Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, December 29, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Bucks | 52% | 115 | 123 |
 | 23 | Hornets | 48% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Nets | 35% | 111 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 13 | Heat | 49% | 119 | 147 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Magic | 51% | 111 | 106 |
 | 18 | Raptors | 49% | 110 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Timberwolves | 62% | 121 | 136 |
 | 16 | Bulls | 38% | 117 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Knicks | 73% | 123 | 130 |
 | 27 | Pelicans | 27% | 115 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Thunder | 87% | 119 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Mavericks | 46% | 114 | 122 |
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Sunday, December 28, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 1 | Thunder | 86% | 118 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 65% | 115 | 127 |
| 17 | Raptors | 35% | 110 | 141 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Celtics | 69% | 118 | 108 |
| 24 | Blazers | 31% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 29 | Wizards | 30% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Pistons | 55% | 112 | 99 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 19 | Lakers | 77% | 119 | 125 |
Saturday, December 27, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Mavericks | 58% | 114 | 107 |
| 30 | Kings | 42% | 111 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Suns | 56% | 116 | 123 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 44% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 64% | 119 | 126 |
| 21 | Magic | 36% | 114 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | 60% | 120 | 128 |
| 12 | Hawks | 40% | 117 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 32% | 110 | 116 |
| 14 | Heat | 68% | 117 | 142 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 45% | 113 | 100 |
| 6 | Rockets | 55% | 115 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 42% | 117 | 112 |
| 17 | Bulls | 58% | 119 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 19% | 107 | 123 |
| 4 | Timberwolves | 81% | 119 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 8 | Spurs | 86% | 128 | 114 |
Friday, December 26, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 41% | 117 | 126 |
| 12 | Hawks | 59% | 120 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 41% | 113 | 120 |
| 20 | Magic | 59% | 116 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 70% | 117 | 117 |
| 29 | Wizards | 30% | 110 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 71% | 114 | 140 |
| 24 | Pacers | 29% | 107 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 57% | 121 | 102 |
| 17 | Bulls | 43% | 118 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 61% | 117 | 115 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 39% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 35% | 112 | 104 |
| 15 | Grizzlies | 65% | 117 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pistons | 73% | 123 | 129 |
| 28 | Jazz | 27% | 115 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | 55% | 114 | 119 |
| 22 | Blazers | 45% | 112 | 103 |
Thursday, December 25, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 43% | 117 | 124 |
| 6 | Knicks | 57% | 120 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spurs | 23% | 109 | 117 |
| 1 | Thunder | 77% | 119 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 22% | 109 | 116 |
| 2 | Warriors | 78% | 119 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 59% | 115 | 119 |
| 11 | Lakers | 41% | 112 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 54% | 118 | 138 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 46% | 117 | 142 |
Tuesday, December 23, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 26% | 109 | 114 |
| 10 | 76ers | 74% | 117 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 34% | 116 | 109 |
| 20 | Hornets | 66% | 121 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | 38% | 110 | 112 |
| 11 | Heat | 62% | 114 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 52% | 112 | 111 |
| 26 | Pacers | 48% | 111 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 21% | 115 | 118 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 79% | 125 | 141 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bulls | 41% | 122 | 126 |
| 14 | Hawks | 59% | 125 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Knicks | 34% | 110 | 104 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 66% | 116 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 61% | 120 | 130 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 39% | 116 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 60% | 117 | 110 |
| 6 | Spurs | 40% | 113 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 67% | 123 | 137 |
| 30 | Jazz | 33% | 117 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Lakers | 42% | 110 | 108 |
| 12 | Suns | 58% | 113 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | 71% | 116 | 136 |
| 28 | Kings | 29% | 109 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 51% | 115 | 110 |
| 23 | Blazers | 49% | 114 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 68% | 113 | 108 |
| 13 | Clippers | 32% | 108 | 128 |
Monday, December 22, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 25% | 114 | 132 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 75% | 123 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pacers | 17% | 107 | 95 |
| 4 | Celtics | 83% | 119 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Mavericks | 54% | 117 | 113 |
| 23 | Pelicans | 46% | 116 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 20% | 118 | 112 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 80% | 129 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 19% | 108 | 103 |
| 1 | Thunder | 81% | 119 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 28% | 110 | 97 |
| 3 | Warriors | 72% | 117 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | 61% | 118 | 110 |
| 22 | Blazers | 39% | 115 | 102 |
Sunday, December 21, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 39% | 119 | 152 |
| 14 | Hawks | 61% | 122 | 150 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 33% | 114 | 125 |
| 5 | Knicks | 67% | 119 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 51% | 112 | 81 |
| 25 | Nets | 49% | 111 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 21% | 108 | 100 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 79% | 119 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spurs | 89% | 126 | 124 |
| 30 | Wizards | 11% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 85% | 118 | 124 |
| 29 | Kings | 15% | 104 | 125 |
Saturday, December 20, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 55% | 118 | 115 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 45% | 117 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Mavericks | 52% | 114 | 114 |
| 21 | 76ers | 48% | 113 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 53% | 112 | 112 |
| 17 | Raptors | 47% | 111 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 44% | 115 | 109 |
| 22 | Pelicans | 56% | 117 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 30% | 112 | 86 |
| 10 | Pistons | 70% | 118 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 19% | 111 | 130 |
| 16 | Grizzlies | 81% | 122 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 25% | 107 | 116 |
| 3 | Warriors | 75% | 116 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 75% | 122 | 128 |
| 30 | Jazz | 25% | 114 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Blazers | 58% | 116 | 98 |
| 28 | Kings | 42% | 114 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | 46% | 112 | 88 |
| 11 | Clippers | 54% | 113 | 103 |
Friday, December 19, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 35% | 113 | 116 |
| 5 | Knicks | 65% | 118 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 26% | 110 | 116 |
| 4 | Celtics | 74% | 118 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 36% | 116 | 136 |
| 15 | Cavaliers | 64% | 121 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | 52% | 118 | 126 |
| 12 | Hawks | 48% | 117 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 61% | 114 | 107 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 39% | 111 | 112 |
Thursday, December 18, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 58% | 117 | 126 |
| 22 | Hornets | 42% | 115 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | 71% | 120 | 114 |
| 26 | Pacers | 29% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 64% | 117 | 106 |
| 25 | Nets | 36% | 112 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Clippers | 11% | 100 | 101 |
| 1 | Thunder | 89% | 116 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 11% | 110 | 94 |
| 5 | Spurs | 89% | 126 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 63% | 113 | 111 |
| 27 | Bucks | 37% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 77% | 120 | 128 |
| 24 | Pelicans | 23% | 110 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pistons | 61% | 116 | 114 |
| 20 | Mavericks | 39% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 34% | 115 | 115 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 66% | 120 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 65% | 116 | 98 |
| 16 | Suns | 35% | 110 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lakers | 79% | 123 | 143 |
| 30 | Jazz | 21% | 112 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 33% | 113 | 133 |
| 23 | Blazers | 67% | 119 | 134 |
Wednesday, December 17, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 66% | 123 | 111 |
| 21 | Bulls | 34% | 117 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | 39% | 111 | 116 |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 61% | 114 | 110 |
Tuesday, December 16, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 41% | 117 | 113 |
| 5 | Knicks | 59% | 120 | 124 |