Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 19, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Jazz	9%	110	110	108.9	101	99.9
	7	Spurs	91%	127	123	123.0	100	101.1

Prediction updated: Jan 19, 2026 09:31 PM

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

+20

-13

108

SAS

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.03 51.4%

SAS

1.32 66.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	33.6	30	60%	3	6	1	0	2	2	0	3	12-14	86%	3-10	30%	4-10	40%
Ace Bailey #19 · PF · 6'9" 200 · 19	26.5	8	67%	4	4	0	1	1	4	2	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	26.4	20	59%	9	5	0	0	2	3	1	8	0-0	-	7-13	54%	2-4	50%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 29	23.6	10	63%	2	3	1	0	1	3	0	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21	23.5	5	36%	3	0	1	0	1	4	2	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-2	50%

Walter Clayton Jr. #13 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	31.8	8	36%	3	7	2	0	3	0	2	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-5	0%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	25.6	13	50%	6	2	2	0	0	5	2	4	5-6	83%	4-7	57%	0-3	0%
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	23.1	10	63%	1	2	2	0	1	0	0	1	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	20.7	6	43%	11	2	1	0	2	0	6	5	3-3	100%	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	5.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Kyle Anderson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Tonje #17 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fourth metatarsal stress reaction
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	51%	42	31	10	1	13	22	15	27	23-27	85%	24-55	44%	13-37	35%

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30 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	33.6	30	60%	3	6	1	0	2	2	0	3	12-14	86%	3-10	30%	4-10	40%
Ace Bailey #19 · PF · 6'9" 200 · 19	26.5	8	67%	4	4	0	1	1	4	2	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	26.4	20	59%	9	5	0	0	2	3	1	8	0-0	-	7-13	54%	2-4	50%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 29	23.6	10	63%	2	3	1	0	1	3	0	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21	23.5	5	36%	3	0	1	0	1	4	2	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-2	50%

Walter Clayton Jr. #13 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	31.8	8	36%	3	7	2	0	3	0	2	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-5	0%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	25.6	13	50%	6	2	2	0	0	5	2	4	5-6	83%	4-7	57%	0-3	0%
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	23.1	10	63%	1	2	2	0	1	0	0	1	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	20.7	6	43%	11	2	1	0	2	0	6	5	3-3	100%	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	5.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Kyle Anderson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Tonje #17 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fourth metatarsal stress reaction
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	51%	42	31	10	1	13	22	15	27	23-27	85%	24-55	44%	13-37	35%

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7 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 28	33.4	14	64%	5	8	4	0	2	2	0	5	0-0	-	4-8	50%	2-3	67%
Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 21	31.1	18	64%	2	8	0	1	4	4	0	2	7-10	70%	4-5	80%	1-4	25%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 25	28.4	13	59%	4	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-8	38%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	26.4	33	79%	10	1	2	2	1	3	1	9	6-6	100%	3-6	50%	7-12	58%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	22.4	10	71%	1	4	0	1	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	1-4	25%

Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	25.0	15	94%	3	5	1	1	2	3	0	3	2-2	100%	5-5	100%	1-2	50%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	24.2	2	25%	3	2	0	2	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 31	21.9	7	70%	7	4	1	3	1	0	1	6	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	14.4	11	92%	3	0	1	2	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	6.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	5.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	66%	38	32	9	12	13	21	3	35	19-25	76%	28-41	68%	16-38	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	SAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.03 51.4%

SAS

1.32 66.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

45%

SAS

77%

Midrange

UTA

41%

SAS

58%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

19.5

35%

53%

SAS

24.0

42%

63%

Free Throws

UTA

85%

SAS

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. George	30	60%	15.0 / 25
J. Nurkić	20	59%	10.0 / 17
K. Filipowski	13	50%	6.5 / 13
S. Mykhailiuk	10	63%	5.0 / 8
I. Collier	10	63%	5.0 / 8
A. Bailey	8	67%	4.0 / 6
W. Clayton	8	36%	4.0 / 11
K. Love	6	43%	3.0 / 7
C. Williams	5	36%	2.5 / 7
T. Hendricks	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Wembanyama	33	79%	16.5 / 21
S. Castle	18	64%	9.0 / 14
D. Harper	15	94%	7.5 / 8
D. Fox	14	64%	7.0 / 11
J. Champagnie	13	59%	6.5 / 11
C. Bryant	11	92%	5.5 / 6
H. Barnes	10	71%	5.0 / 7
L. Kornet	7	70%	3.5 / 5
K. Johnson	2	25%	1.0 / 4
K. Olynyk	0	-	0.0 / 1
L. Waters	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 112.9 3 118.9	UTA 108.9 SAS 123.0 +14.1
Pace	2 103.4 13 100.5	UTA 99.9 SAS 101.1 +1.3
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 18 14.2	UTA 14.4 SAS 14.2 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.6% 7 55.9%	UTA 47.3% SAS 65.8% +18.5%
TO %	23 14.4% 4 12.5%	UTA 11.9% −1.6% SAS 13.5%
ORB %	12 26.2% 10 26.2%	UTA 30.0% +20.0% SAS 10.0%
FTrt	10 27.7 12 27.3	UTA 29.3 SAS 31.6 +2.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 69.6% 13 64.6%	UTA 83.8% +11.1% SAS 72.7%
STL %	14 8.5% 24 7.5%	UTA 9.9% +0.9% SAS 9.0%
BLK %	30 7.5% 10 10.0%	UTA 2.4% SAS 21.8% +19.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.4% 6 58.1%	UTA 51.4% SAS 66.1% +14.7%
Rim FG%	17 64.5% 9 65.8%	UTA 45.5% SAS 77.3% +31.8%
Mid FG%	8 44.4% 5 45.1%	UTA 40.9% SAS 57.9% +17.0%
3P %	25 34.5% 15 35.9%	UTA 35.1% SAS 42.1% +7.0%
FT %	13 78.6% 12 78.7%	UTA 85.2% +9.2% SAS 76.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 31.3% 7 34.4%	UTA 35.9% +8.0% SAS 27.8%
Mid Att. %	23 28.4% 7 23.4%	UTA 23.9% −0.1% SAS 24.1%
3P Att. %	21 40.3% 15 42.2%	UTA 40.2% SAS 48.1% +7.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	UTA	SAS
Possessions	101	100
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.7
Points	110	123
Rebounds	42	38
Assists	31	32
Steals	10	9
Blocks	1	12
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	13 (1)
Fouls	22	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (5)	3 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (4)	35 (2)
Field Goals	37-92	44-79
At-the-Rim FG	15-33	17-22
Midrange FG	9-22	11-19
2-Point FG	24-55	28-41
3-Point FG	13-37	16-38
Free Throws	23-27	19-25
Fast Break Pts	10	18
2nd Chance Pts	12	6
Points in Paint	44	48
Pts off Turnovers	13	25
Bench Points	37	35
Biggest Lead	3	24

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg