Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Grizzlies	24%	113	116	117.2	99	105.2
	8	Nuggets	76%	122	122	124.5	98	92.5

Prediction updated: Feb 12, 2026 01:55 AM

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+11

-6

104

DEN

+15

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.13 56.3%

DEN

1.24 62.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	28.2	21	70%	5	3	0	1	1	0	2	3	6-7	86%	3-7	43%	3-5	60%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 22	24.3	17	94%	1	0	0	1	0	4	0	1	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	2-3	67%
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SF · 6'4" 203 · 23	21.8	9	41%	3	2	2	1	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-5	20%
Ty Jerome #2 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 29	21.0	19	63%	1	7	1	1	0	2	0	1	8-9	89%	1-4	25%	3-7	43%
Kyle Anderson #5 · C · 6'8" 230 · 32	18.5	8	80%	3	1	1	0	0	6	2	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	26.2	5	31%	3	2	2	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-5	20%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	23.0	14	100%	5	0	1	0	0	4	1	4	0-0	-	4-4	100%	2-3	67%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	21.9	2	13%	2	9	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-3	0%
Taylor Hendricks #22 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	19.9	10	63%	2	1	1	0	2	5	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	17.7	8	36%	0	3	1	1	2	5	0	0	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Lawson Lovering #34 · C · 7'0" 245 · 23	17.6	3	50%	4	0	2	0	1	3	2	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Contusion
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	56%	29	28	12	5	6	32	8	21	17-21	81%	27-52	52%	15-39	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

23 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	28.2	21	70%	5	3	0	1	1	0	2	3	6-7	86%	3-7	43%	3-5	60%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 22	24.3	17	94%	1	0	0	1	0	4	0	1	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	2-3	67%
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SF · 6'4" 203 · 23	21.8	9	41%	3	2	2	1	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-5	20%
Ty Jerome #2 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 29	21.0	19	63%	1	7	1	1	0	2	0	1	8-9	89%	1-4	25%	3-7	43%
Kyle Anderson #5 · C · 6'8" 230 · 32	18.5	8	80%	3	1	1	0	0	6	2	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	26.2	5	31%	3	2	2	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-5	20%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	23.0	14	100%	5	0	1	0	0	4	1	4	0-0	-	4-4	100%	2-3	67%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	21.9	2	13%	2	9	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-3	0%
Taylor Hendricks #22 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	19.9	10	63%	2	1	1	0	2	5	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	17.7	8	36%	0	3	1	1	2	5	0	0	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Lawson Lovering #34 · C · 7'0" 245 · 23	17.6	3	50%	4	0	2	0	1	3	2	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Contusion
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	56%	29	28	12	5	6	32	8	21	17-21	81%	27-52	52%	15-39	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

8 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	39.1	14	78%	7	6	0	0	2	3	0	7	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	33.9	26	57%	15	11	0	0	9	2	5	10	10-14	71%	8-17	47%	0-0	-
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	33.1	23	52%	6	7	0	1	2	2	1	5	8-8	100%	6-13	46%	1-5	20%
Cameron Johnson #23 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 30	28.8	5	36%	4	1	1	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Julian Strawther #3 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 24	25.3	11	61%	1	2	1	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-4	25%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	29.1	10	83%	3	2	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	27.8	21	105%	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	3-4	75%	3-3	100%	4-5	80%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	14.2	9	64%	6	0	0	0	1	2	3	3	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	8.7	3	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive – Concussion Protocol
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	62%	46	29	2	1	14	19	9	37	26-32	81%	33-59	56%	10-22	45%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	DEN

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.13 56.3%

DEN

1.24 62.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

63%

DEN

71%

Midrange

MEM

36%

DEN

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

22.5

38%

58%

DEN

15.0

45%

68%

Free Throws

MEM

81%

DEN

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Jackson	21	70%	10.5 / 15
T. Jerome	19	63%	9.5 / 15
J. Wells	17	94%	8.5 / 9
O. Prosper	14	100%	7.0 / 7
T. Hendricks	10	63%	5.0 / 8
J. Mashack	9	41%	4.5 / 11
K. Anderson	8	80%	4.0 / 5
S. Pippen	8	36%	4.0 / 11
K. Caldwell-Pope	5	31%	2.5 / 8
L. Lovering	3	50%	1.5 / 3
C. Spencer	2	13%	1.0 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	26	57%	13.0 / 23
J. Murray	23	52%	11.5 / 22
T. Hardaway	21	105%	10.5 / 10
C. Braun	14	78%	7.0 / 9
J. Strawther	11	61%	5.5 / 9
B. Brown	10	83%	5.0 / 6
J. Valančiūnas	9	64%	4.5 / 7
C. Johnson	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. Pickett	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 112.4 1 121.3	MEM 117.2 DEN 124.5 +7.3
Pace	7 101.8 19 99.4	MEM 105.2 +12.7 DEN 92.5
Avg. Poss. Time	26 13.8 9 14.7	MEM 13.7 −1.9 DEN 15.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.3% 1 57.7%	MEM 54.4% DEN 59.3% +4.9%
TO %	22 14.3% 3 12.1%	MEM 5.6% −8.0% DEN 13.6%
ORB %	19 24.7% 24 23.6%	MEM 17.8% DEN 30.0% +12.2%
FTrt	21 25.1 4 29.4	MEM 23.1 DEN 39.5 +16.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 67.4% 9 66.5%	MEM 66.7% DEN 67.4% +0.7%
STL %	11 8.7% 30 6.8%	MEM 12.1% +10.1% DEN 2.0%
BLK %	14 9.1% 29 7.6%	MEM 8.5% +6.6% DEN 1.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.8% 1 60.1%	MEM 56.3% DEN 62.2% +5.9%
Rim FG%	26 62.8% 12 65.1%	MEM 63.3% DEN 71.0% +7.7%
Mid FG%	11 44.2% 2 47.0%	MEM 36.4% DEN 39.3% +2.9%
3P %	22 35.3% 1 39.6%	MEM 38.5% DEN 45.5% +7.0%
FT %	9 79.3% 5 80.8%	MEM 81.0% DEN 81.3% +0.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 28.6% 19 31.1%	MEM 33.0% DEN 38.3% +5.3%
Mid Att. %	19 27.8% 21 28.1%	MEM 24.2% −10.4% DEN 34.6%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 17 40.8%	MEM 42.9% +15.7% DEN 27.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	MEM	DEN
Possessions	99	98
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.4
Points	116	122
Rebounds	29	46
Assists	28	29
Steals	12	2
Blocks	5	1
Turnovers (Team)	6 (0)	14 (1)
Fouls	32	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (3)	9 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	21 (4)	37 (4)
Field Goals	42-91	43-81
At-the-Rim FG	19-30	22-31
Midrange FG	8-22	11-28
2-Point FG	27-52	33-59
3-Point FG	15-39	10-22
Free Throws	17-21	26-32
Fast Break Pts	26	10
2nd Chance Pts	5	20
Points in Paint	50	58
Pts off Turnovers	22	4
Bench Points	42	43
Biggest Lead	4	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg