Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, February 19, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pacers | 59% | 113 | 105 | |
| 30 | Wizards | 41% | 110 | 112 | |
Updated: Feb 20, 2026 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 59% | 112 | 105 | |
| 16 | Hornets | 41% | 109 | 101 | |
Updated: Feb 20, 2026 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 13% | 107 | 84 | |
| 1 | Cavaliers | 87% | 122 | 112 | |
Updated: Feb 20, 2026 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 55% | 116 | 117 | |
| 20 | 76ers | 45% | 114 | 107 | |
Updated: Feb 20, 2026 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistons | 48% | 109 | 126 | |
| 8 | Knicks | 52% | 110 | 111 | |
Updated: Feb 20, 2026 12:32 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 66% | 118 | 110 | |
| 24 | Bulls | 34% | 112 | 101 | |
Updated: Feb 20, 2026 01:03 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 57% | 110 | 121 | |
| 11 | Warriors | 43% | 108 | 110 | |
Updated: Feb 20, 2026 03:02 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 57% | 114 | 114 | |
| 18 | Clippers | 43% | 112 | 115 | |
Updated: Feb 20, 2026 03:32 AM
game detailThursday, February 12, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 16% | 101 | 110 | |
| 6 | Thunder | 84% | 114 | 93 | |
Updated: Feb 13, 2026 12:06 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Blazers | 64% | 118 | 135 | |
| 29 | Jazz | 36% | 114 | 119 | |
Updated: Feb 13, 2026 01:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 43% | 112 | 104 | |
| 18 | Lakers | 57% | 114 | 124 | |
Updated: Feb 13, 2026 03:01 AM
game detailWednesday, February 11, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 7% | 106 | 113 | |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 93% | 125 | 138 | |
Updated: Feb 12, 2026 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 45% | 116 | 107 | |
| 13 | Hornets | 55% | 118 | 110 | |
Updated: Feb 12, 2026 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Knicks | 57% | 112 | 138 | |
| 21 | 76ers | 43% | 110 | 89 | |
Updated: Feb 12, 2026 12:32 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 57% | 111 | 113 | |
| 12 | Raptors | 43% | 108 | 95 | |
Updated: Feb 12, 2026 12:32 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pacers | 41% | 105 | 115 | |
| 26 | Nets | 59% | 108 | 110 | |
Updated: Feb 12, 2026 12:32 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 9% | 107 | 105 | |
| 2 | Celtics | 91% | 124 | 124 | |
Updated: Feb 12, 2026 12:32 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 28% | 104 | 105 | |
| 5 | Rockets | 72% | 111 | 102 | |
Updated: Feb 12, 2026 12:43 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Blazers | 31% | 114 | 109 | |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 69% | 120 | 133 | |
Updated: Feb 12, 2026 12:43 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 55% | 117 | 123 | |
| 20 | Pelicans | 45% | 115 | 111 | |
Updated: Feb 12, 2026 12:43 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 74% | 109 | 136 | |
| 16 | Suns | 26% | 101 | 109 | |
Updated: Feb 12, 2026 01:55 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 24% | 113 | 116 | |
| 8 | Nuggets | 76% | 122 | 122 | |
Updated: Feb 12, 2026 01:55 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | 44% | 109 | 126 | |
| 10 | Warriors | 56% | 111 | 113 | |
Updated: Feb 12, 2026 03:01 AM
game detailTuesday, February 10, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 32% | 109 | 137 | |
| 13 | Knicks | 68% | 115 | 134 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 29% | 103 | 95 | |
| 7 | Rockets | 71% | 110 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 29% | 108 | 111 | |
| 11 | Suns | 71% | 115 | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 85% | 118 | 136 | |
| 26 | Lakers | 15% | 104 | 108 | |
Monday, February 9, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistons | 54% | 113 | 110 | |
| 10 | Hornets | 46% | 112 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Jazz | 30% | 114 | 115 | |
| 15 | Heat | 70% | 120 | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 52% | 112 | 115 | |
| 28 | Nets | 48% | 111 | 123 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 26% | 108 | 99 | |
| 9 | Magic | 74% | 117 | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hawks | 29% | 115 | 116 | |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 71% | 122 | 138 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 31% | 112 | 94 | |
| 18 | Pelicans | 69% | 118 | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 49% | 121 | 119 | |
| 8 | Nuggets | 51% | 122 | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 30% | 106 | 113 | |
| 12 | Warriors | 70% | 113 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 74% | 113 | 119 | |
| 19 | Lakers | 26% | 105 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 41% | 112 | 118 | |
| 16 | Blazers | 59% | 115 | 135 | |
Sunday, February 8, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Knicks | 31% | 109 | 111 | |
| 2 | Celtics | 69% | 115 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 86% | 120 | 132 | |
| 30 | Wizards | 14% | 106 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 31% | 108 | 104 | |
| 14 | Raptors | 69% | 115 | 122 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 28% | 107 | 115 | |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 72% | 115 | 96 | |
Saturday, February 7, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 29% | 106 | 113 | |
| 25 | Nets | 71% | 113 | 127 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rockets | 29% | 102 | 112 | |
| 1 | Thunder | 71% | 109 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 25% | 109 | 125 | |
| 5 | Spurs | 75% | 118 | 138 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 24% | 112 | 117 | |
| 16 | Magic | 76% | 122 | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 49% | 118 | 126 | |
| 17 | Hawks | 51% | 119 | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 74% | 125 | 136 | |
| 26 | Bulls | 26% | 116 | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Warriors | 58% | 111 | 99 | |
| 20 | Lakers | 42% | 108 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 76ers | 45% | 111 | 109 | |
| 12 | Suns | 55% | 112 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 90% | 123 | 132 | |
| 29 | Kings | 10% | 107 | 126 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 35% | 110 | 115 | |
| 22 | Blazers | 65% | 115 | 122 | |