Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, January 3, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Jazz	18%	114	114	118.8	96	99.3
	3	Warriors	82%	126	123	125.5	98	94.8

Prediction updated: Jan 4, 2026 03:02 AM

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

+11

-15

GSW

+20

-14

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.24 62.0%

GSW

1.19 59.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	40.8	35	65%	6	1	0	0	1	3	2	4	3-4	75%	13-19	68%	2-8	25%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	36.4	22	55%	2	9	1	0	7	2	1	1	4-5	80%	3-9	33%	4-9	44%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	27.9	10	83%	3	2	0	0	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SG · 6'6" 235 · 22	27.2	12	75%	2	2	2	0	4	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Kevin Love #42 · C · 6'10" 251 · 37	24.3	5	42%	10	5	0	0	1	1	1	9	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%

Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	22.4	8	44%	5	7	3	1	1	2	1	4	0-2	0%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	18.7	7	88%	1	1	1	1	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Walter Clayton Jr. #13 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	16.9	8	57%	3	2	0	0	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Cody Williams #5 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 21	13.2	6	75%	3	0	0	0	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	12.4	1	50%	2	3	0	0	1	2	1	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kyle Anderson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Tonje #17 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury Recovery
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fourth Metatarsal Stress Reaction
Ace Bailey #19 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Strain
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left First Mtp; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	62%	37	32	7	2	15	20	10	27	11-17	65%	32-51	63%	13-35	37%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

28 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	40.8	35	65%	6	1	0	0	1	3	2	4	3-4	75%	13-19	68%	2-8	25%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	36.4	22	55%	2	9	1	0	7	2	1	1	4-5	80%	3-9	33%	4-9	44%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	27.9	10	83%	3	2	0	0	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SG · 6'6" 235 · 22	27.2	12	75%	2	2	2	0	4	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Kevin Love #42 · C · 6'10" 251 · 37	24.3	5	42%	10	5	0	0	1	1	1	9	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%

Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	22.4	8	44%	5	7	3	1	1	2	1	4	0-2	0%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	18.7	7	88%	1	1	1	1	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Walter Clayton Jr. #13 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	16.9	8	57%	3	2	0	0	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Cody Williams #5 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 21	13.2	6	75%	3	0	0	0	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	12.4	1	50%	2	3	0	0	1	2	1	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kyle Anderson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Tonje #17 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury Recovery
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fourth Metatarsal Stress Reaction
Ace Bailey #19 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Strain
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left First Mtp; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	62%	37	32	7	2	15	20	10	27	11-17	65%	32-51	63%	13-35	37%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

3 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	34.3	31	70%	2	5	1	0	2	2	0	2	9-9	100%	2-6	33%	6-12	50%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	33.5	15	58%	3	7	3	0	2	0	1	2	6-8	75%	3-7	43%	1-2	50%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	25.0	8	50%	2	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	22.5	15	83%	5	2	0	0	2	1	1	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	3-6	50%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	12.1	8	100%	3	2	0	1	1	0	0	3	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	1-2	50%

De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	24.6	13	59%	7	2	2	0	1	2	2	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-7	43%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	24.1	6	38%	6	8	0	0	0	1	1	5	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	20.9	10	56%	8	2	1	1	3	1	4	4	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	17.9	8	80%	2	0	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	16.9	9	64%	6	0	0	0	0	1	4	2	1-4	25%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	8.4	0	0%	1	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	60%	45	32	9	2	14	13	13	32	18-24	75%	24-42	57%	19-45	42%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	GSW

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.24 62.0%

GSW

1.19 59.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

73%

GSW

77%

Midrange

UTA

48%

GSW

25%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

19.5

37%

56%

GSW

28.5

42%

63%

Free Throws

UTA

65%

GSW

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Markkanen	35	65%	17.5 / 27
K. George	22	55%	11.0 / 20
B. Sensabaugh	12	75%	6.0 / 8
S. Mykhailiuk	10	83%	5.0 / 6
I. Collier	8	44%	4.0 / 9
W. Clayton	8	57%	4.0 / 7
K. Filipowski	7	88%	3.5 / 4
C. Williams	6	75%	3.0 / 4
K. Love	5	42%	2.5 / 6
T. Hendricks	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	31	70%	15.5 / 22
J. Butler	15	58%	7.5 / 13
Q. Post	15	83%	7.5 / 9
D. Melton	13	59%	6.5 / 11
G. Payton	10	56%	5.0 / 9
T. Jackson-Davis	9	64%	4.5 / 7
M. Moody	8	50%	4.0 / 8
D. Green	8	100%	4.0 / 4
W. Richard	8	80%	4.0 / 5
B. Podziemski	6	38%	3.0 / 8
G. Santos	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 112.9 19 114.0	UTA 118.8 GSW 125.5 +6.8
Pace	2 103.4 18 99.9	UTA 99.3 +4.5 GSW 94.8
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 10 14.7	UTA 14.5 −0.7 GSW 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.6% 13 55.0%	UTA 59.9% GSW 60.3% +0.4%
TO %	23 14.4% 28 14.9%	UTA 13.8% GSW 13.3% −0.5%
ORB %	12 26.2% 14 25.8%	UTA 23.8% GSW 32.5% +8.7%
FTrt	10 27.7 24 23.8	UTA 19.8 GSW 27.6 +7.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 69.6% 1 70.6%	UTA 71.1% GSW 74.4% +3.3%
STL %	14 8.5% 3 9.6%	UTA 7.3% GSW 9.2% +1.9%
BLK %	30 7.5% 27 8.0%	UTA 4.8% +0.9% GSW 3.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.4% 11 57.1%	UTA 62.0% +2.3% GSW 59.7%
Rim FG%	17 64.5% 5 66.7%	UTA 73.3% GSW 76.9% +3.6%
Mid FG%	8 44.4% 22 42.1%	UTA 47.6% +22.6% GSW 25.0%
3P %	25 34.5% 20 35.6%	UTA 37.1% GSW 42.2% +5.1%
FT %	13 78.6% 6 80.7%	UTA 64.7% GSW 75.0% +10.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 31.3% 24 29.5%	UTA 34.9% +5.0% GSW 29.9%
Mid Att. %	23 28.4% 3 20.8%	UTA 24.4% GSW 18.4% −6.0%
3P Att. %	21 40.3% 1 49.7%	UTA 40.7% GSW 51.7% +11.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	UTA	GSW
Possessions	96	98
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	114	123
Rebounds	37	45
Assists	32	32
Steals	7	9
Blocks	2	2
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	14 (1)
Fouls	20	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (1)	13 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (1)	32 (2)
Field Goals	45-86	43-87
At-the-Rim FG	22-30	20-26
Midrange FG	10-21	4-16
2-Point FG	32-51	24-42
3-Point FG	13-35	19-45
Free Throws	11-17	18-24
Fast Break Pts	19	10
2nd Chance Pts	9	18
Points in Paint	62	46
Pts off Turnovers	22	20
Bench Points	30	46
Biggest Lead	12	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg