Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, January 18, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Magic	45%	113	109	109.0	100	98.8
	14	Grizzlies	55%	115	126	123.5	102	103.3

Prediction updated: Jan 18, 2026 04:56 PM

Scoring Opportunities

ORL

+19

-17

102

MEM

+15

-12

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.07 53.4%

MEM

1.20 60.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

12 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 22	37.1	19	56%	2	6	0	0	4	3	0	2	3-4	75%	5-9	56%	2-6	33%
Desmond Bane #3 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	36.5	11	42%	4	3	2	1	2	4	3	1	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	1-4	25%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 23	36.0	16	40%	8	9	0	0	4	0	2	6	1-1	100%	6-16	38%	1-4	25%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 27	33.0	18	75%	7	4	2	2	1	3	2	5	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	4-7	57%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	25.9	14	47%	4	3	0	0	0	3	1	3	4-4	100%	5-11	45%	0-2	0%

Jase Richardson #11 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 20	20.5	11	69%	4	3	0	0	1	5	1	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	18.5	4	40%	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	15.0	9	113%	6	1	0	2	2	0	2	4	1-1	100%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Noah Penda #93 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 21	7.6	5	50%	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 28	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 27	3.4	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Tyus Jones #2 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	3.1	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury management
Orlando Robinson #7 · C · 6'10" 235 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Fracture
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; MCL contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	53%	42	30	5	6	17	20	12	30	15-16	94%	32-62	52%	10-33	30%

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12 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 22	37.1	19	56%	2	6	0	0	4	3	0	2	3-4	75%	5-9	56%	2-6	33%
Desmond Bane #3 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	36.5	11	42%	4	3	2	1	2	4	3	1	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	1-4	25%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 23	36.0	16	40%	8	9	0	0	4	0	2	6	1-1	100%	6-16	38%	1-4	25%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 27	33.0	18	75%	7	4	2	2	1	3	2	5	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	4-7	57%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	25.9	14	47%	4	3	0	0	0	3	1	3	4-4	100%	5-11	45%	0-2	0%

Jase Richardson #11 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 20	20.5	11	69%	4	3	0	0	1	5	1	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	18.5	4	40%	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	15.0	9	113%	6	1	0	2	2	0	2	4	1-1	100%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Noah Penda #93 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 21	7.6	5	50%	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 28	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 27	3.4	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Tyus Jones #2 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	3.1	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury management
Orlando Robinson #7 · C · 6'10" 235 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Fracture
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; MCL contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	53%	42	30	5	6	17	20	12	30	15-16	94%	32-62	52%	10-33	30%

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14 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	30.1	17	57%	5	0	1	2	2	3	0	5	1-1	100%	5-11	45%	2-4	50%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	28.4	24	71%	5	13	1	0	2	2	0	5	7-9	78%	4-9	44%	3-4	75%
Santi Aldama #7 · C · 7'0" 215 · 25	25.2	9	64%	5	3	0	0	0	1	0	5	3-6	50%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	23.2	13	65%	4	3	0	0	1	2	1	3	1-1	100%	6-7	86%	0-3	0%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	20.7	10	83%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	3-4	75%

Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	22.6	21	88%	8	3	1	2	2	3	6	2	2-2	100%	8-9	89%	1-2	50%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	19.6	5	31%	5	2	1	0	1	1	0	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-6	17%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	18.4	10	83%	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	17.8	7	44%	4	0	0	2	2	0	1	3	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	17.2	7	44%	1	1	3	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	16.9	3	38%	3	3	5	1	0	4	0	3	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	60%	42	31	12	7	12	18	9	33	17-25	68%	35-56	63%	13-35	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	MEM

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.07 53.4%

MEM

1.20 60.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

61%

MEM

72%

Midrange

ORL

44%

MEM

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

15.0

30%

45%

MEM

19.5

37%

56%

Free Throws

ORL

94%

MEM

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Black	19	56%	9.5 / 17
W. Carter	18	75%	9.0 / 12
P. Banchero	16	40%	8.0 / 20
F. Wagner	14	47%	7.0 / 15
D. Bane	11	42%	5.5 / 13
J. Richardson	11	69%	5.5 / 8
G. Bitadze	9	113%	4.5 / 4
N. Penda	5	50%	2.5 / 5
T. da Silva	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Cain	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Isaac	0	-	0.0 / 1
T. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Morant	24	71%	12.0 / 17
J. Landale	21	88%	10.5 / 12
J. Jackson	17	57%	8.5 / 15
C. Coward	13	65%	6.5 / 10
J. Wells	10	83%	5.0 / 6
C. Spencer	10	83%	5.0 / 6
S. Aldama	9	64%	4.5 / 7
G. Jackson	7	44%	3.5 / 8
K. Caldwell-Pope	7	44%	3.5 / 8
V. Williams	5	31%	2.5 / 8
J. Konchar	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.3 23 112.4	ORL 109.0 MEM 123.5 +14.5
Pace	14 100.5 7 101.8	ORL 98.8 MEM 103.3 +4.6
Avg. Poss. Time	17 14.2 26 13.8	ORL 14.6 MEM 13.9 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 53.0% 24 53.3%	ORL 49.5% MEM 59.9% +10.4%
TO %	12 13.5% 22 14.3%	ORL 14.3% MEM 10.5% −3.8%
ORB %	18 25.0% 19 24.7%	ORL 26.7% +3.6% MEM 23.1%
FTrt	2 31.1 21 25.1	ORL 16.8 MEM 27.5 +10.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 64.7% 6 67.4%	ORL 71.4% +6.8% MEM 64.6%
STL %	16 8.4% 11 8.7%	ORL 5.0% MEM 11.8% +6.8%
BLK %	17 8.8% 14 9.1%	ORL 10.7% MEM 11.3% +0.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 56.3% 22 55.8%	ORL 53.4% MEM 60.0% +6.6%
Rim FG%	24 63.0% 26 62.8%	ORL 60.7% MEM 72.4% +11.7%
Mid FG%	24 41.5% 11 44.2%	ORL 44.1% MEM 51.9% +7.8%
3P %	27 34.3% 22 35.3%	ORL 30.3% MEM 37.1% +6.8%
FT %	8 80.1% 9 79.3%	ORL 93.8% +25.8% MEM 68.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 35.7% 26 28.6%	ORL 29.5% MEM 31.9% +2.4%
Mid Att. %	12 25.7% 19 27.8%	ORL 35.8% MEM 29.7% −6.1%
3P Att. %	24 38.6% 10 43.6%	ORL 34.7% MEM 38.5% +3.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ORL	MEM
Possessions	100	102
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.7
Points	109	126
Rebounds	42	42
Assists	30	31
Steals	5	12
Blocks	6	7
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	12 (0)
Fouls	20	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (7)	9 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (2)	33 (1)
Field Goals	42-95	48-91
At-the-Rim FG	17-28	21-29
Midrange FG	15-34	14-27
2-Point FG	32-62	35-56
3-Point FG	10-33	13-35
Free Throws	15-16	17-25
Fast Break Pts	9	10
2nd Chance Pts	29	19
Points in Paint	60	58
Pts off Turnovers	14	16
Bench Points	31	53
Biggest Lead	0	33

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg