Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, January 13, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Hawks	55%	117	116	114.9	101	113.1
	19	Lakers	45%	115	141	138.2	102	92.2

Prediction updated: Jan 14, 2026 03:32 AM

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+15

-6

110

LAL

+14

-14

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.06 53.2%

LAL

1.40 69.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	33.3	7	39%	8	4	0	1	1	4	1	7	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 27	33.0	26	81%	4	3	0	0	0	3	0	4	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	5-9	56%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 23	33.0	8	67%	8	5	2	0	0	1	5	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	30.4	13	36%	3	6	1	0	0	4	1	2	2-2	100%	4-10	40%	1-7	14%
Vít Krejčí #27 · SF · 6'8" 195 · 26	21.4	11	46%	2	4	1	0	1	3	1	1	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-7	14%

CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	27.2	25	52%	1	3	1	0	2	2	0	1	1-3	33%	9-15	60%	2-8	25%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	25.6	19	68%	0	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	4-6	67%	3-4	75%	3-7	43%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	22.2	5	50%	4	1	5	0	0	2	2	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	10.1	0	0%	1	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	3.8	2	33%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Contusion
Luke Kennard #4 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Neck; Sprain
Nikola Đurišić #22 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
RayJ Dennis #0 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
N'Faly Dante #12 · C · 6'11" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Torn ACL
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendinitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	53%	32	30	11	1	6	23	12	20	13-18	72%	32-54	59%	13-46	28%

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14 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	33.3	7	39%	8	4	0	1	1	4	1	7	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 27	33.0	26	81%	4	3	0	0	0	3	0	4	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	5-9	56%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 23	33.0	8	67%	8	5	2	0	0	1	5	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	30.4	13	36%	3	6	1	0	0	4	1	2	2-2	100%	4-10	40%	1-7	14%
Vít Krejčí #27 · SF · 6'8" 195 · 26	21.4	11	46%	2	4	1	0	1	3	1	1	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-7	14%

CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	27.2	25	52%	1	3	1	0	2	2	0	1	1-3	33%	9-15	60%	2-8	25%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	25.6	19	68%	0	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	4-6	67%	3-4	75%	3-7	43%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	22.2	5	50%	4	1	5	0	0	2	2	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	10.1	0	0%	1	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	3.8	2	33%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Contusion
Luke Kennard #4 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Neck; Sprain
Nikola Đurišić #22 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
RayJ Dennis #0 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
N'Faly Dante #12 · C · 6'11" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Torn ACL
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendinitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	53%	32	30	11	1	6	23	12	20	13-18	72%	32-54	59%	13-46	28%

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19 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jake LaRavia #12 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 24	35.6	17	77%	4	3	1	0	2	3	1	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	3-4	75%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 27	33.3	27	68%	5	12	0	1	7	4	2	3	8-10	80%	2-7	29%	5-9	56%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 41	32.6	31	67%	9	10	1	1	4	1	1	8	5-6	83%	10-16	63%	2-4	50%
Deandre Ayton #5 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	30.9	17	85%	18	1	0	0	0	3	3	15	3-3	100%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Marcus Smart #36 · SG · 6'3" 220 · 32	29.4	16	100%	5	4	0	1	0	3	2	3	6-6	100%	2-2	100%	2-3	67%

Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	18.3	7	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 27	15.6	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	15.3	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	14.2	10	83%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
Nick Smith Jr. #20 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 22	3.8	6	150%	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Drew Timme #17 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 25	3.8	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Kobe Bufkin #18 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 22	3.8	3	150%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 21	3.7	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Mañon #30 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 24	INACTIVE
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Adou Thiero #1 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right MCL; Sprain
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	141	70%	47	36	2	3	14	17	10	37	26-30	87%	29-49	59%	19-34	56%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	LAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.06 53.2%

LAL

1.40 69.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

68%

LAL

63%

Midrange

ATL

50%

LAL

55%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

19.5

28%

42%

LAL

28.5

56%

84%

Free Throws

ATL

72%

LAL

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Alexander-Walker	26	81%	13.0 / 16
C. McCollum	25	52%	12.5 / 24
C. Kispert	19	68%	9.5 / 14
J. Johnson	13	36%	6.5 / 18
V. Krejčí	11	46%	5.5 / 12
D. Daniels	8	67%	4.0 / 6
O. Okongwu	7	39%	3.5 / 9
M. Gueye	5	50%	2.5 / 5
K. Wallace	2	33%	1.0 / 3
A. Newell	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	31	67%	15.5 / 23
L. Dončić	27	68%	13.5 / 20
J. LaRavia	17	77%	8.5 / 11
D. Ayton	17	85%	8.5 / 10
M. Smart	16	100%	8.0 / 8
G. Vincent	10	83%	5.0 / 6
R. Hachimura	7	50%	3.5 / 7
N. Smith	6	150%	3.0 / 2
J. Vanderbilt	3	50%	1.5 / 3
K. Bufkin	3	150%	1.5 / 1
D. Knecht	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Timme	2	100%	1.0 / 1
B. James	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 115.1 10 117.1	ATL 114.9 LAL 138.2 +23.4
Pace	4 102.5 21 99.2	ATL 113.1 +20.9 LAL 92.2
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.5 6 14.8	ATL 12.7 −2.9 LAL 15.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.4% 2 57.3%	ATL 51.5% LAL 69.3% +17.8%
TO %	8 13.0% 19 13.9%	ATL 5.3% −9.0% LAL 14.3%
ORB %	20 24.3% 22 23.9%	ATL 24.5% LAL 33.3% +8.8%
FTrt	27 23.4 1 32.0	ATL 18.0 LAL 36.1 +18.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 69.1% 19 61.5%	ATL 66.7% LAL 75.0% +8.3%
STL %	6 9.1% 12 8.6%	ATL 10.9% +8.9% LAL 2.0%
BLK %	18 8.8% 23 8.3%	ATL 2.0% LAL 5.6% +3.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 56.9% 2 59.4%	ATL 53.2% LAL 69.8% +16.6%
Rim FG%	21 63.3% 1 72.0%	ATL 67.9% +4.9% LAL 63.0%
Mid FG%	6 44.6% 4 46.8%	ATL 50.0% LAL 54.5% +4.5%
3P %	5 37.1% 14 35.9%	ATL 28.3% LAL 55.9% +27.6%
FT %	20 77.4% 26 76.3%	ATL 72.2% LAL 86.7% +14.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 32.1% 21 30.7%	ATL 28.0% LAL 32.5% +4.5%
Mid Att. %	9 25.0% 26 30.0%	ATL 26.0% −0.5% LAL 26.5%
3P Att. %	11 42.9% 22 39.4%	ATL 46.0% +5.0% LAL 41.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.16 and 3.16.

Game Totals	ATL	LAL
Possessions	101	102
Possession Minutes	21.4	26.6
Points	116	141
Rebounds	32	47
Assists	30	36
Steals	11	2
Blocks	1	3
Turnovers (Team)	6 (0)	14 (2)
Fouls	23	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (3)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	20 (4)	37 (5)
Field Goals	45-100	48-83
At-the-Rim FG	19-28	17-27
Midrange FG	13-26	12-22
2-Point FG	32-54	29-49
3-Point FG	13-46	19-34
Free Throws	13-18	26-30
Fast Break Pts	16	23
2nd Chance Pts	16	10
Points in Paint	56	56
Pts off Turnovers	18	14
Bench Points	51	33
Biggest Lead	5	32

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg