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Nets | 45% | 110 | 132 | |
26 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 111 | 114 |
Updated: Jan 15, 2025 02:42 AM
game detailMonday, January 13, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Timberwolves | 84% | 119 | 120 | |
29 | Wizards | 16% | 105 | 106 |
Updated: Jan 13, 2025 11:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Pistons | 33% | 110 | 124 | |
5 | Knicks | 67% | 116 | 119 |
Updated: Jan 14, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Warriors | 60% | 117 | 101 | |
25 | Raptors | 40% | 113 | 104 |
Updated: Jan 14, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Grizzlies | 47% | 114 | 118 | |
6 | Rockets | 53% | 115 | 120 |
Updated: Jan 14, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Spurs | 44% | 111 | 126 | |
14 | Lakers | 56% | 114 | 102 |
Updated: Jan 14, 2025 03:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Heat | 35% | 106 | 98 | |
12 | Clippers | 65% | 112 | 109 |
Updated: Jan 14, 2025 03:12 AM
game detailSunday, January 12, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Nuggets | 54% | 116 | 112 | |
21 | Mavericks | 46% | 115 | 101 |
Updated: Jan 12, 2025 07:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Kings | 60% | 119 | 124 | |
23 | Bulls | 40% | 116 | 119 |
Updated: Jan 12, 2025 08:17 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Pelicans | 13% | 107 | 119 | |
1 | Celtics | 87% | 123 | 120 |
Updated: Jan 12, 2025 10:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pacers | 32% | 114 | 108 | |
3 | Cavaliers | 68% | 121 | 93 |
Updated: Jan 12, 2025 10:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Thunder | 90% | 122 | 136 | |
30 | Wizards | 10% | 103 | 95 |
Updated: Jan 12, 2025 10:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Hornets | 32% | 111 | 113 | |
16 | Suns | 68% | 118 | 120 |
Updated: Jan 13, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailSaturday, January 11, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Jazz | 27% | 111 | 106 | |
11 | Suns | 73% | 119 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Raptors | 43% | 112 | 114 | |
22 | Pistons | 57% | 115 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Grizzlies | 47% | 113 | 127 | |
6 | Timberwolves | 53% | 114 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Heat | 61% | 113 | 119 | |
27 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 109 | 98 |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Spurs | ||||
16 | Lakers |
Friday, January 10, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Warriors | 29% | 111 | 96 | |
10 | Pacers | 71% | 120 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Bucks | 60% | 109 | 109 | |
14 | Magic | 40% | 105 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Pelicans | 31% | 108 | 123 | |
18 | 76ers | 69% | 115 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Kings | 22% | 109 | 114 | |
2 | Celtics | 78% | 120 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thunder | 60% | 114 | 126 | |
4 | Knicks | 40% | 111 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Wizards | 27% | 116 | 105 | |
15 | Bulls | 73% | 125 | 138 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Nets | 18% | 106 | 105 | |
8 | Nuggets | 82% | 119 | 124 |
Thursday, January 9, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Raptors | 23% | 110 | 126 | |
3 | Cavaliers | 77% | 121 | 132 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Warriors | 60% | 114 | 107 | |
22 | Pistons | 40% | 110 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Timberwolves | 58% | 104 | 104 | |
20 | Magic | 42% | 101 | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Rockets | 46% | 114 | 119 | |
6 | Grizzlies | 54% | 115 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Trail Blazers | 27% | 107 | 111 | |
15 | Mavericks | 73% | 116 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Hawks | 37% | 116 | 115 | |
12 | Suns | 63% | 121 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Heat | 60% | 113 | 97 | |
27 | Jazz | 40% | 109 | 92 |
Wednesday, January 8, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Thunder | 55% | 113 | 122 | |
3 | Cavaliers | 45% | 111 | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Bulls | 40% | 119 | 113 | |
11 | Pacers | 60% | 123 | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Raptors | 25% | 111 | 98 | |
6 | Knicks | 75% | 121 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Wizards | 23% | 107 | 103 | |
22 | 76ers | 77% | 119 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Pistons | 66% | 111 | 113 | |
29 | Nets | 34% | 105 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 113 | 119 | |
25 | Pelicans | 51% | 114 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Clippers | 62% | 115 | 103 | |
23 | Nuggets | 38% | 111 | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Spurs | 42% | 112 | 105 | |
8 | Bucks | 58% | 115 | 121 |