Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, December 14, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Wizards	24%	111	108	118.7	91	94.9
	20	Pacers	76%	120	89	98.9	90	86.4

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+23

-11

103

IND

+13

-8

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.07 53.5%

IND

0.94 46.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	36.3	11	46%	3	5	1	0	1	0	0	3	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	2-7	29%
Kyshawn George #18 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 22	35.9	9	38%	8	9	1	1	3	4	2	6	1-3	33%	1-5	20%	2-6	33%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 34	34.1	18	50%	6	2	0	0	1	2	1	5	0-0	-	6-15	40%	2-3	67%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	33.0	13	50%	14	0	2	1	0	2	3	11	0-0	-	5-10	50%	1-3	33%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · C · 6'10" 235 · 27	32.0	23	61%	14	1	1	1	2	4	9	5	5-10	50%	9-14	64%	0-0	-

Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	22.5	12	86%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	4-5	80%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	16.0	6	38%	3	0	0	0	2	2	0	3	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	15.7	14	88%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	3-4	75%
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	14.5	2	100%	5	0	0	0	1	5	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
AJ Johnson #4 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Adductor; Strain
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Oblique; Strain
Malaki Branham #8 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Sprain
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Distal Phalanx Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	54%	56	19	5	3	11	21	17	39	16-26	62%	31-61	51%	10-28	36%

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30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	36.3	11	46%	3	5	1	0	1	0	0	3	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	2-7	29%
Kyshawn George #18 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 22	35.9	9	38%	8	9	1	1	3	4	2	6	1-3	33%	1-5	20%	2-6	33%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 34	34.1	18	50%	6	2	0	0	1	2	1	5	0-0	-	6-15	40%	2-3	67%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	33.0	13	50%	14	0	2	1	0	2	3	11	0-0	-	5-10	50%	1-3	33%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · C · 6'10" 235 · 27	32.0	23	61%	14	1	1	1	2	4	9	5	5-10	50%	9-14	64%	0-0	-

Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	22.5	12	86%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	4-5	80%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	16.0	6	38%	3	0	0	0	2	2	0	3	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	15.7	14	88%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	3-4	75%
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	14.5	2	100%	5	0	0	0	1	5	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
AJ Johnson #4 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Adductor; Strain
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Oblique; Strain
Malaki Branham #8 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Sprain
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Distal Phalanx Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	54%	56	19	5	3	11	21	17	39	16-26	62%	31-61	51%	10-28	36%

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20 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 23	31.6	15	58%	4	2	0	0	1	5	1	3	8-8	100%	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	30.0	7	25%	2	6	0	0	0	2	2	0	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-7	14%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	28.7	11	42%	4	4	1	0	1	2	1	3	3-3	100%	4-10	40%	0-2	0%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	24.9	13	72%	4	0	0	4	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-7	43%
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	23.9	2	20%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-3	0%

Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	23.1	11	61%	12	0	0	2	1	2	4	8	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	22.2	12	46%	3	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-6	33%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 29	18.6	8	67%	1	2	1	0	0	3	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-5	40%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	15.5	4	50%	4	4	0	0	4	0	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	13.5	5	63%	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	8.0	1	13%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee MCL; Sprain
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Fracture
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	47%	41	20	2	7	8	18	11	30	17-21	81%	21-45	47%	10-39	26%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	IND
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.07 53.5%

IND

0.94 46.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

55%

IND

58%

Midrange

WAS

46%

IND

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

15.0

36%

54%

IND

15.0

26%

38%

Free Throws

WAS

62%

IND

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Bagley	23	61%	11.5 / 19
C. McCollum	18	50%	9.0 / 18
T. Johnson	14	88%	7.0 / 8
J. Champagnie	13	50%	6.5 / 13
W. Riley	12	86%	6.0 / 7
B. Carrington	11	46%	5.5 / 12
K. George	9	38%	4.5 / 12
T. Vukcevic	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. Watkins	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Mathurin	15	58%	7.5 / 13
J. Huff	13	72%	6.5 / 9
J. Walker	12	46%	6.0 / 13
P. Siakam	11	42%	5.5 / 13
I. Jackson	11	61%	5.5 / 9
G. Mathews	8	67%	4.0 / 6
A. Nembhard	7	25%	3.5 / 14
J. Furphy	5	63%	2.5 / 4
T. McConnell	4	50%	2.0 / 4
E. Thompson	2	20%	1.0 / 5
Q. Jackson	1	13%	0.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 109.7 28 110.1	WAS 118.7 +19.8 IND 98.9
Pace	5 102.5 10 101.4	WAS 94.9 +8.6 IND 86.4
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 25 13.9	WAS 15.2 −1.5 IND 16.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.5% 23 53.3%	WAS 51.7% +8.8% IND 42.9%
TO %	26 14.7% 14 13.6%	WAS 9.9% IND 7.9% −2.0%
ORB %	21 24.0% 29 21.7%	WAS 36.2% +14.2% IND 22.0%
FTrt	26 23.5 20 25.2	WAS 29.2 +4.2 IND 25.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 59.9% 5 67.8%	WAS 46.3% IND 64.5% +18.2%
STL %	22 7.8% 28 7.2%	WAS 5.5% +3.3% IND 2.2%
BLK %	9 10.0% 26 8.1%	WAS 6.7% IND 11.5% +4.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 55.4% 24 55.4%	WAS 53.5% +6.7% IND 46.8%
Rim FG%	15 64.7% 25 62.9%	WAS 54.5% IND 57.9% +3.4%
Mid FG%	26 41.3% 19 42.7%	WAS 46.4% +7.9% IND 38.5%
3P %	16 35.9% 18 35.6%	WAS 35.7% +10.1% IND 25.6%
FT %	23 76.6% 17 77.6%	WAS 61.5% IND 81.0% +19.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.6% 23 30.3%	WAS 37.1% +14.5% IND 22.6%
Mid Att. %	25 29.1% 18 27.5%	WAS 31.5% IND 31.0% −0.5%
3P Att. %	20 40.3% 14 42.2%	WAS 31.5% IND 46.4% +15.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	IND
Possessions	91	90
Possession Minutes	23.0	25.0
Points	108	89
Rebounds	56	41
Assists	19	20
Steals	5	2
Blocks	3	7
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	8 (0)
Fouls	21	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (6)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (2)	30 (1)
Field Goals	41-89	31-84
At-the-Rim FG	18-33	11-19
Midrange FG	13-28	10-26
2-Point FG	31-61	21-45
3-Point FG	10-28	10-39
Free Throws	16-26	17-21
Fast Break Pts	5	5
2nd Chance Pts	17	19
Points in Paint	50	38
Pts off Turnovers	7	11
Bench Points	34	41
Biggest Lead	22	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg