Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, December 20, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Wizards	19%	111	130	127.5	102	98.2
	14	Grizzlies	81%	122	122	119.6	102	106.1

Prediction updated: Dec 21, 2025 01:02 AM

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+23

-13

112

MEM

+22

-14

110

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.16 58.0%

MEM

1.10 55.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	39.4	28	82%	5	6	0	0	0	3	1	4	4-5	80%	3-4	75%	6-12	50%
Kyshawn George #18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 22	39.2	28	82%	7	7	1	1	4	5	2	5	5-5	100%	7-9	78%	3-7	43%
Bub Carrington #7 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	34.9	14	50%	7	4	0	0	2	1	0	7	5-6	83%	3-6	50%	1-5	20%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	26.0	18	56%	11	2	0	1	0	2	6	5	0-0	-	6-12	50%	2-4	50%
Khris Middleton #22 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 34	22.1	6	27%	3	4	2	0	1	2	0	3	3-4	75%	0-6	0%	1-3	33%

Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	23.9	4	29%	11	4	1	1	1	2	5	6	1-4	25%	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	21.9	16	62%	6	3	0	0	2	3	5	1	0-0	-	8-12	67%	0-1	0%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	21.4	12	55%	3	2	1	0	3	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-7	29%
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	10.8	4	67%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Malaki Branham #8 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 23	0.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Johnson #4 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Distal Phalanx Fracture
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Soreness
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	58%	54	32	5	3	13	20	20	34	19-26	73%	30-55	55%	17-44	39%

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29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	39.4	28	82%	5	6	0	0	0	3	1	4	4-5	80%	3-4	75%	6-12	50%
Kyshawn George #18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 22	39.2	28	82%	7	7	1	1	4	5	2	5	5-5	100%	7-9	78%	3-7	43%
Bub Carrington #7 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	34.9	14	50%	7	4	0	0	2	1	0	7	5-6	83%	3-6	50%	1-5	20%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	26.0	18	56%	11	2	0	1	0	2	6	5	0-0	-	6-12	50%	2-4	50%
Khris Middleton #22 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 34	22.1	6	27%	3	4	2	0	1	2	0	3	3-4	75%	0-6	0%	1-3	33%

Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	23.9	4	29%	11	4	1	1	1	2	5	6	1-4	25%	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	21.9	16	62%	6	3	0	0	2	3	5	1	0-0	-	8-12	67%	0-1	0%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	21.4	12	55%	3	2	1	0	3	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-7	29%
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	10.8	4	67%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Malaki Branham #8 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 23	0.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Johnson #4 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Distal Phalanx Fracture
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Soreness
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	58%	54	32	5	3	13	20	20	34	19-26	73%	30-55	55%	17-44	39%

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14 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cam Spencer #24 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 26	37.1	19	50%	4	11	0	0	2	1	1	3	1-1	100%	3-8	38%	4-10	40%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	32.0	4	20%	5	1	1	0	2	2	0	5	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-5	0%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	32.0	22	55%	8	3	2	0	3	6	1	7	5-7	71%	4-11	36%	3-7	43%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	31.0	14	64%	6	3	1	1	2	3	3	3	2-4	50%	3-4	75%	2-5	40%
Brandon Clarke #15 · C · 6'8" 215 · 29	3.9	2	50%	3	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	35.7	37	80%	10	2	1	1	2	2	6	4	2-3	67%	10-14	71%	5-9	56%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	27.9	11	61%	2	5	1	0	2	3	1	1	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	23.8	5	23%	8	1	0	1	1	2	6	2	1-2	50%	2-7	29%	0-3	0%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	16.5	8	133%	2	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; UCL Surgery Recovery
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Turf Toe
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	55%	48	31	7	3	14	19	19	29	16-22	73%	29-56	52%	16-44	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MEM

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.16 58.0%

MEM

1.10 55.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

58%

MEM

56%

Midrange

WAS

52%

MEM

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

25.5

39%

58%

MEM

24.0

36%

55%

Free Throws

WAS

73%

MEM

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. McCollum	28	82%	14.0 / 17
K. George	28	82%	14.0 / 17
A. Sarr	18	56%	9.0 / 16
M. Bagley	16	62%	8.0 / 13
B. Carrington	14	50%	7.0 / 14
T. Johnson	12	55%	6.0 / 11
K. Middleton	6	27%	3.0 / 11
J. Champagnie	4	29%	2.0 / 7
W. Riley	4	67%	2.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Aldama	37	80%	18.5 / 23
J. Jackson	22	55%	11.0 / 20
C. Spencer	19	50%	9.5 / 19
C. Coward	14	64%	7.0 / 11
K. Caldwell-Pope	11	61%	5.5 / 9
O. Prosper	8	133%	4.0 / 3
J. Landale	5	23%	2.5 / 11
J. Wells	4	20%	2.0 / 10
B. Clarke	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 109.7 23 112.4	WAS 127.5 +7.8 MEM 119.6
Pace	5 102.5 7 101.8	WAS 98.2 MEM 106.1 +7.8
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 26 13.8	WAS 14.7 MEM 13.6 −1.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.5% 24 53.3%	WAS 56.1% +3.1% MEM 53.0%
TO %	26 14.7% 22 14.3%	WAS 10.5% −0.8% MEM 11.3%
ORB %	21 24.0% 19 24.7%	WAS 40.8% +5.0% MEM 35.8%
FTrt	26 23.5 21 25.1	WAS 26.3 +4.3 MEM 22.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 59.9% 6 67.4%	WAS 68.1% MEM 68.9% +0.8%
STL %	22 7.8% 11 8.7%	WAS 4.9% MEM 6.9% +2.0%
BLK %	9 10.0% 14 9.1%	WAS 5.4% MEM 5.5% +0.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 55.4% 22 55.8%	WAS 58.0% +3.0% MEM 55.0%
Rim FG%	15 64.7% 26 62.8%	WAS 58.3% +2.7% MEM 55.6%
Mid FG%	26 41.3% 11 44.2%	WAS 51.6% +3.3% MEM 48.3%
3P %	16 35.9% 22 35.3%	WAS 38.6% +2.2% MEM 36.4%
FT %	23 76.6% 9 79.3%	WAS 73.1% +0.4% MEM 72.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.6% 26 28.6%	WAS 24.2% MEM 27.0% +2.8%
Mid Att. %	25 29.1% 19 27.8%	WAS 31.3% MEM 29.0% −2.3%
3P Att. %	20 40.3% 10 43.6%	WAS 44.4% +0.4% MEM 44.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	MEM
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	130	122
Rebounds	54	48
Assists	32	31
Steals	5	7
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls	20	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	20 (3)	19 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (2)	29 (2)
Field Goals	47-99	45-100
At-the-Rim FG	14-24	15-27
Midrange FG	16-31	14-29
2-Point FG	30-55	29-56
3-Point FG	17-44	16-44
Free Throws	19-26	16-22
Fast Break Pts	16	14
2nd Chance Pts	22	26
Points in Paint	44	50
Pts off Turnovers	24	23
Bench Points	36	61
Biggest Lead	8	20

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg