Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, December 17, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Grizzlies	39%	111	116	108.4	107	108.9
	10	Timberwolves	61%	114	110	102.8	107	105.2

Prediction updated: Dec 18, 2025 12:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+20

-18

109

MIN

+24

-18

113

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.06 53.2%

MIN

0.98 49.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	34.3	8	50%	11	3	0	0	3	4	3	8	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · SF · 6'10" 242 · 26	33.5	28	67%	12	3	1	3	4	4	1	11	6-6	100%	8-15	53%	2-3	67%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 22	31.4	17	53%	4	2	4	0	1	0	1	3	5-7	71%	3-7	43%	2-6	33%
Cedric Coward #23 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 22	27.3	13	50%	5	3	1	0	3	1	1	4	3-3	100%	5-8	63%	0-4	0%
Brandon Clarke #15 · C · 6'8" 215 · 29	16.6	6	33%	3	1	1	0	0	5	3	0	2-4	50%	2-7	29%	0-0	-

Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	29.9	20	67%	10	3	2	1	0	2	4	6	0-0	-	4-6	67%	4-9	44%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	25.1	5	36%	5	4	0	0	2	3	1	4	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	23.2	12	50%	1	3	1	0	3	3	0	1	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	2-5	40%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	15.3	7	88%	2	1	0	0	2	2	1	1	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	3.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; UCL Surgery Recovery
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Turf Toe
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	53%	54	23	10	4	18	25	15	39	21-25	84%	31-62	50%	11-34	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

14 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	34.3	8	50%	11	3	0	0	3	4	3	8	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · SF · 6'10" 242 · 26	33.5	28	67%	12	3	1	3	4	4	1	11	6-6	100%	8-15	53%	2-3	67%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 22	31.4	17	53%	4	2	4	0	1	0	1	3	5-7	71%	3-7	43%	2-6	33%
Cedric Coward #23 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 22	27.3	13	50%	5	3	1	0	3	1	1	4	3-3	100%	5-8	63%	0-4	0%
Brandon Clarke #15 · C · 6'8" 215 · 29	16.6	6	33%	3	1	1	0	0	5	3	0	2-4	50%	2-7	29%	0-0	-

Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	29.9	20	67%	10	3	2	1	0	2	4	6	0-0	-	4-6	67%	4-9	44%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	25.1	5	36%	5	4	0	0	2	3	1	4	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	23.2	12	50%	1	3	1	0	3	3	0	1	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	2-5	40%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	15.3	7	88%	2	1	0	0	2	2	1	1	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	3.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; UCL Surgery Recovery
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Turf Toe
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	53%	54	23	10	4	18	25	15	39	21-25	84%	31-62	50%	11-34	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

10 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 29	37.3	19	50%	11	4	3	1	1	3	4	7	3-6	50%	2-5	40%	4-11	36%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 25	36.7	13	50%	7	6	1	1	1	6	0	7	4-4	100%	3-9	33%	1-2	50%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	35.5	16	73%	16	4	1	4	4	2	7	9	4-6	67%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	35.3	21	48%	5	3	3	0	4	3	2	3	2-4	50%	8-15	53%	1-6	17%
Bones Hyland #8 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	34.1	12	43%	3	5	1	0	2	5	2	1	4-5	80%	1-2	50%	2-9	22%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	30.1	16	50%	7	2	1	1	2	4	0	7	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	3-11	27%
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	11.1	5	50%	1	2	0	0	3	1	1	0	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	10.9	6	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-3	67%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	9.0	2	25%	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Juzang #9 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Rocco Zikarsky #44 · C · 7'3" 227 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Enrique Freeman #25 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Injury Maintenance
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Tendinopathy
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	49%	52	26	11	8	18	25	16	36	19-27	70%	26-54	48%	13-44	30%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	MIN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.06 53.2%

MIN

0.98 49.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

56%

MIN

56%

Midrange

MEM

43%

MIN

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

16.5

32%

49%

MIN

19.5

30%

44%

Free Throws

MEM

84%

MIN

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jackson	28	67%	14.0 / 21
J. Landale	20	67%	10.0 / 15
J. Wells	17	53%	8.5 / 16
C. Coward	13	50%	6.5 / 13
K. Caldwell-Pope	12	50%	6.0 / 12
S. Aldama	8	50%	4.0 / 8
O. Prosper	7	88%	3.5 / 4
B. Clarke	6	33%	3.0 / 9
V. Williams	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. Mashack	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Randle	21	48%	10.5 / 22
D. DiVincenzo	19	50%	9.5 / 19
R. Gobert	16	73%	8.0 / 11
N. Reid	16	50%	8.0 / 16
J. McDaniels	13	50%	6.5 / 13
B. Hyland	12	43%	6.0 / 14
T. Shannon	6	50%	3.0 / 6
R. Dillingham	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Clark	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 112.4 13 115.7	MEM 108.4 +5.6 MIN 102.8
Pace	7 101.8 9 101.4	MEM 108.9 +3.7 MIN 105.2
Avg. Poss. Time	26 13.8 15 14.4	MEM 13.2 −0.5 MIN 13.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.3% 6 55.9%	MEM 49.5% +3.1% MIN 46.4%
TO %	22 14.3% 18 13.9%	MEM 14.4% MIN 14.1% −0.3%
ORB %	19 24.7% 15 25.7%	MEM 29.4% +0.3% MIN 29.1%
FTrt	21 25.1 7 28.5	MEM 26.0 MIN 27.6 +1.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 67.4% 21 61.2%	MEM 54.8% MIN 66.7% +11.9%
STL %	11 8.7% 13 8.6%	MEM 9.3% MIN 10.3% +1.0%
BLK %	14 9.1% 6 10.4%	MEM 7.4% MIN 12.9% +5.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.8% 8 57.6%	MEM 53.2% +4.1% MIN 49.1%
Rim FG%	26 62.8% 10 65.7%	MEM 56.3% +0.4% MIN 55.9%
Mid FG%	11 44.2% 14 43.7%	MEM 43.3% +8.3% MIN 35.0%
3P %	22 35.3% 6 37.0%	MEM 32.4% +2.9% MIN 29.5%
FT %	9 79.3% 29 75.2%	MEM 84.0% +13.6% MIN 70.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 28.6% 9 33.0%	MEM 33.3% MIN 34.7% +1.4%
Mid Att. %	19 27.8% 10 25.0%	MEM 31.3% MIN 20.4% −10.8%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 16 42.0%	MEM 35.4% MIN 44.9% +9.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	MIN
Possessions	107	107
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.4
Points	116	110
Rebounds	54	52
Assists	23	26
Steals	10	11
Blocks	4	8
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	18 (0)
Fouls	25	25
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (5)	16 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (2)	36 (0)
Field Goals	42-96	39-98
At-the-Rim FG	18-32	19-34
Midrange FG	13-30	7-20
2-Point FG	31-62	26-54
3-Point FG	11-34	13-44
Free Throws	21-25	19-27
Fast Break Pts	11	8
2nd Chance Pts	14	16
Points in Paint	50	46
Pts off Turnovers	20	19
Bench Points	44	29
Biggest Lead	8	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg