Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, December 12, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Timberwolves	35%	110	127	122.1	104	113.6
	4	Warriors	65%	115	120	117.6	102	94.0

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+13

-10

107

GSW

+17

-13

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.19 59.3%

GSW

1.13 56.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

13 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 29	35.2	21	62%	6	4	0	1	0	4	2	4	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	4-10	40%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	35.2	24	86%	14	1	2	1	0	4	4	10	2-3	67%	11-13	85%	0-0	-
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 25	34.8	17	57%	5	5	1	0	3	3	2	3	0-1	0%	7-10	70%	1-5	20%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	34.1	27	71%	9	6	0	0	3	2	1	8	11-12	92%	5-8	63%	2-6	33%
Bones Hyland #8 · SG · 6'2" 169 · 25	4.7	3	150%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%

Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	30.5	9	50%	4	3	2	1	2	3	1	3	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	30.4	18	60%	4	7	1	0	0	1	0	4	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	3-7	43%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	18.7	2	25%	1	2	2	0	0	3	1	0	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	16.6	6	43%	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Juzang #9 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Enrique Freeman #25 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Rocco Zikarsky #44 · C · 7'3" 227 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Tendinopathy
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	59%	44	30	8	3	10	22	11	33	20-28	71%	37-58	64%	11-31	35%

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13 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 29	35.2	21	62%	6	4	0	1	0	4	2	4	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	4-10	40%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	35.2	24	86%	14	1	2	1	0	4	4	10	2-3	67%	11-13	85%	0-0	-
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 25	34.8	17	57%	5	5	1	0	3	3	2	3	0-1	0%	7-10	70%	1-5	20%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	34.1	27	71%	9	6	0	0	3	2	1	8	11-12	92%	5-8	63%	2-6	33%
Bones Hyland #8 · SG · 6'2" 169 · 25	4.7	3	150%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%

Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	30.5	9	50%	4	3	2	1	2	3	1	3	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	30.4	18	60%	4	7	1	0	0	1	0	4	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	3-7	43%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	18.7	2	25%	1	2	2	0	0	3	1	0	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	16.6	6	43%	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Juzang #9 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Enrique Freeman #25 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Rocco Zikarsky #44 · C · 7'3" 227 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Tendinopathy
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	59%	44	30	8	3	10	22	11	33	20-28	71%	37-58	64%	11-31	35%

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4 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	36.9	15	58%	8	5	1	0	1	2	2	6	3-4	75%	6-9	67%	0-2	0%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	33.2	16	53%	6	3	0	0	1	3	1	5	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	4-11	36%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	32.2	39	63%	5	5	0	0	2	3	2	3	5-7	71%	8-13	62%	6-15	40%
Pat Spencer #61 · SG · 6'2" 205 · 29	28.3	12	46%	5	4	2	0	2	2	0	5	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-6	33%
Buddy Hield #7 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 33	18.9	6	75%	2	2	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%

Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	22.9	2	25%	2	4	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	22.6	11	55%	4	2	3	0	0	5	2	2	0-1	0%	4-6	67%	1-4	25%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	20.2	9	50%	2	1	1	0	1	3	1	1	5-6	83%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	14.7	8	80%	7	1	0	2	0	1	3	4	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	6.5	2	100%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	3.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	57%	42	27	7	2	13	23	12	30	17-22	77%	29-50	58%	15-46	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	GSW

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.19 59.3%

GSW

1.13 56.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

71%

GSW

88%

Midrange

MIN

54%

GSW

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

16.5

35%

53%

GSW

22.5

33%

49%

Free Throws

MIN

71%

GSW

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Randle	27	71%	13.5 / 19
R. Gobert	24	86%	12.0 / 14
D. DiVincenzo	21	62%	10.5 / 17
N. Reid	18	60%	9.0 / 15
J. McDaniels	17	57%	8.5 / 15
T. Shannon	9	50%	4.5 / 9
R. Dillingham	6	43%	3.0 / 7
B. Hyland	3	150%	1.5 / 1
J. Clark	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	39	63%	19.5 / 31
Q. Post	16	53%	8.0 / 15
J. Butler	15	58%	7.5 / 13
P. Spencer	12	46%	6.0 / 13
M. Moody	11	55%	5.5 / 10
D. Melton	9	50%	4.5 / 9
T. Jackson-Davis	8	80%	4.0 / 5
B. Hield	6	75%	3.0 / 4
B. Podziemski	2	25%	1.0 / 4
G. Santos	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 115.7 19 114.0	MIN 122.1 +4.5 GSW 117.6
Pace	9 101.4 18 99.9	MIN 113.6 +19.6 GSW 94.0
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 10 14.7	MIN 12.7 −2.6 GSW 15.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 55.9% 13 55.0%	MIN 60.1% +6.5% GSW 53.6%
TO %	18 13.9% 28 14.9%	MIN 9.8% −1.2% GSW 11.0%
ORB %	15 25.7% 14 25.8%	MIN 26.8% +0.1% GSW 26.7%
FTrt	7 28.5 24 23.8	MIN 31.5 +8.6 GSW 22.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	21 61.2% 1 70.6%	MIN 62.5% +1.1% GSW 61.4%
STL %	13 8.6% 3 9.6%	MIN 7.7% +0.8% GSW 6.9%
BLK %	6 10.4% 27 8.0%	MIN 6.0% +2.6% GSW 3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 57.6% 11 57.1%	MIN 59.3% +2.7% GSW 56.6%
Rim FG%	10 65.7% 5 66.7%	MIN 70.6% GSW 88.2% +17.6%
Mid FG%	14 43.7% 22 42.1%	MIN 54.2% +11.8% GSW 42.4%
3P %	6 37.0% 20 35.6%	MIN 35.5% +2.9% GSW 32.6%
FT %	29 75.2% 6 80.7%	MIN 71.4% GSW 77.3% +5.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 33.0% 24 29.5%	MIN 38.2% +20.5% GSW 17.7%
Mid Att. %	10 25.0% 3 20.8%	MIN 27.0% −7.4% GSW 34.4%
3P Att. %	16 42.0% 1 49.7%	MIN 34.8% GSW 47.9% +13.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	GSW
Possessions	104	102
Possession Minutes	22.0	26.0
Points	127	120
Rebounds	44	42
Assists	30	27
Steals	8	7
Blocks	3	2
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	13 (0)
Fouls	22	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (2)	12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (4)	30 (2)
Field Goals	48-89	44-96
At-the-Rim FG	24-34	15-17
Midrange FG	13-24	14-33
2-Point FG	37-58	29-50
3-Point FG	11-31	15-46
Free Throws	20-28	17-22
Fast Break Pts	18	12
2nd Chance Pts	13	20
Points in Paint	66	44
Pts off Turnovers	15	19
Bench Points	35	32
Biggest Lead	12	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg