Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 16, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Clippers	43%	106	121	115.2	105	92.6
	19	Raptors	57%	108	117	113.6	103	95.9

Prediction updated: Jan 17, 2026 12:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

LAC

-16

TOR

+14

-18

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.23 61.7%

TOR

1.18 59.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	42.3	31	48%	2	10	1	1	4	4	0	2	9-10	90%	8-12	67%	2-15	13%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	38.5	16	67%	14	2	0	0	2	3	3	11	2-3	67%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Kobe Sanders #4 · SF · 6'8" 207 · 24	36.7	13	72%	3	0	3	0	1	3	0	3	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 32	33.5	15	94%	4	4	4	0	5	4	1	3	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	3-4	75%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	6.1	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	45.8	19	86%	2	6	4	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	5-6	83%	3-5	60%
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	20.4	16	100%	5	1	0	0	1	1	1	4	3-3	100%	5-5	100%	1-2	50%
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	13.6	5	63%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	5-6	83%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	13.1	3	38%	1	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
TyTy Washington Jr. #15 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 24	9.9	3	50%	1	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	5.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury Management
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Fracture
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 23	INACTIVE
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 41	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	121	62%	36	25	12	3	16	19	6	30	26-30	87%	28-43	65%	13-36	36%

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23 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	42.3	31	48%	2	10	1	1	4	4	0	2	9-10	90%	8-12	67%	2-15	13%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	38.5	16	67%	14	2	0	0	2	3	3	11	2-3	67%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Kobe Sanders #4 · SF · 6'8" 207 · 24	36.7	13	72%	3	0	3	0	1	3	0	3	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 32	33.5	15	94%	4	4	4	0	5	4	1	3	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	3-4	75%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	6.1	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	45.8	19	86%	2	6	4	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	5-6	83%	3-5	60%
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	20.4	16	100%	5	1	0	0	1	1	1	4	3-3	100%	5-5	100%	1-2	50%
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	13.6	5	63%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	5-6	83%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	13.1	3	38%	1	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
TyTy Washington Jr. #15 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 24	9.9	3	50%	1	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	5.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury Management
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Fracture
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 23	INACTIVE
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 41	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	121	62%	36	25	12	3	16	19	6	30	26-30	87%	28-43	65%	13-36	36%

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19 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 28	41.3	19	68%	6	2	0	2	5	3	0	6	3-3	100%	5-9	56%	2-4	50%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 24	40.6	24	50%	7	6	1	1	3	5	1	6	6-7	86%	9-17	53%	0-4	0%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 23	38.6	15	54%	4	13	1	0	3	2	0	4	5-6	83%	2-5	40%	2-6	33%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	36.3	15	68%	3	1	1	0	1	3	1	2	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	3-7	43%
Collin Murray-Boyles #12 · C · 6'7" 245 · 21	34.9	11	50%	4	3	0	2	3	3	4	0	3-5	60%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%

Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	27.4	15	75%	7	1	0	0	0	0	3	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-6	50%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	22.2	13	72%	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	1-1	100%	6-6	100%	0-3	0%
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 26	12.9	0	0%	3	2	1	0	2	2	2	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Alijah Martin #55 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 24	10.8	5	83%	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Back; Spasms
Chucky Hepburn #24 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Pointer
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
RJ Barrett #9 · SF · 6'6" 214 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	117	59%	36	30	4	5	18	21	12	24	22-26	85%	31-54	57%	11-33	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	TOR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.23 61.7%

TOR

1.18 59.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAC

74%

TOR

71%

Midrange

LAC

50%

TOR

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAC

19.5

36%

54%

TOR

16.5

33%

50%

Free Throws

LAC

87%

TOR

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Harden	31	48%	15.5 / 32
J. Miller	19	86%	9.5 / 11
I. Zubac	16	67%	8.0 / 12
C. Christie	16	100%	8.0 / 8
K. Dunn	15	94%	7.5 / 8
K. Sanders	13	72%	6.5 / 9
Y. Niederhäuser	5	63%	2.5 / 4
B. Lopez	3	38%	1.5 / 4
T. Washington	3	50%	1.5 / 3
N. Batum	0	-	0.0 / 2
K. Brown	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Barnes	24	50%	12.0 / 24
B. Ingram	19	68%	9.5 / 14
J. Shead	15	54%	7.5 / 14
O. Agbaji	15	68%	7.5 / 11
G. Dick	15	75%	7.5 / 10
S. Mamukelashvili	13	72%	6.5 / 9
C. Murray-Boyles	11	50%	5.5 / 11
A. Martin	5	83%	2.5 / 3
A. Lawson	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	11 116.4 15 115.1	LAC 115.2 +1.6 TOR 113.6
Pace	28 97.3 22 99.1	LAC 92.6 TOR 95.9 +3.3
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.0 19 14.1	LAC 15.6 TOR 15.0 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 55.9% 16 54.6%	LAC 60.1% +5.5% TOR 54.6%
TO %	17 13.9% 7 12.9%	LAC 14.8% −0.7% TOR 15.5%
ORB %	23 23.7% 16 25.5%	LAC 20.0% TOR 28.6% +8.6%
FTrt	3 29.5 16 26.5	LAC 38.0 +8.1 TOR 29.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 58.6% 3 69.2%	LAC 61.0% TOR 71.4% +10.4%
STL %	5 9.2% 8 8.8%	LAC 11.4% +7.5% TOR 3.9%
BLK %	13 9.5% 12 9.6%	LAC 5.6% TOR 11.6% +6.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 58.7% 16 56.6%	LAC 61.7% +2.6% TOR 59.1%
Rim FG%	3 67.1% 6 66.5%	LAC 74.1% +3.3% TOR 70.8%
Mid FG%	10 44.2% 16 43.7%	LAC 50.0% +3.3% TOR 46.7%
3P %	7 36.8% 21 35.4%	LAC 36.1% +2.8% TOR 33.3%
FT %	1 82.3% 22 76.9%	LAC 86.7% +2.1% TOR 84.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 31.6% 10 32.9%	LAC 34.2% +6.6% TOR 27.6%
Mid Att. %	20 27.9% 27 30.7%	LAC 20.3% −14.2% TOR 34.5%
3P Att. %	19 40.4% 25 36.3%	LAC 45.6% +7.6% TOR 37.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	LAC	TOR
Possessions	105	103
Possession Minutes	27.2	25.8
Points	121	117
Rebounds	36	36
Assists	25	30
Steals	12	4
Blocks	3	5
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	18 (0)
Fouls	19	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (3)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (5)	24 (8)
Field Goals	41-79	42-87
At-the-Rim FG	20-27	17-24
Midrange FG	8-16	14-30
2-Point FG	28-43	31-54
3-Point FG	13-36	11-33
Free Throws	26-30	22-26
Fast Break Pts	13	23
2nd Chance Pts	6	15
Points in Paint	52	48
Pts off Turnovers	15	24
Bench Points	46	33
Biggest Lead	5	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg