Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, December 18, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Kings	33%	113	133	116.7	114	111.4
	22	Blazers	67%	119	134	116.5	115	97.0

Prediction updated: Dec 19, 2025 03:05 AM

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+16

-18

112

POR

+25

-19

121

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.20 59.9%

POR

1.11 55.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	42.8	17	50%	3	2	2	4	2	3	1	2	0-0	-	7-13	54%	1-4	25%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	36.9	29	63%	11	2	2	0	2	3	4	7	8-9	89%	9-17	53%	1-3	33%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	35.4	20	77%	3	10	0	0	3	4	0	3	4-4	100%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 36	34.9	33	79%	4	3	2	0	2	4	0	4	10-10	100%	7-12	58%	3-4	75%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · SF · 6'8" 243 · 26	14.0	2	20%	5	2	1	0	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-

Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	32.5	10	50%	4	3	6	0	3	5	1	3	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	22.3	6	43%	2	6	0	0	2	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	19.9	8	57%	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	16.1	8	80%	7	1	0	3	1	3	3	4	2-4	50%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	10.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Avulsion Fracture
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Partial Meniscus Tear
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	133	60%	42	29	13	7	18	29	11	31	31-34	91%	42-75	56%	6-19	32%

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28 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	42.8	17	50%	3	2	2	4	2	3	1	2	0-0	-	7-13	54%	1-4	25%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	36.9	29	63%	11	2	2	0	2	3	4	7	8-9	89%	9-17	53%	1-3	33%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	35.4	20	77%	3	10	0	0	3	4	0	3	4-4	100%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 36	34.9	33	79%	4	3	2	0	2	4	0	4	10-10	100%	7-12	58%	3-4	75%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · SF · 6'8" 243 · 26	14.0	2	20%	5	2	1	0	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-

Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	32.5	10	50%	4	3	6	0	3	5	1	3	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	22.3	6	43%	2	6	0	0	2	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	19.9	8	57%	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	16.1	8	80%	7	1	0	3	1	3	3	4	2-4	50%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	10.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Avulsion Fracture
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Partial Meniscus Tear
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	133	60%	42	29	13	7	18	29	11	31	31-34	91%	42-75	56%	6-19	32%

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22 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deni Avdija #8 · SG · 6'8" 228 · 25	42.2	35	73%	5	5	1	0	5	2	1	4	10-12	83%	11-14	79%	1-5	20%
Jerami Grant #9 · SF · 6'7" 213 · 32	40.4	20	53%	9	5	0	1	3	1	2	7	3-3	100%	4-8	50%	3-10	30%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · PG · 6'5" 210 · 23	35.1	26	57%	4	4	1	0	4	2	1	3	0-2	0%	7-16	44%	4-6	67%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	35.0	19	63%	8	4	0	2	1	4	5	3	5-13	38%	4-5	80%	2-4	50%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	34.6	17	71%	8	5	0	0	2	6	2	6	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	3-8	38%

Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	28.6	3	25%	0	3	2	0	2	4	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	17.3	7	58%	3	1	1	2	1	5	3	0	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-3	0%
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	17.2	2	33%	6	2	0	1	1	0	2	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	8.7	5	36%	1	1	1	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	4.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	1.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Ligament Tear
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Fracture
Javonte Cooke #18 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tear
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	134	55%	44	30	6	6	19	27	17	27	21-33	64%	34-58	59%	15-45	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	POR
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	POR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.20 59.9%

POR

1.11 55.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

68%

POR

79%

Midrange

SAC

48%

POR

29%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

9.0

32%

47%

POR

22.5

33%

50%

Free Throws

SAC

91%

POR

64%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	33	79%	16.5 / 21
M. Raynaud	29	63%	14.5 / 23
R. Westbrook	20	77%	10.0 / 13
K. Murray	17	50%	8.5 / 17
K. Ellis	10	50%	5.0 / 10
N. Clifford	8	57%	4.0 / 7
D. Cardwell	8	80%	4.0 / 5
D. Schröder	6	43%	3.0 / 7
P. Achiuwa	2	20%	1.0 / 5
D. Šarić	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Avdija	35	73%	17.5 / 24
S. Sharpe	26	57%	13.0 / 23
J. Grant	20	53%	10.0 / 19
D. Clingan	19	63%	9.5 / 15
T. Camara	17	71%	8.5 / 12
K. Murray	7	58%	3.5 / 6
C. Love	5	36%	2.5 / 7
S. Cissoko	3	25%	1.5 / 6
R. Williams	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Reath	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 110.6 21 113.1	SAC 116.7 +0.1 POR 116.5
Pace	17 100.0 8 101.6	SAC 111.4 +14.4 POR 97.0
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.5 16 14.2	SAC 12.9 −1.9 POR 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 52.5% 22 53.3%	SAC 54.3% POR 54.9% +0.6%
TO %	15 13.7% 30 16.1%	SAC 14.2% −1.0% POR 15.2%
ORB %	13 25.9% 2 31.3%	SAC 28.9% POR 35.4% +6.5%
FTrt	19 25.6 9 28.0	SAC 36.2 +4.2 POR 32.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 61.5% 18 61.6%	SAC 60.4% POR 61.2% +0.8%
STL %	21 8.0% 20 8.1%	SAC 11.4% +6.2% POR 5.2%
BLK %	19 8.6% 8 10.1%	SAC 12.1% +4.1% POR 8.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 54.7% 23 55.6%	SAC 59.9% +4.5% POR 55.4%
Rim FG%	8 65.9% 19 63.9%	SAC 67.7% POR 79.4% +11.7%
Mid FG%	13 43.8% 29 37.4%	SAC 47.7% +18.5% POR 29.2%
3P %	29 34.1% 28 34.2%	SAC 31.6% POR 33.3% +1.7%
FT %	21 77.2% 24 76.5%	SAC 91.2% +27.6% POR 63.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 28.0% 5 35.6%	SAC 33.0% POR 33.0% +0.0%
Mid Att. %	30 38.1% 2 17.6%	SAC 46.8% POR 23.3% −23.5%
3P Att. %	30 33.9% 3 46.8%	SAC 20.2% POR 43.7% +23.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	SAC	POR
Possessions	114	115
Possession Minutes	24.6	28.4
Points	133	134
Rebounds	42	44
Assists	29	30
Steals	13	6
Blocks	7	6
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	19 (2)
Fouls	29	27
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (5)	17 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (3)	27 (6)
Field Goals	48-94	49-103
At-the-Rim FG	21-31	27-34
Midrange FG	21-44	7-24
2-Point FG	42-75	34-58
3-Point FG	6-19	15-45
Free Throws	31-34	21-33
Fast Break Pts	27	4
2nd Chance Pts	18	25
Points in Paint	74	62
Pts off Turnovers	29	20
Bench Points	32	17
Biggest Lead	8	18

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg