Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, December 23, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Wizards	34%	116	109	114.7	95	99.8
	20	Hornets	66%	121	126	135.5	93	88.8

Prediction updated: Dec 24, 2025 12:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+20

-6

109

CHA

+17

-4

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.00 50.0%

CHA

1.19 59.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	33.3	14	39%	6	4	0	1	0	1	1	5	3-4	75%	4-12	33%	1-5	20%
Kyshawn George #18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 22	31.4	2	11%	2	6	0	0	3	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-8	13%	0-1	0%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	24.6	7	44%	11	1	1	4	0	3	4	7	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 21	23.4	14	50%	5	1	0	1	1	0	2	3	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	3-9	33%
Khris Middleton #22 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 34	21.9	16	67%	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	1	5-5	100%	4-7	57%	1-3	33%

Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	21.4	12	50%	3	2	1	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-7	29%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	21.1	15	94%	3	1	0	1	0	1	2	1	5-6	83%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	19.5	10	71%	9	0	0	0	0	3	5	4	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-1	0%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	15.2	6	100%	5	2	0	0	1	4	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27
Malaki Branham #8 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 23	5.8	2	50%	3	1	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	2.3	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	2.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	2.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
AJ Johnson #4 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	2.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Deep Vein Thrombosis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	50%	49	22	3	7	6	20	18	31	19-23	83%	30-62	48%	10-35	29%

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29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	33.3	14	39%	6	4	0	1	0	1	1	5	3-4	75%	4-12	33%	1-5	20%
Kyshawn George #18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 22	31.4	2	11%	2	6	0	0	3	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-8	13%	0-1	0%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	24.6	7	44%	11	1	1	4	0	3	4	7	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 21	23.4	14	50%	5	1	0	1	1	0	2	3	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	3-9	33%
Khris Middleton #22 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 34	21.9	16	67%	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	1	5-5	100%	4-7	57%	1-3	33%

Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	21.4	12	50%	3	2	1	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-7	29%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	21.1	15	94%	3	1	0	1	0	1	2	1	5-6	83%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	19.5	10	71%	9	0	0	0	0	3	5	4	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-1	0%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	15.2	6	100%	5	2	0	0	1	4	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27
Malaki Branham #8 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 23	5.8	2	50%	3	1	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	2.3	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	2.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	2.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
AJ Johnson #4 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	2.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Deep Vein Thrombosis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	50%	49	22	3	7	6	20	18	31	19-23	83%	30-62	48%	10-35	29%

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20 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 24	35.7	12	100%	18	1	0	0	0	2	8	10	0-0	-	6-6	100%	0-0	-
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 28	33.6	10	36%	9	9	0	1	1	4	0	9	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	1-6	17%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	30.3	20	59%	4	4	0	2	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	4-7	57%	4-10	40%
Kon Knueppel #7 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	28.4	19	59%	3	2	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-2	0%	2-6	33%	5-9	56%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	24.8	23	88%	2	9	1	1	2	3	0	2	5-6	83%	3-3	100%	4-9	44%

Sion James #4 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 23	23.8	13	72%	4	4	1	0	0	2	3	1	8-8	100%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	21.6	11	46%	6	1	1	1	0	0	1	5	2-3	67%	3-8	38%	1-3	33%
Collin Sexton #8 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	16.1	12	60%	1	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	6-6	100%	0-3	0%	2-4	50%
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 25	11.6	3	30%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Josh Green #10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	11.3	3	75%	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Liam McNeeley #33 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 20	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Pat Connaughton #21 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 33	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	INACTIVE
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	INACTIVE
Drew Peterson #9 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 26	INACTIVE
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Mason Plumlee #22 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	59%	51	35	3	6	4	16	14	37	22-27	81%	22-43	51%	20-50	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	CHA
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	CHA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.00 50.0%

CHA

1.19 59.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

58%

CHA

59%

Midrange

WAS

38%

CHA

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

15.0

29%

43%

CHA

30.0

40%

60%

Free Throws

WAS

83%

CHA

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Middleton	16	67%	8.0 / 12
M. Bagley	15	94%	7.5 / 8
C. McCollum	14	39%	7.0 / 18
B. Coulibaly	14	50%	7.0 / 14
T. Johnson	12	50%	6.0 / 12
J. Champagnie	10	71%	5.0 / 7
C. Kispert	9	50%	4.5 / 9
A. Sarr	7	44%	3.5 / 8
B. Carrington	6	100%	3.0 / 3
K. George	2	11%	1.0 / 9
M. Branham	2	50%	1.0 / 2
W. Riley	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Johnson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Ball	23	88%	11.5 / 13
B. Miller	20	59%	10.0 / 17
K. Knueppel	19	59%	9.5 / 16
S. James	13	72%	6.5 / 9
M. Diabaté	12	100%	6.0 / 6
C. Sexton	12	60%	6.0 / 10
T. Salaün	11	46%	5.5 / 12
M. Bridges	10	36%	5.0 / 14
T. Mann	3	30%	1.5 / 5
J. Green	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 109.7 5 118.6	WAS 114.7 CHA 135.5 +20.7
Pace	5 102.5 27 97.5	WAS 99.8 +11.0 CHA 88.8
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 3 15.2	WAS 14.4 −1.8 CHA 16.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.5% 12 55.2%	WAS 46.4% CHA 55.9% +9.5%
TO %	26 14.7% 27 14.8%	WAS 5.3% CHA 4.6% −0.7%
ORB %	21 24.0% 4 30.5%	WAS 32.7% +1.6% CHA 31.1%
FTrt	26 23.5 23 24.4	WAS 23.7 CHA 29.0 +5.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 59.9% 14 64.3%	WAS 55.0% CHA 83.3% +28.3%
STL %	22 7.8% 29 7.2%	WAS 3.2% CHA 3.2%
BLK %	9 10.0% 20 8.6%	WAS 16.3% +6.6% CHA 9.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 55.4% 10 57.3%	WAS 50.0% CHA 59.4% +9.4%
Rim FG%	15 64.7% 23 63.1%	WAS 57.6% CHA 59.3% +1.7%
Mid FG%	26 41.3% 25 41.4%	WAS 37.9% +0.4% CHA 37.5%
3P %	16 35.9% 3 37.8%	WAS 28.6% CHA 40.0% +11.4%
FT %	23 76.6% 2 81.8%	WAS 82.6% +1.1% CHA 81.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.6% 25 29.3%	WAS 34.0% +5.0% CHA 29.0%
Mid Att. %	25 29.1% 6 22.0%	WAS 29.9% CHA 17.2% −12.7%
3P Att. %	20 40.3% 2 48.7%	WAS 36.1% CHA 53.8% +17.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	CHA
Possessions	95	93
Possession Minutes	22.9	25.1
Points	109	126
Rebounds	49	51
Assists	22	35
Steals	3	3
Blocks	7	6
Turnovers (Team)	6 (0)	4 (1)
Fouls	20	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	18 (2)	14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (4)	37 (2)
Field Goals	40-97	42-93
At-the-Rim FG	19-33	16-27
Midrange FG	11-29	6-16
2-Point FG	30-62	22-43
3-Point FG	10-35	20-50
Free Throws	19-23	22-27
Fast Break Pts	5	11
2nd Chance Pts	22	18
Points in Paint	50	40
Pts off Turnovers	1	12
Bench Points	56	42
Biggest Lead	10	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg