Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, December 19, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Thunder	61%	114	107	104.9	102	100.9
	6	Timberwolves	39%	111	112	108.7	103	104.1

Prediction updated: Dec 20, 2025 02:28 AM

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

+16

-11

107

MIN

+23

-13

113

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.01 50.5%

MIN

0.99 49.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	37.0	35	63%	5	7	2	2	3	3	0	5	8-8	100%	9-19	47%	3-7	43%
Jalen Williams #8 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 25	31.5	17	47%	7	2	2	1	4	5	2	5	3-4	75%	4-12	33%	2-4	50%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 27	28.8	11	42%	4	2	0	1	1	5	0	4	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	3-10	30%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	27.5	1	17%	10	0	0	1	2	3	3	7	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 24	24.9	14	58%	5	0	0	2	0	3	1	4	6-6	100%	4-7	57%	0-2	0%

Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	26.8	2	25%	2	0	3	0	1	3	1	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	22.9	14	64%	2	2	0	0	0	5	1	1	4-4	100%	5-8	63%	0-2	0%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	22.5	7	44%	12	1	0	2	0	2	2	10	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-6	17%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	12.9	6	60%	4	2	0	1	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	5.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Adductor; Soreness
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Youngblood #3 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Surgical Recovery
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Bursitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	51%	52	16	7	10	11	30	13	39	28-30	93%	23-53	43%	11-39	28%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	37.0	35	63%	5	7	2	2	3	3	0	5	8-8	100%	9-19	47%	3-7	43%
Jalen Williams #8 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 25	31.5	17	47%	7	2	2	1	4	5	2	5	3-4	75%	4-12	33%	2-4	50%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 27	28.8	11	42%	4	2	0	1	1	5	0	4	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	3-10	30%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	27.5	1	17%	10	0	0	1	2	3	3	7	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 24	24.9	14	58%	5	0	0	2	0	3	1	4	6-6	100%	4-7	57%	0-2	0%

Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	26.8	2	25%	2	0	3	0	1	3	1	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	22.9	14	64%	2	2	0	0	0	5	1	1	4-4	100%	5-8	63%	0-2	0%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	22.5	7	44%	12	1	0	2	0	2	2	10	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-6	17%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	12.9	6	60%	4	2	0	1	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	5.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Adductor; Soreness
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Youngblood #3 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Surgical Recovery
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Bursitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	51%	52	16	7	10	11	30	13	39	28-30	93%	23-53	43%	11-39	28%

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6 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	40.8	26	57%	12	3	3	2	3	2	1	11	5-6	83%	6-14	43%	3-6	50%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 25	37.0	13	46%	4	2	0	0	2	2	2	2	4-4	100%	3-7	43%	1-6	17%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 29	33.4	15	58%	4	1	0	0	1	3	2	2	1-3	33%	1-2	50%	4-10	40%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	33.1	9	41%	14	1	0	0	2	3	6	8	3-7	43%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	32.1	19	41%	8	5	0	0	2	4	5	3	12-16	75%	2-11	18%	1-4	25%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	30.6	15	58%	6	2	3	2	1	3	1	5	5-7	71%	5-6	83%	0-4	0%
Bones Hyland #8 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	15.7	13	81%	3	3	2	1	1	3	1	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	4-6	67%
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	12.0	0	0%	6	3	0	1	1	4	0	6	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	5.2	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Juzang #9 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Rocco Zikarsky #44 · C · 7'3" 227 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Enrique Freeman #25 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Tendinopathy
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	50%	57	20	8	6	13	24	18	39	33-47	70%	20-51	39%	13-37	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	MIN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.01 50.5%

MIN

0.99 49.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

46%

MIN

41%

Midrange

OKC

40%

MIN

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

16.5

28%

42%

MIN

19.5

35%

53%

Free Throws

OKC

93%

MIN

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	35	63%	17.5 / 28
J. Williams	17	47%	8.5 / 18
C. Holmgren	14	58%	7.0 / 12
A. Mitchell	14	64%	7.0 / 11
L. Dort	11	42%	5.5 / 13
A. Caruso	7	44%	3.5 / 8
I. Joe	6	60%	3.0 / 5
C. Wallace	2	25%	1.0 / 4
I. Hartenstein	1	17%	0.5 / 3
K. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	26	57%	13.0 / 23
J. Randle	19	41%	9.5 / 23
D. DiVincenzo	15	58%	7.5 / 13
N. Reid	15	58%	7.5 / 13
J. McDaniels	13	46%	6.5 / 14
B. Hyland	13	81%	6.5 / 8
R. Gobert	9	41%	4.5 / 11
T. Shannon	2	100%	1.0 / 1
R. Dillingham	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 117.6 13 115.7	OKC 104.9 MIN 108.7 +3.8
Pace	15 100.3 9 101.4	OKC 100.9 MIN 104.1 +3.2
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.1 15 14.4	OKC 14.3 MIN 13.8 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 56.1% 6 55.9%	OKC 42.9% MIN 44.9% +2.0%
TO %	1 11.8% 18 13.9%	OKC 10.2% −0.5% MIN 10.7%
ORB %	28 22.3% 15 25.7%	OKC 25.0% MIN 31.6% +6.6%
FTrt	17 26.1 7 28.5	OKC 32.6 MIN 53.4 +20.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	25 59.8% 21 61.2%	OKC 47.1% MIN 60.6% +13.5%
STL %	4 9.6% 13 8.6%	OKC 6.9% MIN 7.8% +0.9%
BLK %	2 11.0% 6 10.4%	OKC 19.6% +8.3% MIN 11.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 58.5% 8 57.6%	OKC 50.5% +0.9% MIN 49.6%
Rim FG%	11 65.2% 10 65.7%	OKC 46.4% +5.8% MIN 40.6%
Mid FG%	1 47.6% 14 43.7%	OKC 40.0% +3.2% MIN 36.8%
3P %	9 36.5% 6 37.0%	OKC 28.2% MIN 35.1% +6.9%
FT %	3 81.7% 29 75.2%	OKC 93.3% +23.1% MIN 70.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	16 31.3% 9 33.0%	OKC 30.4% MIN 36.4% +5.9%
Mid Att. %	15 26.1% 10 25.0%	OKC 27.2% MIN 21.6% −5.6%
3P Att. %	13 42.6% 16 42.0%	OKC 42.4% +0.3% MIN 42.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	OKC	MIN
Possessions	102	103
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.8
Points	107	112
Rebounds	52	57
Assists	16	20
Steals	7	8
Blocks	10	6
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	13 (0)
Fouls	30	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (3)	18 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (4)	39 (5)
Field Goals	34-92	33-88
At-the-Rim FG	13-28	13-32
Midrange FG	10-25	7-19
2-Point FG	23-53	20-51
3-Point FG	11-39	13-37
Free Throws	28-30	33-47
Fast Break Pts	9	4
2nd Chance Pts	18	29
Points in Paint	40	34
Pts off Turnovers	21	15
Bench Points	29	30
Biggest Lead	12	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg