Final Win Prob. pScore
961%120
130
2139%116
131
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo Nuggets
131.399104.9
DAL logo Mavericks
133.79892.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.130
131
Q4 - 0:00.7NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound130
131
Q4 - 0:00.7NuggetsPeyton Watson misses three point jump shot130
131
Q4 - 0:07.8Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, Anthony Davis, Caleb Martin)130
131
Q4 - 0:07.8MavericksMavericks turnover (shot clock violation)130
131
Q4 - 0:08.0MavericksMavericks offensive rebound130
131
Q4 - 0:08.4MavericksRyan Nembhard misses two point pullup jump shot130
131
Q4 - 0:31.8Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, Anthony Davis, Ryan Nembhard, Jaden Hardy)130
131
Q4 - 0:31.8Mavericks 60 second timeout130
131
Q4 - 0:31.8NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jamal Murray assists)130
131
Q4 - 0:41.3NuggetsBruce Brown offensive rebound128
131
Q4 - 0:44.4NuggetsTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point running jump shot128
131
Q4 - 0:48.9NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound128
131
Q4 - 0:51.9MavericksCooper Flagg misses two point driving floating jump shot128
131
Q4 - 1:12NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)128
131
Q4 - 1:25MavericksNaji Marshall makes three point jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)125
131
Q4 - 1:46NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)125
128
Q4 - 1:51Stoppage (Out of bounds)123
128
Q4 - 1:51NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound123
128
Q4 - 1:53MavericksRyan Nembhard misses two point stepback jump shot123
128
Q4 - 2:13MavericksNaji Marshall defensive rebound123
128
Q4 - 2:15NuggetsPeyton Watson misses three point jump shot123
128
Q4 - 2:23MavericksAnthony Davis personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)123
128
Q4 - 2:37MavericksCooper Flagg makes two point driving floating jump shot123
128
Q4 - 3:01NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving reverse layup123
126
Q4 - 3:15Nuggets 60 second timeout121
126
Q4 - 3:17MavericksCooper Flagg makes three point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)121
126
Q4 - 3:37MavericksRyan Nembhard defensive rebound121
123
Q4 - 3:39NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot121
123
Q4 - 3:57MavericksDaniel Gafford makes two point tip dunk121
123
Q4 - 3:57MavericksDaniel Gafford offensive rebound121
121
Q4 - 3:58MavericksAnthony Davis misses two point driving floating jump shot121
121
Q4 - 4:09Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson)121
121
Q4 - 4:09NuggetsJonas Valanciunas personal foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)121
121
Q4 - 4:29NuggetsBruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)121
121
Q4 - 4:45MavericksAnthony Davis makes two point fadeaway jump shot118
121
Q4 - 4:55MavericksDaniel Gafford defensive rebound118
119
Q4 - 4:58NuggetsDaniel Gafford blocks Jonas Valanciunas's two point driving dunk118
119
Q4 - 5:09MavericksAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 2118
119
Q4 - 5:09MavericksAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 2118
118
Q4 - 5:09NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)118
117
Q4 - 5:09MavericksAnthony Davis offensive rebound118
117
Q4 - 5:10MavericksDaniel Gafford misses two point driving floating jump shot118
117
Q4 - 5:29Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, Anthony Davis, Ryan Nembhard)118
117
Q4 - 5:29Mavericks 60 second timeout118
117
Q4 - 5:29NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point layup (Jamal Murray assists)118
117
Q4 - 5:35NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound116
117
Q4 - 5:38MavericksRyan Nembhard misses two point pullup jump shot116
117
Q4 - 6:02NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point running alley-oop layup (Jamal Murray assists)116
117
Q4 - 6:06NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound114
117
Q4 - 6:09MavericksNaji Marshall misses two point driving floating jump shot114
117
Q4 - 6:15MavericksRyan Nembhard defensive rebound114
117
Q4 - 6:17NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot114
117
Q4 - 6:23MavericksCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)114
117
Q4 - 6:26MavericksCaleb Martin offensive rebound114
117
Q4 - 6:27MavericksAnthony Davis misses two point driving floating jump shot114
117
Q4 - 6:42Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Anthony Davis, Caleb Martin, Ryan Nembhard, Jaden Hardy)114
117
Q4 - 6:42Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Jonas Valanciunas)114
117
Q4 - 6:42NuggetsBruce Brown personal foul (Ryan Nembhard draws the foul)114
117
Q4 - 6:44MavericksJaden Hardy defensive rebound114
117
Q4 - 6:47NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot114
117
Q4 - 7:06MavericksAnthony Davis makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)114
117
Q4 - 7:25NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point pullup jump shot114
115
Q4 - 7:44MavericksAnthony Davis makes two point driving floating jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)112
115
Q4 - 8:04NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point putback layup112
113
Q4 - 8:04NuggetsBruce Brown offensive rebound110
113
Q4 - 8:07NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point pullup jump shot110
113
Q4 - 8:21MavericksJaden Hardy makes two point running reverse layup (Caleb Martin assists)110
113
Q4 - 8:25NuggetsJonas Valanciunas turnover (lost ball) (Anthony Davis steals)110
111
Q4 - 8:44MavericksAnthony Davis makes two point tip layup110
111
Q4 - 8:44MavericksAnthony Davis offensive rebound110
109
Q4 - 8:48MavericksJaden Hardy misses three point jump shot110
109
Q4 - 9:04NuggetsJonas Valanciunas makes two point hook shot (Jamal Murray assists)110
109
Q4 - 9:18Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Anthony Davis, Caleb Martin, Ryan Nembhard, Jaden Hardy)108
109
Q4 - 9:18Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Julian Strawther, Jonas Valanciunas)108
109
Q4 - 9:18Nuggets 60 second timeout108
109
Q4 - 9:20MavericksRyan Nembhard makes two point pullup jump shot (Jaden Hardy assists)108
109
Q4 - 9:23MavericksJaden Hardy offensive rebound108
107
Q4 - 9:25MavericksCooper Flagg misses two point running layup108
107
Q4 - 9:31MavericksCooper Flagg defensive rebound108
107
Q4 - 9:34NuggetsTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot108
107
Q4 - 9:52MavericksRyan Nembhard makes two point pullup jump shot108
107
Q4 - 10:00MavericksCaleb Martin offensive rebound108
105
Q4 - 10:03MavericksCooper Flagg misses three point pullup jump shot108
105
Q4 - 10:09NuggetsJulian Strawther personal foul (Ryan Nembhard draws the foul)108
105
Q4 - 10:25NuggetsJonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
105
Q4 - 10:25NuggetsJonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 1 of 2107
105
Q4 - 10:25MavericksDaniel Gafford shooting foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)106
105
Q4 - 10:32MavericksDaniel Gafford personal foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)106
105
Q4 - 10:42Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)106
105
Q4 - 10:42NuggetsJulian Strawther offensive rebound106
105
Q4 - 10:45NuggetsTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot106
105
Q4 - 10:57MavericksRyan Nembhard personal foul (Take) (Bruce Brown draws the foul)106
105
Q4 - 11:02MavericksRyan Nembhard makes two point driving floating bank jump shot106
105
Q4 - 11:21NuggetsJulian Strawther makes three point jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)106
103
Q4 - 11:41NuggetsJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound103
103
Q4 - 11:46MavericksJaden Hardy misses three point jump shot103
103
Q4 - 12:00Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Cooper Flagg, Caleb Martin, Ryan Nembhard, Jaden Hardy)103
103
Q4 - 12:00Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Julian Strawther, Jonas Valanciunas)103
103
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.103
103
Q3 - 0:00.1MavericksMavericks offensive rebound103
103
Q3 - 0:01.2NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point cutting layup (Nikola Jokic assists)103
103
Q3 - 0:07.2NuggetsCameron Johnson defensive rebound101
103
Q3 - 0:10.6MavericksBrandon Williams misses three point jump shot101
103
Q3 - 0:31.9NuggetsCameron Johnson makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)101
103
Q3 - 0:38.7MavericksBrandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 298
103
Q3 - 0:38.7MavericksBrandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 298
102
Q3 - 0:38.7NuggetsJulian Strawther shooting foul (Brandon Williams draws the foul)98
101
Q3 - 0:48.3NuggetsJulian Strawther makes three point jump shot (Cameron Johnson assists)98
101
Q3 - 0:58.6Jump ball. Nikola Jokic vs. Daniel Gafford (Bruce Brown gains possession)95
101
Q3 - 1:04NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound95
101
Q3 - 1:07MavericksD'Angelo Russell misses three point jump shot95
101
Q3 - 1:23NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Cameron Johnson assists)95
101
Q3 - 1:37NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound92
101
Q3 - 1:39MavericksBrandon Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 292
101
Q3 - 1:39MavericksBrandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 292
101
Q3 - 1:39NuggetsBruce Brown shooting foul (Brandon Williams draws the foul)92
100
Q3 - 1:49Mavericks lineup change (D'Angelo Russell, Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, Brandon Williams)92
100
Q3 - 1:49Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Julian Strawther)92
100
Q3 - 1:49Mavericks 60 second timeout92
100
Q3 - 1:49NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point running layup (Jamal Murray assists)92
100
Q3 - 1:51NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound90
100
Q3 - 1:55MavericksAnthony Davis misses three point jump shot90
100
Q3 - 2:14NuggetsTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Spencer Jones assists)90
100
Q3 - 2:34MavericksCaleb Martin makes two point jump shot87
100
Q3 - 2:47NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving layup (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)87
98
Q3 - 2:55MavericksAnthony Davis makes two point tip layup85
98
Q3 - 2:56MavericksAnthony Davis offensive rebound85
96
Q3 - 2:57MavericksNaji Marshall misses two point driving layup85
96
Q3 - 3:11NuggetsTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)85
96
Q3 - 3:26MavericksD'Angelo Russell makes three point jump shot (Naji Marshall assists)82
96
Q3 - 3:44NuggetsTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)82
93
Q3 - 3:48MavericksCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)79
93
Q3 - 3:52NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)79
93
Q3 - 4:03MavericksBrandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 279
93
Q3 - 4:03Mavericks delay of game violation79
92
Q3 - 4:03MavericksBrandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 279
92
Q3 - 4:03Mavericks lineup change (D'Angelo Russell, Naji Marshall, Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams, Caleb Martin)79
91
Q3 - 4:03NuggetsSpencer Jones shooting foul (Brandon Williams draws the foul)79
91
Q3 - 4:20NuggetsTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)79
91
Q3 - 4:35MavericksCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 176
91
Q3 - 4:35NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)76
90
Q3 - 4:35MavericksCaleb Martin makes two point driving reverse layup76
90
Q3 - 4:40NuggetsBruce Brown personal foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)76
88
Q3 - 4:43MavericksCooper Flagg defensive rebound76
88
Q3 - 4:44NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point driving layup76
88
Q3 - 4:57MavericksCooper Flagg makes two point driving dunk76
88
Q3 - 5:11Mavericks lineup change (D'Angelo Russell, Cooper Flagg, Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams, Caleb Martin)76
86
Q3 - 5:11Stoppage (Out of bounds)76
86
Q3 - 5:11MavericksMavericks defensive rebound76
86
Q3 - 5:12NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point putback layup76
86
Q3 - 5:13NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound76
86
Q3 - 5:15NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point driving floating jump shot76
86
Q3 - 5:32MavericksCooper Flagg makes two point pullup jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)76
86
Q3 - 5:45Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones)76
84
Q3 - 5:45NuggetsPeyton Watson turnover (offensive foul)76
84
Q3 - 5:45NuggetsPeyton Watson offensive foul (Charge) (Jaden Hardy draws the foul)76
84
Q3 - 5:46NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound76
84
Q3 - 5:48MavericksCooper Flagg misses two point tip layup76
84
Q3 - 5:48MavericksCooper Flagg offensive rebound76
84
Q3 - 5:50MavericksCooper Flagg misses two point driving layup76
84
Q3 - 5:59MavericksCooper Flagg defensive rebound76
84
Q3 - 6:02NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point pullup jump shot76
84
Q3 - 6:10MavericksCaleb Martin makes two point cutting layup (Anthony Davis assists)76
84
Q3 - 6:23MavericksCaleb Martin defensive rebound76
82
Q3 - 6:26NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point driving floating jump shot76
82
Q3 - 6:40Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Anthony Davis, Caleb Martin, Ryan Nembhard, Jaden Hardy)76
82
Q3 - 6:40Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr., Peyton Watson, Spencer Jones)76
82
Q3 - 6:40Nuggets 60 second timeout76
82
Q3 - 6:40MavericksAnthony Davis makes two point running dunk (Jaden Hardy assists)76
82
Q3 - 6:44NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Jaden Hardy steals)76
80
Q3 - 7:01MavericksJaden Hardy makes two point running finger roll layup (Cooper Flagg assists)76
80
Q3 - 7:06NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Anthony Davis steals)76
78
Q3 - 7:21MavericksCooper Flagg makes two point putback dunk76
78
Q3 - 7:23MavericksCooper Flagg offensive rebound76
76
Q3 - 7:25MavericksNaji Marshall misses three point jump shot76
76
Q3 - 7:47NuggetsCameron Johnson makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)76
76
Q3 - 7:58NuggetsCameron Johnson defensive rebound73
76
Q3 - 7:58MavericksAnthony Davis misses two point pullup jump shot73
76
Q3 - 8:14NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving finger roll layup (Nikola Jokic assists)73
76
Q3 - 8:21NuggetsPeyton Watson makes clear path free throw 2 of 271
76
Q3 - 8:21NuggetsPeyton Watson makes clear path free throw 1 of 270
76
Q3 - 8:21Instant replay (Request: Ruling Overturned)69
76
Q3 - 8:21MavericksJaden Hardy clear path foul (Peyton Watson draws the foul)69
76
Q3 - 8:23MavericksAnthony Davis turnover (lost ball) (Spencer Jones steals)69
76
Q3 - 8:37NuggetsSpencer Jones makes two point cutting layup (Nikola Jokic assists)69
76
Q3 - 8:52MavericksAnthony Davis makes three point jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)67
76
Q3 - 8:59MavericksAnthony Davis defensive rebound67
73
Q3 - 9:03NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot67
73
Q3 - 9:10MavericksAnthony Davis personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)67
73
Q3 - 9:19MavericksAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 267
73
Q3 - 9:19MavericksAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 267
72
Q3 - 9:19NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)67
71
Q3 - 9:34NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving finger roll layup (Nikola Jokic assists)67
71
Q3 - 9:49MavericksNaji Marshall makes three point jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)65
71
Q3 - 9:59Stoppage (Out of bounds)65
68
Q3 - 10:10NuggetsSpencer Jones makes two point tip layup65
68
Q3 - 10:10NuggetsSpencer Jones offensive rebound63
68
Q3 - 10:14NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point running layup63
68
Q3 - 10:18MavericksJaden Hardy turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)63
68
Q3 - 10:31NuggetsCameron Johnson makes two point turnaround hook shot (Nikola Jokic assists)63
68
Q3 - 10:43NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound61
68
Q3 - 10:46MavericksCooper Flagg misses three point jump shot61
68
Q3 - 11:04NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)61
68
Q3 - 11:21MavericksJaden Hardy makes two point cutting layup (Anthony Davis assists)58
68
Q3 - 11:50NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)58
66
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.56
66
Q2 - 0:00.0NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound56
66
Q2 - 0:00.0NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point turnaround jump shot56
66
Q2 - 0:11.4MavericksCooper Flagg makes three point jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)56
66
Q2 - 0:32.3NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)56
63
Q2 - 0:40.0NuggetsSpencer Jones defensive rebound53
63
Q2 - 0:42.2MavericksAnthony Davis misses two point driving floating bank jump shot53
63
Q2 - 0:51.0MavericksAnthony Davis defensive rebound53
63
Q2 - 0:53.0NuggetsCameron Johnson misses two point running layup53
63
Q2 - 0:57.2MavericksNaji Marshall turnover (lost ball) (Spencer Jones steals)53
63
Q2 - 1:00Stoppage (Out of bounds)53
63
Q2 - 1:00MavericksMavericks offensive rebound53
63
Q2 - 1:01MavericksRyan Nembhard misses three point jump shot53
63
Q2 - 1:23NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point stepback jump shot53
63
Q2 - 1:37MavericksAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 250
63
Q2 - 1:37MavericksAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 250
62
Q2 - 1:37NuggetsPeyton Watson shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)50
61
Q2 - 1:38MavericksAnthony Davis offensive rebound50
61
Q2 - 1:38MavericksNaji Marshall misses two point turnaround jump shot50
61
Q2 - 1:55NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 250
61
Q2 - 1:55NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 249
61
Q2 - 1:55MavericksJaden Hardy shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)48
61
Q2 - 1:58NuggetsPeyton Watson defensive rebound48
61
Q2 - 2:02MavericksRyan Nembhard misses two point driving floating jump shot48
61
Q2 - 2:13Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, Anthony Davis, Ryan Nembhard, Jaden Hardy)48
61
Q2 - 2:13Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray, Peyton Watson, Spencer Jones)48
61
Q2 - 2:13NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (out of bounds bad pass)48
61
Q2 - 2:13NuggetsSpencer Jones defensive rebound48
61
Q2 - 2:18MavericksD'Angelo Russell misses three point pullup jump shot48
61
Q2 - 2:39NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving finger roll layup48
61
Q2 - 3:03MavericksCooper Flagg makes two point driving floating jump shot46
61
Q2 - 3:22Mavericks lineup change (D'Angelo Russell, Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams)46
59
Q2 - 3:22Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Peyton Watson, Julian Strawther, Spencer Jones)46
59
Q2 - 3:22NuggetsCurtis Jones turnover (out of bounds lost ball)46
59
Q2 - 3:36MavericksD'Angelo Russell makes three point running pullup jump shot46
59
Q2 - 3:43MavericksAnthony Davis defensive rebound46
56
Q2 - 3:43NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point tip layup46
56
Q2 - 3:43NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound46
56
Q2 - 3:48NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point pullup jump shot46
56
Q2 - 3:58NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound46
56
Q2 - 4:01MavericksBrandon Williams misses three point jump shot46
56
Q2 - 4:23NuggetsJulian Strawther makes two point running layup (Nikola Jokic assists)46
56
Q2 - 4:28MavericksBrandon Williams turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)44
56
Q2 - 4:40NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)44
56
Q2 - 4:59MavericksNaji Marshall makes two point driving floating jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)42
56
Q2 - 5:17Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Curtis Jones, Jamal Murray, Julian Strawther, Spencer Jones)42
54
Q2 - 5:17Mavericks 60 second timeout42
54
Q2 - 5:17NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point putback layup42
54
Q2 - 5:17NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound40
54
Q2 - 5:20NuggetsJulian Strawther misses three point jump shot40
54
Q2 - 5:33NuggetsJulian Strawther defensive rebound40
54
Q2 - 5:37MavericksBrandon Williams misses two point driving layup40
54
Q2 - 5:43Mavericks lineup change (D'Angelo Russell, Naji Marshall, Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams, Caleb Martin)40
54
Q2 - 5:43Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Curtis Jones, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr., Julian Strawther)40
54
Q2 - 5:43NuggetsJulian Strawther personal foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)40
54
Q2 - 5:58NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving layup40
54
Q2 - 6:09Mavericks lineup change (D'Angelo Russell, Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams)38
54
Q2 - 6:09Naji Marshall kicked ball violation38
54
Q2 - 6:21MavericksBrandon Williams makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)38
54
Q2 - 6:38NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point pullup jump shot38
52
Q2 - 6:46NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound36
52
Q2 - 6:48MavericksAnthony Davis misses two point jump shot36
52
Q2 - 7:01NuggetsJonas Valanciunas makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jamal Murray assists)36
52
Q2 - 7:11Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams, Jaden Hardy)34
52
Q2 - 7:11MavericksCooper Flagg personal foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)34
52
Q2 - 7:21Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, Brandon Williams, Jaden Hardy)34
52
Q2 - 7:21Nuggets lineup change (Curtis Jones, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr., Julian Strawther, Jonas Valanciunas)34
52
Q2 - 7:21MavericksCooper Flagg turnover (out of bounds bad pass)34
52
Q2 - 7:24NuggetsBruce Brown turnover (bad pass) (Cooper Flagg steals)34
52
Q2 - 7:43MavericksJaden Hardy makes two point driving floating jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)34
52
Q2 - 8:11NuggetsTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point running jump shot (Spencer Jones assists)34
50
Q2 - 8:14NuggetsSpencer Jones defensive rebound31
50
Q2 - 8:17MavericksBruce Brown blocks Daniel Gafford's two point driving layup31
50
Q2 - 8:30NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jonas Valanciunas assists)31
50
Q2 - 8:41NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound29
50
Q2 - 8:44MavericksCooper Flagg misses two point pullup jump shot29
50
Q2 - 8:49MavericksCooper Flagg defensive rebound29
50
Q2 - 8:52NuggetsCameron Johnson misses two point pullup jump shot29
50
Q2 - 9:05NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound29
50
Q2 - 9:08MavericksJaden Hardy misses three point running jump shot29
50
Q2 - 9:13MavericksCooper Flagg defensive rebound29
50
Q2 - 9:15NuggetsCameron Johnson misses two point driving floating jump shot29
50
Q2 - 9:34NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound29
50
Q2 - 9:34MavericksRyan Nembhard misses three point running pullup jump shot29
50
Q2 - 9:41MavericksRyan Nembhard defensive rebound29
50
Q2 - 9:41NuggetsCameron Johnson misses three point jump shot29
50
Q2 - 9:54MavericksCaleb Martin makes two point running finger roll layup29
50
Q2 - 9:58NuggetsBruce Brown turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)29
48
Q2 - 10:07Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Jonas Valanciunas)29
48
Q2 - 10:07Nuggets 60 second timeout29
48
Q2 - 10:09MavericksCooper Flagg makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)29
48
Q2 - 10:25MavericksDaniel Gafford defensive rebound29
45
Q2 - 10:27NuggetsJalen Pickett misses three point jump shot29
45
Q2 - 10:47MavericksRyan Nembhard makes two point pullup jump shot29
45
Q2 - 10:56NuggetsJonas Valanciunas makes two point cutting layup (Bruce Brown assists)29
43
Q2 - 11:10MavericksDaniel Gafford personal foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)27
43
Q2 - 11:25MavericksDaniel Gafford makes two point alley-oop dunk (Cooper Flagg assists)27
43
Q2 - 11:43Stoppage (Out of bounds)27
41
Q2 - 11:43MavericksCooper Flagg defensive rebound27
41
Q2 - 11:45NuggetsTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point stepback jump shot27
41
Q2 - 12:00Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Cooper Flagg, Caleb Martin, Ryan Nembhard, Jaden Hardy)27
41
Q2 - 12:00Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Jalen Pickett, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Jonas Valanciunas)27
41
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.27
41
Q1 - 0:00.1NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound27
41
Q1 - 0:00.4NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point pullup jump shot27
41
Q1 - 0:05.5MavericksRyan Nembhard makes three point stepback jump shot (D'Angelo Russell assists)27
41
Q1 - 0:11.1NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Daniel Gafford steals)27
38
Q1 - 0:29.0MavericksCooper Flagg makes three point pullup jump shot (D'Angelo Russell assists)27
38
Q1 - 0:39.4MavericksD'Angelo Russell defensive rebound27
35
Q1 - 0:41.3NuggetsBruce Brown misses three point jump shot27
35
Q1 - 1:01MavericksCooper Flagg makes two point driving floating jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)27
35
Q1 - 1:08MavericksCaleb Martin defensive rebound27
33
Q1 - 1:13NuggetsTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot27
33
Q1 - 1:16MavericksRyan Nembhard turnover (lost ball) (Bruce Brown steals)27
33
Q1 - 1:31Mavericks lineup change (D'Angelo Russell, Daniel Gafford, Cooper Flagg, Caleb Martin, Ryan Nembhard)27
33
Q1 - 1:31Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Jalen Pickett, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown)27
33
Q1 - 1:31Mavericks 60 second timeout27
33
Q1 - 1:31NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)27
33
Q1 - 1:45MavericksCooper Flagg makes two point driving layup24
33
Q1 - 1:56NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot24
31
Q1 - 2:12NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound21
31
Q1 - 2:14MavericksD'Angelo Russell misses two point pullup jump shot21
31
Q1 - 2:26NuggetsTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point running pullup jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)21
31
Q1 - 2:32NuggetsTim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound18
31
Q1 - 2:36MavericksBrandon Williams misses three point jump shot18
31
Q1 - 2:48NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 218
31
Q1 - 2:48Mavericks lineup change (D'Angelo Russell, Daniel Gafford, Cooper Flagg, Brandon Williams, Caleb Martin)17
31
Q1 - 2:48NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 217
31
Q1 - 2:48MavericksBrandon Williams shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)16
31
Q1 - 2:52NuggetsTim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound16
31
Q1 - 2:55MavericksCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot16
31
Q1 - 3:13NuggetsTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)16
31
Q1 - 3:23MavericksCooper Flagg makes two point driving floating jump shot13
31
Q1 - 3:29MavericksCooper Flagg defensive rebound13
29
Q1 - 3:32NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot13
29
Q1 - 3:43MavericksCaleb Martin personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)13
29
Q1 - 3:53Mavericks lineup change (D'Angelo Russell, Cooper Flagg, Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams, Caleb Martin)13
29
Q1 - 3:53Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jalen Pickett, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown)13
29
Q1 - 3:53Nuggets 60 second timeout13
29
Q1 - 3:55MavericksD'Angelo Russell makes three point jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)13
29
Q1 - 4:05Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson)13
26
Q1 - 4:05NuggetsPeyton Watson turnover (offensive foul)13
26
Q1 - 4:05NuggetsPeyton Watson offensive foul (Off the ball) (Anthony Davis draws the foul)13
26
Q1 - 4:08NuggetsPeyton Watson defensive rebound13
26
Q1 - 4:10MavericksCaleb Martin misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot13
26
Q1 - 4:28NuggetsTim Hardaway Jr. makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)13
26
Q1 - 4:41MavericksBrandon Williams makes two point driving layup (D'Angelo Russell assists)11
26
Q1 - 5:00NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)11
24
Q1 - 5:15MavericksNaji Marshall makes two point driving reverse layup (D'Angelo Russell assists)8
24
Q1 - 5:20MavericksD'Angelo Russell defensive rebound8
22
Q1 - 5:24NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot8
22
Q1 - 5:31MavericksBrandon Williams turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Murray steals)8
22
Q1 - 5:58NuggetsPeyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 28
22
Q1 - 5:58Mavericks lineup change (D'Angelo Russell, Naji Marshall, Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams, Caleb Martin)7
22
Q1 - 5:58NuggetsPeyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 27
22
Q1 - 5:58MavericksAnthony Davis shooting foul (Peyton Watson draws the foul)6
22
Q1 - 6:10MavericksNaji Marshall makes two point cutting layup (Anthony Davis assists)6
22
Q1 - 6:21Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Anthony Davis, Brandon Williams, Caleb Martin, Jaden Hardy)6
20
Q1 - 6:21Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr., Peyton Watson, Spencer Jones)6
20
Q1 - 6:21Stoppage (Out of bounds)6
20
Q1 - 6:21MavericksMavericks defensive rebound6
20
Q1 - 6:24NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot6
20
Q1 - 6:44MavericksJaden Hardy makes two point running layup6
20
Q1 - 6:48MavericksNaji Marshall defensive rebound6
18
Q1 - 6:50NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point driving floating jump shot6
18
Q1 - 7:11MavericksAnthony Davis makes two point jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)6
18
Q1 - 7:24NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)6
16
Q1 - 7:43MavericksAnthony Davis makes two point cutting dunk (Cooper Flagg assists)4
16
Q1 - 8:03NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving finger roll layup4
14
Q1 - 8:09Nuggets 60 second timeout2
14
Q1 - 8:09MavericksCooper Flagg makes two point running dunk (Naji Marshall assists)2
14
Q1 - 8:12NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (Anthony Davis steals)2
12
Q1 - 8:27MavericksCooper Flagg turnover (traveling)2
12
Q1 - 8:40NuggetsPeyton Watson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)2
12
Q1 - 8:42Stoppage (Out of bounds)2
12
Q1 - 8:54NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound2
12
Q1 - 8:54MavericksNaji Marshall misses three point jump shot2
12
Q1 - 9:06MavericksAnthony Davis defensive rebound2
12
Q1 - 9:09NuggetsCooper Flagg blocks Spencer Jones's two point cutting layup2
12
Q1 - 9:24MavericksAnthony Davis makes two point dunk (Naji Marshall assists)2
12
Q1 - 9:26MavericksNaji Marshall offensive rebound2
10
Q1 - 9:28MavericksAnthony Davis misses two point alley-oop dunk2
10
Q1 - 9:33NuggetsSpencer Jones turnover (bad pass) (Naji Marshall steals)2
10
Q1 - 9:44MavericksNaji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 12
10
Q1 - 9:44NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)2
9
Q1 - 9:44MavericksNaji Marshall makes two point running pullup jump shot2
9
Q1 - 9:46MavericksNaji Marshall defensive rebound2
7
Q1 - 9:50NuggetsPeyton Watson misses two point turnaround hook shot2
7
Q1 - 10:02MavericksCooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 12
7
Q1 - 10:02NuggetsPeyton Watson shooting foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)2
6
Q1 - 10:02MavericksCooper Flagg makes two point cutting dunk (Ryan Nembhard assists)2
6
Q1 - 10:12MavericksAnthony Davis defensive rebound2
4
Q1 - 10:15NuggetsSpencer Jones misses three point jump shot2
4
Q1 - 10:33MavericksAnthony Davis makes two point jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)2
4
Q1 - 10:47NuggetsSpencer Jones makes two point driving layup (Cameron Johnson assists)2
2
Q1 - 10:52NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound0
2
Q1 - 10:55MavericksJaden Hardy misses two point cutting dunk0
2
Q1 - 11:12NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)0
2
Q1 - 11:36MavericksAnthony Davis makes two point alley-oop layup (Ryan Nembhard assists)0
2
Q1 - 12:00Nikola Jokic vs. Anthony Davis (Naji Marshall gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, Anthony Davis, Ryan Nembhard, Jaden Hardy)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray, Peyton Watson, Spencer Jones)0
0
ClockTeamEventDENDAL
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.38 69.1%
DAL
1.30 64.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
21
29
72%
DAL
23
33
70%
Midrange
DEN
9
17
53%
DAL
19
33
58%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
20
30.0
41
49%
73%
DAL
11
16.5
27
41%
61%
Free Throws
DEN
10
10
100%
DAL
14
15
93%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Murray3167%15.5 / 23
N. Jokić2966%14.5 / 22
T. Hardaway2388%11.5 / 13
B. Brown1393%6.5 / 7
C. Johnson857%4.0 / 7
J. Valančiūnas880%4.0 / 5
J. Strawther8100%4.0 / 4
S. Jones660%3.0 / 5
P. Watson450%2.0 / 4
J. Pickett0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Flagg3379%16.5 / 21
A. Davis3170%15.5 / 22
N. Marshall1568%7.5 / 11
R. Nembhard1150%5.5 / 11
J. Hardy1056%5.0 / 9
C. Martin975%4.5 / 6
B. Williams950%4.5 / 9
D. Russell975%4.5 / 6
D. Gafford450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
84
+10
-15
94
DAL
88
+14
-10
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.38 69.1%
DAL
1.30 64.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
1
121.6
27
110.4
DEN 131.3
DAL 133.7 +2.4
Pace
25
98.9
5
102.2
DEN 104.9 +12.1
DAL 92.8
Avg. Poss. Time
5
14.9
22
14.0
DEN 13.7 −1.8
DAL 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
1
58.0%
21
53.6%
DEN 69.0% +6.1%
DAL 62.9%
TO %
3
12.0%
17
14.1%
DEN 14.1%
DAL 9.9% −4.2%
ORB %
26
23.2%
27
22.3%
DEN 21.9%
DAL 28.9% +7.0%
FTrt
9
28.7
11
27.8
DEN 11.5
DAL 16.1 +4.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
10
65.0%
22
60.4%
DEN 78.0% +13.8%
DAL 64.2%
STL %
29
6.8%
24
7.5%
DEN 8.1%
DAL 9.2% +1.1%
BLK %
29
7.4%
10
9.7%
DEN 1.5%
DAL 4.3% +2.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
1
60.4%
23
55.8%
DEN 69.1% +4.2%
DAL 64.9%
Rim FG%
9
65.4%
17
63.8%
DEN 72.4% +2.7%
DAL 69.7%
Mid FG%
3
47.1%
8
45.1%
DEN 52.9%
DAL 57.6% +4.7%
3P %
1
39.8%
25
34.4%
DEN 48.8% +8.1%
DAL 40.7%
FT %
5
81.5%
28
74.8%
DEN 100.0% +6.7%
DAL 93.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
17
31.4%
10
32.9%
DEN 33.3%
DAL 35.5% +2.2%
Mid Att. %
20
28.2%
27
30.7%
DEN 19.5% −15.9%
DAL 35.5%
3P Att. %
21
40.4%
26
36.4%
DEN 47.1% +18.1%
DAL 29.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.63 and 2.63.
Game TotalsDENDAL
Possessions9998
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points130131
Rebounds3436
Assists3934
Steals89
Blocks12
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)10 (1)
Fouls1612
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)25 (2)
Field Goals50-8753-93
At-the-Rim FG21-2923-33
Midrange FG9-1719-33
2-Point FG30-4642-66
3-Point FG20-4111-27
Free Throws10-1014-15
Fast Break Pts1420
2nd Chance Pts1018
Points in Paint5066
Pts off Turnovers1322
Bench Points5231
Biggest Lead321

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29
37.3
31
67%
7
14
1
0
3
0
0
7
4-4
100%
9-14
64%
3-7
43%
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31
36.4
29
66%
7
14
4
0
4
4
3
4
0-0
-
7-12
58%
5-10
50%
#21 · SG · 6'7" 225 · 25
26.1
6
60%
4
2
2
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
#8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 23
24.4
4
50%
2
1
0
0
3
4
0
2
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
#23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30
23.9
8
57%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-3
67%
#10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34
29.2
23
88%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
7-12
58%
#11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29
26.5
13
93%
7
3
1
1
2
3
2
5
0-0
-
5-5
100%
1-2
50%
#17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34
14.1
8
80%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
#3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24
12.3
8
100%
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
#24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
#14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23
DNP – Coach's Decision
#0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Sprain
#7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot; Surgery
#32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
130
69%
34
39
8
1
15
16
7
27
10-10
100%
30-46
65%
20-41
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.