Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, January 1, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Rockets	83%	115	120	131.9	91	79.7
	25	Nets	17%	103	96	107.9	89	103.7

Prediction updated: Jan 1, 2026 10:56 PM

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+15

-14

BKN

+12

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.30 65.2%

BKN

1.09 54.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

2 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Durant #7 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 37	36.5	22	69%	5	11	0	0	6	2	0	5	4-4	100%	6-8	75%	2-7	29%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 23	33.7	20	67%	6	6	2	1	1	4	2	4	4-6	67%	8-12	67%	0-0	-
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 23	32.5	23	105%	4	3	2	1	1	3	2	2	1-1	100%	8-9	89%	2-3	67%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23	32.4	14	54%	6	1	1	1	1	4	2	4	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	2-6	33%
Tari Eason #17 · SG · 6'8" 215 · 25	22.0	15	94%	9	0	1	1	1	3	2	7	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	2-2	100%

Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 22	31.4	14	58%	2	1	1	3	1	2	1	1	2-3	67%	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	20.6	5	50%	5	2	0	0	2	2	0	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	15.3	0	0%	3	1	1	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	10.8	4	50%	4	1	0	0	0	1	3	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	3.3	3	75%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	1.5	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	65%	45	28	8	7	14	22	13	32	14-18	78%	35-53	66%	12-29	41%

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2 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Durant #7 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 37	36.5	22	69%	5	11	0	0	6	2	0	5	4-4	100%	6-8	75%	2-7	29%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 23	33.7	20	67%	6	6	2	1	1	4	2	4	4-6	67%	8-12	67%	0-0	-
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 23	32.5	23	105%	4	3	2	1	1	3	2	2	1-1	100%	8-9	89%	2-3	67%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23	32.4	14	54%	6	1	1	1	1	4	2	4	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	2-6	33%
Tari Eason #17 · SG · 6'8" 215 · 25	22.0	15	94%	9	0	1	1	1	3	2	7	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	2-2	100%

Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 22	31.4	14	58%	2	1	1	3	1	2	1	1	2-3	67%	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	20.6	5	50%	5	2	0	0	2	2	0	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	15.3	0	0%	3	1	1	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	10.8	4	50%	4	1	0	0	0	1	3	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	3.3	3	75%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	1.5	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	65%	45	28	8	7	14	22	13	32	14-18	78%	35-53	66%	12-29	41%

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25 Brooklyn Nets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danny Wolf #2 · SG · 6'11" 250 · 22	29.3	9	45%	4	5	2	0	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Ziaire Williams #1 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	26.9	14	78%	2	0	5	0	0	1	1	1	6-7	86%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Noah Clowney #21 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 21	25.8	11	50%	1	0	0	2	3	2	1	0	3-7	43%	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Drake Powell #4 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 20	25.3	8	40%	0	1	1	0	2	2	0	0	1-3	33%	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Nic Claxton #33 · C · 6'11" 215 · 27	24.0	11	50%	8	2	0	0	0	1	3	5	1-3	33%	5-10	50%	0-0	-

Nolan Traore #88 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 20	26.3	3	19%	0	2	1	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-5	20%
Cam Thomas #24 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 24	22.7	21	75%	1	1	0	0	4	2	0	1	2-4	50%	5-6	83%	3-7	43%
Jalen Wilson #22 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 25	22.6	8	80%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	5-6	83%	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Day'Ron Sharpe #20 · C · 6'10" 265 · 24	19.2	8	67%	8	7	2	0	0	1	3	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Tyrese Martin #13 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	18.0	3	50%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
E.J. Liddell #9 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Contusion
Egor Dëmin #8 · PG · 6'8" 200 · 20	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Soreness
Ben Saraf #77 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tyson Etienne #10 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chaney Johnson #31 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Haywood Highsmith #7 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery, Injury Recovery
Michael Porter Jr. #17 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	55%	27	18	12	2	13	17	10	17	18-30	60%	24-46	52%	10-30	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	BKN
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	BKN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.30 65.2%

BKN

1.09 54.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

71%

BKN

53%

Midrange

HOU

60%

BKN

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

18.0

41%

62%

BKN

15.0

33%

50%

Free Throws

HOU

78%

BKN

60%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Thompson	23	105%	11.5 / 11
K. Durant	22	69%	11.0 / 16
A. Sengun	20	67%	10.0 / 15
T. Eason	15	94%	7.5 / 8
J. Smith	14	54%	7.0 / 13
R. Sheppard	14	58%	7.0 / 12
J. Okogie	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Tate	4	50%	2.0 / 4
A. Holiday	3	75%	1.5 / 2
D. Finney-Smith	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Thomas	21	75%	10.5 / 14
Z. Williams	14	78%	7.0 / 9
N. Clowney	11	50%	5.5 / 11
N. Claxton	11	50%	5.5 / 11
D. Wolf	9	45%	4.5 / 10
D. Powell	8	40%	4.0 / 10
J. Wilson	8	80%	4.0 / 5
D. Sharpe	8	67%	4.0 / 6
N. Traore	3	19%	1.5 / 8
T. Martin	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 117.5 30 108.2	HOU 131.9 +24.0 BKN 107.9
Pace	29 96.9 26 97.5	HOU 79.7 BKN 103.7 +24.0
Avg. Poss. Time	1 15.8 8 14.7	HOU 18.1 BKN 13.9 −4.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 54.2% 30 52.0%	HOU 64.6% +13.3% BKN 51.3%
TO %	25 14.7% 29 15.3%	HOU 13.5% BKN 12.7% −0.8%
ORB %	1 34.8% 25 23.6%	HOU 43.3% +19.5% BKN 23.8%
FTrt	18 26.0 13 27.2	HOU 22.0 BKN 39.5 +17.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 59.1% 8 66.8%	HOU 59.6% +6.7% BKN 52.9%
STL %	9 8.7% 19 8.1%	HOU 8.8% BKN 13.5% +4.7%
BLK %	4 10.9% 24 8.2%	HOU 15.2% +11.4% BKN 3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.81 and 2.81.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 56.1% 30 54.6%	HOU 65.2% +10.7% BKN 54.5%
Rim FG%	13 64.8% 28 61.5%	HOU 71.4% +18.5% BKN 52.9%
Mid FG%	9 44.3% 28 39.0%	HOU 60.0% +10.0% BKN 50.0%
3P %	10 36.4% 30 34.0%	HOU 41.4% +8.1% BKN 33.3%
FT %	25 76.3% 16 78.0%	HOU 77.8% +17.8% BKN 60.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 30.7% 8 33.6%	HOU 34.1% BKN 44.7% +10.6%
Mid Att. %	29 34.2% 4 20.9%	HOU 30.5% BKN 15.8% −14.7%
3P Att. %	28 35.0% 6 45.5%	HOU 35.4% BKN 39.5% +4.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	HOU	BKN
Possessions	91	89
Possession Minutes	27.4	20.6
Points	120	96
Rebounds	45	27
Assists	28	18
Steals	8	12
Blocks	7	2
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls	22	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (2)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (3)	17 (4)
Field Goals	47-82	34-76
At-the-Rim FG	20-28	18-34
Midrange FG	15-25	6-12
2-Point FG	35-53	24-46
3-Point FG	12-29	10-30
Free Throws	14-18	18-30
Fast Break Pts	20	14
2nd Chance Pts	18	14
Points in Paint	54	46
Pts off Turnovers	23	14
Bench Points	26	43
Biggest Lead	26	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg