Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Rockets	55%	118	115	117.3	98	87.4
	9	Nuggets	45%	117	101	104.1	97	110.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Durant #7 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 37	39.5	31	86%	6	5	0	1	3	2	0	6	10-11	91%	3-8	38%	5-6	83%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23	38.5	22	73%	10	2	0	1	4	3	1	9	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	5-11	45%
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 23	38.3	16	53%	4	6	2	2	3	2	2	2	2-4	50%	7-12	58%	0-2	0%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 23	30.4	8	44%	6	4	1	1	5	3	0	6	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	28.6	9	90%	3	1	0	1	0	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%

Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 21	30.0	28	82%	2	6	3	2	1	4	0	2	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	6-9	67%
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	25.2	1	10%	12	0	0	0	0	1	5	7	1-2	50%	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	8.0	0	0%	4	0	0	0	3	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 21	INACTIVE
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	INACTIVE
Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Injury Management
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	64%	47	24	6	8	19	20	9	38	18-23	78%	20-42	48%	19-35	54%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

2 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Durant #7 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 37	39.5	31	86%	6	5	0	1	3	2	0	6	10-11	91%	3-8	38%	5-6	83%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23	38.5	22	73%	10	2	0	1	4	3	1	9	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	5-11	45%
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 23	38.3	16	53%	4	6	2	2	3	2	2	2	2-4	50%	7-12	58%	0-2	0%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 23	30.4	8	44%	6	4	1	1	5	3	0	6	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	28.6	9	90%	3	1	0	1	0	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%

Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 21	30.0	28	82%	2	6	3	2	1	4	0	2	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	6-9	67%
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	25.2	1	10%	12	0	0	0	0	1	5	7	1-2	50%	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	8.0	0	0%	4	0	0	0	3	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 21	INACTIVE
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	INACTIVE
Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Injury Management
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	64%	47	24	6	8	19	20	9	38	18-23	78%	20-42	48%	19-35	54%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

9 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	34.6	16	53%	4	7	2	0	2	0	0	4	5-6	83%	1-6	17%	3-7	43%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	31.9	6	30%	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	4	1-1	100%	1-7	14%	1-3	33%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	29.9	8	44%	2	0	1	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-5	40%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	29.1	25	54%	7	5	0	0	5	5	2	5	6-7	86%	8-16	50%	1-4	25%
Spencer Jones #21 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 25	27.8	9	56%	4	2	2	0	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-5	20%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	27.7	12	75%	12	1	2	1	0	5	3	9	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	22.4	10	63%	4	1	0	0	1	2	1	3	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	15.7	10	50%	1	1	1	1	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	11.3	1	25%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	4.8	2	33%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-3	67%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 26	4.8	2	25%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Trunk; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	50%	39	21	9	2	11	20	10	29	19-23	83%	29-63	46%	8-29	28%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.28 63.9%

DEN

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

14

20

70%

DEN

18

30

60%

Midrange

HOU

6

22

27%

DEN

11

33

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

19

28.5

35

54%

81%

DEN

8

12.0

29

28%

41%

Free Throws

HOU

18

23

78%

DEN

19

23

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Durant	31	86%	15.5 / 18
R. Sheppard	28	82%	14.0 / 17
J. Smith	22	73%	11.0 / 15
A. Thompson	16	53%	8.0 / 15
J. Okogie	9	90%	4.5 / 5
A. Sengun	8	44%	4.0 / 9
S. Adams	1	10%	0.5 / 5
A. Holiday	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	25	54%	12.5 / 23
J. Murray	16	53%	8.0 / 15
B. Brown	12	75%	6.0 / 8
J. Pickett	10	63%	5.0 / 8
J. Valančiūnas	10	50%	5.0 / 10
S. Jones	9	56%	4.5 / 8
T. Hardaway	8	44%	4.0 / 9
C. Johnson	6	30%	3.0 / 10
J. Strawther	2	33%	1.0 / 3
H. Tyson	2	25%	1.0 / 4
Z. Nnaji	1	25%	0.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 117.5 1 121.3	HOU 117.3 +13.2 DEN 104.1
Pace	29 96.9 19 99.4	HOU 87.4 DEN 110.4 +23.1
Avg. Poss. Time	1 15.8 9 14.7	HOU 16.5 DEN 13.0 −3.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 54.2% 1 57.7%	HOU 63.0% +18.4% DEN 44.6%
TO %	25 14.7% 3 12.1%	HOU 17.9% DEN 9.7% −8.2%
ORB %	1 34.8% 24 23.6%	HOU 23.7% +2.9% DEN 20.8%
FTrt	18 26.0 4 29.4	HOU 29.9 +4.9 DEN 25.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 59.1% 9 66.5%	HOU 61.5% +4.7% DEN 56.8%
STL %	9 8.7% 30 6.8%	HOU 6.1% DEN 9.3% +3.2%
BLK %	4 10.9% 29 7.6%	HOU 12.7% +7.9% DEN 4.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.81 and 2.81.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 56.1% 1 60.1%	HOU 63.9% +13.9% DEN 50.0%
Rim FG%	13 64.8% 12 65.1%	HOU 70.0% +10.0% DEN 60.0%
Mid FG%	9 44.3% 2 47.0%	HOU 27.3% DEN 33.3% +6.0%
3P %	10 36.4% 1 39.6%	HOU 54.3% +26.7% DEN 27.6%
FT %	25 76.3% 5 80.8%	HOU 78.3% DEN 82.6% +4.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 30.7% 19 31.1%	HOU 26.0% DEN 32.6% +6.6%
Mid Att. %	29 34.2% 21 28.1%	HOU 28.6% −7.3% DEN 35.9%
3P Att. %	28 35.0% 17 40.8%	HOU 45.5% +13.9% DEN 31.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	HOU	DEN
Possessions	98	97
Possession Minutes	26.9	21.1
Points	115	101
Rebounds	47	39
Assists	24	21
Steals	6	9
Blocks	8	2
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls	20	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (4)	29 (1)
Field Goals	39-77	37-92
At-the-Rim FG	14-20	18-30
Midrange FG	6-22	11-33
2-Point FG	20-42	29-63
3-Point FG	19-35	8-29
Free Throws	18-23	19-23
Fast Break Pts	14	13
2nd Chance Pts	10	19
Points in Paint	34	50
Pts off Turnovers	17	24
Bench Points	29	37
Biggest Lead	21	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg