Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, January 24, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Wizards	18%	110	115	115.0	100	107.2
	14	Hornets	82%	122	119	120.2	99	92.8

Prediction updated: Jan 24, 2026 04:31 PM

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+16

-13

103

CHA

+14

-21

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.12 55.8%

CHA

1.29 64.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	37.3	24	63%	4	1	1	1	2	3	3	1	1-1	100%	10-16	63%	1-3	33%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	36.5	26	54%	0	6	0	0	2	2	0	0	4-5	80%	2-7	29%	6-15	40%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	32.3	15	68%	3	8	1	0	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	5-11	45%
Kyshawn George #18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 22	25.2	11	37%	8	7	2	1	2	4	1	7	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	2-10	20%
Will Riley #27 · PF · 6'9" 180 · 20	23.5	7	58%	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%

Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	32.1	15	83%	11	3	3	2	2	1	3	8	0-0	-	6-6	100%	1-3	33%
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	28.8	11	55%	6	3	5	2	0	5	2	4	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-5	20%
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	9.5	3	150%	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Malaki Branham #8 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 23	7.5	3	50%	2	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	7.3	0	0%	0	2	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Soreness
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	NWT - Not With Team \| Thoracic; Strain
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; MCL Sprain; Quad Contusion
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
AJ Johnson #4 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	56%	34	35	14	6	13	22	10	24	8-9	89%	25-43	58%	19-53	36%

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30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	37.3	24	63%	4	1	1	1	2	3	3	1	1-1	100%	10-16	63%	1-3	33%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	36.5	26	54%	0	6	0	0	2	2	0	0	4-5	80%	2-7	29%	6-15	40%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	32.3	15	68%	3	8	1	0	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	5-11	45%
Kyshawn George #18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 22	25.2	11	37%	8	7	2	1	2	4	1	7	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	2-10	20%
Will Riley #27 · PF · 6'9" 180 · 20	23.5	7	58%	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%

Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	32.1	15	83%	11	3	3	2	2	1	3	8	0-0	-	6-6	100%	1-3	33%
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	28.8	11	55%	6	3	5	2	0	5	2	4	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-5	20%
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	9.5	3	150%	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Malaki Branham #8 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 23	7.5	3	50%	2	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	7.3	0	0%	0	2	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Soreness
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	NWT - Not With Team \| Thoracic; Strain
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; MCL Sprain; Quad Contusion
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
AJ Johnson #4 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	56%	34	35	14	6	13	22	10	24	8-9	89%	25-43	58%	19-53	36%

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14 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	33.3	21	75%	11	7	1	0	5	0	3	8	5-5	100%	5-8	63%	2-4	50%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 24	32.1	11	79%	14	0	1	0	2	0	5	9	7-8	88%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Kon Knueppel #7 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	31.9	16	62%	4	3	1	0	1	1	1	3	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	3-8	38%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	31.6	20	53%	2	11	1	0	3	2	0	2	1-1	100%	5-10	50%	3-9	33%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 28	28.9	20	67%	3	4	0	2	2	2	1	2	3-5	60%	4-6	67%	3-7	43%

Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 27	19.1	2	25%	1	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Sion James #4 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 23	16.4	6	50%	5	2	0	0	4	1	0	5	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 24	15.9	8	80%	3	0	0	1	0	1	1	2	0-2	0%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Collin Sexton #8 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	15.7	9	64%	1	2	3	0	2	0	0	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Josh Green #10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	15.1	6	150%	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Connaughton #21 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Liam McNeeley #33 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PJ Hall #16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Sprain
Mason Plumlee #22 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	65%	46	30	8	3	21	10	12	34	23-30	77%	27-43	63%	14-36	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	CHA
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	CHA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.12 55.8%

CHA

1.29 64.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

68%

CHA

68%

Midrange

WAS

40%

CHA

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

28.5

36%

54%

CHA

21.0

39%

58%

Free Throws

WAS

89%

CHA

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Johnson	26	54%	13.0 / 24
A. Sarr	24	63%	12.0 / 19
B. Carrington	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Champagnie	15	83%	7.5 / 9
K. George	11	37%	5.5 / 15
J. Watkins	11	55%	5.5 / 10
W. Riley	7	58%	3.5 / 6
S. Cooper	3	150%	1.5 / 1
M. Branham	3	50%	1.5 / 3
A. Gill	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Miller	21	75%	10.5 / 14
L. Ball	20	53%	10.0 / 19
M. Bridges	20	67%	10.0 / 15
K. Knueppel	16	62%	8.0 / 13
M. Diabaté	11	79%	5.5 / 7
C. Sexton	9	64%	4.5 / 7
R. Kalkbrenner	8	80%	4.0 / 5
S. James	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Green	6	150%	3.0 / 2
G. Williams	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 109.7 5 118.6	WAS 115.0 CHA 120.2 +5.2
Pace	5 102.5 27 97.5	WAS 107.2 +14.4 CHA 92.8
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 3 15.2	WAS 13.4 −2.1 CHA 15.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.5% 12 55.2%	WAS 55.7% CHA 60.8% +5.1%
TO %	26 14.7% 27 14.8%	WAS 11.5% −7.1% CHA 18.6%
ORB %	21 24.0% 4 30.5%	WAS 22.7% CHA 33.3% +10.6%
FTrt	26 23.5 23 24.4	WAS 9.4 CHA 38.0 +28.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 59.9% 14 64.3%	WAS 79.5% +6.3% CHA 73.2%
STL %	22 7.8% 29 7.2%	WAS 14.0% +5.9% CHA 8.1%
BLK %	9 10.0% 20 8.6%	WAS 14.0% +7.0% CHA 7.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 55.4% 10 57.3%	WAS 55.8% CHA 64.7% +8.9%
Rim FG%	15 64.7% 23 63.1%	WAS 67.9% CHA 67.9%
Mid FG%	26 41.3% 25 41.4%	WAS 40.0% CHA 53.3% +13.3%
3P %	16 35.9% 3 37.8%	WAS 35.8% CHA 38.9% +3.1%
FT %	23 76.6% 2 81.8%	WAS 88.9% +12.2% CHA 76.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.6% 25 29.3%	WAS 29.2% CHA 35.4% +6.3%
Mid Att. %	25 29.1% 6 22.0%	WAS 15.6% −3.4% CHA 19.0%
3P Att. %	20 40.3% 2 48.7%	WAS 55.2% +9.6% CHA 45.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	CHA
Possessions	100	99
Possession Minutes	22.4	25.6
Points	115	119
Rebounds	34	46
Assists	35	30
Steals	14	8
Blocks	6	3
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	21 (0)
Fouls	22	10
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (6)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (2)	34 (2)
Field Goals	44-96	41-79
At-the-Rim FG	19-28	19-28
Midrange FG	6-15	8-15
2-Point FG	25-43	27-43
3-Point FG	19-53	14-36
Free Throws	8-9	23-30
Fast Break Pts	9	17
2nd Chance Pts	22	14
Points in Paint	46	50
Pts off Turnovers	21	17
Bench Points	32	31
Biggest Lead	5	18

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg