Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, December 23, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Hornets | 66% | 121 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Nets | 26% | 109 | 114 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Bulls | 41% | 122 | 126 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Pelicans | 21% | 115 | 118 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Bucks | 52% | 112 | 111 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Raptors | 38% | 110 | 112 |
 | 11 | Heat | 62% | 114 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Mavericks | 39% | 116 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Knicks | 34% | 110 | 104 |
 | 7 | Timberwolves | 66% | 116 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Thunder | 60% | 117 | 110 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Lakers | 42% | 110 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Magic | 51% | 115 | 110 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Pistons | 71% | 116 | 136 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Monday, December 22, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 25% | 114 | 132 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 75% | 123 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pacers | 17% | 107 | 95 |
 | 4 | Celtics | 83% | 119 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Mavericks | 54% | 117 | 113 |
| 23 | Pelicans | 46% | 116 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 20% | 118 | 112 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 80% | 129 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 19% | 108 | 103 |
| 1 | Thunder | 81% | 119 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 28% | 110 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | 61% | 118 | 110 |
| 22 | Blazers | 39% | 115 | 102 |
Sunday, December 21, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 39% | 119 | 152 |
| 14 | Hawks | 61% | 122 | 150 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 33% | 114 | 125 |
| 5 | Knicks | 67% | 119 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 51% | 112 | 81 |
| 25 | Nets | 49% | 111 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 21% | 108 | 100 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 79% | 119 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spurs | 89% | 126 | 124 |
| 30 | Wizards | 11% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 85% | 118 | 124 |
| 29 | Kings | 15% | 104 | 125 |
Saturday, December 20, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 55% | 118 | 115 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 45% | 117 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Mavericks | 52% | 114 | 114 |
| 21 | 76ers | 48% | 113 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 53% | 112 | 112 |
| 17 | Raptors | 47% | 111 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 44% | 115 | 109 |
| 22 | Pelicans | 56% | 117 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 30% | 112 | 86 |
| 10 | Pistons | 70% | 118 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 19% | 111 | 130 |
| 16 | Grizzlies | 81% | 122 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 25% | 107 | 116 |
| 3 | Warriors | 75% | 116 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 75% | 122 | 128 |
| 30 | Jazz | 25% | 114 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Blazers | 58% | 116 | 98 |
| 28 | Kings | 42% | 114 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | 46% | 112 | 88 |
| 11 | Clippers | 54% | 113 | 103 |
Friday, December 19, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 35% | 113 | 116 |
| 5 | Knicks | 65% | 118 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 26% | 110 | 116 |
| 4 | Celtics | 74% | 118 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 36% | 116 | 136 |
| 15 | Cavaliers | 64% | 121 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | 52% | 118 | 126 |
| 12 | Hawks | 48% | 117 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 61% | 114 | 107 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 39% | 111 | 112 |
Thursday, December 18, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | 71% | 120 | 114 |
| 26 | Pacers | 29% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 58% | 117 | 126 |
| 22 | Hornets | 42% | 115 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 64% | 117 | 106 |
| 25 | Nets | 36% | 112 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 77% | 120 | 128 |
| 24 | Pelicans | 23% | 110 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 63% | 113 | 111 |
| 27 | Bucks | 37% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 11% | 110 | 94 |
| 5 | Spurs | 89% | 126 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Clippers | 11% | 100 | 101 |
| 1 | Thunder | 89% | 116 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pistons | 61% | 116 | 114 |
| 20 | Mavericks | 39% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lakers | 79% | 123 | 143 |
| 30 | Jazz | 21% | 112 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 65% | 116 | 98 |
| 16 | Suns | 35% | 110 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 34% | 115 | 115 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 66% | 120 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 33% | 113 | 133 |
| 23 | Blazers | 67% | 119 | 134 |
Wednesday, December 17, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | 39% | 111 | 116 |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 61% | 114 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 66% | 123 | 111 |
| 21 | Bulls | 34% | 117 | 127 |
Tuesday, December 16, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 41% | 117 | 113 |
| 5 | Knicks | 59% | 120 | 124 |
Monday, December 15, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 35% | 111 | 112 |
| 5 | Celtics | 65% | 116 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 37% | 113 | 106 |
| 9 | Heat | 63% | 117 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Mavericks | 54% | 120 | 133 |
| 28 | Jazz | 46% | 118 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 57% | 118 | 125 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 43% | 116 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | 39% | 112 | 121 |
| 8 | Clippers | 61% | 116 | 103 |
Sunday, December 14, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 24% | 111 | 108 |
| 21 | Pacers | 76% | 120 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 18% | 111 | 119 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 82% | 123 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 43% | 112 | 117 |
| 15 | Hawks | 57% | 115 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 45% | 111 | 82 |
| 23 | Nets | 55% | 113 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | 44% | 119 | 114 |
| 20 | Bulls | 56% | 122 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 23% | 108 | 103 |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 77% | 118 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Lakers | 47% | 114 | 116 |
| 14 | Suns | 53% | 115 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 72% | 120 | 131 |
| 24 | Blazers | 28% | 113 | 136 |
Saturday, December 13, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 53% | 114 | 132 |
| 13 | Magic | 47% | 113 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | 22% | 108 | 111 |
| 1 | Thunder | 78% | 118 | 109 |
Friday, December 12, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 88% | 127 | 130 |
| 30 | Wizards | 12% | 112 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 55% | 116 | 129 |
| 28 | Hornets | 45% | 114 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 40% | 113 | 115 |
| 9 | Pistons | 60% | 116 | 142 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 40% | 110 | 105 |
| 19 | 76ers | 60% | 113 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Jazz | 26% | 115 | 130 |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 74% | 123 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 36% | 111 | 111 |
| 20 | Mavericks | 64% | 115 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | 35% | 110 | 127 |
| 4 | Warriors | 65% | 115 | 120 |
Thursday, December 11, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Blazers | 57% | 119 | 120 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 43% | 117 | 143 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 81% | 118 | 101 |
| 29 | Bucks | 19% | 107 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 28% | 106 | 113 |
| 3 | Rockets | 72% | 114 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 75% | 123 | 136 |
| 28 | Kings | 25% | 114 | 105 |
Wednesday, December 10, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Suns | 16% | 104 | 89 |
| 1 | Thunder | 84% | 116 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Spurs | 37% | 118 | 132 |
| 7 | Lakers | 63% | 122 | 119 |