Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 12, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Jazz	15%	116	123	118.3	104	97.6
	5	Cavaliers	85%	129	112	107.7	104	111.3

Prediction updated: Jan 13, 2026 12:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

+14

-16

102

CLE

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.21 60.3%

CLE

1.13 56.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	36.3	28	67%	12	2	1	1	1	0	0	12	9-12	75%	5-8	63%	3-8	38%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	33.5	32	73%	5	9	1	0	4	0	1	4	12-12	100%	4-8	50%	4-8	50%
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	30.2	11	55%	17	3	3	2	1	1	3	14	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	1-1	100%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 29	26.2	11	79%	1	3	0	0	3	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-6	50%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21	21.4	8	57%	3	2	0	0	2	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-5	40%

Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	23.6	7	39%	0	1	1	0	2	2	0	0	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	19.0	7	50%	3	8	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	17.8	11	92%	3	2	0	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	16.8	4	67%	3	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Ace Bailey #19 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 19	15.3	4	50%	3	2	0	1	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Walter Clayton Jr. #13 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kyle Anderson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Tonje #17 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury recovery
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fourth metatarsal stress reaction
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	60%	50	32	7	4	16	14	8	42	25-28	89%	22-42	52%	18-41	44%

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27 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	36.3	28	67%	12	2	1	1	1	0	0	12	9-12	75%	5-8	63%	3-8	38%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	33.5	32	73%	5	9	1	0	4	0	1	4	12-12	100%	4-8	50%	4-8	50%
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	30.2	11	55%	17	3	3	2	1	1	3	14	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	1-1	100%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 29	26.2	11	79%	1	3	0	0	3	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-6	50%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21	21.4	8	57%	3	2	0	0	2	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-5	40%

Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	23.6	7	39%	0	1	1	0	2	2	0	0	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	19.0	7	50%	3	8	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	17.8	11	92%	3	2	0	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	16.8	4	67%	3	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Ace Bailey #19 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 19	15.3	4	50%	3	2	0	1	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Walter Clayton Jr. #13 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kyle Anderson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Tonje #17 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury recovery
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fourth metatarsal stress reaction
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	60%	50	32	7	4	16	14	8	42	25-28	89%	22-42	52%	18-41	44%

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5 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 25	34.3	15	63%	9	8	2	3	1	4	2	7	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	1-4	25%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 29	34.0	21	55%	3	2	1	0	0	2	0	3	3-3	100%	3-9	33%	4-9	44%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	33.6	23	61%	2	8	3	1	3	2	0	2	4-4	100%	2-8	25%	5-9	56%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	32.4	8	50%	4	3	1	0	2	1	2	2	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Sam Merrill #5 · SF · 6'4" 205 · 30	27.7	14	64%	2	3	0	0	1	5	0	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	3-8	38%

Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	25.5	11	61%	4	2	2	0	2	3	0	4	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	19.2	13	59%	3	3	1	2	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	5-8	63%	1-3	33%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	17.7	2	20%	0	3	0	0	3	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	15.7	5	83%	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chris Livingston #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	57%	30	33	10	6	13	19	6	24	13-13	100%	24-51	47%	17-41	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	CLE
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	CLE

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.21 60.3%

CLE

1.13 56.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

65%

CLE

62%

Midrange

UTA

31%

CLE

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

27.0

44%

66%

CLE

25.5

41%

62%

Free Throws

UTA

89%

CLE

100%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. George	32	73%	16.0 / 22
L. Markkanen	28	67%	14.0 / 21
J. Nurkić	11	55%	5.5 / 10
S. Mykhailiuk	11	79%	5.5 / 7
K. Love	11	92%	5.5 / 6
C. Williams	8	57%	4.0 / 7
B. Sensabaugh	7	39%	3.5 / 9
I. Collier	7	50%	3.5 / 7
K. Filipowski	4	67%	2.0 / 3
A. Bailey	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Garland	23	61%	11.5 / 19
D. Mitchell	21	55%	10.5 / 19
E. Mobley	15	63%	7.5 / 12
S. Merrill	14	64%	7.0 / 11
N. Tomlin	13	59%	6.5 / 11
J. Tyson	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Allen	8	50%	4.0 / 8
C. Porter	5	83%	2.5 / 3
D. Hunter	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 112.9 6 118.3	UTA 118.3 +10.6 CLE 107.7
Pace	2 103.4 12 100.6	UTA 97.6 CLE 111.3 +13.7
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 21 14.1	UTA 14.8 CLE 12.9 −1.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.6% 5 56.1%	UTA 59.0% +5.2% CLE 53.8%
TO %	23 14.4% 10 13.2%	UTA 16.6% CLE 12.5% −4.1%
ORB %	12 26.2% 9 26.9%	UTA 25.0% +12.5% CLE 12.5%
FTrt	10 27.7 15 26.5	UTA 33.7 +19.6 CLE 14.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 69.6% 11 65.3%	UTA 80.0% CLE 80.5% +0.5%
STL %	14 8.5% 15 8.4%	UTA 6.7% CLE 9.6% +2.9%
BLK %	30 7.5% 11 9.8%	UTA 7.8% CLE 14.3% +6.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.4% 5 58.2%	UTA 60.3% +3.7% CLE 56.6%
Rim FG%	17 64.5% 7 66.1%	UTA 65.4% +3.9% CLE 61.5%
Mid FG%	8 44.4% 3 46.8%	UTA 31.3% CLE 32.0% +0.7%
3P %	25 34.5% 13 36.0%	UTA 43.9% +2.4% CLE 41.5%
FT %	13 78.6% 19 77.6%	UTA 89.3% CLE 100.0% +10.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 31.3% 14 31.7%	UTA 31.3% +3.1% CLE 28.3%
Mid Att. %	23 28.4% 8 24.1%	UTA 19.3% −7.9% CLE 27.2%
3P Att. %	21 40.3% 9 44.2%	UTA 49.4% +4.8% CLE 44.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	UTA	CLE
Possessions	104	104
Possession Minutes	25.6	22.4
Points	123	112
Rebounds	50	30
Assists	32	33
Steals	7	10
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	16 (3)	13 (1)
Fouls	14	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (6)	6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	42 (1)	24 (7)
Field Goals	40-83	41-92
At-the-Rim FG	17-26	16-26
Midrange FG	5-16	8-25
2-Point FG	22-42	24-51
3-Point FG	18-41	17-41
Free Throws	25-28	13-13
Fast Break Pts	17	20
2nd Chance Pts	14	12
Points in Paint	40	38
Pts off Turnovers	13	25
Bench Points	33	31
Biggest Lead	17	10

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg