Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, January 31, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | ||||
| 23 | Hornets | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | ||||
| 24 | Pacers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pelicans | ||||
| 12 | 76ers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | ||||
| 14 | Heat | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | ||||
| 18 | Grizzlies | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Mavericks | ||||
| 3 | Rockets | ||||
Friday, January 30, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | ||||
| 12 | Magic | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | ||||
| 30 | Wizards | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | ||||
| 2 | Celtics | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Blazers | ||||
| 7 | Knicks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | ||||
| 26 | Pelicans | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | ||||
| 9 | Suns | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | ||||
| 19 | Nuggets | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | ||||
| 28 | Jazz | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | ||||
| 10 | Warriors | ||||
Thursday, January 29, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | ||||
| 11 | 76ers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | ||||
| 30 | Wizards | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | ||||
| 25 | Bulls | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | ||||
| 18 | Hawks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | ||||
| 27 | Mavericks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | ||||
| 19 | Nuggets | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | ||||
| 9 | Suns | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | ||||
| 6 | Timberwolves | ||||
Wednesday, January 28, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | ||||
| 4 | Cavaliers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | ||||
| 25 | Pacers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | ||||
| 2 | Celtics | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Magic | ||||
| 14 | Heat | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | ||||
| 15 | Raptors | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | ||||
| 17 | Grizzlies | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | ||||
| 27 | Mavericks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warriors | ||||
| 28 | Jazz | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | ||||
| 3 | Rockets | ||||
Tuesday, January 27, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Blazers | ||||
| 30 | Wizards | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | ||||
| 7 | Knicks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | ||||
| 11 | 76ers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pelicans | ||||
| 1 | Thunder | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | ||||
| 20 | Nuggets | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | ||||
| 9 | Suns | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | ||||
| 28 | Jazz | ||||
Monday, January 26, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | ||||
| 22 | Hornets | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Magic | ||||
| 7 | Cavaliers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | ||||
| 18 | Hawks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Blazers | ||||
| 3 | Celtics | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | ||||
| 19 | Bulls | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | ||||
| 2 | Rockets | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | ||||
| 4 | Timberwolves | ||||
Sunday, January 25, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | ||||
| 8 | Pistons | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nuggets | ||||
| 16 | Grizzlies | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Mavericks | ||||
| 19 | Bucks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | ||||
| 1 | Thunder | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pelicans | ||||
| 4 | Spurs | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | ||||
| 9 | Suns | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | ||||
| 14 | Clippers | ||||
Saturday, January 24, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | ||||
| 10 | 76ers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | ||||
| 4 | Timberwolves | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | ||||
| 21 | Hornets | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | ||||
| 12 | Magic | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | ||||
| 19 | Bulls | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | ||||
| 27 | Mavericks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | ||||
| 28 | Jazz | ||||
Friday, January 23, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | ||||
| 8 | Pistons | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | ||||
| 24 | Nets | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | ||||
| 7 | Cavaliers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | ||||
| 17 | Grizzlies | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pacers | ||||
| 1 | Thunder | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nuggets | ||||
| 18 | Bucks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | ||||
| 22 | Blazers | ||||
Thursday, January 22, 2026
Tuesday, January 20, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Clippers | 38% | 112 | 110 | |
| 16 | Bulls | 62% | 116 | 138 | |
Updated: Jan 21, 2026 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 31% | 109 | 106 | |
| 2 | Rockets | 69% | 115 | 111 | |
Updated: Jan 21, 2026 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Timberwolves | 89% | 127 | 122 | |
| 30 | Jazz | 11% | 111 | 127 | |
Updated: Jan 21, 2026 01:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Lakers | 48% | 115 | 115 | |
| 23 | Nuggets | 52% | 116 | 107 | |
Updated: Jan 21, 2026 03:02 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 36% | 108 | 145 | |
| 7 | Warriors | 64% | 113 | 127 | |
Updated: Jan 21, 2026 03:02 AM
game detailMonday, January 19, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 46% | 115 | 112 | |
| 21 | Hawks | 54% | 116 | 110 | |
Updated: Jan 19, 2026 05:31 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 66% | 115 | 136 | |
| 8 | Cavaliers | 34% | 110 | 104 | |
Updated: Jan 19, 2026 07:31 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Clippers | 69% | 114 | 110 | |
| 29 | Wizards | 31% | 108 | 106 | |
Updated: Jan 19, 2026 07:31 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Mavericks | 17% | 109 | 114 | |
| 6 | Knicks | 83% | 121 | 97 | |
Updated: Jan 19, 2026 09:31 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 30% | 109 | 104 | |
| 13 | 76ers | 70% | 116 | 113 | |
Updated: Jan 20, 2026 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 51% | 112 | 103 | |
| 9 | Pistons | 49% | 111 | 104 | |
Updated: Jan 20, 2026 01:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 34% | 113 | 112 | |
| 5 | Warriors | 66% | 118 | 135 | |
Updated: Jan 20, 2026 03:01 AM
game detailSunday, January 18, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Magic | 45% | 113 | 109 | |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 55% | 115 | 126 | |
Updated: Jan 18, 2026 04:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pelicans | 16% | 109 | 110 | |
| 2 | Rockets | 84% | 122 | 119 | |
Updated: Jan 18, 2026 11:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 49% | 117 | 110 | |
| 23 | Nuggets | 51% | 118 | 87 | |
Updated: Jan 19, 2026 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Blazers | 52% | 116 | 117 | |
| 26 | Kings | 48% | 115 | 110 | |
Updated: Jan 19, 2026 02:02 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 52% | 113 | 93 | |
| 17 | Lakers | 48% | 112 | 110 | |
Updated: Jan 19, 2026 02:31 AM
game detail