Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, January 12, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Jan 13, 2026 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Celtics | 69% | 116 | 96 |
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Updated: Jan 13, 2026 12:11 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 17 | Raptors | 45% | 110 | 102 |
Updated: Jan 13, 2026 12:11 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Nets | 49% | 111 | 105 |
 | 28 | Mavericks | 51% | 112 | 113 |
Updated: Jan 13, 2026 01:02 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Lakers | 75% | 118 | 112 |
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Updated: Jan 13, 2026 03:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Hornets | 35% | 110 | 109 |
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Updated: Jan 13, 2026 03:01 AM
game detailSunday, January 11, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Pelicans | 33% | 113 | 118 |
 | 22 | Magic | 67% | 118 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 36% | 110 | 98 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 47% | 110 | 115 |
| 19 | Raptors | 53% | 111 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Knicks | 64% | 120 | 123 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Timberwolves | 59% | 116 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Heat | 14% | 107 | 112 |
 | 1 | Thunder | 86% | 121 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Bucks | 64% | 114 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 29 | Kings | 14% | 105 | 111 |
Saturday, January 10, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 41% | 115 | 134 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 59% | 118 | 146 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 64% | 117 | 99 |
| 22 | Pacers | 36% | 113 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 41% | 106 | 98 |
 | 13 | Pistons | 59% | 109 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spurs | 41% | 114 | 100 |
| 4 | Celtics | 59% | 117 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Mavericks | 41% | 115 | 107 |
 | 23 | Bulls | 59% | 118 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 68% | 123 | 150 |
| 30 | Jazz | 32% | 117 | 95 |
Friday, January 9, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 23% | 108 | 117 |
| 2 | Celtics | 77% | 118 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 76ers | 55% | 114 | 103 |
| 17 | Magic | 45% | 113 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pelicans | 49% | 117 | 128 |
| 28 | Wizards | 51% | 118 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 61% | 113 | 121 |
| 21 | Nets | 39% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Thunder | 62% | 114 | 117 |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 38% | 110 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 59% | 115 | 110 |
| 25 | Nuggets | 41% | 112 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 49% | 115 | 107 |
| 9 | Suns | 51% | 116 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 11% | 105 | 103 |
| 1 | Warriors | 89% | 121 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 74% | 117 | 105 |
| 22 | Blazers | 26% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 49% | 114 | 105 |
| 16 | Lakers | 51% | 115 | 101 |
Thursday, January 8, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 41% | 114 | 114 |
| 17 | Hornets | 59% | 117 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 45% | 116 | 122 |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 55% | 118 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 62% | 123 | 114 |
| 27 | Jazz | 38% | 119 | 116 |
Wednesday, January 7, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 55% | 115 | 97 |
| 17 | Hornets | 45% | 113 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 31% | 108 | 93 |
| 16 | Pistons | 69% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 10% | 107 | 110 |
| 9 | 76ers | 90% | 124 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nuggets | 23% | 111 | 114 |
| 2 | Celtics | 77% | 121 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pelicans | 17% | 111 | 100 |
| 15 | Hawks | 83% | 124 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 43% | 111 | 104 |
| 21 | Nets | 57% | 114 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 37% | 111 | 111 |
| 7 | Knicks | 63% | 115 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 65% | 117 | 117 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 35% | 112 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 8% | 109 | 125 |
| 1 | Thunder | 92% | 127 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 26% | 111 | 91 |
| 8 | Spurs | 74% | 119 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 33% | 111 | 113 |
| 3 | Warriors | 67% | 116 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 71% | 117 | 102 |
| 24 | Blazers | 29% | 109 | 103 |
Tuesday, January 6, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 65% | 117 | 120 |
| 25 | Pacers | 35% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 70% | 119 | 112 |
| 29 | Wizards | 30% | 112 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 65% | 120 | 105 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 35% | 115 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 40% | 114 | 94 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 60% | 117 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Lakers | 60% | 119 | 111 |
| 27 | Pelicans | 40% | 116 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 68% | 117 | 100 |
| 30 | Kings | 32% | 111 | 98 |
Monday, January 5, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 57% | 114 | 90 |
| 10 | Pistons | 43% | 112 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 18% | 112 | 101 |
| 2 | Celtics | 82% | 123 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 49% | 115 | 100 |
| 15 | Raptors | 51% | 116 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 27% | 107 | 97 |
| 4 | Rockets | 73% | 115 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 15% | 108 | 124 |
| 1 | Thunder | 85% | 121 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nuggets | 12% | 104 | 125 |
| 6 | 76ers | 88% | 119 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 67% | 112 | 102 |
| 19 | Clippers | 33% | 107 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 39% | 118 | 117 |
| 23 | Blazers | 61% | 121 | 137 |
Sunday, January 4, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 38% | 113 | 114 |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 62% | 117 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 35% | 110 | 127 |
| 18 | Magic | 65% | 114 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nuggets | 60% | 116 | 115 |
| 26 | Nets | 40% | 112 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pelicans | 26% | 114 | 106 |
| 10 | Heat | 74% | 122 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 73% | 120 | 141 |
| 30 | Wizards | 27% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 76% | 116 | 105 |
| 13 | Suns | 24% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bucks | 69% | 117 | 115 |
| 29 | Kings | 31% | 111 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 47% | 116 | 114 |
| 16 | Lakers | 53% | 117 | 120 |
Saturday, January 3, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 49% | 115 | 125 |
| 9 | Heat | 51% | 116 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 76ers | 43% | 115 | 130 |
| 5 | Knicks | 57% | 117 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 41% | 112 | 117 |
| 16 | Raptors | 59% | 115 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 51% | 121 | 112 |
| 23 | Bulls | 49% | 120 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Blazers | 28% | 113 | 115 |
| 10 | Spurs | 72% | 120 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 72% | 116 | 104 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 28% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 18% | 114 | 114 |
| 3 | Warriors | 82% | 126 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 59% | 114 | 146 |
| 13 | Clippers | 41% | 111 | 115 |
Friday, January 2, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | 67% | 119 | 123 |
| 23 | Pacers | 33% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 39% | 110 | 99 |
| 27 | Wizards | 61% | 114 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nuggets | 22% | 113 | 108 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 78% | 123 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 39% | 116 | 111 |
| 8 | Knicks | 61% | 119 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 62% | 117 | 114 |
| 22 | Bulls | 38% | 114 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 36% | 115 | 121 |
| 10 | Bucks | 64% | 119 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Blazers | 61% | 118 | 122 |
| 30 | Pelicans | 39% | 114 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 19% | 107 | 102 |
| 11 | Suns | 81% | 118 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 78% | 114 | 131 |
| 18 | Warriors | 22% | 104 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 49% | 116 | 121 |
| 19 | Lakers | 51% | 117 | 128 |
Thursday, January 1, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 83% | 115 | 120 |
| 26 | Nets | 17% | 103 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 41% | 112 | 118 |
| 7 | Pistons | 59% | 115 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 76ers | 60% | 116 | 123 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 40% | 112 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 82% | 120 | 120 |
| 28 | Kings | 18% | 108 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 14% | 107 | 101 |
| 11 | Clippers | 86% | 121 | 118 |
Wednesday, December 31, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 70% | 118 | 132 |
| 21 | Hornets | 30% | 111 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 59% | 117 | 102 |
| 17 | Hawks | 41% | 114 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 64% | 115 | 112 |
| 23 | Pacers | 36% | 110 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 31% | 112 | 113 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 69% | 119 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | 47% | 120 | 118 |
| 24 | Bulls | 53% | 121 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 44% | 116 | 132 |
| 8 | Spurs | 56% | 118 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nuggets | 34% | 111 | 106 |
| 16 | Raptors | 66% | 116 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 23% | 111 | 114 |
| 15 | Bucks | 77% | 120 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Blazers | 11% | 105 | 95 |
| 1 | Thunder | 89% | 121 | 124 |
Tuesday, December 30, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 53% | 116 | 139 |
| 18 | Grizzlies | 47% | 115 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 77% | 124 | 129 |
| 26 | Jazz | 23% | 115 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pistons | 60% | 115 | 128 |
| 19 | Lakers | 40% | 112 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 25% | 107 | 90 |
| 11 | Clippers | 75% | 116 | 131 |