Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, December 28, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Celtics	69%	118	108	105.9	102	100.2
	24	Blazers	31%	112	114	110.7	103	104.9

Prediction updated: Dec 28, 2025 11:01 PM

Scoring Opportunities

BOS

+16

-19

POR

+18

-20

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.09 54.5%

POR

1.13 56.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 31	39.9	12	38%	4	5	5	1	3	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-10	20%
Payton Pritchard #11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 28	37.6	9	45%	5	5	2	0	2	0	0	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-8	38%
Jaylen Brown #7 · PF · 6'6" 223 · 29	37.0	37	69%	7	4	0	0	6	5	1	6	7-10	70%	12-18	67%	2-5	40%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 26	29.3	11	55%	8	0	1	2	3	5	4	4	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 22	9.8	5	83%	1	0	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%

Hugo González #28 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	30.3	13	59%	6	3	2	0	2	2	3	3	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	1-5	20%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 28	19.4	3	30%	2	0	0	2	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Anfernee Simons #4 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	18.7	13	54%	3	1	2	0	0	0	2	1	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	2-6	33%
Luka Garza #52 · C · 6'10" 243 · 27	11.0	5	50%	3	0	0	0	2	5	2	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	7.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Boucher #99 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 33	NWT – Personal
Max Shulga #44 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Amari Williams #77 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	55%	39	19	13	5	19	23	12	27	15-19	79%	27-47	57%	13-44	30%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

3 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 31	39.9	12	38%	4	5	5	1	3	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-10	20%
Payton Pritchard #11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 28	37.6	9	45%	5	5	2	0	2	0	0	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-8	38%
Jaylen Brown #7 · PF · 6'6" 223 · 29	37.0	37	69%	7	4	0	0	6	5	1	6	7-10	70%	12-18	67%	2-5	40%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 26	29.3	11	55%	8	0	1	2	3	5	4	4	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 22	9.8	5	83%	1	0	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%

Hugo González #28 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	30.3	13	59%	6	3	2	0	2	2	3	3	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	1-5	20%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 28	19.4	3	30%	2	0	0	2	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Anfernee Simons #4 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	18.7	13	54%	3	1	2	0	0	0	2	1	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	2-6	33%
Luka Garza #52 · C · 6'10" 243 · 27	11.0	5	50%	3	0	0	0	2	5	2	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	7.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Boucher #99 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 33	NWT – Personal
Max Shulga #44 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Amari Williams #77 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	55%	39	19	13	5	19	23	12	27	15-19	79%	27-47	57%	13-44	30%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

24 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deni Avdija #8 · PG · 6'8" 228 · 25	38.7	24	60%	7	10	2	1	5	1	1	6	5-10	50%	5-6	83%	3-10	30%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	35.1	20	67%	4	3	1	0	1	5	2	2	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	4-10	40%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	33.6	18	90%	18	1	0	0	2	3	7	11	1-2	50%	7-7	100%	1-3	33%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	31.8	26	62%	5	1	1	0	3	2	1	4	1-2	50%	5-12	42%	5-8	63%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	30.4	5	42%	5	3	0	0	1	0	3	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%

Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	28.9	18	60%	2	3	1	0	4	1	1	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	4-10	40%
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	22.4	0	0%	3	4	2	1	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	10.6	3	50%	3	0	0	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	8.4	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Fracture
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Ligament Tear
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendonitis
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
Javonte Cooke #18 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	56%	48	26	7	2	20	19	16	32	12-21	57%	24-38	63%	18-51	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	POR
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	POR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.09 54.5%

POR

1.13 56.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

69%

POR

76%

Midrange

BOS

43%

POR

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

19.5

30%

44%

POR

27.0

35%

53%

Free Throws

BOS

79%

POR

57%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Brown	37	69%	18.5 / 27
H. González	13	59%	6.5 / 11
A. Simons	13	54%	6.5 / 12
D. White	12	38%	6.0 / 16
N. Queta	11	55%	5.5 / 10
P. Pritchard	9	45%	4.5 / 10
J. Walsh	5	83%	2.5 / 3
L. Garza	5	50%	2.5 / 5
S. Hauser	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Sharpe	26	62%	13.0 / 21
D. Avdija	24	60%	12.0 / 20
T. Camara	20	67%	10.0 / 15
D. Clingan	18	90%	9.0 / 10
C. Love	18	60%	9.0 / 15
K. Murray	5	42%	2.5 / 6
Y. Hansen	3	50%	1.5 / 3
S. Cissoko	0	-	0.0 / 5
R. Rupert	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 120.0 21 113.1	BOS 105.9 POR 110.7 +4.8
Pace	30 95.5 8 101.6	BOS 100.2 POR 104.9 +4.7
Avg. Poss. Time	2 15.7 16 14.2	BOS 14.4 POR 13.7 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 55.3% 22 53.3%	BOS 51.1% POR 57.3% +6.2%
TO %	2 12.0% 30 16.1%	BOS 16.1% −0.8% POR 16.9%
ORB %	6 29.2% 2 31.3%	BOS 27.3% POR 37.2% +9.9%
FTrt	30 20.7 9 28.0	BOS 20.9 POR 23.6 +2.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 58.5% 18 61.6%	BOS 47.5% POR 61.9% +14.4%
STL %	25 7.4% 20 8.1%	BOS 12.7% +5.9% POR 6.8%
BLK %	5 10.4% 8 10.1%	BOS 13.2% +8.9% POR 4.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 56.9% 23 55.6%	BOS 54.5% POR 56.4% +1.9%
Rim FG%	2 68.9% 19 63.9%	BOS 69.2% POR 76.0% +6.8%
Mid FG%	12 44.2% 29 37.4%	BOS 42.9% +4.4% POR 38.5%
3P %	8 36.7% 28 34.2%	BOS 29.5% POR 35.3% +5.8%
FT %	7 80.7% 24 76.5%	BOS 78.9% +21.8% POR 57.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30 24.4% 5 35.6%	BOS 28.6% +0.5% POR 28.1%
Mid Att. %	24 28.9% 2 17.6%	BOS 23.1% POR 14.6% −8.5%
3P Att. %	4 46.7% 3 46.8%	BOS 48.4% POR 57.3% +9.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.26 and 2.26.

Game Totals	BOS	POR
Possessions	102	103
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	108	114
Rebounds	39	48
Assists	19	26
Steals	13	7
Blocks	5	2
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	20 (0)
Fouls	23	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (4)	16 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (6)	32 (5)
Field Goals	40-91	42-89
At-the-Rim FG	18-26	19-25
Midrange FG	9-21	5-13
2-Point FG	27-47	24-38
3-Point FG	13-44	18-51
Free Throws	15-19	12-21
Fast Break Pts	12	6
2nd Chance Pts	21	19
Points in Paint	44	40
Pts off Turnovers	20	21
Bench Points	34	21
Biggest Lead	10	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg