Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, December 31, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Warriors	70%	118	132	130.7	101	95.3
	21	Hornets	30%	111	125	123.8	101	107.4

Prediction updated: Dec 31, 2025 05:46 PM

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+11

-19

CHA

+16

-15

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.42 71.0%

CHA

1.23 61.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	33.1	26	76%	2	4	0	1	5	4	0	2	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	5-10	50%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	30.9	19	68%	5	7	1	0	3	1	1	4	11-12	92%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	28.2	10	83%	8	12	1	0	4	2	1	7	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	18.9	7	50%	5	2	1	1	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	14.3	9	64%	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-7	43%

Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	23.3	19	95%	3	3	0	0	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	5-7	71%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	22.9	7	44%	3	2	2	0	3	3	3	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	17.0	5	83%	2	3	1	0	2	3	2	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	16.8	13	108%	5	2	0	1	0	0	2	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-4	75%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	13.1	8	57%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	10.0	9	113%	1	0	0	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-1	100%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	6.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	5.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	71%	37	35	7	3	19	20	10	27	16-17	94%	22-34	65%	24-49	49%

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3 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	33.1	26	76%	2	4	0	1	5	4	0	2	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	5-10	50%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	30.9	19	68%	5	7	1	0	3	1	1	4	11-12	92%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	28.2	10	83%	8	12	1	0	4	2	1	7	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	18.9	7	50%	5	2	1	1	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	14.3	9	64%	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-7	43%

Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	23.3	19	95%	3	3	0	0	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	5-7	71%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	22.9	7	44%	3	2	2	0	3	3	3	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	17.0	5	83%	2	3	1	0	2	3	2	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	16.8	13	108%	5	2	0	1	0	0	2	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-4	75%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	13.1	8	57%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	10.0	9	113%	1	0	0	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-1	100%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	6.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	5.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	71%	37	35	7	3	19	20	10	27	16-17	94%	22-34	65%	24-49	49%

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21 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	36.4	33	55%	2	2	1	0	3	4	1	1	2-3	67%	11-17	65%	3-12	25%
Kon Knueppel #7 · PF · 6'6" 215 · 20	32.3	20	83%	5	8	0	0	1	4	2	3	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	4-7	57%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	30.3	27	96%	5	5	3	0	5	1	1	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	7-10	70%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 24	27.9	0	0%	8	3	1	1	2	4	2	6	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Collin Sexton #8 · SF · 6'3" 190 · 27	27.4	16	44%	5	8	3	0	4	5	1	4	4-5	80%	6-11	55%	0-5	0%

Sion James #4 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 23	25.8	9	90%	1	3	1	0	0	3	0	1	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	16.8	6	60%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Josh Green #10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	16.7	5	50%	2	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
PJ Hall #16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	15.7	9	64%	7	2	0	0	0	0	2	5	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Liam McNeeley #33 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 20	10.8	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Connaughton #21 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	INACTIVE
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	INACTIVE
Miles Bridges #0 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Mason Plumlee #22 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	61%	37	35	11	1	15	23	11	26	13-17	76%	32-53	60%	16-40	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	CHA
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	CHA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.42 71.0%

CHA

1.23 61.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

70%

CHA

72%

Midrange

GSW

57%

CHA

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

36.0

49%

73%

CHA

24.0

40%

60%

Free Throws

GSW

94%

CHA

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	26	76%	13.0 / 17
J. Butler	19	68%	9.5 / 14
B. Podziemski	19	95%	9.5 / 10
G. Santos	13	108%	6.5 / 6
D. Green	10	83%	5.0 / 6
Q. Post	9	64%	4.5 / 7
G. Payton	9	113%	4.5 / 4
A. Horford	8	57%	4.0 / 7
M. Moody	7	50%	3.5 / 7
D. Melton	7	44%	3.5 / 8
W. Richard	5	83%	2.5 / 3
P. Spencer	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Miller	33	55%	16.5 / 30
L. Ball	27	96%	13.5 / 14
K. Knueppel	20	83%	10.0 / 12
C. Sexton	16	44%	8.0 / 18
S. James	9	90%	4.5 / 5
P. Hall	9	64%	4.5 / 7
T. Salaün	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Green	5	50%	2.5 / 5
M. Diabaté	0	-	0.0 / 3
L. McNeeley	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.0 5 118.6	GSW 130.7 +6.9 CHA 123.8
Pace	18 99.9 27 97.5	GSW 95.3 CHA 107.4 +12.1
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.7 3 15.2	GSW 15.1 CHA 13.4 −1.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 12 55.2%	GSW 69.9% +9.7% CHA 60.2%
TO %	28 14.9% 27 14.8%	GSW 17.4% CHA 13.0% −4.4%
ORB %	14 25.8% 4 30.5%	GSW 27.8% CHA 28.9% +1.1%
FTrt	24 23.8 23 24.4	GSW 20.5 +2.2 CHA 18.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 70.6% 14 64.3%	GSW 76.1% +3.2% CHA 72.9%
STL %	3 9.6% 29 7.2%	GSW 6.9% CHA 10.9% +4.0%
BLK %	27 8.0% 20 8.6%	GSW 5.7% +2.8% CHA 2.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.1% 10 57.3%	GSW 71.0% +9.7% CHA 61.3%
Rim FG%	5 66.7% 23 63.1%	GSW 70.0% CHA 71.9% +1.9%
Mid FG%	22 42.1% 25 41.4%	GSW 57.1% +14.2% CHA 42.9%
3P %	20 35.6% 3 37.8%	GSW 49.0% +9.0% CHA 40.0%
FT %	6 80.7% 2 81.8%	GSW 94.1% +17.6% CHA 76.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 29.5% 25 29.3%	GSW 24.1% CHA 34.4% +10.3%
Mid Att. %	3 20.8% 6 22.0%	GSW 16.9% −5.7% CHA 22.6%
3P Att. %	1 49.7% 2 48.7%	GSW 59.0% +16.0% CHA 43.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	CHA
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	25.4	22.6
Points	132	125
Rebounds	37	37
Assists	35	35
Steals	7	11
Blocks	3	1
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls	20	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (1)	11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (3)	26 (1)
Field Goals	46-83	48-93
At-the-Rim FG	14-20	23-32
Midrange FG	8-14	9-21
2-Point FG	22-34	32-53
3-Point FG	24-49	16-40
Free Throws	16-17	13-17
Fast Break Pts	7	19
2nd Chance Pts	21	10
Points in Paint	32	56
Pts off Turnovers	17	28
Bench Points	61	29
Biggest Lead	15	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg