Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, January 19, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Bucks | 46% | 115 | 112 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Thunder | 66% | 115 | 136 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Mavericks | 17% | 109 | 114 |
 | 6 | Knicks | 83% | 121 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 26 | Nets | 24% | 106 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Celtics | 51% | 112 | 103 |
 | 9 | Pistons | 49% | 111 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Heat | 34% | 113 | 112 |
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Sunday, January 18, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Magic | 45% | 113 | 109 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 37% | 114 | 102 |
 | 20 | Bulls | 63% | 118 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Pelicans | 16% | 109 | 110 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Hornets | 49% | 117 | 110 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Raptors | 52% | 113 | 93 |
 | 17 | Lakers | 48% | 112 | 110 |
Saturday, January 17, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 41% | 117 | 120 |
| 27 | Mavericks | 59% | 120 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 61% | 118 | 132 |
| 19 | Hawks | 39% | 115 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pacers | 9% | 100 | 78 |
| 6 | Pistons | 91% | 117 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 47% | 112 | 106 |
| 10 | Knicks | 53% | 113 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 79% | 117 | 120 |
| 16 | Heat | 21% | 107 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Timberwolves | 39% | 113 | 123 |
| 7 | Spurs | 61% | 117 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 27% | 112 | 116 |
| 2 | Warriors | 73% | 120 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 16% | 110 | 115 |
| 18 | Nuggets | 84% | 123 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 42% | 110 | 116 |
| 22 | Blazers | 58% | 113 | 132 |
Friday, January 16, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pelicans | 38% | 114 | 119 |
| 20 | Pacers | 62% | 118 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 46% | 114 | 117 |
| 9 | 76ers | 54% | 115 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 46% | 116 | 109 |
| 21 | Nets | 54% | 118 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Clippers | 43% | 106 | 121 |
| 19 | Raptors | 57% | 108 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 38% | 109 | 105 |
| 3 | Rockets | 62% | 113 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 35% | 113 | 115 |
| 25 | Kings | 65% | 118 | 128 |
Thursday, January 15, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Grizzlies | 42% | 112 | 111 |
| 13 | Magic | 58% | 115 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Suns | 40% | 107 | 105 |
| 8 | Pistons | 60% | 110 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 58% | 118 | 119 |
| 11 | Heat | 42% | 115 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 60% | 112 | 111 |
| 4 | Rockets | 40% | 108 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 34% | 112 | 101 |
| 5 | Spurs | 66% | 117 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 37% | 115 | 122 |
| 28 | Mavericks | 63% | 119 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 29% | 109 | 113 |
| 2 | Warriors | 71% | 116 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 59% | 118 | 101 |
| 25 | Blazers | 41% | 115 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 44% | 115 | 135 |
| 16 | Lakers | 56% | 117 | 117 |
Wednesday, January 14, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 48% | 108 | 115 |
| 23 | Pacers | 52% | 109 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 49% | 117 | 133 |
| 8 | 76ers | 51% | 118 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 30% | 117 | 126 |
| 20 | Bulls | 70% | 124 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 61% | 119 | 113 |
| 27 | Pelicans | 39% | 115 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nuggets | 54% | 115 | 118 |
| 26 | Mavericks | 46% | 113 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Knicks | 83% | 122 | 101 |
| 28 | Kings | 17% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 16% | 106 | 105 |
| 9 | Clippers | 84% | 118 | 119 |
Tuesday, January 13, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 48% | 115 | 121 |
| 13 | Heat | 52% | 116 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 20% | 109 | 113 |
| 3 | Rockets | 80% | 120 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 51% | 115 | 139 |
| 15 | Bucks | 49% | 114 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nuggets | 62% | 121 | 122 |
| 27 | Pelicans | 38% | 117 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | 23% | 107 | 98 |
| 1 | Thunder | 77% | 117 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 55% | 117 | 116 |
| 19 | Lakers | 45% | 115 | 141 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Blazers | 20% | 108 | 97 |
| 2 | Warriors | 80% | 118 | 119 |
Monday, January 12, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 15% | 116 | 123 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 85% | 129 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 69% | 116 | 96 |
| 22 | Pacers | 31% | 110 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 76ers | 55% | 112 | 115 |
| 17 | Raptors | 45% | 110 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 49% | 111 | 105 |
| 28 | Mavericks | 51% | 112 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | 75% | 118 | 112 |
| 29 | Kings | 25% | 109 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 35% | 110 | 109 |
| 10 | Clippers | 65% | 115 | 117 |
Sunday, January 11, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pelicans | 33% | 113 | 118 |
| 21 | Magic | 67% | 118 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 36% | 110 | 98 |
| 16 | Grizzlies | 64% | 115 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 47% | 110 | 115 |
| 19 | Raptors | 53% | 111 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 64% | 120 | 123 |
| 18 | Blazers | 36% | 115 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | 41% | 113 | 103 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 59% | 116 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 14% | 107 | 112 |
| 1 | Thunder | 86% | 121 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 64% | 114 | 104 |
| 25 | Nuggets | 36% | 110 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 14% | 107 | 93 |
| 9 | Suns | 86% | 121 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 28% | 112 | 124 |
| 2 | Warriors | 72% | 120 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 86% | 119 | 98 |
| 29 | Kings | 14% | 105 | 111 |
Saturday, January 10, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 41% | 115 | 134 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 59% | 118 | 146 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 64% | 117 | 99 |
| 23 | Pacers | 36% | 113 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 41% | 106 | 98 |
| 13 | Pistons | 59% | 109 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spurs | 41% | 114 | 100 |
| 4 | Celtics | 59% | 117 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Mavericks | 41% | 115 | 107 |
| 22 | Bulls | 59% | 118 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 68% | 123 | 150 |
| 30 | Jazz | 32% | 117 | 95 |
Friday, January 9, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 23% | 108 | 117 |
| 2 | Celtics | 77% | 118 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 76ers | 55% | 114 | 103 |
| 17 | Magic | 45% | 113 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pelicans | 49% | 117 | 128 |
| 28 | Wizards | 51% | 118 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | 61% | 113 | 121 |
| 21 | Nets | 39% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Thunder | 62% | 114 | 117 |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 38% | 110 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 59% | 115 | 110 |
| 25 | Nuggets | 41% | 112 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 49% | 115 | 107 |
| 10 | Suns | 51% | 116 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 11% | 105 | 103 |
| 1 | Warriors | 89% | 121 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 74% | 117 | 105 |
| 22 | Blazers | 26% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 49% | 114 | 105 |
| 16 | Lakers | 51% | 115 | 101 |
Thursday, January 8, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 41% | 114 | 114 |
| 17 | Hornets | 59% | 117 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 45% | 116 | 122 |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 55% | 118 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 62% | 123 | 114 |
| 27 | Jazz | 38% | 119 | 116 |
Wednesday, January 7, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 55% | 115 | 97 |
| 17 | Hornets | 45% | 113 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 31% | 108 | 93 |
| 16 | Pistons | 69% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 10% | 107 | 110 |
| 9 | 76ers | 90% | 124 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nuggets | 23% | 111 | 114 |
| 2 | Celtics | 77% | 121 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pelicans | 17% | 111 | 100 |
| 15 | Hawks | 83% | 124 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Magic | 43% | 111 | 104 |
| 21 | Nets | 57% | 114 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 37% | 111 | 111 |
| 8 | Knicks | 63% | 115 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 65% | 117 | 117 |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 35% | 112 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 8% | 109 | 125 |
| 1 | Thunder | 92% | 127 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 26% | 111 | 91 |
| 7 | Spurs | 74% | 119 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 33% | 111 | 113 |
| 3 | Warriors | 67% | 116 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 71% | 117 | 102 |
| 23 | Blazers | 29% | 109 | 103 |
Tuesday, January 6, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 65% | 117 | 120 |
| 25 | Pacers | 35% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 70% | 119 | 112 |
| 29 | Wizards | 30% | 112 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 65% | 120 | 105 |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 35% | 115 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 40% | 114 | 94 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 60% | 117 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Lakers | 60% | 119 | 111 |
| 27 | Pelicans | 40% | 116 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 68% | 117 | 100 |
| 30 | Kings | 32% | 111 | 98 |