Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, January 6, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Mavericks	68%	117	100	99.0	101	98.8
	30	Kings	32%	111	98	96.1	102	104.2

Prediction updated: Jan 7, 2026 03:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

DAL

+22

-16

107

SAC

+14

-12

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

0.93 46.7%

SAC

0.94 47.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Max Christie #00 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 23	35.9	11	39%	3	2	0	0	2	1	0	3	3-3	100%	1-4	25%	2-9	22%
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	35.6	19	37%	16	2	0	2	3	1	3	13	5-7	71%	7-22	32%	0-1	0%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	35.0	20	63%	8	6	1	0	1	2	2	6	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	2-5	40%
Naji Marshall #13 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 28	31.5	15	68%	7	1	2	0	4	2	2	5	0-2	0%	6-8	75%	1-2	50%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	22.5	10	63%	13	0	1	1	2	2	7	6	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-

Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	27.3	6	25%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	2-8	25%
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	26.6	18	60%	2	2	2	0	2	4	1	1	3-5	60%	6-11	55%	1-2	50%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	13.9	1	17%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	11.7	0	0%	3	4	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
D'Angelo Russell #5 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Miles Kelly #14 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	47%	55	19	6	3	16	12	15	40	14-21	67%	31-69	45%	8-27	30%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

20 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Max Christie #00 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 23	35.9	11	39%	3	2	0	0	2	1	0	3	3-3	100%	1-4	25%	2-9	22%
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	35.6	19	37%	16	2	0	2	3	1	3	13	5-7	71%	7-22	32%	0-1	0%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	35.0	20	63%	8	6	1	0	1	2	2	6	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	2-5	40%
Naji Marshall #13 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 28	31.5	15	68%	7	1	2	0	4	2	2	5	0-2	0%	6-8	75%	1-2	50%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	22.5	10	63%	13	0	1	1	2	2	7	6	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-

Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	27.3	6	25%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	2-8	25%
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	26.6	18	60%	2	2	2	0	2	4	1	1	3-5	60%	6-11	55%	1-2	50%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	13.9	1	17%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	11.7	0	0%	3	4	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
D'Angelo Russell #5 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Miles Kelly #14 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	47%	55	19	6	3	16	12	15	40	14-21	67%	31-69	45%	8-27	30%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

30 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	37.3	20	50%	4	3	2	1	2	2	0	4	2-2	100%	6-13	46%	2-6	33%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	36.5	21	55%	2	5	2	1	1	2	1	1	2-2	100%	5-12	42%	3-6	50%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	34.7	14	88%	9	1	1	0	1	6	2	7	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	31.1	11	32%	6	4	1	0	3	0	0	6	2-4	50%	3-8	38%	1-7	14%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	21.9	9	64%	9	0	1	1	1	1	1	8	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-1	100%

Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	25.7	11	42%	1	9	1	0	1	1	0	1	3-7	43%	4-7	57%	0-3	0%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	23.4	5	31%	2	0	3	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	14.2	3	75%	1	0	0	1	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	10.5	4	50%	9	1	0	1	1	5	3	6	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	4.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Partial Meniscus Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	47%	43	23	11	6	12	20	8	35	11-17	65%	30-61	49%	9-31	29%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	SAC

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

0.93 46.7%

SAC

0.94 47.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

64%

SAC

71%

Midrange

DAL

20%

SAC

30%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

12.0

30%

44%

SAC

13.5

29%

44%

Free Throws

DAL

67%

SAC

65%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Flagg	20	63%	10.0 / 16
A. Davis	19	37%	9.5 / 26
B. Williams	18	60%	9.0 / 15
N. Marshall	15	68%	7.5 / 11
M. Christie	11	39%	5.5 / 14
D. Gafford	10	63%	5.0 / 8
K. Thompson	6	25%	3.0 / 12
C. Martin	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	21	55%	10.5 / 19
Z. LaVine	20	50%	10.0 / 20
M. Raynaud	14	88%	7.0 / 8
R. Westbrook	11	32%	5.5 / 17
D. Schröder	11	42%	5.5 / 13
P. Achiuwa	9	64%	4.5 / 7
K. Ellis	5	31%	2.5 / 8
D. Cardwell	4	50%	2.0 / 4
N. Clifford	3	75%	1.5 / 2
D. McDermott	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 110.4 26 110.6	DAL 99.0 +2.9 SAC 96.1
Pace	6 102.5 17 100.0	DAL 98.8 SAC 104.2 +5.4
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.0 14 14.5	DAL 14.6 SAC 13.8 −0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 52.7% 29 52.5%	DAL 44.8% SAC 47.3% +2.5%
TO %	13 13.5% 15 13.7%	DAL 13.9% SAC 11.6% −2.3%
ORB %	26 23.2% 13 25.9%	DAL 30.0% +13.3% SAC 16.7%
FTrt	6 28.7 19 25.6	DAL 21.9 +3.4 SAC 18.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 60.4% 20 61.5%	DAL 48.7% SAC 59.0% +10.3%
STL %	27 7.3% 21 8.0%	DAL 5.9% SAC 10.8% +4.9%
BLK %	16 9.0% 19 8.6%	DAL 4.9% SAC 8.7% +3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 55.2% 29 54.7%	DAL 46.7% SAC 47.1% +0.4%
Rim FG%	22 63.2% 8 65.9%	DAL 64.1% SAC 71.4% +7.3%
Mid FG%	18 43.1% 13 43.8%	DAL 20.0% SAC 30.3% +10.3%
3P %	26 34.4% 29 34.1%	DAL 29.6% +0.6% SAC 29.0%
FT %	28 75.5% 21 77.2%	DAL 66.7% +2.0% SAC 64.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 32.8% 28 28.0%	DAL 40.6% +10.2% SAC 30.4%
Mid Att. %	28 31.7% 30 38.1%	DAL 31.3% −4.6% SAC 35.9%
3P Att. %	26 35.5% 30 33.9%	DAL 28.1% SAC 33.7% +5.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	DAL	SAC
Possessions	101	102
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	100	98
Rebounds	55	43
Assists	19	23
Steals	6	11
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	12 (1)
Fouls	12	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (7)	8 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (2)	35 (3)
Field Goals	39-96	39-92
At-the-Rim FG	25-39	20-28
Midrange FG	6-30	10-33
2-Point FG	31-69	30-61
3-Point FG	8-27	9-31
Free Throws	14-21	11-17
Fast Break Pts	19	30
2nd Chance Pts	18	5
Points in Paint	58	50
Pts off Turnovers	19	19
Bench Points	25	23
Biggest Lead	2	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg