Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, January 3, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Hornets	51%	121	112	112.0	100	97.1
	23	Bulls	49%	120	99	100.0	99	102.1

Prediction updated: Jan 4, 2026 01:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+16

-11

105

CHI

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.07 53.3%

CHI

1.03 51.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	36.3	22	55%	6	4	1	1	0	2	3	3	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	4-10	40%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 28	35.3	26	72%	14	1	1	0	1	1	0	14	1-1	100%	8-11	73%	3-7	43%
Kon Knueppel #7 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	32.9	18	47%	5	1	0	0	2	2	3	2	8-9	89%	2-8	25%	2-6	33%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	26.4	17	57%	6	7	2	0	1	1	0	6	0-0	-	4-7	57%	3-8	38%
PJ Hall #16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	22.1	10	63%	6	0	0	2	3	2	4	2	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	1-1	100%

Sion James #4 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 23	29.9	3	30%	7	3	0	0	2	2	1	6	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Josh Green #10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	24.6	3	50%	3	3	1	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Collin Sexton #8 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	19.8	13	59%	2	3	2	0	2	1	1	1	7-9	78%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Liam McNeeley #33 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 20	12.7	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Connaughton #21 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Mason Plumlee #22 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	53%	52	23	7	3	11	12	13	39	19-23	83%	24-50	48%	15-41	37%

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18 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	36.3	22	55%	6	4	1	1	0	2	3	3	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	4-10	40%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 28	35.3	26	72%	14	1	1	0	1	1	0	14	1-1	100%	8-11	73%	3-7	43%
Kon Knueppel #7 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	32.9	18	47%	5	1	0	0	2	2	3	2	8-9	89%	2-8	25%	2-6	33%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	26.4	17	57%	6	7	2	0	1	1	0	6	0-0	-	4-7	57%	3-8	38%
PJ Hall #16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	22.1	10	63%	6	0	0	2	3	2	4	2	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	1-1	100%

Sion James #4 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 23	29.9	3	30%	7	3	0	0	2	2	1	6	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Josh Green #10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	24.6	3	50%	3	3	1	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Collin Sexton #8 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	19.8	13	59%	2	3	2	0	2	1	1	1	7-9	78%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Liam McNeeley #33 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 20	12.7	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Connaughton #21 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Mason Plumlee #22 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	53%	52	23	7	3	11	12	13	39	19-23	83%	24-50	48%	15-41	37%

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23 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Matas Buzelis #14 · SG · 6'8" 196 · 21	34.4	17	45%	8	3	0	0	3	1	3	5	3-6	50%	4-8	50%	2-8	25%
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 35	34.0	28	82%	7	8	0	1	2	2	0	7	3-4	75%	8-11	73%	3-4	75%
Tre Jones #30 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	27.9	10	45%	2	8	1	0	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Isaac Okoro #35 · SF · 6'4" 225 · 25	27.2	2	20%	2	1	1	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 26	15.0	9	90%	5	1	0	3	1	0	2	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-2	50%

Kevin Huerter #13 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	30.5	9	38%	11	7	1	1	0	1	0	11	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-7	14%
Ayo Dosunmu #11 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 26	27.9	16	67%	4	4	1	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	5-7	71%	2-5	40%
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 22	15.1	3	50%	1	0	4	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 24	15.0	0	0%	3	0	1	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-5	0%
Dalen Terry #7 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 23	13.1	5	83%	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Lachlan Olbrich #47 · C · 6'8" 236 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Emanuel Miller #2 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Noa Essengue #24 · PF · 6'8" 194 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Trentyn Flowers #00 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Coby White #0 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Injury Management
Zach Collins #12 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 1st Toe; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	52%	43	32	9	5	11	16	6	37	10-14	71%	28-46	61%	11-41	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	CHI
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	CHI

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.07 53.3%

CHI

1.03 51.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

67%

CHI

69%

Midrange

CHA

31%

CHI

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

22.5

37%

55%

CHI

16.5

27%

40%

Free Throws

CHA

83%

CHI

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Bridges	26	72%	13.0 / 18
B. Miller	22	55%	11.0 / 20
K. Knueppel	18	47%	9.0 / 19
L. Ball	17	57%	8.5 / 15
C. Sexton	13	59%	6.5 / 11
P. Hall	10	63%	5.0 / 8
S. James	3	30%	1.5 / 5
J. Green	3	50%	1.5 / 3
L. McNeeley	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Vučević	28	82%	14.0 / 17
M. Buzelis	17	45%	8.5 / 19
A. Dosunmu	16	67%	8.0 / 12
T. Jones	10	45%	5.0 / 11
J. Smith	9	90%	4.5 / 5
K. Huerter	9	38%	4.5 / 12
D. Terry	5	83%	2.5 / 3
J. Phillips	3	50%	1.5 / 3
I. Okoro	2	20%	1.0 / 5
P. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 118.6 25 112.2	CHA 112.0 +12.0 CHI 100.0
Pace	27 97.5 3 103.3	CHA 97.1 CHI 102.1 +5.0
Avg. Poss. Time	3 15.2 28 13.6	CHA 14.8 CHI 14.1 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.2% 14 54.7%	CHA 51.1% CHI 51.1%
TO %	27 14.8% 20 14.1%	CHA 10.6% CHI 10.6%
ORB %	4 30.5% 27 23.1%	CHA 26.0% +12.7% CHI 13.3%
FTrt	23 24.4 22 24.6	CHA 25.3 +9.2 CHI 16.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 64.3% 7 67.2%	CHA 59.0% CHI 82.1% +23.1%
STL %	29 7.2% 26 7.4%	CHA 7.0% CHI 9.1% +2.1%
BLK %	20 8.6% 15 9.0%	CHA 6.5% CHI 10.0% +3.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.3% 17 56.5%	CHA 53.3% +1.7% CHI 51.6%
Rim FG%	23 63.1% 30 61.4%	CHA 66.7% CHI 69.0% +2.3%
Mid FG%	25 41.4% 15 43.7%	CHA 30.8% CHI 47.1% +16.3%
3P %	3 37.8% 19 35.6%	CHA 36.6% +9.8% CHI 26.8%
FT %	2 81.8% 18 77.6%	CHA 82.6% +11.2% CHI 71.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 29.3% 3 38.2%	CHA 26.4% CHI 33.3% +7.0%
Mid Att. %	6 22.0% 1 17.5%	CHA 28.6% CHI 19.5% −9.0%
3P Att. %	2 48.7% 8 44.3%	CHA 45.1% CHI 47.1% +2.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Game Totals	CHA	CHI
Possessions	100	99
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	112	99
Rebounds	52	43
Assists	23	32
Steals	7	9
Blocks	3	5
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	11 (0)
Fouls	12	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (3)	6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (5)	37 (1)
Field Goals	39-91	39-87
At-the-Rim FG	16-24	20-29
Midrange FG	8-26	8-17
2-Point FG	24-50	28-46
3-Point FG	15-41	11-41
Free Throws	19-23	10-14
Fast Break Pts	18	6
2nd Chance Pts	16	2
Points in Paint	46	52
Pts off Turnovers	16	12
Bench Points	19	33
Biggest Lead	18	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg