Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, April 19, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Bucks | 32% | 113 | 98 |
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Updated: Apr 19, 2025 04:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Apr 19, 2025 07:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Pistons | 32% | 108 | 112 |
 | 9 | Knicks | 68% | 115 | 123 |
Updated: Apr 19, 2025 09:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Timberwolves | 41% | 109 | 117 |
 | 7 | Lakers | 59% | 112 | 95 |
Updated: Apr 20, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailFriday, April 18, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Mavericks | 34% | 115 | 106 |
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Updated: Apr 19, 2025 01:12 AM
game detailWednesday, April 16, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Mavericks | 43% | 114 | 120 |
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Updated: Apr 17, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailTuesday, April 15, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 38% | 116 | 116 |
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Updated: Apr 16, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailSunday, April 13, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Magic | 48% | 108 | 105 |
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Updated: Apr 13, 2025 04:47 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Hornets | 15% | 99 | 86 |
 | 5 | Celtics | 85% | 114 | 93 |
Updated: Apr 13, 2025 04:47 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Knicks | 68% | 109 | 113 |
 | 25 | Nets | 32% | 102 | 105 |
Updated: Apr 13, 2025 04:47 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 44% | 111 | 126 |
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Updated: Apr 13, 2025 04:47 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 13 | Heat | 72% | 111 | 118 |
Updated: Apr 13, 2025 04:47 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Bulls | 59% | 118 | 122 |
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Updated: Apr 13, 2025 04:47 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pistons | 76% | 116 | 133 |
| 28 | Bucks | 24% | 106 | 140 |
Updated: Apr 13, 2025 04:47 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Raptors | 43% | 111 | 118 |
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Updated: Apr 13, 2025 07:17 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 55% | 116 | 126 |
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Updated: Apr 13, 2025 07:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mavericks | 48% | 114 | 97 |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 52% | 115 | 132 |
Updated: Apr 13, 2025 07:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 3 | Timberwolves | 87% | 124 | 116 |
Updated: Apr 13, 2025 07:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Thunder | 86% | 119 | 115 |
 | 30 | Pelicans | 14% | 104 | 100 |
Updated: Apr 13, 2025 07:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 47% | 111 | 124 |
| 2 | Warriors | 53% | 112 | 119 |
Updated: Apr 13, 2025 07:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Lakers | 52% | 102 | 81 |
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23FFFFFF;}%20.st1{fill:%23CF0A2C;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20d='M300.9,131.4c-4.4-6.5-9.4-12.6-15-18.2c-2.4-2.4-4.9-4.7-7.5-6.9L333,51.7H174l-61.4,61.4h0c0,0-0.1,0.1-0.1,0.1%20c-5.5,5.6-10.6,11.7-15,18.2c-4.4,6.6-8.2,13.6-11.3,20.8c-6.4,15.1-9.6,31.2-9.6,47.7c0,16.6,3.2,32.6,9.6,47.7%20c3.1,7.3,6.9,14.3,11.3,20.8c4.4,6.5,9.4,12.6,15,18.2c2.4,2.4,4.9,4.7,7.5,6.9l-54.6,54.6h159l61.6-61.6h0%20c5.5-5.5,10.5-11.6,14.9-18c4.4-6.6,8.2-13.6,11.3-20.8c6.4-15.1,9.6-31.2,9.6-47.7c0-16.6-3.2-32.6-9.6-47.7%20C309.1,145,305.3,137.9,300.9,131.4'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M278.8,120.3c-2.4-2.4-4.9-4.7-7.4-6.8l-66.7,66.7c3.3,0.9,6.4,2.7,9,5.3l0,0c8.1,8.1,8.1,21.1,0,29.2%20L89.9,338.3h14.5l116.4-116.4c12-12,12.1-31.5,0.1-43.6l7.2-7.2c16,16.1,15.9,42-0.1,58L118.9,338.3h14.5l101.9-101.9%20c20-20,20.1-52.5,0.1-72.5l7.2-7.2c24,24.1,23.9,63-0.1,87l-94.7,94.7h14.5l87.4-87.4c28-28,28.1-73.4,0.1-101.5l7.2-7.2%20c31.9,32.1,31.9,84-0.1,116l-80.2,80.2h14.5l72.9-72.9c36-36,36.1-94.4,0.1-130.5l7.3-7.3c40,40.1,39.9,105-0.1,145l-65.6,65.6%20h14.5l58.4-58.4l0,0C322.8,235.8,322.8,164.4,278.8,120.3'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M119.7,279.7c2.4,2.4,4.9,4.7,7.4,6.8l66.7-66.7c-3.3-0.9-6.4-2.7-9-5.3l0,0c-8.1-8.1-8.1-21.1,0-29.2%20L308.7,61.6h-14.5L177.7,178.1c-12,12-12.1,31.5-0.1,43.6l-7.2,7.2c-15.9-16.1-15.9-42,0.1-58L279.8,61.6h-14.5L163.2,163.6%20c-20,20-20.1,52.5-0.1,72.5l-7.2,7.2c-24-24.1-23.9-63,0.1-87l94.8-94.8h-14.5l-87.6,87.6c-28,28-28.1,73.4-0.1,101.5l-7.2,7.2%20c-31.9-32.1-31.9-84,0.1-116l80.3-80.3h-14.5l-73.1,73.1c-36,36-36.1,94.4-0.1,130.5l-7.3,7.3c-40-40.1-39.9-105,0.1-145l65.8-65.8%20h-14.5l-58.6,58.6l0,0C75.7,164.2,75.7,235.7,119.7,279.7'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 22 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 101 | 109 |
Updated: Apr 13, 2025 07:12 PM
game detailFriday, April 11, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 64% | 119 | 124 |
| 26 | 76ers | 36% | 114 | 110 |
Updated: Apr 11, 2025 10:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 48% | 107 | 129 |
| 20 | Pacers | 52% | 108 | 115 |
Updated: Apr 11, 2025 10:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 38% | 111 | 125 |
| 10 | Pistons | 62% | 116 | 119 |
Updated: Apr 11, 2025 10:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 46% | 111 | 108 |
| 9 | Knicks | 54% | 113 | 102 |
Updated: Apr 11, 2025 11:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hornets | 6% | 97 | 94 |
| 1 | Celtics | 94% | 119 | 130 |
Updated: Apr 11, 2025 11:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 81% | 113 | 153 |
| 29 | Pelicans | 19% | 100 | 104 |
Updated: Apr 11, 2025 11:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 28% | 113 | 89 |
| 18 | Bulls | 72% | 121 | 119 |
Updated: Apr 11, 2025 11:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 31% | 106 | 102 |
| 16 | Mavericks | 69% | 114 | 124 |
Updated: Apr 12, 2025 12:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 9% | 97 | 91 |
| 3 | Timberwolves | 91% | 116 | 117 |
Updated: Apr 12, 2025 12:57 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 39% | 119 | 109 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 61% | 123 | 117 |
Updated: Apr 12, 2025 12:57 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 76% | 121 | 145 |
| 25 | Jazz | 24% | 111 | 111 |
Updated: Apr 12, 2025 12:55 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 63% | 116 | 101 |
| 13 | Kings | 37% | 111 | 100 |
Updated: Apr 12, 2025 12:55 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 75% | 112 | 103 |
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 25% | 102 | 86 |
Updated: Apr 12, 2025 12:55 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Rockets | 24% | 106 | 109 |
| 5 | Lakers | 76% | 116 | 140 |
Updated: Apr 12, 2025 12:55 AM
game detailThursday, April 10, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 47% | 114 | 106 |
| 10 | Pistons | 53% | 115 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cavaliers | 43% | 115 | 112 |
| 8 | Pacers | 57% | 118 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 71% | 117 | 133 |
| 28 | Nets | 29% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pelicans | 16% | 103 | 111 |
| 15 | Bucks | 84% | 118 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Timberwolves | 49% | 115 | 141 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 51% | 116 | 125 |
Wednesday, April 9, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Celtics | 49% | 105 | 76 |
| 13 | Magic | 51% | 106 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 58% | 113 | 122 |
| 27 | Wizards | 42% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hornets | 19% | 101 | 96 |
| 22 | Raptors | 81% | 114 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lakers | 53% | 113 | 112 |
| 18 | Mavericks | 47% | 112 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 58% | 114 | 111 |
| 21 | Bulls | 42% | 111 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 115 | 126 |
| 25 | Jazz | 45% | 113 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Spurs | 20% | 109 | 114 |
| 3 | Warriors | 80% | 121 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 72% | 117 | 125 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 51% | 118 | 124 |
| 15 | Kings | 49% | 117 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Rockets | 28% | 103 | 117 |
| 2 | Clippers | 72% | 112 | 134 |
Tuesday, April 8, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 42% | 110 | 112 |
| 13 | Magic | 58% | 113 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 17% | 109 | 98 |
| 10 | Pacers | 83% | 123 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 16% | 107 | 113 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 84% | 122 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 79% | 120 | 124 |
| 27 | Hornets | 21% | 108 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 54% | 113 | 119 |
| 7 | Knicks | 46% | 112 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pelicans | 41% | 103 | 114 |
| 29 | Nets | 59% | 107 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 27% | 108 | 120 |
| 1 | Thunder | 73% | 116 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Timberwolves | 59% | 113 | 103 |
| 16 | Bucks | 41% | 110 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 66% | 117 | 133 |
| 20 | Suns | 34% | 111 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Spurs | 25% | 107 | 117 |
| 9 | Clippers | 75% | 117 | 122 |
Monday, April 7, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 36% | 112 | 127 |
| 12 | Pistons | 64% | 118 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 25% | 102 | 105 |
| 18 | Heat | 75% | 112 | 117 |