Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, December 31, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Magic	64%	115	112	102.8	109	99.7
	23	Pacers	36%	110	110	100.9	109	120.3

Prediction updated: Dec 31, 2025 08:01 PM

Scoring Opportunities

ORL

+14

-19

104

IND

-16

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.08 53.8%

IND

1.11 55.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

13 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 23	34.8	29	60%	10	4	1	3	5	2	0	10	5-7	71%	12-20	60%	0-1	0%
Desmond Bane #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28	33.4	18	50%	7	6	0	0	2	3	1	6	3-3	100%	6-13	46%	1-4	25%
Anthony Black #0 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	31.1	15	63%	4	5	2	1	4	3	0	4	3-3	100%	6-8	75%	0-3	0%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 27	28.9	6	43%	11	2	0	0	0	2	1	10	4-6	67%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 25	25.4	11	46%	3	3	3	0	3	4	1	2	2-3	67%	3-7	43%	1-4	25%

Tyus Jones #2 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	23.6	4	29%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	19.1	14	88%	9	3	0	0	2	2	5	4	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	14.6	0	0%	4	3	0	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-2	0%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 27	12.3	11	92%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Noah Penda #93 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 21	9.1	4	67%	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jase Richardson #11 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 20	7.8	0	0%	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	DNP – Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Orlando Robinson #7 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left High Ankle; Sprain
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sore
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	54%	49	28	9	4	19	23	8	41	23-28	82%	40-69	58%	3-21	14%

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13 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 23	34.8	29	60%	10	4	1	3	5	2	0	10	5-7	71%	12-20	60%	0-1	0%
Desmond Bane #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28	33.4	18	50%	7	6	0	0	2	3	1	6	3-3	100%	6-13	46%	1-4	25%
Anthony Black #0 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	31.1	15	63%	4	5	2	1	4	3	0	4	3-3	100%	6-8	75%	0-3	0%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 27	28.9	6	43%	11	2	0	0	0	2	1	10	4-6	67%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 25	25.4	11	46%	3	3	3	0	3	4	1	2	2-3	67%	3-7	43%	1-4	25%

Tyus Jones #2 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	23.6	4	29%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	19.1	14	88%	9	3	0	0	2	2	5	4	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	14.6	0	0%	4	3	0	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-2	0%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 27	12.3	11	92%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Noah Penda #93 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 21	9.1	4	67%	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jase Richardson #11 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 20	7.8	0	0%	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	DNP – Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Orlando Robinson #7 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left High Ankle; Sprain
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sore
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	54%	49	28	9	4	19	23	8	41	23-28	82%	40-69	58%	3-21	14%

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23 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 24	37.0	23	77%	5	2	0	0	5	1	0	5	13-13	100%	2-4	50%	2-6	33%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	33.8	26	52%	4	0	2	1	1	5	0	4	5-10	50%	6-12	50%	3-8	38%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	30.7	19	68%	4	7	1	0	3	2	0	4	0-0	-	8-10	80%	1-5	20%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	10.5	0	0%	0	1	2	0	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Johnny Furphy #12 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	5.3	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-

Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	31.6	9	38%	10	0	3	1	0	4	3	7	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	2-6	33%
Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	25.9	8	67%	3	3	0	0	1	3	0	3	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	18.6	12	75%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	17.7	9	64%	4	0	1	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	17.3	4	40%	1	8	1	1	3	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 28	11.5	0	0%	5	1	0	0	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Fracture
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Concussion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	56%	39	22	10	3	16	24	5	34	26-32	81%	24-48	50%	12-35	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	IND
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.08 53.8%

IND

1.11 55.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

70%

IND

63%

Midrange

ORL

41%

IND

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

4.5

14%

21%

IND

18.0

34%

51%

Free Throws

ORL

82%

IND

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Banchero	29	60%	14.5 / 24
D. Bane	18	50%	9.0 / 18
A. Black	15	63%	7.5 / 12
G. Bitadze	14	88%	7.0 / 8
J. Suggs	11	46%	5.5 / 12
J. Cain	11	92%	5.5 / 6
W. Carter	6	43%	3.0 / 7
T. Jones	4	29%	2.0 / 7
N. Penda	4	67%	2.0 / 3
T. da Silva	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Siakam	26	52%	13.0 / 25
B. Mathurin	23	77%	11.5 / 15
A. Nembhard	19	68%	9.5 / 14
B. Sheppard	12	75%	6.0 / 8
A. Nesmith	9	38%	4.5 / 12
J. Walker	9	64%	4.5 / 7
M. Potter	8	67%	4.0 / 6
T. McConnell	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Huff	0	-	0.0 / 3
J. Furphy	0	-	0.0 / 0
T. Bradley	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.3 28 110.1	ORL 102.8 +1.8 IND 100.9
Pace	14 100.5 10 101.4	ORL 99.7 IND 120.3 +20.6
Avg. Poss. Time	17 14.2 25 13.9	ORL 14.4 IND 12.0 −2.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 53.0% 23 53.3%	ORL 49.4% IND 50.6% +1.2%
TO %	12 13.5% 14 13.6%	ORL 15.7% IND 14.1% −1.6%
ORB %	18 25.0% 29 21.7%	ORL 19.0% +8.1% IND 10.9%
FTrt	2 31.1 20 25.2	ORL 31.1 IND 38.6 +7.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 64.7% 5 67.8%	ORL 65.1% +4.0% IND 61.1%
STL %	16 8.4% 28 7.2%	ORL 8.3% IND 9.2% +0.9%
BLK %	17 8.8% 26 8.1%	ORL 8.3% +4.0% IND 4.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 56.3% 24 55.4%	ORL 53.8% IND 55.6% +1.8%
Rim FG%	24 63.0% 25 62.9%	ORL 70.0% +7.5% IND 62.5%
Mid FG%	24 41.5% 19 42.7%	ORL 41.4% +3.9% IND 37.5%
3P %	27 34.3% 18 35.6%	ORL 14.3% IND 34.3% +20.0%
FT %	8 80.1% 17 77.6%	ORL 82.1% +0.8% IND 81.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 35.7% 23 30.3%	ORL 44.4% +15.5% IND 28.9%
Mid Att. %	12 25.7% 18 27.5%	ORL 32.2% IND 28.9% −3.3%
3P Att. %	24 38.6% 14 42.2%	ORL 23.3% IND 42.2% +18.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ORL	IND
Possessions	109	109
Possession Minutes	26.3	21.8
Points	112	110
Rebounds	49	39
Assists	28	22
Steals	9	10
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls	23	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (6)	5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	41 (2)	34 (2)
Field Goals	43-90	36-83
At-the-Rim FG	28-40	15-24
Midrange FG	12-29	9-24
2-Point FG	40-69	24-48
3-Point FG	3-21	12-35
Free Throws	23-28	26-32
Fast Break Pts	11	15
2nd Chance Pts	9	1
Points in Paint	70	38
Pts off Turnovers	20	15
Bench Points	33	42
Biggest Lead	9	10

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg