Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, December 12, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Pacers	40%	110	105	107.1	98	96.0
	19	76ers	60%	113	115	117.3	98	100.1

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+16

-7

107

PHI

+15

-12

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

0.98 49.1%

PHI

1.14 56.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

22 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	35.2	18	53%	5	7	1	0	2	0	0	5	5-5	100%	5-13	38%	1-2	50%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	33.8	20	48%	5	2	1	0	1	3	1	4	3-4	75%	7-15	47%	1-4	25%
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	32.8	12	55%	2	3	0	0	0	6	1	1	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	2-7	29%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 23	29.8	7	44%	5	2	0	1	1	3	1	4	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	27.5	13	50%	4	2	0	3	0	4	0	4	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	4-11	36%

Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 29	23.4	8	57%	4	2	0	0	0	4	1	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-6	33%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	18.2	3	38%	7	1	1	0	2	2	0	7	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	17.2	15	68%	2	5	2	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	6-10	60%	1-1	100%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	11.8	7	39%	9	1	0	0	1	3	6	3	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 28	8.7	2	50%	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	1.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee MCL; Sprain
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Fracture
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	49%	46	26	6	4	7	27	12	34	16-19	84%	25-58	43%	13-38	34%

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22 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	35.2	18	53%	5	7	1	0	2	0	0	5	5-5	100%	5-13	38%	1-2	50%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	33.8	20	48%	5	2	1	0	1	3	1	4	3-4	75%	7-15	47%	1-4	25%
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	32.8	12	55%	2	3	0	0	0	6	1	1	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	2-7	29%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 23	29.8	7	44%	5	2	0	1	1	3	1	4	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	27.5	13	50%	4	2	0	3	0	4	0	4	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	4-11	36%

Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 29	23.4	8	57%	4	2	0	0	0	4	1	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-6	33%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	18.2	3	38%	7	1	1	0	2	2	0	7	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	17.2	15	68%	2	5	2	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	6-10	60%	1-1	100%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	11.8	7	39%	9	1	0	0	1	3	6	3	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 28	8.7	2	50%	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	1.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee MCL; Sprain
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Fracture
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	49%	46	26	6	4	7	27	12	34	16-19	84%	25-58	43%	13-38	34%

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19 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
VJ Edgecombe #77 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	39.5	22	73%	4	5	2	0	0	3	1	3	7-10	70%	3-5	60%	3-5	60%
Quentin Grimes #5 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 26	38.9	10	50%	9	4	1	1	1	0	1	8	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-7	29%
Dominick Barlow #25 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 23	34.3	10	56%	8	1	0	1	0	3	0	8	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Paul George #8 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 36	33.1	23	68%	6	5	1	0	4	2	1	5	3-3	100%	4-10	40%	4-7	57%
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 32	31.9	39	63%	9	3	1	0	3	3	2	7	13-18	72%	10-15	67%	2-8	25%

Justin Edwards #11 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	18.6	0	0%	2	3	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 32	16.1	0	0%	9	1	0	2	1	1	4	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jared McCain #20 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	13.9	5	42%	1	0	1	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Jabari Walker #33 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	13.7	6	75%	2	0	0	0	2	3	2	0	6-8	75%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johni Broome #22 · PF · 6'9" 244 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Sallis #45 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
Trendon Watford #12 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	57%	50	22	6	4	12	19	11	39	33-43	77%	23-42	55%	12-37	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	PHI
Clock	Team	Event	IND	PHI

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

0.98 49.1%

PHI

1.14 56.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

44%

PHI

71%

Midrange

IND

42%

PHI

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

19.5

34%

51%

PHI

18.0

32%

49%

Free Throws

IND

84%

PHI

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Siakam	20	48%	10.0 / 21
A. Nembhard	18	53%	9.0 / 17
T. McConnell	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Huff	13	50%	6.5 / 13
E. Thompson	12	55%	6.0 / 11
G. Mathews	8	57%	4.0 / 7
B. Mathurin	7	44%	3.5 / 8
I. Jackson	7	39%	3.5 / 9
J. Walker	3	38%	1.5 / 4
T. Bradley	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Furphy	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Embiid	39	63%	19.5 / 31
P. George	23	68%	11.5 / 17
V. Edgecombe	22	73%	11.0 / 15
Q. Grimes	10	50%	5.0 / 10
D. Barlow	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Walker	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. McCain	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Edwards	0	-	0.0 / 5
A. Drummond	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	28 110.1 16 114.4	IND 107.1 PHI 117.3 +10.2
Pace	10 101.4 16 100.3	IND 96.0 PHI 100.1 +4.1
Avg. Poss. Time	25 13.9 11 14.6	IND 15.0 PHI 14.4 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 53.3% 25 53.0%	IND 46.4% PHI 51.9% +5.5%
TO %	14 13.6% 6 12.8%	IND 6.3% −5.4% PHI 11.7%
ORB %	29 21.7% 11 26.2%	IND 23.5% PHI 24.4% +0.9%
FTrt	20 25.2 11 27.5	IND 19.8 PHI 54.4 +34.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 67.8% 28 58.9%	IND 68.4% +5.5% PHI 62.9%
STL %	28 7.2% 7 9.0%	IND 6.1% PHI 6.1%
BLK %	26 8.1% 3 10.9%	IND 9.5% +2.6% PHI 6.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.4% 21 55.9%	IND 49.1% PHI 56.9% +7.8%
Rim FG%	25 62.9% 27 62.1%	IND 44.4% PHI 70.6% +26.2%
Mid FG%	19 42.7% 23 41.8%	IND 41.9% PHI 44.0% +2.1%
3P %	18 35.6% 23 34.9%	IND 34.2% +1.8% PHI 32.4%
FT %	17 77.6% 4 80.9%	IND 84.2% +7.5% PHI 76.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 30.3% 6 35.0%	IND 28.1% +6.6% PHI 21.5%
Mid Att. %	18 27.5% 13 25.9%	IND 32.3% PHI 31.6% −0.6%
3P Att. %	14 42.2% 23 39.1%	IND 39.6% PHI 46.8% +7.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	PHI
Possessions	98	98
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	105	115
Rebounds	46	50
Assists	26	22
Steals	6	6
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	7 (0)	12 (1)
Fouls	27	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (4)	11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (0)	39 (5)
Field Goals	38-96	35-79
At-the-Rim FG	12-27	12-17
Midrange FG	13-31	11-25
2-Point FG	25-58	23-42
3-Point FG	13-38	12-37
Free Throws	16-19	33-43
Fast Break Pts	13	12
2nd Chance Pts	18	13
Points in Paint	40	36
Pts off Turnovers	15	5
Bench Points	35	11
Biggest Lead	5	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg