Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, December 20, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Mavericks	52%	114	114	111.8	102	107.2
	21	76ers	48%	113	121	116.3	104	99.2

Prediction updated: Dec 21, 2025 12:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

DAL

-18

PHI

+23

-8

119

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.23 61.3%

PHI

1.02 50.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

19 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	36.5	24	60%	4	3	0	1	3	4	0	4	8-8	100%	8-14	57%	0-2	0%
Naji Marshall #13 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 28	34.4	22	85%	9	4	2	0	5	3	2	7	4-4	100%	9-12	75%	0-0	-
Anthony Davis #3 · C · 6'10" 253 · 33	34.0	24	57%	15	2	0	1	1	3	5	10	2-2	100%	11-18	61%	0-2	0%
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	30.4	15	83%	8	2	0	1	0	3	1	7	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	1-2	50%
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	26.2	7	50%	0	5	1	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%

Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	21.4	10	71%	2	5	0	0	4	2	0	2	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	17.5	10	42%	1	1	1	0	3	0	0	1	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-7	14%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	14.3	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	14.1	2	100%	4	0	0	4	1	3	0	4	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
D'Angelo Russell #5 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	11.3	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Miles Kelly #14 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23	INACTIVE
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	61%	44	24	5	7	18	22	8	36	21-22	95%	42-65	65%	3-18	17%

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19 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	36.5	24	60%	4	3	0	1	3	4	0	4	8-8	100%	8-14	57%	0-2	0%
Naji Marshall #13 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 28	34.4	22	85%	9	4	2	0	5	3	2	7	4-4	100%	9-12	75%	0-0	-
Anthony Davis #3 · C · 6'10" 253 · 33	34.0	24	57%	15	2	0	1	1	3	5	10	2-2	100%	11-18	61%	0-2	0%
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	30.4	15	83%	8	2	0	1	0	3	1	7	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	1-2	50%
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	26.2	7	50%	0	5	1	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%

Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	21.4	10	71%	2	5	0	0	4	2	0	2	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	17.5	10	42%	1	1	1	0	3	0	0	1	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-7	14%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	14.3	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	14.1	2	100%	4	0	0	4	1	3	0	4	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
D'Angelo Russell #5 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	11.3	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Miles Kelly #14 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23	INACTIVE
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	61%	44	24	5	7	18	22	8	36	21-22	95%	42-65	65%	3-18	17%

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21 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	40.7	38	59%	2	4	1	1	0	0	0	2	3-3	100%	10-20	50%	5-11	45%
VJ Edgecombe #77 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	34.7	26	62%	6	4	0	0	2	4	3	3	3-3	100%	7-10	70%	3-11	27%
Dominick Barlow #25 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 23	30.3	21	75%	4	2	2	0	1	2	1	3	2-4	50%	8-9	89%	1-4	25%
Quentin Grimes #5 · SF · 6'5" 207 · 26	24.6	6	30%	2	7	2	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 32	23.2	6	43%	12	3	0	0	0	1	7	5	1-4	25%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%

Jared McCain #20 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	30.4	12	43%	5	5	3	0	2	0	0	5	5-6	83%	2-6	33%	1-5	20%
Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	24.8	10	56%	8	0	1	1	1	2	6	2	5-6	83%	1-5	20%	1-1	100%
Jabari Walker #33 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	17.7	2	20%	8	0	1	0	0	4	3	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Justin Edwards #11 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	13.5	0	0%	0	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johni Broome #22 · PF · 6'9" 244 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Hunter Sallis #45 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trendon Watford #12 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Paul George #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	51%	47	27	11	2	8	13	20	27	21-28	75%	32-62	52%	12-40	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	PHI
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	PHI

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.23 61.3%

PHI

1.02 50.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

78%

PHI

57%

Midrange

DAL

44%

PHI

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

4.5

17%

25%

PHI

18.0

30%

45%

Free Throws

DAL

95%

PHI

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Flagg	24	60%	12.0 / 20
A. Davis	24	57%	12.0 / 21
N. Marshall	22	85%	11.0 / 13
P. Washington	15	83%	7.5 / 9
B. Williams	10	71%	5.0 / 7
K. Thompson	10	42%	5.0 / 12
R. Nembhard	7	50%	3.5 / 7
D. Gafford	2	100%	1.0 / 1
M. Christie	0	-	0.0 / 2
D. Russell	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Maxey	38	59%	19.0 / 32
V. Edgecombe	26	62%	13.0 / 21
D. Barlow	21	75%	10.5 / 14
J. McCain	12	43%	6.0 / 14
A. Bona	10	56%	5.0 / 9
Q. Grimes	6	30%	3.0 / 10
A. Drummond	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Walker	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Edwards	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 110.4 16 114.4	DAL 111.8 PHI 116.3 +4.6
Pace	6 102.5 16 100.3	DAL 107.2 +8.0 PHI 99.2
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.0 11 14.6	DAL 13.4 −1.1 PHI 14.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 52.7% 25 53.0%	DAL 56.0% +7.0% PHI 49.0%
TO %	13 13.5% 6 12.8%	DAL 16.3% PHI 8.0% −8.3%
ORB %	26 23.2% 11 26.2%	DAL 22.9% PHI 35.7% +12.8%
FTrt	6 28.7 11 27.5	DAL 26.5 PHI 27.5 +1.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 60.4% 28 58.9%	DAL 53.3% PHI 61.4% +8.1%
STL %	27 7.3% 7 9.0%	DAL 4.9% PHI 10.6% +5.7%
BLK %	16 9.0% 3 10.9%	DAL 11.3% +8.2% PHI 3.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 55.2% 21 55.9%	DAL 61.3% +10.5% PHI 50.8%
Rim FG%	22 63.2% 27 62.1%	DAL 77.5% +20.7% PHI 56.8%
Mid FG%	18 43.1% 23 41.8%	DAL 44.0% +5.1% PHI 38.9%
3P %	26 34.4% 23 34.9%	DAL 16.7% PHI 30.0% +13.3%
FT %	28 75.5% 4 80.9%	DAL 95.5% +20.5% PHI 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 32.8% 6 35.0%	DAL 48.2% +5.1% PHI 43.1%
Mid Att. %	28 31.7% 13 25.9%	DAL 30.1% PHI 17.6% −12.5%
3P Att. %	26 35.5% 23 39.1%	DAL 21.7% PHI 39.2% +17.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DAL	PHI
Possessions	102	104
Possession Minutes	22.8	25.2
Points	114	121
Rebounds	44	47
Assists	24	27
Steals	5	11
Blocks	7	2
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	8 (2)
Fouls	22	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (1)	20 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (3)	27 (2)
Field Goals	45-83	44-102
At-the-Rim FG	31-40	25-44
Midrange FG	11-25	7-18
2-Point FG	42-65	32-62
3-Point FG	3-18	12-40
Free Throws	21-22	21-28
Fast Break Pts	21	19
2nd Chance Pts	12	19
Points in Paint	76	58
Pts off Turnovers	10	23
Bench Points	22	24
Biggest Lead	6	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg