Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, February 11, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 13 | Hornets | 55% | 118 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Bucks | 25% | 107 | 116 |
 | 9 | Magic | 75% | 116 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Bulls | 9% | 107 | 105 |
 | 2 | Celtics | 91% | 124 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 26 | Nets | 59% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Knicks | 57% | 112 | 138 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Pistons | 57% | 111 | 113 |
 | 12 | Raptors | 43% | 108 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Timberwolves | 69% | 120 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Heat | 55% | 117 | 123 |
 | 20 | Pelicans | 45% | 115 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Thunder | 74% | 109 | 136 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, February 10, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 32% | 109 | 137 |
| 13 | Knicks | 68% | 115 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 29% | 103 | 95 |
| 7 | Rockets | 71% | 110 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Mavericks | 29% | 108 | 111 |
| 11 | Suns | 71% | 115 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 85% | 118 | 136 |
 | 26 | Lakers | 15% | 104 | 108 |
Monday, February 9, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistons | 54% | 113 | 110 |
| 10 | Hornets | 46% | 112 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 52% | 112 | 115 |
| 29 | Nets | 48% | 111 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Jazz | 30% | 114 | 115 |
| 15 | Heat | 70% | 120 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 26% | 108 | 99 |
| 9 | Magic | 74% | 117 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hawks | 29% | 115 | 116 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 71% | 122 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 31% | 112 | 94 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 69% | 118 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 49% | 121 | 119 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 51% | 122 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 30% | 106 | 113 |
| 12 | Warriors | 70% | 113 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 74% | 113 | 119 |
| 19 | Lakers | 26% | 105 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 41% | 112 | 118 |
| 16 | Blazers | 59% | 115 | 135 |
Sunday, February 8, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Knicks | 31% | 109 | 111 |
| 2 | Celtics | 69% | 115 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 86% | 120 | 132 |
| 30 | Wizards | 14% | 106 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 31% | 108 | 104 |
| 13 | Raptors | 69% | 115 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 28% | 107 | 115 |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 72% | 115 | 96 |
Saturday, February 7, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 29% | 106 | 113 |
| 25 | Nets | 71% | 113 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rockets | 29% | 102 | 112 |
| 1 | Thunder | 71% | 109 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 25% | 109 | 125 |
| 5 | Spurs | 75% | 118 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 24% | 112 | 117 |
| 16 | Magic | 76% | 122 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 49% | 118 | 126 |
| 17 | Hawks | 51% | 119 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 74% | 125 | 136 |
| 26 | Bulls | 26% | 116 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Warriors | 58% | 111 | 99 |
| 20 | Lakers | 42% | 108 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 76ers | 45% | 111 | 109 |
| 12 | Suns | 55% | 112 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 35% | 110 | 115 |
| 22 | Blazers | 65% | 115 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 90% | 123 | 132 |
| 29 | Kings | 10% | 107 | 126 |
Friday, February 6, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 29% | 111 | 96 |
| 1 | Celtics | 71% | 118 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Knicks | 36% | 107 | 80 |
| 6 | Pistons | 64% | 111 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 51% | 113 | 99 |
| 24 | Bucks | 49% | 112 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | 22% | 112 | 119 |
| 3 | Timberwolves | 78% | 122 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 41% | 111 | 115 |
| 20 | Blazers | 59% | 114 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 68% | 114 | 114 |
| 29 | Kings | 32% | 107 | 111 |
Thursday, February 5, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 7% | 100 | 126 |
| 5 | Pistons | 93% | 119 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 29% | 106 | 98 |
| 16 | Magic | 71% | 113 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 25% | 116 | 119 |
| 17 | Hawks | 75% | 125 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 28% | 110 | 107 |
| 12 | Raptors | 72% | 118 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hornets | 41% | 110 | 109 |
| 6 | Rockets | 59% | 113 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | 64% | 115 | 135 |
| 23 | Mavericks | 36% | 110 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Warriors | 44% | 107 | 101 |
| 13 | Suns | 56% | 109 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | 44% | 114 | 115 |
| 10 | Lakers | 56% | 116 | 119 |
Wednesday, February 4, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 39% | 114 | 127 |
| 6 | Knicks | 61% | 118 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Timberwolves | 56% | 114 | 128 |
| 12 | Raptors | 44% | 112 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 34% | 106 | 114 |
| 1 | Rockets | 66% | 111 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 62% | 115 | 137 |
| 26 | Bucks | 38% | 111 | 141 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Thunder | 29% | 108 | 106 |
| 3 | Spurs | 71% | 115 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 67% | 119 | 129 |
| 27 | Kings | 33% | 113 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 56% | 111 | 124 |
| 17 | Clippers | 44% | 110 | 91 |
Tuesday, February 3, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 34% | 111 | 121 |
| 3 | Pistons | 66% | 117 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 52% | 115 | 131 |
| 28 | Pacers | 48% | 114 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | 85% | 121 | 132 |
| 30 | Wizards | 15% | 108 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 66% | 117 | 125 |
| 25 | Nets | 34% | 111 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 44% | 115 | 127 |
| 16 | Heat | 56% | 117 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 75% | 116 | 110 |
| 24 | Mavericks | 25% | 107 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 57% | 115 | 115 |
| 27 | Bucks | 43% | 113 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 19% | 104 | 92 |
| 1 | Thunder | 81% | 115 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 31% | 106 | 113 |
| 12 | Warriors | 69% | 112 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 60% | 112 | 130 |
| 22 | Blazers | 40% | 109 | 125 |
Monday, February 2, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 31% | 115 | 95 |
| 9 | Hornets | 69% | 121 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 67% | 112 | 118 |
| 22 | Pacers | 33% | 106 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | 59% | 116 | 128 |
| 18 | Grizzlies | 41% | 113 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 53% | 109 | 128 |
| 17 | Clippers | 47% | 108 | 113 |
Sunday, February 1, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 18% | 107 | 79 |
| 3 | Celtics | 82% | 118 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 13% | 101 | 77 |
| 4 | Pistons | 87% | 116 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 31% | 113 | 91 |
| 18 | Heat | 69% | 119 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 21% | 111 | 100 |
| 10 | Raptors | 79% | 121 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 53% | 113 | 112 |
| 30 | Wizards | 47% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Lakers | 35% | 113 | 100 |
| 6 | Knicks | 65% | 118 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Clippers | 40% | 105 | 117 |
| 15 | Suns | 60% | 108 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | 39% | 112 | 103 |
| 2 | Spurs | 61% | 115 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 70% | 116 | 130 |
| 25 | Blazers | 30% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 69% | 118 | 121 |
| 16 | Nuggets | 31% | 111 | 111 |
Saturday, January 31, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 55% | 117 | 106 |
| 13 | Hornets | 45% | 115 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 53% | 115 | 124 |
| 22 | Pacers | 47% | 114 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 29% | 112 | 114 |
| 14 | 76ers | 71% | 119 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 33% | 113 | 125 |
| 17 | Heat | 67% | 118 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 66% | 118 | 131 |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 34% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 22% | 104 | 107 |
| 2 | Rockets | 78% | 115 | 111 |
Friday, January 30, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | 77% | 118 | 142 |
| 29 | Wizards | 23% | 108 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 48% | 110 | 120 |
| 16 | Magic | 52% | 111 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 12% | 105 | 93 |
| 5 | Celtics | 88% | 120 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Blazers | 31% | 112 | 97 |
| 8 | Knicks | 69% | 118 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Grizzlies | 52% | 116 | 106 |
| 22 | Pelicans | 48% | 115 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 58% | 114 | 113 |
| 13 | Suns | 42% | 111 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 51% | 115 | 109 |
| 15 | Nuggets | 49% | 114 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 56% | 118 | 109 |
| 30 | Jazz | 44% | 116 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pistons | 40% | 109 | 131 |
| 7 | Warriors | 60% | 112 | 124 |
Thursday, January 29, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 21% | 108 | 111 |
| 10 | 76ers | 79% | 119 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 52% | 114 | 99 |
| 28 | Wizards | 48% | 113 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 51% | 120 | 116 |
| 20 | Bulls | 49% | 119 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 67% | 116 | 104 |
| 23 | Hawks | 33% | 110 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 62% | 115 | 123 |
| 25 | Mavericks | 38% | 111 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 33% | 110 | 103 |
| 24 | Nuggets | 67% | 115 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 59% | 110 | 96 |
| 16 | Suns | 41% | 107 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 65% | 114 | 111 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 35% | 109 | 123 |