Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, December 23, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Magic	51%	115	110	112.2	98	95.7
	23	Blazers	49%	114	106	109.3	97	99.4

Prediction updated: Dec 24, 2025 03:03 AM

Scoring Opportunities

ORL

+14

-14

POR

+16

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.12 56.1%

POR

1.10 55.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

16 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 23	36.4	12	60%	6	3	0	0	1	3	1	5	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Desmond Bane #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 27	35.6	23	68%	4	5	3	3	4	4	0	4	7-7	100%	2-8	25%	4-7	57%
Tyus Jones #2 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	34.9	16	89%	4	7	1	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	4-6	67%
Anthony Black #0 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	32.5	22	50%	7	6	2	0	3	2	3	4	2-3	67%	4-13	31%	4-8	50%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 27	30.8	14	58%	7	1	1	1	0	3	2	5	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	1-4	25%

Noah Penda #93 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 21	23.8	8	40%	6	2	0	1	3	1	2	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-6	33%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 28	16.6	9	64%	2	0	1	0	2	3	0	2	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 27	12.8	4	67%	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jase Richardson #11 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 20	11.6	2	50%	2	2	0	0	1	1	2	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	4.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Orlando Robinson #7 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Strain
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Contusion
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left High Ankle; Sprain
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Contusion
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	56%	38	26	10	5	14	21	10	28	21-23	91%	22-52	42%	15-33	45%

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16 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 23	36.4	12	60%	6	3	0	0	1	3	1	5	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Desmond Bane #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 27	35.6	23	68%	4	5	3	3	4	4	0	4	7-7	100%	2-8	25%	4-7	57%
Tyus Jones #2 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	34.9	16	89%	4	7	1	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	4-6	67%
Anthony Black #0 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	32.5	22	50%	7	6	2	0	3	2	3	4	2-3	67%	4-13	31%	4-8	50%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 27	30.8	14	58%	7	1	1	1	0	3	2	5	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	1-4	25%

Noah Penda #93 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 21	23.8	8	40%	6	2	0	1	3	1	2	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-6	33%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 28	16.6	9	64%	2	0	1	0	2	3	0	2	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 27	12.8	4	67%	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jase Richardson #11 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 20	11.6	2	50%	2	2	0	0	1	1	2	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	4.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Orlando Robinson #7 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Strain
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Contusion
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left High Ankle; Sprain
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Contusion
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	56%	38	26	10	5	14	21	10	28	21-23	91%	22-52	42%	15-33	45%

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23 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	39.6	10	38%	6	4	2	0	2	0	3	3	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	0-6	0%
Deni Avdija #8 · PG · 6'8" 228 · 25	36.5	25	46%	6	8	2	0	4	3	0	6	3-4	75%	8-19	42%	2-6	33%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	34.0	8	50%	14	1	1	2	2	5	3	11	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	28.1	13	93%	6	1	0	1	1	2	2	4	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	1-2	50%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	26.6	22	55%	3	2	2	0	3	2	1	2	4-6	67%	6-11	55%	2-7	29%

Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	33.5	17	65%	3	1	0	3	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	3-8	38%
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	15.4	5	83%	1	1	0	0	3	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	12.9	2	100%	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 20	7.9	4	100%	2	2	1	1	2	3	1	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	5.5	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Javonte Cooke #18 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Ligament Tear
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendonitis
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Fracture
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tear
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	55%	45	23	9	7	17	22	11	34	15-19	79%	32-55	58%	9-32	28%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	POR
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	POR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.12 56.1%

POR

1.10 55.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

70%

POR

69%

Midrange

ORL

25%

POR

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

22.5

45%

68%

POR

13.5

28%

42%

Free Throws

ORL

91%

POR

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Bane	23	68%	11.5 / 17
A. Black	22	50%	11.0 / 22
T. Jones	16	89%	8.0 / 9
W. Carter	14	58%	7.0 / 12
P. Banchero	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. Isaac	9	64%	4.5 / 7
N. Penda	8	40%	4.0 / 10
J. Cain	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Richardson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Howard	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Avdija	25	46%	12.5 / 27
S. Sharpe	22	55%	11.0 / 20
C. Love	17	65%	8.5 / 13
K. Murray	13	93%	6.5 / 7
T. Camara	10	38%	5.0 / 13
D. Clingan	8	50%	4.0 / 8
S. Cissoko	5	83%	2.5 / 3
Y. Hansen	4	100%	2.0 / 2
R. Rupert	2	100%	1.0 / 1
D. Reath	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.3 21 113.1	ORL 112.2 +3.0 POR 109.3
Pace	14 100.5 8 101.6	ORL 95.7 POR 99.4 +3.7
Avg. Poss. Time	17 14.2 16 14.2	ORL 15.1 POR 14.5 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 53.0% 22 53.3%	ORL 52.4% +0.1% POR 52.3%
TO %	12 13.5% 30 16.1%	ORL 13.6% −1.5% POR 15.1%
ORB %	18 25.0% 2 31.3%	ORL 22.7% POR 28.2% +5.5%
FTrt	2 31.1 9 28.0	ORL 27.1 +5.3 POR 21.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 64.7% 18 61.6%	ORL 70.3% +14.2% POR 56.1%
STL %	16 8.4% 20 8.1%	ORL 10.2% +0.9% POR 9.3%
BLK %	17 8.8% 8 10.1%	ORL 9.1% POR 13.5% +4.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 56.3% 23 55.6%	ORL 56.1% +0.9% POR 55.2%
Rim FG%	24 63.0% 19 63.9%	ORL 70.0% +1.4% POR 68.6%
Mid FG%	24 41.5% 29 37.4%	ORL 25.0% POR 40.0% +15.0%
3P %	27 34.3% 28 34.2%	ORL 45.5% +17.4% POR 28.1%
FT %	8 80.1% 24 76.5%	ORL 91.3% +12.4% POR 78.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 35.7% 5 35.6%	ORL 23.5% POR 40.2% +16.7%
Mid Att. %	12 25.7% 2 17.6%	ORL 37.6% POR 23.0% −14.7%
3P Att. %	24 38.6% 3 46.8%	ORL 38.8% +2.0% POR 36.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.26 and 2.26.

Game Totals	ORL	POR
Possessions	98	97
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	110	106
Rebounds	38	45
Assists	26	23
Steals	10	9
Blocks	5	7
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	17 (0)
Fouls	21	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (4)	34 (1)
Field Goals	37-85	41-87
At-the-Rim FG	14-20	24-35
Midrange FG	8-32	8-20
2-Point FG	22-52	32-55
3-Point FG	15-33	9-32
Free Throws	21-23	15-19
Fast Break Pts	13	28
2nd Chance Pts	10	16
Points in Paint	36	58
Pts off Turnovers	22	14
Bench Points	23	28
Biggest Lead	17	1

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg