Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, December 23, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Pelicans	21%	115	118	111.3	106	111.5
	6	Cavaliers	79%	125	141	131.8	107	102.0

Prediction updated: Dec 24, 2025 12:32 AM

Scoring Opportunities

NOP

+15

-16

105

CLE

+19

-13

113

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.12 56.2%

CLE

1.26 62.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	30.6	8	50%	7	3	3	0	1	3	3	4	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	27.2	11	42%	4	5	1	0	3	0	0	4	4-5	80%	2-8	25%	1-3	33%
Trey Murphy III #25 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 26	26.4	14	58%	3	5	1	0	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	2-5	40%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	26.1	11	42%	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-5	20%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	25.2	21	66%	7	5	1	0	1	2	0	7	5-6	83%	5-11	45%	2-3	67%

Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 28	25.4	6	75%	2	2	1	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	21.6	7	58%	3	1	0	0	2	2	2	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 25	20.9	26	72%	5	1	1	0	3	2	3	2	8-9	89%	9-15	60%	0-0	-
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 24	13.7	5	63%	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	12.8	7	117%	2	2	1	2	1	1	1	1	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	10.0	2	17%	5	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	NWT - Not With Team \| Right Achilles Rupture
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	56%	43	26	10	2	16	16	13	30	21-25	84%	32-68	47%	11-26	42%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

25 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	30.6	8	50%	7	3	3	0	1	3	3	4	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	27.2	11	42%	4	5	1	0	3	0	0	4	4-5	80%	2-8	25%	1-3	33%
Trey Murphy III #25 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 26	26.4	14	58%	3	5	1	0	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	2-5	40%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	26.1	11	42%	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-5	20%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	25.2	21	66%	7	5	1	0	1	2	0	7	5-6	83%	5-11	45%	2-3	67%

Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 28	25.4	6	75%	2	2	1	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	21.6	7	58%	3	1	0	0	2	2	2	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 25	20.9	26	72%	5	1	1	0	3	2	3	2	8-9	89%	9-15	60%	0-0	-
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 24	13.7	5	63%	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	12.8	7	117%	2	2	1	2	1	1	1	1	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	10.0	2	17%	5	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	NWT - Not With Team \| Right Achilles Rupture
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	56%	43	26	10	2	16	16	13	30	21-25	84%	32-68	47%	11-26	42%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

6 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 29	29.7	27	79%	4	4	1	0	3	4	1	3	3-4	75%	9-10	90%	2-6	33%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	28.6	10	56%	1	8	0	0	3	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-6	33%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	26.3	14	70%	9	3	0	0	1	4	1	8	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	1-1	100%
Sam Merrill #5 · SF · 6'4" 205 · 30	25.7	22	85%	6	7	1	0	1	2	2	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	6-10	60%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	24.9	11	55%	5	4	0	0	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-8	38%

Jaylon Tyson #20 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	24.6	18	69%	6	2	0	1	0	4	3	3	0-0	-	6-9	67%	2-4	50%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	24.1	10	38%	2	1	2	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-4	0%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	22.3	12	67%	8	8	2	1	1	0	2	6	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	21.7	15	94%	7	1	0	2	0	3	4	3	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	2-2	100%
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	8.3	0	0%	1	2	1	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	3.8	2	50%	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 28	DND – Rest \| Left Knee Injury Management
Chris Livingston #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	141	63%	49	40	8	6	13	21	14	35	9-11	82%	36-56	64%	20-49	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	CLE
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	CLE

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.12 56.2%

CLE

1.26 62.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOP

57%

CLE

72%

Midrange

NOP

31%

CLE

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOP

16.5

42%

63%

CLE

30.0

41%

61%

Free Throws

NOP

84%

CLE

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. Williamson	26	72%	13.0 / 18
D. Queen	21	66%	10.5 / 16
T. Murphy	14	58%	7.0 / 12
J. Fears	11	42%	5.5 / 13
S. Bey	11	42%	5.5 / 13
B. McGowens	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Hawkins	7	58%	3.5 / 6
Y. Missi	7	117%	3.5 / 3
J. Alvarado	6	75%	3.0 / 4
M. Peavy	5	63%	2.5 / 4
K. Matković	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell	27	79%	13.5 / 17
S. Merrill	22	85%	11.0 / 13
J. Tyson	18	69%	9.0 / 13
T. Bryant	15	94%	7.5 / 8
J. Allen	14	70%	7.0 / 10
C. Porter	12	67%	6.0 / 9
D. Wade	11	55%	5.5 / 10
D. Garland	10	56%	5.0 / 9
D. Hunter	10	38%	5.0 / 13
N. Tomlin	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Proctor	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.3 6 118.3	NOP 111.3 CLE 131.8 +20.5
Pace	11 101.3 12 100.6	NOP 111.5 +9.6 CLE 102.0
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.1 21 14.1	NOP 12.9 −1.2 CLE 14.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 52.7% 5 56.1%	NOP 51.6% CLE 62.9% +11.3%
TO %	11 13.2% 10 13.2%	NOP 13.2% CLE 10.6% −2.6%
ORB %	8 27.0% 9 26.9%	NOP 27.1% CLE 31.8% +4.7%
FTrt	8 28.4 15 26.5	NOP 26.6 +16.1 CLE 10.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 59.6% 11 65.3%	NOP 60.5% CLE 71.4% +10.9%
STL %	10 8.7% 15 8.4%	NOP 9.4% +1.9% CLE 7.5%
BLK %	7 10.1% 11 9.8%	NOP 3.6% CLE 8.8% +5.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 55.4% 5 58.2%	NOP 56.2% CLE 62.9% +6.7%
Rim FG%	29 61.5% 7 66.1%	NOP 57.1% CLE 72.2% +15.1%
Mid FG%	30 36.6% 3 46.8%	NOP 30.8% CLE 50.0% +19.2%
3P %	24 34.7% 13 36.0%	NOP 42.3% +1.5% CLE 40.8%
FT %	14 78.4% 19 77.6%	NOP 84.0% +2.2% CLE 81.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 42.8% 14 31.7%	NOP 44.7% +10.4% CLE 34.3%
Mid Att. %	5 21.7% 8 24.1%	NOP 27.7% CLE 19.0% −8.6%
3P Att. %	27 35.5% 9 44.2%	NOP 27.7% CLE 46.7% +19.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.

Game Totals	NOP	CLE
Possessions	106	107
Possession Minutes	22.8	25.2
Points	118	141
Rebounds	43	49
Assists	26	40
Steals	10	8
Blocks	2	6
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls	16	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (2)	14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (2)	35 (2)
Field Goals	43-94	56-105
At-the-Rim FG	24-42	26-36
Midrange FG	8-26	10-20
2-Point FG	32-68	36-56
3-Point FG	11-26	20-49
Free Throws	21-25	9-11
Fast Break Pts	25	11
2nd Chance Pts	18	27
Points in Paint	54	72
Pts off Turnovers	19	27
Bench Points	53	57
Biggest Lead	3	28

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg