Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, January 31, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Mavericks	22%	104	107	108.1	99	108.7
	2	Rockets	78%	115	111	112.1	99	90.9

Prediction updated: Feb 1, 2026 01:27 AM

Scoring Opportunities

DAL

+17

-11

105

HOU

+24

-5

118

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.02 51.0%

HOU

0.95 47.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	38.9	34	59%	12	5	0	1	2	1	1	11	7-10	70%	12-21	57%	1-4	25%
Max Christie #00 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 23	32.0	11	50%	2	1	0	1	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-7	14%	3-4	75%
Naji Marshall #13 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 28	31.6	8	29%	8	2	0	0	0	1	1	7	2-6	33%	3-10	30%	0-1	0%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	28.3	16	73%	11	1	0	0	0	1	5	6	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	25.1	9	45%	4	1	1	0	3	2	2	2	1-3	33%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%

Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	27.6	9	50%	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-7	43%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	16.7	4	40%	4	5	2	0	0	0	1	3	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	1-1	100%
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 23	13.3	3	75%	1	1	0	1	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	11.1	0	0%	1	3	0	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	9.0	13	93%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	2-3	67%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 35	6.4	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
D'Angelo Russell #5 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Miles Kelly #14 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	51%	48	19	3	4	11	12	11	37	15-26	58%	31-69	45%	10-23	43%

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23 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	38.9	34	59%	12	5	0	1	2	1	1	11	7-10	70%	12-21	57%	1-4	25%
Max Christie #00 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 23	32.0	11	50%	2	1	0	1	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-7	14%	3-4	75%
Naji Marshall #13 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 28	31.6	8	29%	8	2	0	0	0	1	1	7	2-6	33%	3-10	30%	0-1	0%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	28.3	16	73%	11	1	0	0	0	1	5	6	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	25.1	9	45%	4	1	1	0	3	2	2	2	1-3	33%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%

Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	27.6	9	50%	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-7	43%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	16.7	4	40%	4	5	2	0	0	0	1	3	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	1-1	100%
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 23	13.3	3	75%	1	1	0	1	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	11.1	0	0%	1	3	0	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	9.0	13	93%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	2-3	67%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 35	6.4	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
D'Angelo Russell #5 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Miles Kelly #14 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	51%	48	19	3	4	11	12	11	37	15-26	58%	31-69	45%	10-23	43%

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2 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 23	40.6	21	58%	8	9	2	0	0	0	5	3	7-9	78%	7-15	47%	0-0	-
Kevin Durant #7 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 37	38.3	13	38%	5	8	2	0	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	5-13	38%	1-4	25%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 24	34.8	14	32%	14	7	0	0	2	4	6	8	2-4	50%	6-20	30%	0-0	-
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23	33.3	19	68%	8	2	0	3	0	2	2	6	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	3-5	60%
Tari Eason #17 · SG · 6'8" 215 · 25	31.4	17	57%	7	3	2	0	1	4	3	4	0-0	-	4-10	40%	3-5	60%

Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	21.4	13	59%	5	1	1	1	0	4	1	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-6	50%
Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 22	17.3	6	38%	1	1	2	1	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-4	0%
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	12.7	6	50%	4	1	1	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	10.3	2	33%	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	INACTIVE
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	47%	53	33	10	6	5	20	18	35	11-15	73%	35-82	43%	10-26	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	HOU
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	HOU

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.02 51.0%

HOU

0.95 47.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

52%

HOU

61%

Midrange

DAL

39%

HOU

31%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

15.0

43%

65%

HOU

15.0

38%

58%

Free Throws

DAL

58%

HOU

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Flagg	34	59%	17.0 / 29
D. Gafford	16	73%	8.0 / 11
B. Williams	13	93%	6.5 / 7
M. Christie	11	50%	5.5 / 11
P. Washington	9	45%	4.5 / 10
K. Thompson	9	50%	4.5 / 9
N. Marshall	8	29%	4.0 / 14
C. Martin	4	40%	2.0 / 5
M. Cisse	3	75%	1.5 / 2
R. Nembhard	0	-	0.0 / 4
D. Powell	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Thompson	21	58%	10.5 / 18
J. Smith	19	68%	9.5 / 14
T. Eason	17	57%	8.5 / 15
A. Sengun	14	32%	7.0 / 22
K. Durant	13	38%	6.5 / 17
J. Okogie	13	59%	6.5 / 11
R. Sheppard	6	38%	3.0 / 8
C. Capela	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. Finney-Smith	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 110.4 8 117.5	DAL 108.1 HOU 112.1 +4.0
Pace	6 102.5 29 96.9	DAL 108.7 +17.8 HOU 90.9
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.0 1 15.8	DAL 13.3 −2.6 HOU 15.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 52.7% 17 54.2%	DAL 50.0% +3.7% HOU 46.3%
TO %	13 13.5% 25 14.7%	DAL 9.6% HOU 5.0% −4.6%
ORB %	26 23.2% 1 34.8%	DAL 23.9% HOU 32.7% +8.8%
FTrt	6 28.7 18 26.0	DAL 28.3 +14.4 HOU 13.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 60.4% 27 59.1%	DAL 46.3% HOU 73.3% +27.0%
STL %	27 7.3% 9 8.7%	DAL 3.0% HOU 10.1% +7.1%
BLK %	16 9.0% 4 10.9%	DAL 4.9% HOU 8.7% +3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.81 and 2.81.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 55.2% 20 56.1%	DAL 51.0% +3.6% HOU 47.4%
Rim FG%	22 63.2% 13 64.8%	DAL 51.5% HOU 60.6% +9.1%
Mid FG%	18 43.1% 9 44.3%	DAL 38.9% +8.3% HOU 30.6%
3P %	26 34.4% 10 36.4%	DAL 43.5% +5.0% HOU 38.5%
FT %	28 75.5% 25 76.3%	DAL 57.7% HOU 73.3% +15.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 32.8% 20 30.7%	DAL 35.9% +5.3% HOU 30.6%
Mid Att. %	28 31.7% 29 34.2%	DAL 39.1% −6.2% HOU 45.4%
3P Att. %	26 35.5% 28 35.0%	DAL 25.0% +0.9% HOU 24.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DAL	HOU
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	21.9	26.1
Points	107	111
Rebounds	48	53
Assists	19	33
Steals	3	10
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	5 (1)
Fouls	12	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (6)	18 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (4)	35 (2)
Field Goals	41-92	45-108
At-the-Rim FG	17-33	20-33
Midrange FG	14-36	15-49
2-Point FG	31-69	35-82
3-Point FG	10-23	10-26
Free Throws	15-26	11-15
Fast Break Pts	9	17
2nd Chance Pts	25	17
Points in Paint	58	62
Pts off Turnovers	6	11
Bench Points	29	27
Biggest Lead	2	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg