Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, January 1, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Heat | |||
 | 13 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 17 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Celtics | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, December 31, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 26 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Magic | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Timberwolves | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Pelicans | |||
 | 24 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Knicks | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Thunder | |||
Tuesday, December 30, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | |||
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23707271;}%20.st1{fill:%2312173F;}%20.st2{fill:%235D76A9;}%20.st3{fill:%23FFBB22;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M328.9,129.2c3.7-7,5.4-13.9,5.4-20.6c0-15.1-8.5-28.8-20.4-36.9c-16.6-11.2-41.4-12.9-58.9,8.2%20c-25.6-3.5-47.1,3.5-55.3,7c-8.2-3.3-29.7-10.4-55.3-7c-17.6-21-42.5-19.4-59-8.2c-11.9,8.1-20.4,21.7-20.4,36.9%20c0,6.7,1.7,13.6,5.4,20.6c-13.2,19.1-22.5,41.8-22.5,64.9c0,27.8,11.9,42.2,16.4,48.4c0,0,1.9-1.9,3.6-3.6%20c12.6,32,34.2,49.3,60.2,65c0,0,0.6-3.1,1-6c28,24.3,41.3,18.3,70.5,51.2c29-32.9,42.8-27.1,70.5-51.2c0.5,2.9,1,6,1,6%20c11.6-7,44.3-24.6,60.2-65c1.6,1.6,3.6,3.6,3.6,3.6c2.8-3.8,16.4-19,16.4-48.4C351.4,171.1,342.3,148.3,328.9,129.2'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M320.9,129.6c26.8-41-33.9-83.7-63.2-42.4c-29.6-5.2-54.7,5.5-58,7.1c-3.3-1.5-28.4-12.4-58-7.1%20c-29.3-41.3-90,1.4-63.2,42.4C48,171.4,51,212.7,65.2,232.1l5.8-5.8c0,0,8.3,40.3,52.2,66.8l1.6-8.7c27,28.9,51.7,28.2,74.9,54.6%20c23.2-26.4,47.9-25.7,74.9-54.6l1.6,8.7c43.9-26.5,52.2-66.8,52.2-66.8l5.8,5.8C348.4,212.6,351.4,171.4,320.9,129.6'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M200,283c0,0-21,0.3-24.2,2.3c0,0-3.6,6.3,24.2,6.2c26.5-0.1,22.6-5,22.8-5.6C222.6,285.7,213.8,283,200,283'%20/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M181.7,258.5c0,0,3.2-9.5,6.8-6.5c4.9,4.2,11.2,12.7,11.2,13.5v11.3l-7.7,0.4c-4.4,0.1-18.7,3.5-18.7,3.5%20c-19.6-48.5-8.8-85.1-3.5-98.3c-19.4,4.2-22.6-19-22.6-19c2-0.4,5,0.5,8.4,2.1c5.1,2.5,11.3,6.7,16.2,10.5l0,0%20c1.4,1.1,2.8,2.2,3.9,3.1c13.2,11.1,23.9,8.9,23.9,8.9v47.4C199.7,235.4,161.2,232.5,181.7,258.5'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M217.8,258.5c24.5-24.9-15.5-23.4-18-23C203.9,235.7,234.9,235.9,217.8,258.5'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M234.1,183.3c22.1,59.4-5.9,97.6-6.1,97.8c17.3-45.4,6.2-83.2-1.4-97.3c-3.9,0.4-8.6,0.2-8.6,0.2%20s5.9-3.6,9.6-7c0.3-0.3,0.6-0.5,0.9-0.8c3.1-2.8,9.1-7.7,16.5-10.6l0,0c2.7-1,5.5-1.8,8.5-2.1C253.5,163.4,251.4,183.1,234.1,183.3%20'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M269,106.4c0,0,9-22.5,36.6-17c0,0-25.3-16.7-42.9,13.4c0,0-25.2-11.8-62.9,4.5c0,0-35.4-12.5-62.3-5.4%20c0,0-15.7-27.2-37.8-16S89,123,92.8,129.7c0,0-36.7,37.3-22.9,83.4l7.3-9.2c0,0,10.5,50.3,37.7,66.1l1.6-12.4%20c0,0,28.4,34.2,61.7,48.8c3.1,1.5,20.9,10.3,21.3,14.6v-23.9c0,0-23.1,1.9-29.2-8.8c-4.2-7.2-30.8-54.7-17.6-104.4%20c0,0-12.8-1.9-15.2-23.5c0,0-9.5-4.7-21.4-3.7c0,0,21.2-6.7,41,1c19.9,7.7,25.1,27.2,38.7,18.6l3.7-55.1l4.2,55.3%20c13.4,8.7,18.8-11,38.7-18.6c19.9-7.7,41-1,41-1s-8.5-6-22.1-8.7c-11.3-2.3-28.1,5-28.1,5s2.3-15.6,9.9-24%20C249.7,122,264.5,120.4,269,106.4z%20M97.6,125.5c-0.8-7.5,8.7-15,8.7-15c-3.9-4-10.8-0.6-10.8-0.6c6.2-12.1,20.1-6.2,20.1-6.2%20c-5.2-6.5-16.4-6-16.4-6C113,84,129.7,105,129.7,105C114.8,108.3,97.6,125.5,97.6,125.5z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st3'%20d='M171.9,176c-2.1-0.7-5.6,1.5-7.6,5.3c-6.6-1.9-8.9-9-8.6-15.8l0,0C160.8,168,166.9,172.2,171.9,176'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st3'%20d='M236.6,181.4c-2.1-4-5.8-6.3-7.9-5.2c3.1-2.8,9.1-7.7,16.5-10.6l0,0C245.4,172.3,243,179.4,236.6,181.4'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 13 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | |||
| 29 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | |||
 | 9 | Lakers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | |||
| 14 | Clippers | |||
Monday, December 29, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | |||
| 24 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | |||
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Magic | |||
| 19 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warriors | |||
| 26 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nuggets | |||
| 16 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | |||
| 23 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | |||
| 4 | Rockets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | |||
| 27 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | |||
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| 8 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | |||
| 20 | Blazers | |||
Sunday, December 28, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warriors | |||
| 19 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | |||
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | |||
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | |||
| 20 | Blazers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | |||
| 16 | Clippers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | |||
| 8 | Lakers | |||
Saturday, December 27, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | |||
| 24 | Kings | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | |||
| 26 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | |||
| 8 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | |||
| 7 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | |||
| 10 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| 4 | Rockets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | |||
| 23 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | |||
| 15 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | |||
| 11 | Hawks | |||
Friday, December 26, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | |||
| 22 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | |||
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | |||
| 8 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | |||
| 11 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | |||
| 23 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | |||
| 14 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | |||
| 26 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | |||
| 29 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | |||
| 20 | Blazers | |||
Thursday, December 25, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| 6 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | |||
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | |||
| 5 | Warriors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | |||
| 8 | Lakers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | |||
| 13 | Nuggets | |||
Tuesday, December 23, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| 24 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | |||
| 16 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | |||
| 11 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pelicans | |||
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | |||
| 22 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | |||
| 15 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | |||
| 21 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | |||
| 8 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| 10 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | |||
| 18 | Suns | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Grizzlies | |||
| 28 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Magic | |||
| 20 | Blazers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | |||
| 25 | Kings | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | |||
| 17 | Clippers | |||
Monday, December 22, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | |||
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | |||
| 3 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | |||
| 29 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | |||
| 12 | Nuggets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Grizzlies | |||
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Magic | |||
| 5 | Warriors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | |||
| 20 | Blazers | |||
Sunday, December 21, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | |||
| 11 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | |||
| 6 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | |||
| 25 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | |||
| 8 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | |||
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | |||
| 24 | Kings | |||
Saturday, December 20, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | |||
| 13 | Nuggets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Mavericks | |||
| 15 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | |||
| 18 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | |||
| 29 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | |||
| 12 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| 14 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Suns | |||
| 5 | Warriors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Magic | |||
| 28 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Blazers | |||
| 24 | Kings | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | |||
| 16 | Clippers | |||
Friday, December 19, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | |||
| 6 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | |||
| 3 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | |||
| 12 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | |||
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| 10 | Timberwolves | |||