Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 9, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Rockets	74%	117	105	109.4	96	89.2
	22	Blazers	26%	109	111	114.4	97	105.0

Prediction updated: Jan 10, 2026 03:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+27

-13

110

POR

+17

-13

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.96 48.2%

POR

1.10 55.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23	40.6	13	30%	8	1	2	3	1	5	1	7	1-2	50%	6-11	55%	0-10	0%
Kevin Durant #7 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 37	39.4	30	68%	12	4	0	2	2	0	2	10	4-4	100%	7-11	64%	4-9	44%
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 23	37.0	24	57%	9	3	2	0	3	4	3	6	6-8	75%	9-14	64%	0-3	0%
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	32.7	5	63%	9	3	0	1	1	2	6	3	1-4	25%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Tari Eason #17 · SG · 6'8" 215 · 25	15.5	6	75%	3	2	2	1	3	3	2	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%

Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 22	33.6	20	48%	3	4	1	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	4-10	40%	4-11	36%
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	18.0	3	21%	3	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-7	14%
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	12.2	4	40%	5	2	1	0	1	0	2	3	2-4	50%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	11.1	0	0%	4	1	0	1	1	0	3	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	48%	56	21	8	8	13	17	22	34	15-24	63%	30-52	58%	10-44	23%

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3 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23	40.6	13	30%	8	1	2	3	1	5	1	7	1-2	50%	6-11	55%	0-10	0%
Kevin Durant #7 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 37	39.4	30	68%	12	4	0	2	2	0	2	10	4-4	100%	7-11	64%	4-9	44%
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 23	37.0	24	57%	9	3	2	0	3	4	3	6	6-8	75%	9-14	64%	0-3	0%
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	32.7	5	63%	9	3	0	1	1	2	6	3	1-4	25%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Tari Eason #17 · SG · 6'8" 215 · 25	15.5	6	75%	3	2	2	1	3	3	2	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%

Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 22	33.6	20	48%	3	4	1	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	4-10	40%	4-11	36%
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	18.0	3	21%	3	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-7	14%
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	12.2	4	40%	5	2	1	0	1	0	2	3	2-4	50%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	11.1	0	0%	4	1	0	1	1	0	3	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	48%	56	21	8	8	13	17	22	34	15-24	63%	30-52	58%	10-44	23%

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22 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	39.6	25	74%	2	2	1	0	3	1	0	2	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	5-11	45%
Deni Avdija #8 · PG · 6'8" 228 · 25	35.8	20	53%	3	6	2	0	5	1	1	2	8-8	100%	3-9	33%	2-6	33%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	34.7	20	45%	8	5	0	0	0	0	1	7	2-2	100%	6-15	40%	2-7	29%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	33.3	8	40%	15	6	2	1	2	2	5	10	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-4	0%
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	22.3	13	130%	1	1	3	0	1	4	1	0	3-3	100%	2-2	100%	2-2	100%

Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	24.6	18	64%	4	1	0	0	0	2	0	4	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	4-8	50%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	19.1	2	17%	1	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	2-4	50%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	13.2	2	20%	1	1	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 30	10.8	3	150%	5	1	0	2	0	2	2	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	6.6	0	0%	3	1	0	0	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Javonte Cooke #18 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendonitis
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 36	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinopathy
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Fracture
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	55%	43	26	9	3	13	17	14	29	21-23	91%	21-45	47%	16-44	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	POR
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	POR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.96 48.2%

POR

1.10 55.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

75%

POR

60%

Midrange

HOU

50%

POR

30%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

15.0

23%

34%

POR

24.0

36%

55%

Free Throws

HOU

63%

POR

91%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Durant	30	68%	15.0 / 22
A. Thompson	24	57%	12.0 / 21
R. Sheppard	20	48%	10.0 / 21
J. Smith	13	30%	6.5 / 22
T. Eason	6	75%	3.0 / 4
S. Adams	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Okogie	4	40%	2.0 / 5
D. Finney-Smith	3	21%	1.5 / 7
C. Capela	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Camara	25	74%	12.5 / 17
D. Avdija	20	53%	10.0 / 19
S. Sharpe	20	45%	10.0 / 22
C. Love	18	64%	9.0 / 14
S. Cissoko	13	130%	6.5 / 5
D. Clingan	8	40%	4.0 / 10
D. Reath	3	150%	1.5 / 1
R. Rupert	2	17%	1.0 / 6
Y. Hansen	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 117.5 21 113.1	HOU 109.4 POR 114.4 +5.1
Pace	29 96.9 8 101.6	HOU 89.2 POR 105.0 +15.8
Avg. Poss. Time	1 15.8 16 14.2	HOU 16.1 POR 13.7 −2.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 54.2% 22 53.3%	HOU 46.9% POR 50.6% +3.7%
TO %	25 14.7% 30 16.1%	HOU 10.9% −0.7% POR 11.6%
ORB %	1 34.8% 2 31.3%	HOU 43.1% +13.9% POR 29.2%
FTrt	18 26.0 9 28.0	HOU 25.0 POR 25.8 +0.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 59.1% 18 61.6%	HOU 52.5% POR 70.3% +17.8%
STL %	9 8.7% 20 8.1%	HOU 8.3% POR 9.3% +1.0%
BLK %	4 10.9% 8 10.1%	HOU 17.8% +12.0% POR 5.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.81 and 2.81.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 56.1% 23 55.6%	HOU 48.2% POR 55.0% +6.8%
Rim FG%	13 64.8% 19 63.9%	HOU 75.0% +15.0% POR 60.0%
Mid FG%	9 44.3% 29 37.4%	HOU 50.0% +20.0% POR 30.0%
3P %	10 36.4% 28 34.2%	HOU 22.7% POR 36.4% +13.7%
FT %	25 76.3% 24 76.5%	HOU 62.5% POR 91.3% +28.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 30.7% 5 35.6%	HOU 16.7% POR 28.1% +11.4%
Mid Att. %	29 34.2% 2 17.6%	HOU 37.5% POR 22.5% −15.0%
3P Att. %	28 35.0% 3 46.8%	HOU 45.8% POR 49.4% +3.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.26 and 2.26.

Game Totals	HOU	POR
Possessions	96	97
Possession Minutes	25.8	22.2
Points	105	111
Rebounds	56	43
Assists	21	26
Steals	8	9
Blocks	8	3
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls	17	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	22 (5)	14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (2)	29 (6)
Field Goals	40-96	37-89
At-the-Rim FG	12-16	15-25
Midrange FG	18-36	6-20
2-Point FG	30-52	21-45
3-Point FG	10-44	16-44
Free Throws	15-24	21-23
Fast Break Pts	14	12
2nd Chance Pts	16	22
Points in Paint	44	40
Pts off Turnovers	16	15
Bench Points	27	25
Biggest Lead	13	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg