Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, December 10, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Spurs	37%	118	132	126.9	104	100.9
	6	Lakers	63%	122	119	113.3	105	108.4

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+11

-10

105

LAL

-11

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.27 63.5%

LAL

1.19 59.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

15 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 30	33.0	10	63%	8	1	0	1	0	1	1	7	8-9	89%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	32.5	16	62%	3	1	1	0	1	1	2	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	4-9	44%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	31.5	20	59%	4	3	2	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	4-9	44%	4-8	50%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	30.8	8	36%	4	5	3	1	1	0	0	4	3-3	100%	1-6	17%	1-4	25%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21	26.6	30	83%	10	6	0	0	4	4	1	9	7-9	78%	7-8	88%	3-6	50%

Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	28.7	16	100%	7	2	1	1	1	4	2	5	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	2-4	50%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	22.2	17	71%	8	0	1	0	0	2	2	6	4-7	57%	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	20.2	13	54%	3	3	1	0	2	5	1	2	1-2	50%	6-11	55%	0-1	0%
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	12.2	2	50%	2	4	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	1.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	64%	50	25	9	3	10	19	9	41	29-36	81%	26-48	54%	17-38	45%

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15 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 30	33.0	10	63%	8	1	0	1	0	1	1	7	8-9	89%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	32.5	16	62%	3	1	1	0	1	1	2	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	4-9	44%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	31.5	20	59%	4	3	2	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	4-9	44%	4-8	50%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	30.8	8	36%	4	5	3	1	1	0	0	4	3-3	100%	1-6	17%	1-4	25%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21	26.6	30	83%	10	6	0	0	4	4	1	9	7-9	78%	7-8	88%	3-6	50%

Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	28.7	16	100%	7	2	1	1	1	4	2	5	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	2-4	50%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	22.2	17	71%	8	0	1	0	0	2	2	6	4-7	57%	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	20.2	13	54%	3	3	1	0	2	5	1	2	1-2	50%	6-11	55%	0-1	0%
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	12.2	2	50%	2	4	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	1.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	64%	50	25	9	3	10	19	9	41	29-36	81%	26-48	54%	17-38	45%

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6 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 27	40.9	35	58%	5	8	1	0	3	5	0	5	10-14	71%	8-16	50%	3-8	38%
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 28	39.8	15	47%	8	7	0	1	3	5	1	7	1-1	100%	4-10	40%	2-6	33%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 41	36.4	19	56%	15	8	0	3	3	2	1	14	5-6	83%	7-11	64%	0-3	0%
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	30.8	8	100%	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Deandre Ayton #5 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	25.6	11	55%	8	1	1	0	0	3	3	5	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	0-0	-

Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 32	28.2	26	81%	3	1	0	1	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	8-14	57%
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 29	14.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	11.6	2	100%	3	0	0	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jake LaRavia #12 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 24	8.8	0	0%	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Adou Thiero #1 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 22	1.1	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	1.1	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 21	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Drew Timme #17 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chris Mañon #30 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nick Smith Jr. #20 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar; Muscle Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	60%	43	27	4	7	11	23	6	37	17-23	74%	27-50	54%	16-37	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.27 63.5%

LAL

1.19 59.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

69%

LAL

63%

Midrange

SAS

32%

LAL

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

25.5

45%

67%

LAL

24.0

43%

65%

Free Throws

SAS

81%

LAL

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Castle	30	83%	15.0 / 18
D. Fox	20	59%	10.0 / 17
K. Johnson	17	71%	8.5 / 12
H. Barnes	16	62%	8.0 / 13
J. Champagnie	16	100%	8.0 / 8
D. Harper	13	54%	6.5 / 12
L. Kornet	10	63%	5.0 / 8
D. Vassell	8	36%	4.0 / 11
K. Olynyk	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Dončić	35	58%	17.5 / 30
M. Smart	26	81%	13.0 / 16
L. James	19	56%	9.5 / 17
A. Reaves	15	47%	7.5 / 16
D. Ayton	11	55%	5.5 / 10
R. Hachimura	8	100%	4.0 / 4
D. Knecht	3	150%	1.5 / 1
J. Hayes	2	100%	1.0 / 1
G. Vincent	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. LaRavia	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 118.9 10 117.1	SAS 126.9 +13.6 LAL 113.3
Pace	13 100.5 21 99.2	SAS 100.9 LAL 108.4 +7.5
Avg. Poss. Time	18 14.2 6 14.8	SAS 14.3 LAL 13.3 −1.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 55.9% 2 57.3%	SAS 59.9% +1.3% LAL 58.6%
TO %	4 12.5% 19 13.9%	SAS 10.5% LAL 10.2% −0.3%
ORB %	10 26.2% 22 23.9%	SAS 19.6% +6.8% LAL 12.8%
FTrt	12 27.3 1 32.0	SAS 41.9 +15.5 LAL 26.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 64.6% 19 61.5%	SAS 58.1% LAL 62.8% +4.7%
STL %	24 7.5% 12 8.6%	SAS 8.7% +4.9% LAL 3.8%
BLK %	10 10.0% 23 8.3%	SAS 6.0% LAL 14.6% +8.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 58.1% 2 59.4%	SAS 63.5% +4.0% LAL 59.5%
Rim FG%	9 65.8% 1 72.0%	SAS 69.0% +6.0% LAL 63.0%
Mid FG%	5 45.1% 4 46.8%	SAS 31.6% LAL 43.5% +11.9%
3P %	15 35.9% 14 35.9%	SAS 44.7% +1.5% LAL 43.2%
FT %	12 78.7% 26 76.3%	SAS 80.6% +6.7% LAL 73.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 34.4% 21 30.7%	SAS 33.7% +2.7% LAL 31.0%
Mid Att. %	7 23.4% 26 30.0%	SAS 22.1% −4.3% LAL 26.4%
3P Att. %	15 42.2% 22 39.4%	SAS 44.2% +1.7% LAL 42.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.16 and 3.16.

Game Totals	SAS	LAL
Possessions	104	105
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	132	119
Rebounds	50	43
Assists	25	27
Steals	9	4
Blocks	3	7
Turnovers (Team)	10 (2)	11 (0)
Fouls	19	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	41 (2)	37 (0)
Field Goals	43-86	43-87
At-the-Rim FG	20-29	17-27
Midrange FG	6-19	10-23
2-Point FG	26-48	27-50
3-Point FG	17-38	16-37
Free Throws	29-36	17-23
Fast Break Pts	27	21
2nd Chance Pts	11	2
Points in Paint	46	52
Pts off Turnovers	16	11
Bench Points	48	31
Biggest Lead	24	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg