Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, December 29, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Warriors	65%	116	120	126.3	95	91.0
	20	Nets	35%	111	107	111.5	96	100.4

Prediction updated: Dec 30, 2025 12:32 AM

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+12

-13

BKN

+12

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.28 63.8%

BKN

1.15 57.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

2 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	31.2	21	75%	5	4	1	0	1	1	3	2	11-12	92%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	28.6	27	75%	2	5	1	0	2	1	0	2	6-7	86%	3-3	100%	5-12	42%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	24.8	7	58%	5	3	1	1	1	5	0	5	5-6	83%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	11.7	4	22%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	1-5	20%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	4.9	3	150%	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%

De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	23.5	10	71%	8	1	2	1	1	1	1	7	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	0-2	0%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	22.9	10	71%	1	3	2	0	1	1	0	1	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	21.9	11	79%	6	1	1	2	1	1	0	6	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	20.0	7	58%	2	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	19.2	0	0%	4	2	0	0	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	10.9	6	60%	3	0	2	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	10.3	4	50%	1	4	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	10.1	10	83%	0	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	64%	40	26	11	5	13	21	6	34	28-34	82%	31-44	70%	10-33	30%

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2 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	31.2	21	75%	5	4	1	0	1	1	3	2	11-12	92%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	28.6	27	75%	2	5	1	0	2	1	0	2	6-7	86%	3-3	100%	5-12	42%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	24.8	7	58%	5	3	1	1	1	5	0	5	5-6	83%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	11.7	4	22%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	1-5	20%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	4.9	3	150%	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%

De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	23.5	10	71%	8	1	2	1	1	1	1	7	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	0-2	0%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	22.9	10	71%	1	3	2	0	1	1	0	1	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	21.9	11	79%	6	1	1	2	1	1	0	6	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	20.0	7	58%	2	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	19.2	0	0%	4	2	0	0	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	10.9	6	60%	3	0	2	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	10.3	4	50%	1	4	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	10.1	10	83%	0	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	64%	40	26	11	5	13	21	6	34	28-34	82%	31-44	70%	10-33	30%

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20 Brooklyn Nets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #17 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 28	36.1	27	71%	9	5	3	0	2	0	3	6	2-4	50%	5-9	56%	5-9	56%
Nic Claxton #33 · C · 6'11" 215 · 27	35.7	15	75%	9	4	3	3	1	4	2	7	1-3	33%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Egor Dëmin #8 · PG · 6'8" 200 · 20	32.3	23	64%	3	3	1	0	3	4	1	2	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	7-14	50%
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 29	28.1	4	40%	2	4	1	1	1	3	0	2	4-4	100%	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Noah Clowney #21 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 21	24.9	11	55%	5	2	2	0	3	5	2	3	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	2-5	40%

Danny Wolf #2 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 22	19.9	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Cam Thomas #24 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 24	18.8	13	50%	0	2	0	0	2	1	0	0	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	1-3	33%
Drake Powell #4 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 20	17.3	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Nolan Traore #88 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 20	14.6	9	75%	0	0	0	1	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-4	75%
Day'Ron Sharpe #20 · C · 6'10" 265 · 24	12.3	3	38%	5	0	0	0	1	2	1	4	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Ziaire Williams #1 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyrese Martin #13 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Wilson #22 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ben Saraf #77 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tyson Etienne #10 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
E.J. Liddell #9 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chaney Johnson #31 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Haywood Highsmith #7 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery, Injury Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	57%	34	22	10	5	15	27	9	25	17-23	74%	18-38	47%	18-42	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	BKN
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	BKN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.28 63.8%

BKN

1.15 57.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

75%

BKN

54%

Midrange

GSW

63%

BKN

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

15.0

30%

45%

BKN

27.0

43%

64%

Free Throws

GSW

82%

BKN

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	27	75%	13.5 / 18
J. Butler	21	75%	10.5 / 14
T. Jackson-Davis	11	79%	5.5 / 7
D. Melton	10	71%	5.0 / 7
W. Richard	10	71%	5.0 / 7
G. Payton	10	83%	5.0 / 6
D. Green	7	58%	3.5 / 6
B. Podziemski	7	58%	3.5 / 6
B. Hield	6	60%	3.0 / 5
M. Moody	4	22%	2.0 / 9
P. Spencer	4	50%	2.0 / 4
Q. Post	3	150%	1.5 / 1
G. Santos	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Porter	27	71%	13.5 / 19
E. Dëmin	23	64%	11.5 / 18
N. Claxton	15	75%	7.5 / 10
C. Thomas	13	50%	6.5 / 13
N. Clowney	11	55%	5.5 / 10
N. Traore	9	75%	4.5 / 6
T. Mann	4	40%	2.0 / 5
D. Sharpe	3	38%	1.5 / 4
D. Powell	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Wolf	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.0 30 108.2	GSW 126.3 +14.9 BKN 111.5
Pace	18 99.9 26 97.5	GSW 91.0 BKN 100.4 +9.4
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.7 8 14.7	GSW 15.8 BKN 14.3 −1.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 30 52.0%	GSW 59.7% +3.4% BKN 56.3%
TO %	28 14.9% 29 15.3%	GSW 13.2% −1.1% BKN 14.3%
ORB %	14 25.8% 25 23.6%	GSW 19.4% BKN 20.9% +1.5%
FTrt	24 23.8 13 27.2	GSW 44.2 +15.4 BKN 28.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 70.6% 8 66.8%	GSW 63.4% +2.3% BKN 61.1%
STL %	3 9.6% 19 8.1%	GSW 11.6% +1.2% BKN 10.4%
BLK %	27 8.0% 24 8.2%	GSW 13.2% +1.8% BKN 11.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.1% 30 54.6%	GSW 63.8% +6.3% BKN 57.5%
Rim FG%	5 66.7% 28 61.5%	GSW 75.0% +20.8% BKN 54.2%
Mid FG%	22 42.1% 28 39.0%	GSW 62.5% +26.8% BKN 35.7%
3P %	20 35.6% 30 34.0%	GSW 30.3% BKN 42.9% +12.6%
FT %	6 80.7% 16 78.0%	GSW 82.4% +8.5% BKN 73.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 29.5% 8 33.6%	GSW 36.4% +6.4% BKN 30.0%
Mid Att. %	3 20.8% 4 20.9%	GSW 20.8% BKN 17.5% −3.3%
3P Att. %	1 49.7% 6 45.5%	GSW 42.9% BKN 52.5% +9.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	BKN
Possessions	95	96
Possession Minutes	25.1	22.9
Points	120	107
Rebounds	40	34
Assists	26	22
Steals	11	10
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	15 (0)
Fouls	21	27
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (6)	9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (0)	25 (1)
Field Goals	41-77	36-80
At-the-Rim FG	21-28	13-24
Midrange FG	10-16	5-14
2-Point FG	31-44	18-38
3-Point FG	10-33	18-42
Free Throws	28-34	17-23
Fast Break Pts	15	13
2nd Chance Pts	6	11
Points in Paint	56	30
Pts off Turnovers	24	19
Bench Points	58	27
Biggest Lead	13	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg