Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 14, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Cavaliers	49%	117	133	130.4	102	103.4
	8	76ers	51%	118	107	103.9	103	101.6

Prediction updated: Jan 14, 2026 11:56 PM

Scoring Opportunities

CLE

+17

-15

104

PHI

+13

-12

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.28 63.9%

PHI

1.03 51.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

6 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 25	33.5	17	77%	13	6	1	4	2	5	2	11	2-4	50%	6-9	67%	1-1	100%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 29	33.3	35	67%	7	9	1	0	1	1	1	6	8-8	100%	6-10	60%	5-12	42%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	25.6	10	83%	5	2	0	0	2	3	2	3	0-1	0%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	25.0	12	60%	5	3	1	0	2	1	3	2	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	3-4	75%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	23.0	20	71%	3	7	1	0	4	2	1	2	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	3-7	43%

De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	21.6	17	65%	4	4	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	3-7	43%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	21.2	0	0%	2	3	1	1	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	18.0	1	17%	3	3	1	0	1	0	1	2	1-1	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 28	14.1	9	75%	4	4	0	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-6	50%
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	9.7	3	30%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	5.0	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	5.0	4	67%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	5.0	2	50%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Chris Livingston #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	64%	52	41	6	5	15	19	12	40	13-18	72%	30-49	61%	20-46	43%

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6 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 25	33.5	17	77%	13	6	1	4	2	5	2	11	2-4	50%	6-9	67%	1-1	100%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 29	33.3	35	67%	7	9	1	0	1	1	1	6	8-8	100%	6-10	60%	5-12	42%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	25.6	10	83%	5	2	0	0	2	3	2	3	0-1	0%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	25.0	12	60%	5	3	1	0	2	1	3	2	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	3-4	75%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	23.0	20	71%	3	7	1	0	4	2	1	2	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	3-7	43%

De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	21.6	17	65%	4	4	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	3-7	43%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	21.2	0	0%	2	3	1	1	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	18.0	1	17%	3	3	1	0	1	0	1	2	1-1	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 28	14.1	9	75%	4	4	0	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-6	50%
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	9.7	3	30%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	5.0	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	5.0	4	67%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	5.0	2	50%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Chris Livingston #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	64%	52	41	6	5	15	19	12	40	13-18	72%	30-49	61%	20-46	43%

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8 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	31.2	14	41%	2	4	0	2	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	2-8	25%
Paul George #8 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 36	29.7	17	61%	4	4	1	0	0	1	0	4	1-2	50%	5-10	50%	2-4	50%
VJ Edgecombe #77 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	26.7	9	41%	3	2	2	1	2	5	1	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 32	24.9	20	63%	4	3	1	1	6	0	2	2	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	2-5	40%
Dominick Barlow #25 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 23	8.1	2	33%	2	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%

Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	26.0	7	50%	5	2	0	0	1	2	0	5	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Quentin Grimes #5 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 26	22.1	8	57%	5	0	1	0	1	2	2	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Trendon Watford #12 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	17.2	3	50%	2	4	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Jabari Walker #33 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	14.9	2	20%	4	3	2	1	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 32	12.0	7	50%	9	0	0	0	1	0	2	7	5-6	83%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	11.1	6	100%	2	0	1	0	1	0	1	1	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jared McCain #20 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	9.7	6	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Justin Edwards #11 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	6.5	6	75%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johni Broome #22 · PF · 6'9" 244 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
MarJon Beauchamp #16 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	51%	42	22	9	5	12	15	11	31	23-26	88%	24-46	52%	12-43	28%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	PHI
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	PHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.28 63.9%

PHI

1.03 51.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CLE

71%

PHI

54%

Midrange

CLE

52%

PHI

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CLE

30.0

43%

65%

PHI

18.0

28%

42%

Free Throws

CLE

72%

PHI

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell	35	67%	17.5 / 26
D. Garland	20	71%	10.0 / 14
E. Mobley	17	77%	8.5 / 11
D. Hunter	17	65%	8.5 / 13
J. Tyson	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. Allen	10	83%	5.0 / 6
L. Ball	9	75%	4.5 / 6
T. Bryant	4	67%	2.0 / 3
S. Merrill	3	30%	1.5 / 5
L. Nance	3	75%	1.5 / 2
T. Proctor	2	50%	1.0 / 2
C. Porter	1	17%	0.5 / 3
N. Tomlin	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Embiid	20	63%	10.0 / 16
P. George	17	61%	8.5 / 14
T. Maxey	14	41%	7.0 / 17
V. Edgecombe	9	41%	4.5 / 11
Q. Grimes	8	57%	4.0 / 7
K. Oubre	7	50%	3.5 / 7
A. Drummond	7	50%	3.5 / 7
A. Bona	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. McCain	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Edwards	6	75%	3.0 / 4
T. Watford	3	50%	1.5 / 3
D. Barlow	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Walker	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 118.3 16 114.4	CLE 130.4 +26.5 PHI 103.9
Pace	12 100.6 16 100.3	CLE 103.4 +1.8 PHI 101.6
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.1 11 14.6	CLE 13.9 −0.3 PHI 14.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 56.1% 25 53.0%	CLE 63.2% +16.0% PHI 47.2%
TO %	10 13.2% 6 12.8%	CLE 13.5% PHI 10.7% −2.8%
ORB %	9 26.9% 11 26.2%	CLE 27.9% +6.3% PHI 21.6%
FTrt	15 26.5 11 27.5	CLE 18.9 PHI 29.2 +10.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 65.3% 28 58.9%	CLE 82.0% +20.9% PHI 61.1%
STL %	15 8.4% 7 9.0%	CLE 5.9% PHI 8.7% +2.8%
BLK %	11 9.8% 3 10.9%	CLE 10.9% +0.7% PHI 10.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.2% 21 55.9%	CLE 63.9% +12.5% PHI 51.4%
Rim FG%	7 66.1% 27 62.1%	CLE 70.8% +16.6% PHI 54.2%
Mid FG%	3 46.8% 23 41.8%	CLE 52.0% +2.0% PHI 50.0%
3P %	13 36.0% 23 34.9%	CLE 43.5% +15.6% PHI 27.9%
FT %	19 77.6% 4 80.9%	CLE 72.2% PHI 88.5% +16.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 31.7% 6 35.0%	CLE 25.3% PHI 27.0% +1.7%
Mid Att. %	8 24.1% 13 25.9%	CLE 26.3% PHI 24.7% −1.6%
3P Att. %	9 44.2% 23 39.1%	CLE 48.4% +0.1% PHI 48.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CLE	PHI
Possessions	102	103
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	133	107
Rebounds	52	42
Assists	41	22
Steals	6	9
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	12 (0)
Fouls	19	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (5)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (2)	31 (1)
Field Goals	50-95	36-89
At-the-Rim FG	17-24	13-24
Midrange FG	13-25	11-22
2-Point FG	30-49	24-46
3-Point FG	20-46	12-43
Free Throws	13-18	23-26
Fast Break Pts	24	17
2nd Chance Pts	19	16
Points in Paint	48	32
Pts off Turnovers	17	22
Bench Points	39	45
Biggest Lead	30	1

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg