Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, January 4, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Pistons	38%	113	114	112.9	101	94.1
	9	Cavaliers	62%	117	110	108.9	101	109.0

Prediction updated: Jan 4, 2026 06:31 PM

Scoring Opportunities

DET

+21

-16

106

CLE

+13

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.08 53.8%

CLE

1.13 56.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

12 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 24	37.0	27	50%	6	7	2	1	1	4	0	6	11-11	100%	5-17	29%	2-5	40%
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 25	31.5	8	57%	3	2	2	3	4	3	2	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Paul Reed #7 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 27	30.1	8	44%	8	4	1	0	1	1	4	4	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 32	29.5	12	55%	2	3	2	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 23	21.7	8	44%	8	2	1	1	3	5	3	5	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-1	0%

Daniss Jenkins #24 · PG · 6'4" 165 · 24	25.5	25	104%	1	5	0	0	2	1	0	1	5-5	100%	1-3	33%	6-7	86%
Javonte Green #31 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	24.0	11	55%	4	1	1	0	1	1	2	2	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	3-6	50%
Jaden Ivey #23 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	19.2	7	39%	2	0	0	2	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Ronald Holland II #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 20	18.4	8	50%	10	0	2	1	2	4	3	7	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	1-6	17%
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	3.0	0	0%	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Wendell Moore Jr. #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tolu Smith #35 · PF · 6'11" 254 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chaz Lanier #20 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bobi Klintman #34 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaac Jones #13 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Caris LeVert #8 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinopathy
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	54%	45	25	11	9	16	24	14	31	21-21	100%	24-55	44%	15-40	38%

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12 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 24	37.0	27	50%	6	7	2	1	1	4	0	6	11-11	100%	5-17	29%	2-5	40%
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 25	31.5	8	57%	3	2	2	3	4	3	2	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Paul Reed #7 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 27	30.1	8	44%	8	4	1	0	1	1	4	4	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 32	29.5	12	55%	2	3	2	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 23	21.7	8	44%	8	2	1	1	3	5	3	5	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-1	0%

Daniss Jenkins #24 · PG · 6'4" 165 · 24	25.5	25	104%	1	5	0	0	2	1	0	1	5-5	100%	1-3	33%	6-7	86%
Javonte Green #31 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	24.0	11	55%	4	1	1	0	1	1	2	2	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	3-6	50%
Jaden Ivey #23 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	19.2	7	39%	2	0	0	2	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Ronald Holland II #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 20	18.4	8	50%	10	0	2	1	2	4	3	7	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	1-6	17%
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	3.0	0	0%	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Wendell Moore Jr. #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tolu Smith #35 · PF · 6'11" 254 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chaz Lanier #20 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bobi Klintman #34 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaac Jones #13 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Caris LeVert #8 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinopathy
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	54%	45	25	11	9	16	24	14	31	21-21	100%	24-55	44%	15-40	38%

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9 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 29	33.1	30	60%	6	3	3	0	2	2	0	6	7-9	78%	7-11	64%	3-10	30%
Evan Mobley #4 · C · 6'11" 215 · 25	32.8	15	75%	4	5	1	4	2	2	1	3	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	2-3	67%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	32.1	16	50%	2	6	1	0	2	3	0	2	2-2	100%	7-8	88%	0-7	0%
Sam Merrill #5 · SF · 6'4" 205 · 30	27.3	15	94%	3	2	1	0	2	6	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	5-7	71%
Jaylon Tyson #20 · PF · 6'6" 215 · 23	25.3	6	30%	7	3	1	2	2	1	4	3	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	1-5	20%

De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	24.1	14	64%	6	0	0	0	3	1	0	6	6-6	100%	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	22.5	2	33%	6	1	2	1	1	0	2	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	18.0	5	42%	4	0	0	2	0	2	1	3	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	15.3	7	88%	4	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	4-4	100%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 28	9.7	0	0%	2	2	1	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Chris Livingston #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Contusion
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	57%	44	23	11	10	17	18	11	33	26-30	87%	21-38	55%	14-42	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DET	CLE
Clock	Team	Event	DET	CLE

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.08 53.8%

CLE

1.13 56.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DET

47%

CLE

58%

Midrange

DET

37%

CLE

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DET

22.5

38%

56%

CLE

21.0

33%

50%

Free Throws

DET

100%

CLE

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Cunningham	27	50%	13.5 / 27
D. Jenkins	25	104%	12.5 / 12
D. Robinson	12	55%	6.0 / 11
J. Green	11	55%	5.5 / 10
I. Stewart	8	57%	4.0 / 7
P. Reed	8	44%	4.0 / 9
A. Thompson	8	44%	4.0 / 9
R. Holland	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Ivey	7	39%	3.5 / 9
M. Sasser	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell	30	60%	15.0 / 25
D. Garland	16	50%	8.0 / 16
E. Mobley	15	75%	7.5 / 10
S. Merrill	15	94%	7.5 / 8
D. Hunter	14	64%	7.0 / 11
T. Bryant	7	88%	3.5 / 4
J. Tyson	6	30%	3.0 / 10
N. Tomlin	5	42%	2.5 / 6
C. Porter	2	33%	1.0 / 3
L. Ball	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 117.4 6 118.3	DET 112.9 +4.0 CLE 108.9
Pace	20 99.3 12 100.6	DET 94.1 CLE 109.0 +14.8
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.5 21 14.1	DET 15.3 CLE 13.2 −2.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.7% 5 56.1%	DET 48.9% CLE 52.5% +3.6%
TO %	21 14.1% 10 13.2%	DET 14.0% −1.4% CLE 15.4%
ORB %	3 30.9% 9 26.9%	DET 29.8% +3.6% CLE 26.2%
FTrt	5 29.2 15 26.5	DET 22.1 CLE 37.5 +15.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 64.1% 11 65.3%	DET 64.1% CLE 65.7% +1.6%
STL %	1 10.4% 15 8.4%	DET 10.9% CLE 10.9%
BLK %	1 13.2% 11 9.8%	DET 23.7% +5.5% CLE 18.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.07 and 3.07.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	12 57.0% 5 58.2%	DET 53.8% CLE 56.7% +2.9%
Rim FG%	16 64.7% 7 66.1%	DET 47.2% CLE 57.9% +10.7%
Mid FG%	27 40.5% 3 46.8%	DET 36.8% CLE 52.6% +15.8%
3P %	17 35.6% 13 36.0%	DET 37.5% +4.2% CLE 33.3%
FT %	27 76.3% 19 77.6%	DET 100.0% +13.3% CLE 86.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 40.1% 14 31.7%	DET 37.9% +14.1% CLE 23.8%
Mid Att. %	11 25.3% 8 24.1%	DET 20.0% −3.7% CLE 23.8%
3P Att. %	29 34.5% 9 44.2%	DET 42.1% CLE 52.5% +10.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Game Totals	DET	CLE
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	25.8	22.2
Points	114	110
Rebounds	45	44
Assists	25	23
Steals	11	11
Blocks	9	10
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	17 (0)
Fouls	24	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (7)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (4)	33 (2)
Field Goals	39-95	35-80
At-the-Rim FG	17-36	11-19
Midrange FG	7-19	10-19
2-Point FG	24-55	21-38
3-Point FG	15-40	14-42
Free Throws	21-21	26-30
Fast Break Pts	19	16
2nd Chance Pts	14	17
Points in Paint	40	30
Pts off Turnovers	17	21
Bench Points	51	28
Biggest Lead	13	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg