Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 5, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Jazz	39%	118	117	115.8	101	111.0
	23	Blazers	61%	121	137	135.6	101	92.7

Prediction updated: Jan 6, 2026 03:02 AM

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

+16

-15

102

POR

+15

-13

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.14 56.8%

POR

1.33 66.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	32.8	15	54%	4	4	1	0	4	3	0	4	4-4	100%	4-10	40%	1-2	50%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	31.6	22	61%	4	4	3	1	5	3	1	3	3-3	100%	5-12	42%	3-5	60%
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	30.8	21	88%	12	5	2	0	1	4	7	5	1-1	100%	7-9	78%	2-3	67%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SG · 6'6" 235 · 22	22.8	8	36%	5	4	1	0	3	0	3	2	0-0	-	1-7	14%	2-4	50%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	20.0	8	44%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-7	29%

Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	29.8	10	71%	3	8	1	0	0	2	0	3	4-6	67%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Cody Williams #5 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 21	20.5	8	44%	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	20.0	13	72%	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	5	2-3	67%	4-4	100%	1-4	25%
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	18.5	7	88%	5	1	1	0	1	3	2	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Walter Clayton Jr. #13 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	13.2	5	42%	1	3	0	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Kyle Anderson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Tonje #17 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fourth Metatarsal Stress Reaction
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury Recovery
Ace Bailey #19 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Strain
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	57%	42	32	11	2	15	19	14	28	14-17	82%	32-61	52%	13-31	42%

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27 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	32.8	15	54%	4	4	1	0	4	3	0	4	4-4	100%	4-10	40%	1-2	50%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	31.6	22	61%	4	4	3	1	5	3	1	3	3-3	100%	5-12	42%	3-5	60%
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	30.8	21	88%	12	5	2	0	1	4	7	5	1-1	100%	7-9	78%	2-3	67%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SG · 6'6" 235 · 22	22.8	8	36%	5	4	1	0	3	0	3	2	0-0	-	1-7	14%	2-4	50%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	20.0	8	44%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-7	29%

Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	29.8	10	71%	3	8	1	0	0	2	0	3	4-6	67%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Cody Williams #5 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 21	20.5	8	44%	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	20.0	13	72%	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	5	2-3	67%	4-4	100%	1-4	25%
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	18.5	7	88%	5	1	1	0	1	3	2	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Walter Clayton Jr. #13 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	13.2	5	42%	1	3	0	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Kyle Anderson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Tonje #17 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fourth Metatarsal Stress Reaction
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury Recovery
Ace Bailey #19 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Strain
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	57%	42	32	11	2	15	19	14	28	14-17	82%	32-61	52%	13-31	42%

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23 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	35.3	15	58%	4	3	1	0	3	2	2	2	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	2-8	25%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	33.0	12	67%	17	2	0	3	4	3	5	12	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Deni Avdija #8 · PG · 6'8" 228 · 25	28.8	33	72%	8	9	0	0	2	0	0	8	9-10	90%	6-9	67%	4-10	40%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	27.3	29	73%	5	7	2	0	1	3	2	3	2-2	100%	6-11	55%	5-8	63%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	26.7	10	50%	3	2	3	0	0	0	2	1	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	0-4	0%

Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	27.6	14	64%	3	4	0	0	3	0	0	3	0-0	-	4-4	100%	2-7	29%
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	25.5	14	88%	0	2	2	1	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	4-5	80%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	18.9	4	40%	2	1	0	0	0	4	2	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	2.2	4	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 30	2.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 36	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinopathy
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendonitis
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tear
Javonte Cooke #18 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Fracture
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	137	67%	45	32	9	4	13	16	14	31	20-21	95%	30-45	67%	19-48	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	POR
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	POR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.14 56.8%

POR

1.33 66.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

67%

POR

73%

Midrange

UTA

32%

POR

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

19.5

42%

63%

POR

28.5

40%

59%

Free Throws

UTA

82%

POR

95%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Markkanen	22	61%	11.0 / 18
J. Nurkić	21	88%	10.5 / 12
K. George	15	54%	7.5 / 14
K. Filipowski	13	72%	6.5 / 9
I. Collier	10	71%	5.0 / 7
B. Sensabaugh	8	36%	4.0 / 11
S. Mykhailiuk	8	44%	4.0 / 9
C. Williams	8	44%	4.0 / 9
T. Hendricks	7	88%	3.5 / 4
W. Clayton	5	42%	2.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Avdija	33	72%	16.5 / 23
S. Sharpe	29	73%	14.5 / 20
T. Camara	15	58%	7.5 / 13
C. Love	14	64%	7.0 / 11
S. Cissoko	14	88%	7.0 / 8
D. Clingan	12	67%	6.0 / 9
K. Murray	10	50%	5.0 / 10
R. Rupert	4	40%	2.0 / 5
Y. Hansen	4	100%	2.0 / 2
R. Williams	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 112.9 21 113.1	UTA 115.8 POR 135.6 +19.8
Pace	2 103.4 8 101.6	UTA 111.0 +18.3 POR 92.7
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 16 14.2	UTA 13.0 −2.6 POR 15.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.6% 22 53.3%	UTA 56.0% POR 62.9% +6.9%
TO %	23 14.4% 30 16.1%	UTA 13.1% POR 12.0% −1.1%
ORB %	12 26.2% 2 31.3%	UTA 31.1% POR 33.3% +2.2%
FTrt	10 27.7 9 28.0	UTA 18.5 POR 22.6 +4.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 69.6% 18 61.6%	UTA 71.1% +5.8% POR 65.3%
STL %	14 8.5% 20 8.1%	UTA 10.9% +2.0% POR 8.9%
BLK %	30 7.5% 8 10.1%	UTA 4.4% POR 6.6% +2.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.4% 23 55.6%	UTA 56.8% POR 66.5% +9.7%
Rim FG%	17 64.5% 19 63.9%	UTA 66.7% POR 73.3% +6.6%
Mid FG%	8 44.4% 29 37.4%	UTA 32.0% POR 53.3% +21.3%
3P %	25 34.5% 28 34.2%	UTA 41.9% +2.3% POR 39.6%
FT %	13 78.6% 24 76.5%	UTA 82.4% POR 95.2% +12.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 31.3% 5 35.6%	UTA 39.1% +6.9% POR 32.3%
Mid Att. %	23 28.4% 2 17.6%	UTA 27.2% POR 16.1% −11.0%
3P Att. %	21 40.3% 3 46.8%	UTA 33.7% POR 51.6% +17.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.26 and 2.26.

Game Totals	UTA	POR
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	21.8	26.2
Points	117	137
Rebounds	42	45
Assists	32	32
Steals	11	9
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls	19	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (2)	14 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (2)	31 (3)
Field Goals	45-92	49-93
At-the-Rim FG	24-36	22-30
Midrange FG	8-25	8-15
2-Point FG	32-61	30-45
3-Point FG	13-31	19-48
Free Throws	14-17	20-21
Fast Break Pts	21	19
2nd Chance Pts	15	14
Points in Paint	52	48
Pts off Turnovers	15	27
Bench Points	43	38
Biggest Lead	4	32

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg