Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, December 20, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Blazers	58%	116	98	100.0	98	101.0
	28	Kings	42%	114	93	95.9	97	94.2

Prediction updated: Dec 21, 2025 03:02 AM

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+17

-20

SAC

+24

-15

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.03 51.6%

SAC

0.89 44.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

24 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deni Avdija #8 · PG · 6'8" 228 · 25	40.2	24	57%	7	11	1	0	5	5	0	7	9-10	90%	3-9	33%	3-9	33%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	36.5	15	50%	6	2	4	0	4	2	1	5	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	4-9	44%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	35.6	9	50%	3	0	2	0	1	2	0	3	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	34.3	23	57%	4	3	2	0	5	3	2	2	1-2	50%	8-15	53%	2-4	50%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	30.1	14	88%	14	0	1	2	2	2	3	11	1-3	33%	5-6	83%	1-1	100%

Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	23.6	1	8%	3	1	0	0	2	3	1	2	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	17.9	10	83%	9	1	2	1	1	2	3	6	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	9.4	2	20%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	8.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	4.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Soreness
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Ligament Tear
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 36	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Javonte Cooke #18 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tear
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	52%	46	18	12	3	20	20	10	36	17-25	68%	24-50	48%	11-31	35%

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24 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deni Avdija #8 · PG · 6'8" 228 · 25	40.2	24	57%	7	11	1	0	5	5	0	7	9-10	90%	3-9	33%	3-9	33%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	36.5	15	50%	6	2	4	0	4	2	1	5	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	4-9	44%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	35.6	9	50%	3	0	2	0	1	2	0	3	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	34.3	23	57%	4	3	2	0	5	3	2	2	1-2	50%	8-15	53%	2-4	50%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	30.1	14	88%	14	0	1	2	2	2	3	11	1-3	33%	5-6	83%	1-1	100%

Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	23.6	1	8%	3	1	0	0	2	3	1	2	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	17.9	10	83%	9	1	2	1	1	2	3	6	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	9.4	2	20%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	8.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	4.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Soreness
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Ligament Tear
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 36	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Javonte Cooke #18 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tear
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	52%	46	18	12	3	20	20	10	36	17-25	68%	24-50	48%	11-31	35%

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28 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	39.7	15	39%	6	2	0	0	2	3	3	3	1-1	100%	7-13	54%	0-6	0%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 36	34.9	15	54%	5	1	5	0	1	0	0	5	4-5	80%	4-6	67%	1-6	17%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	30.5	17	57%	11	1	1	1	5	3	6	5	3-4	75%	7-13	54%	0-0	-
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	30.4	7	27%	8	7	4	0	1	3	1	7	3-6	50%	2-5	40%	0-5	0%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	9.6	2	14%	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	2-2	100%	0-5	0%	0-1	0%

Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	31.1	21	66%	5	6	1	0	4	3	3	2	6-7	86%	3-6	50%	3-7	43%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	29.3	12	55%	5	1	2	0	0	2	0	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	20.8	4	33%	8	0	1	5	2	1	3	5	2-6	33%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	10.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dario Šarić #20 · C · 6'10" 225 · 32	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Avulsion Fracture
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Partial Meniscus Tear
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	44%	50	18	14	6	15	19	18	32	21-31	68%	27-56	48%	6-31	19%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	POR	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.03 51.6%

SAC

0.89 44.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

72%

SAC

54%

Midrange

POR

34%

SAC

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

16.5

35%

53%

SAC

9.0

19%

29%

Free Throws

POR

68%

SAC

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Avdija	24	57%	12.0 / 21
S. Sharpe	23	57%	11.5 / 20
T. Camara	15	50%	7.5 / 15
D. Clingan	14	88%	7.0 / 8
R. Williams	10	83%	5.0 / 6
K. Murray	9	50%	4.5 / 9
C. Love	2	20%	1.0 / 5
S. Cissoko	1	8%	0.5 / 6
D. Reath	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Schröder	21	66%	10.5 / 16
M. Raynaud	17	57%	8.5 / 15
K. Murray	15	39%	7.5 / 19
D. DeRozan	15	54%	7.5 / 14
N. Clifford	12	55%	6.0 / 11
R. Westbrook	7	27%	3.5 / 13
D. Cardwell	4	33%	2.0 / 6
P. Achiuwa	2	14%	1.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 113.1 26 110.6	POR 100.0 +4.1 SAC 95.9
Pace	8 101.6 17 100.0	POR 101.0 +6.8 SAC 94.2
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.2 14 14.5	POR 14.3 −1.0 SAC 15.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 53.3% 29 52.5%	POR 50.0% +8.6% SAC 41.4%
TO %	30 16.1% 15 13.7%	POR 17.9% SAC 15.2% −2.7%
ORB %	2 31.3% 13 25.9%	POR 23.8% SAC 33.3% +9.5%
FTrt	9 28.0 19 25.6	POR 30.9 SAC 35.6 +4.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 61.6% 20 61.5%	POR 51.4% SAC 54.5% +3.1%
STL %	20 8.1% 21 8.0%	POR 12.2% SAC 14.4% +2.2%
BLK %	8 10.1% 19 8.6%	POR 5.4% SAC 12.0% +6.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 55.6% 29 54.7%	POR 51.6% +7.3% SAC 44.3%
Rim FG%	19 63.9% 8 65.9%	POR 72.2% +18.4% SAC 53.8%
Mid FG%	29 37.4% 13 43.8%	POR 34.4% SAC 46.5% +12.1%
3P %	28 34.2% 29 34.1%	POR 35.5% +16.1% SAC 19.4%
FT %	24 76.5% 21 77.2%	POR 68.0% +0.3% SAC 67.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 35.6% 28 28.0%	POR 22.2% +7.3% SAC 14.9%
Mid Att. %	2 17.6% 30 38.1%	POR 39.5% −9.9% SAC 49.4%
3P Att. %	3 46.8% 30 33.9%	POR 38.3% +2.6% SAC 35.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	POR	SAC
Possessions	98	97
Possession Minutes	23.3	24.7
Points	98	93
Rebounds	46	50
Assists	18	18
Steals	12	14
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	20 (0)	15 (3)
Fouls	20	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (7)	18 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (3)	32 (2)
Field Goals	35-81	33-87
At-the-Rim FG	13-18	7-13
Midrange FG	11-32	20-43
2-Point FG	24-50	27-56
3-Point FG	11-31	6-31
Free Throws	17-25	21-31
Fast Break Pts	15	7
2nd Chance Pts	15	18
Points in Paint	42	36
Pts off Turnovers	9	24
Bench Points	13	37
Biggest Lead	13	1

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg