Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 2, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Blazers	61%	118	122	129.8	94	91.0
	30	Pelicans	39%	114	109	117.2	93	96.2

Prediction updated: Jan 3, 2026 12:57 AM

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+24

-9

109

NOP

+28

-15

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.13 56.5%

NOP

1.03 51.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

24 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deni Avdija #8 · SG · 6'8" 228 · 25	38.4	34	68%	7	11	1	1	2	4	3	4	11-14	79%	7-14	50%	3-5	60%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	33.7	14	58%	6	4	0	1	1	3	1	5	2-3	67%	0-0	-	4-11	36%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · PG · 6'5" 210 · 23	31.0	23	57%	5	1	0	0	3	1	2	3	4-4	100%	8-12	67%	1-6	17%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	29.5	11	50%	15	1	0	1	0	2	9	6	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	0-3	0%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	26.0	6	33%	4	3	3	2	0	3	2	2	4-5	80%	1-4	25%	0-3	0%

Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	27.6	22	79%	2	2	0	0	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	6-11	55%
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	19.5	5	36%	0	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	18.5	4	67%	6	1	0	1	0	2	2	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	14.3	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Fracture
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinopathy
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendonitis
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 36	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Javonte Cooke #18 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tear
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	56%	46	27	6	7	9	17	19	27	24-30	80%	25-45	56%	16-47	34%

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24 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deni Avdija #8 · SG · 6'8" 228 · 25	38.4	34	68%	7	11	1	1	2	4	3	4	11-14	79%	7-14	50%	3-5	60%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	33.7	14	58%	6	4	0	1	1	3	1	5	2-3	67%	0-0	-	4-11	36%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · PG · 6'5" 210 · 23	31.0	23	57%	5	1	0	0	3	1	2	3	4-4	100%	8-12	67%	1-6	17%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	29.5	11	50%	15	1	0	1	0	2	9	6	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	0-3	0%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	26.0	6	33%	4	3	3	2	0	3	2	2	4-5	80%	1-4	25%	0-3	0%

Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	27.6	22	79%	2	2	0	0	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	6-11	55%
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	19.5	5	36%	0	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	18.5	4	67%	6	1	0	1	0	2	2	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	14.3	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Fracture
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinopathy
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendonitis
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 36	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Javonte Cooke #18 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tear
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	56%	46	27	6	7	9	17	19	27	24-30	80%	25-45	56%	16-47	34%

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30 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 25	30.7	35	60%	8	2	2	2	0	1	3	5	5-8	63%	15-26	58%	0-0	-
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	29.8	16	47%	1	6	0	0	2	5	1	0	2-3	67%	1-5	20%	4-11	36%
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	29.2	18	56%	5	4	0	2	4	0	2	3	2-2	100%	8-12	67%	0-3	0%
Bryce McGowens #11 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 23	24.4	13	59%	4	0	1	0	1	2	1	3	3-4	75%	2-7	29%	2-2	100%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	20.9	5	63%	3	2	1	3	0	0	1	2	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	24.3	4	50%	12	2	1	1	1	1	8	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 24	23.6	2	11%	3	2	1	1	0	5	2	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-5	0%
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 28	20.5	0	0%	3	4	0	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	20.0	16	100%	2	0	2	2	2	4	1	1	0-0	-	5-5	100%	2-3	67%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	16.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	3	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip Flexor; Strain
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	51%	42	22	8	11	15	22	19	23	13-18	72%	36-68	53%	8-30	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	NOP
Clock	Team	Event	POR	NOP

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.13 56.5%

NOP

1.03 51.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

64%

NOP

64%

Midrange

POR

33%

NOP

30%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

24.0

34%

51%

NOP

12.0

27%

40%

Free Throws

POR

80%

NOP

72%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Avdija	34	68%	17.0 / 25
S. Sharpe	23	57%	11.5 / 20
C. Love	22	79%	11.0 / 14
T. Camara	14	58%	7.0 / 12
D. Clingan	11	50%	5.5 / 11
K. Murray	6	33%	3.0 / 9
S. Cissoko	5	36%	2.5 / 7
R. Williams	4	67%	2.0 / 3
R. Rupert	3	50%	1.5 / 3
Y. Hansen	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. Williamson	35	60%	17.5 / 29
J. Fears	18	56%	9.0 / 16
J. Poole	16	47%	8.0 / 17
K. Matković	16	100%	8.0 / 8
B. McGowens	13	59%	6.5 / 11
Y. Missi	5	63%	2.5 / 4
K. Looney	4	50%	2.0 / 4
M. Peavy	2	11%	1.0 / 9
J. Alvarado	0	-	0.0 / 3
J. Hawkins	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 113.1 20 113.3	POR 129.8 +12.6 NOP 117.2
Pace	8 101.6 11 101.3	POR 91.0 NOP 96.2 +5.1
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.2 22 14.1	POR 15.8 NOP 15.0 −0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 53.3% 27 52.7%	POR 53.3% +4.3% NOP 49.0%
TO %	30 16.1% 11 13.2%	POR 7.9% −4.5% NOP 12.4%
ORB %	2 31.3% 8 27.0%	POR 45.2% +3.9% NOP 41.3%
FTrt	9 28.0 8 28.4	POR 32.6 +14.2 NOP 18.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 61.6% 26 59.6%	POR 65.9% +15.9% NOP 50.0%
STL %	20 8.1% 10 8.7%	POR 6.4% NOP 8.6% +2.2%
BLK %	8 10.1% 7 10.1%	POR 10.3% NOP 24.4% +14.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 55.6% 25 55.4%	POR 56.5% +5.1% NOP 51.4%
Rim FG%	19 63.9% 29 61.5%	POR 63.6% NOP 64.4% +0.8%
Mid FG%	29 37.4% 30 36.6%	POR 33.3% +2.9% NOP 30.4%
3P %	28 34.2% 24 34.7%	POR 34.0% +7.3% NOP 26.7%
FT %	24 76.5% 14 78.4%	POR 80.0% +7.8% NOP 72.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 35.6% 1 42.8%	POR 35.9% NOP 45.9% +10.0%
Mid Att. %	2 17.6% 5 21.7%	POR 13.0% −10.4% NOP 23.5%
3P Att. %	3 46.8% 27 35.5%	POR 51.1% +20.5% NOP 30.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.

Game Totals	POR	NOP
Possessions	94	93
Possession Minutes	24.8	23.2
Points	122	109
Rebounds	46	42
Assists	27	22
Steals	6	8
Blocks	7	11
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls	17	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	19 (5)	19 (9)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (1)	23 (6)
Field Goals	41-92	44-98
At-the-Rim FG	21-33	29-45
Midrange FG	4-12	7-23
2-Point FG	25-45	36-68
3-Point FG	16-47	8-30
Free Throws	24-30	13-18
Fast Break Pts	6	23
2nd Chance Pts	24	17
Points in Paint	46	68
Pts off Turnovers	23	15
Bench Points	34	22
Biggest Lead	22	10

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg