Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, December 18, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Clippers	11%	100	101	94.4	107	99.7
	1	Thunder	89%	116	122	114.0	107	115.5

Prediction updated: Dec 19, 2025 01:02 AM

Scoring Opportunities

LAC

+12

-28

OKC

+11

-8

110

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.12 56.1%

OKC

1.11 55.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

19 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 34	32.1	22	58%	8	6	1	0	3	0	2	6	4-4	100%	9-12	75%	0-5	0%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	31.7	11	55%	11	3	0	2	2	1	3	8	5-6	83%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Kris Dunn #8 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 32	31.4	14	78%	5	4	0	1	6	5	0	5	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	3-6	50%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	28.4	20	63%	4	2	1	0	2	2	0	4	5-6	83%	6-9	67%	1-4	25%
Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	24.4	14	58%	2	1	0	0	2	5	0	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-6	33%

Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 24	29.6	5	50%	4	4	2	1	6	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	20.4	3	25%	6	3	0	1	4	0	2	4	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	19.8	6	60%	2	0	2	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	15.2	6	60%	5	2	0	1	1	1	2	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
RayJ Dennis #7 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	3.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	3.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Soreness
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Fracture
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Contusion
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 41	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	56%	49	25	6	7	28	17	9	40	17-22	77%	27-44	61%	10-32	31%

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19 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 34	32.1	22	58%	8	6	1	0	3	0	2	6	4-4	100%	9-12	75%	0-5	0%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	31.7	11	55%	11	3	0	2	2	1	3	8	5-6	83%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Kris Dunn #8 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 32	31.4	14	78%	5	4	0	1	6	5	0	5	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	3-6	50%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	28.4	20	63%	4	2	1	0	2	2	0	4	5-6	83%	6-9	67%	1-4	25%
Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	24.4	14	58%	2	1	0	0	2	5	0	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-6	33%

Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 24	29.6	5	50%	4	4	2	1	6	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	20.4	3	25%	6	3	0	1	4	0	2	4	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	19.8	6	60%	2	0	2	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	15.2	6	60%	5	2	0	1	1	1	2	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
RayJ Dennis #7 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	3.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	3.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Soreness
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Fracture
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Contusion
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 41	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	56%	49	25	6	7	28	17	9	40	17-22	77%	27-44	61%	10-32	31%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 24	30.5	22	79%	7	2	1	0	1	3	1	6	3-3	100%	5-8	63%	3-5	60%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	29.2	5	28%	1	4	5	0	0	4	1	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-6	17%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 25	28.7	20	67%	1	5	2	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	2-2	100%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	28.7	32	62%	7	6	2	2	1	3	2	5	4-6	67%	11-18	61%	2-6	33%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 27	18.1	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-5	0%

Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	28.6	16	53%	7	5	2	0	1	3	1	6	1-1	100%	6-12	50%	1-3	33%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	22.6	5	31%	4	0	0	1	0	0	1	3	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	22.2	14	100%	4	2	2	0	2	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-6	67%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 27	16.0	4	67%	4	0	0	1	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	15.4	4	50%	2	3	4	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Youngblood #3 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Surgical Recovery
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Bursitis
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	56%	38	28	18	4	8	19	9	29	13-16	81%	35-65	54%	13-36	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	OKC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.12 56.1%

OKC

1.11 55.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAC

55%

OKC

62%

Midrange

LAC

68%

OKC

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAC

15.0

31%

47%

OKC

19.5

36%

54%

Free Throws

LAC

77%

OKC

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	22	58%	11.0 / 19
J. Collins	20	63%	10.0 / 16
K. Dunn	14	78%	7.0 / 9
B. Bogdanović	14	58%	7.0 / 12
I. Zubac	11	55%	5.5 / 10
N. Batum	6	60%	3.0 / 5
B. Lopez	6	60%	3.0 / 5
K. Sanders	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Miller	3	25%	1.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	32	62%	16.0 / 26
C. Holmgren	22	79%	11.0 / 14
J. Williams	20	67%	10.0 / 15
A. Mitchell	16	53%	8.0 / 15
I. Joe	14	100%	7.0 / 7
C. Wallace	5	28%	2.5 / 9
A. Wiggins	5	31%	2.5 / 8
B. Carlson	4	67%	2.0 / 3
A. Caruso	4	50%	2.0 / 4
L. Dort	0	-	0.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	11 116.4 7 117.6	LAC 94.4 OKC 114.0 +19.6
Pace	28 97.3 15 100.3	LAC 99.7 OKC 115.5 +15.7
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.0 20 14.1	LAC 14.4 OKC 12.5 −2.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 55.9% 4 56.1%	LAC 55.3% +1.3% OKC 54.0%
TO %	17 13.9% 1 11.8%	LAC 25.3% OKC 7.7% −17.6%
ORB %	23 23.7% 28 22.3%	LAC 23.7% +5.3% OKC 18.4%
FTrt	3 29.5 17 26.1	LAC 28.9 +13.1 OKC 15.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 58.6% 25 59.8%	LAC 67.6% +9.3% OKC 58.3%
STL %	5 9.2% 4 9.6%	LAC 5.6% OKC 16.8% +11.2%
BLK %	13 9.5% 2 11.0%	LAC 10.8% +1.7% OKC 9.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 58.7% 4 58.5%	LAC 56.1% +0.6% OKC 55.5%
Rim FG%	3 67.1% 11 65.2%	LAC 54.5% OKC 61.9% +7.4%
Mid FG%	10 44.2% 1 47.6%	LAC 68.2% +29.1% OKC 39.1%
3P %	7 36.8% 9 36.5%	LAC 31.3% OKC 36.1% +4.8%
FT %	1 82.3% 3 81.7%	LAC 77.3% OKC 81.3% +4.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 31.6% 16 31.3%	LAC 28.9% OKC 41.6% +12.6%
Mid Att. %	20 27.9% 15 26.1%	LAC 28.9% OKC 22.8% −6.2%
3P Att. %	19 40.4% 13 42.6%	LAC 42.1% +6.5% OKC 35.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	LAC	OKC
Possessions	107	107
Possession Minutes	25.8	22.2
Points	101	122
Rebounds	49	38
Assists	25	28
Steals	6	18
Blocks	7	4
Turnovers (Team)	28 (1)	8 (1)
Fouls	17	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (3)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (4)	29 (2)
Field Goals	37-76	48-101
At-the-Rim FG	12-22	26-42
Midrange FG	15-22	9-23
2-Point FG	27-44	35-65
3-Point FG	10-32	13-36
Free Throws	17-22	13-16
Fast Break Pts	14	24
2nd Chance Pts	7	13
Points in Paint	38	66
Pts off Turnovers	17	38
Bench Points	20	43
Biggest Lead	11	25

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg