Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, January 16, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Pelicans | 38% | 114 | 119 |
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Updated: Jan 17, 2026 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Jan 17, 2026 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Raptors | 57% | 108 | 117 |
Updated: Jan 17, 2026 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Timberwolves | 38% | 109 | 105 |
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Updated: Jan 17, 2026 02:32 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Jan 17, 2026 03:01 AM
game detailThursday, January 15, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 13 | Magic | 58% | 115 | 118 |
Updated: Jan 15, 2026 06:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 8 | Pistons | 60% | 110 | 108 |
Updated: Jan 16, 2026 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Celtics | 58% | 118 | 119 |
 | 11 | Heat | 42% | 115 | 114 |
Updated: Jan 16, 2026 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Thunder | 60% | 112 | 111 |
| 4 | Rockets | 40% | 108 | 91 |
Updated: Jan 16, 2026 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Mavericks | 63% | 119 | 144 |
Updated: Jan 16, 2026 01:02 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Knicks | 29% | 109 | 113 |
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Updated: Jan 16, 2026 03:02 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Jan 16, 2026 03:02 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Hornets | 44% | 115 | 135 |
 | 16 | Lakers | 56% | 117 | 117 |
Updated: Jan 16, 2026 03:32 AM
game detailWednesday, January 14, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 48% | 108 | 115 |
| 22 | Pacers | 52% | 109 | 101 |
Updated: Jan 14, 2026 11:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 49% | 117 | 133 |
| 8 | 76ers | 51% | 118 | 107 |
Updated: Jan 14, 2026 11:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Nets | 61% | 119 | 113 |
| 27 | Pelicans | 39% | 115 | 116 |
Updated: Jan 15, 2026 12:56 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 26 | Mavericks | 46% | 113 | 109 |
Updated: Jan 15, 2026 02:32 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Knicks | 83% | 122 | 101 |
| 28 | Kings | 17% | 110 | 112 |
Updated: Jan 15, 2026 03:02 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 16% | 106 | 105 |
| 9 | Clippers | 84% | 118 | 119 |
Updated: Jan 15, 2026 03:32 AM
game detailTuesday, January 13, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Bulls | 20% | 109 | 113 |
| 3 | Rockets | 80% | 120 | 119 |
Updated: Jan 14, 2026 12:56 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 51% | 115 | 139 |
 | 15 | Bucks | 49% | 114 | 106 |
Updated: Jan 14, 2026 12:56 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nuggets | 62% | 121 | 122 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 38% | 117 | 116 |
Updated: Jan 14, 2026 12:56 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 55% | 117 | 116 |
| 19 | Lakers | 45% | 115 | 141 |
Updated: Jan 14, 2026 03:32 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Blazers | 20% | 108 | 97 |
| 2 | Warriors | 80% | 118 | 119 |
Updated: Jan 14, 2026 03:36 AM
game detailMonday, January 12, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 15% | 116 | 123 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 85% | 129 | 112 |
Updated: Jan 13, 2026 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 69% | 116 | 96 |
| 22 | Pacers | 31% | 110 | 98 |
Updated: Jan 13, 2026 12:11 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 76ers | 55% | 112 | 115 |
| 17 | Raptors | 45% | 110 | 102 |
Updated: Jan 13, 2026 12:11 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 49% | 111 | 105 |
| 28 | Mavericks | 51% | 112 | 113 |
Updated: Jan 13, 2026 01:02 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | 75% | 118 | 112 |
| 29 | Kings | 25% | 109 | 124 |
Updated: Jan 13, 2026 03:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 35% | 110 | 109 |
| 10 | Clippers | 65% | 115 | 117 |
Updated: Jan 13, 2026 03:01 AM
game detailSunday, January 11, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pelicans | 33% | 113 | 118 |
| 22 | Magic | 67% | 118 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 36% | 110 | 98 |
| 17 | Grizzlies | 64% | 115 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 47% | 110 | 115 |
| 19 | Raptors | 53% | 111 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 64% | 120 | 123 |
| 18 | Blazers | 36% | 115 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 6 | Timberwolves | 59% | 116 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 14% | 107 | 112 |
| 1 | Thunder | 86% | 121 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 64% | 114 | 104 |
| 25 | Nuggets | 36% | 110 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 14% | 107 | 93 |
| 9 | Suns | 86% | 121 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 28% | 112 | 124 |
| 2 | Warriors | 72% | 120 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 86% | 119 | 98 |
| 29 | Kings | 14% | 105 | 111 |
Saturday, January 10, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 41% | 115 | 134 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 59% | 118 | 146 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 64% | 117 | 99 |
| 22 | Pacers | 36% | 113 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 41% | 106 | 98 |
| 13 | Pistons | 59% | 109 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spurs | 41% | 114 | 100 |
| 4 | Celtics | 59% | 117 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Mavericks | 41% | 115 | 107 |
| 23 | Bulls | 59% | 118 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 68% | 123 | 150 |
| 30 | Jazz | 32% | 117 | 95 |
Friday, January 9, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 23% | 108 | 117 |
| 2 | Celtics | 77% | 118 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 76ers | 55% | 114 | 103 |
| 17 | Magic | 45% | 113 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pelicans | 49% | 117 | 128 |
| 28 | Wizards | 51% | 118 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 61% | 113 | 121 |
| 21 | Nets | 39% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Thunder | 62% | 114 | 117 |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 38% | 110 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 59% | 115 | 110 |
| 25 | Nuggets | 41% | 112 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 49% | 115 | 107 |
| 9 | Suns | 51% | 116 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 11% | 105 | 103 |
| 1 | Warriors | 89% | 121 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 74% | 117 | 105 |
| 22 | Blazers | 26% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 49% | 114 | 105 |
| 16 | Lakers | 51% | 115 | 101 |
Thursday, January 8, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 41% | 114 | 114 |
| 17 | Hornets | 59% | 117 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 45% | 116 | 122 |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 55% | 118 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 62% | 123 | 114 |
| 27 | Jazz | 38% | 119 | 116 |
Wednesday, January 7, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 55% | 115 | 97 |
| 17 | Hornets | 45% | 113 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 31% | 108 | 93 |
| 16 | Pistons | 69% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 10% | 107 | 110 |
| 9 | 76ers | 90% | 124 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nuggets | 23% | 111 | 114 |
| 2 | Celtics | 77% | 121 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pelicans | 17% | 111 | 100 |
| 15 | Hawks | 83% | 124 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 43% | 111 | 104 |
| 21 | Nets | 57% | 114 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 37% | 111 | 111 |
| 7 | Knicks | 63% | 115 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 65% | 117 | 117 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 35% | 112 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 8% | 109 | 125 |
| 1 | Thunder | 92% | 127 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 26% | 111 | 91 |
| 8 | Spurs | 74% | 119 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 33% | 111 | 113 |
| 3 | Warriors | 67% | 116 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 71% | 117 | 102 |
| 24 | Blazers | 29% | 109 | 103 |
Tuesday, January 6, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 65% | 117 | 120 |
| 25 | Pacers | 35% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 70% | 119 | 112 |
| 29 | Wizards | 30% | 112 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 65% | 120 | 105 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 35% | 115 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 40% | 114 | 94 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 60% | 117 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Lakers | 60% | 119 | 111 |
| 27 | Pelicans | 40% | 116 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 68% | 117 | 100 |
| 30 | Kings | 32% | 111 | 98 |
Monday, January 5, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 57% | 114 | 90 |
| 10 | Pistons | 43% | 112 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 18% | 112 | 101 |
| 2 | Celtics | 82% | 123 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 49% | 115 | 100 |
| 15 | Raptors | 51% | 116 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 27% | 107 | 97 |
| 4 | Rockets | 73% | 115 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 15% | 108 | 124 |
| 1 | Thunder | 85% | 121 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nuggets | 12% | 104 | 125 |
| 6 | 76ers | 88% | 119 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 67% | 112 | 102 |
| 19 | Clippers | 33% | 107 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 39% | 118 | 117 |
| 23 | Blazers | 61% | 121 | 137 |
Sunday, January 4, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 38% | 113 | 114 |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 62% | 117 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 35% | 110 | 127 |
| 18 | Magic | 65% | 114 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nuggets | 60% | 116 | 115 |
| 26 | Nets | 40% | 112 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pelicans | 26% | 114 | 106 |
| 10 | Heat | 74% | 122 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 73% | 120 | 141 |
| 30 | Wizards | 27% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 76% | 116 | 105 |
| 13 | Suns | 24% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bucks | 69% | 117 | 115 |
| 29 | Kings | 31% | 111 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 47% | 116 | 114 |
| 16 | Lakers | 53% | 117 | 120 |
Saturday, January 3, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 49% | 115 | 125 |
| 9 | Heat | 51% | 116 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 76ers | 43% | 115 | 130 |
| 5 | Knicks | 57% | 117 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 41% | 112 | 117 |
| 16 | Raptors | 59% | 115 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 51% | 121 | 112 |
| 23 | Bulls | 49% | 120 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Blazers | 28% | 113 | 115 |
| 10 | Spurs | 72% | 120 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 72% | 116 | 104 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 28% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 18% | 114 | 114 |
| 3 | Warriors | 82% | 126 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 59% | 114 | 146 |
| 13 | Clippers | 41% | 111 | 115 |