Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, December 15, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Grizzlies	39%	112	121	131.5	92	89.4
	8	Clippers	61%	116	103	113.2	91	93.7

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+15

-11

LAC

+19

-18

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.27 63.7%

LAC

1.11 55.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	32.8	31	82%	4	4	2	5	2	3	0	4	1-2	50%	9-13	69%	4-5	80%
Santi Aldama #7 · C · 7'0" 215 · 25	30.8	3	25%	2	2	1	0	1	1	1	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	29.7	16	67%	5	3	1	0	1	2	0	5	5-5	100%	4-5	80%	1-5	20%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	23.2	12	67%	2	2	0	0	4	4	1	1	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	1-4	25%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	21.0	12	46%	3	4	1	1	1	1	1	2	3-3	100%	3-10	30%	1-2	50%

Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	30.0	27	96%	3	6	1	0	1	4	1	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	7-10	70%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	27.5	8	67%	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	2	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	23.4	4	40%	7	6	2	0	0	1	1	6	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	18.3	8	57%	1	3	1	0	0	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	1.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	1.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; UCL Tear
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Turf Toe
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	64%	32	33	10	7	11	21	9	23	15-17	88%	29-47	62%	16-39	41%

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14 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	32.8	31	82%	4	4	2	5	2	3	0	4	1-2	50%	9-13	69%	4-5	80%
Santi Aldama #7 · C · 7'0" 215 · 25	30.8	3	25%	2	2	1	0	1	1	1	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	29.7	16	67%	5	3	1	0	1	2	0	5	5-5	100%	4-5	80%	1-5	20%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	23.2	12	67%	2	2	0	0	4	4	1	1	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	1-4	25%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	21.0	12	46%	3	4	1	1	1	1	1	2	3-3	100%	3-10	30%	1-2	50%

Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	30.0	27	96%	3	6	1	0	1	4	1	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	7-10	70%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	27.5	8	67%	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	2	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	23.4	4	40%	7	6	2	0	0	1	1	6	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	18.3	8	57%	1	3	1	0	0	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	1.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	1.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; UCL Tear
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Turf Toe
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	64%	32	33	10	7	11	21	9	23	15-17	88%	29-47	62%	16-39	41%

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8 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 34	36.6	21	58%	4	3	1	0	2	2	1	3	2-2	100%	8-13	62%	1-5	20%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	33.1	6	50%	13	2	0	1	4	3	3	10	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	31.3	13	54%	3	6	3	0	3	2	2	1	1-4	25%	0-4	0%	4-6	67%
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 32	26.7	17	77%	1	5	0	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	3-6	50%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	26.1	10	50%	2	1	0	1	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-2	0%

Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	25.4	9	38%	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	1-8	13%
Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	21.9	10	71%	6	3	0	0	2	1	4	2	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	18.9	7	50%	3	3	0	0	1	1	2	1	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 24	12.6	5	83%	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	3.7	3	75%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	3.7	2	100%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
RayJ Dennis #7 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Fracture
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 41	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	55%	39	26	4	2	18	15	13	26	16-22	73%	24-44	55%	13-36	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	LAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.27 63.7%

LAC

1.11 55.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

84%

LAC

58%

Midrange

MEM

46%

LAC

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

24.0

41%

62%

LAC

19.5

36%

54%

Free Throws

MEM

88%

LAC

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jackson	31	82%	15.5 / 19
C. Spencer	27	96%	13.5 / 14
J. Wells	16	67%	8.0 / 12
C. Coward	12	67%	6.0 / 9
J. Morant	12	46%	6.0 / 13
J. Landale	8	67%	4.0 / 6
V. Williams	8	57%	4.0 / 7
K. Caldwell-Pope	4	40%	2.0 / 5
S. Aldama	3	25%	1.5 / 6
O. Prosper	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Mashack	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	21	58%	10.5 / 18
K. Dunn	17	77%	8.5 / 11
J. Harden	13	54%	6.5 / 12
J. Collins	10	50%	5.0 / 10
J. Miller	10	71%	5.0 / 7
K. Brown	9	38%	4.5 / 12
B. Bogdanović	7	50%	3.5 / 7
I. Zubac	6	50%	3.0 / 6
K. Sanders	5	83%	2.5 / 3
C. Christie	3	75%	1.5 / 2
Y. Niederhäuser	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 112.4 11 116.4	MEM 131.5 +18.3 LAC 113.2
Pace	7 101.8 28 97.3	MEM 89.4 LAC 93.7 +4.3
Avg. Poss. Time	26 13.8 5 15.0	MEM 16.1 LAC 15.4 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.3% 8 55.9%	MEM 61.6% +7.2% LAC 54.4%
TO %	22 14.3% 17 13.9%	MEM 10.5% −7.0% LAC 17.5%
ORB %	19 24.7% 23 23.7%	MEM 25.7% LAC 36.1% +10.4%
FTrt	21 25.1 3 29.5	MEM 19.8 LAC 27.5 +7.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 67.4% 29 58.6%	MEM 73.3% +3.0% LAC 70.3%
STL %	11 8.7% 5 9.2%	MEM 10.9% +6.5% LAC 4.4%
BLK %	14 9.1% 13 9.5%	MEM 15.9% +11.6% LAC 4.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.8% 3 58.7%	MEM 63.7% +8.3% LAC 55.4%
Rim FG%	26 62.8% 3 67.1%	MEM 84.2% +26.3% LAC 57.9%
Mid FG%	11 44.2% 10 44.2%	MEM 46.4% LAC 52.0% +5.6%
3P %	22 35.3% 7 36.8%	MEM 41.0% +4.9% LAC 36.1%
FT %	9 79.3% 1 82.3%	MEM 88.2% +15.5% LAC 72.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 28.6% 15 31.6%	MEM 22.1% LAC 23.8% +1.7%
Mid Att. %	19 27.8% 20 27.9%	MEM 32.6% LAC 31.3% −1.3%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 19 40.4%	MEM 45.3% +0.3% LAC 45.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	LAC
Possessions	92	91
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	121	103
Rebounds	32	39
Assists	33	26
Steals	10	4
Blocks	7	2
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	18 (1)
Fouls	21	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (6)	13 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (3)	26 (1)
Field Goals	45-86	37-80
At-the-Rim FG	16-19	11-19
Midrange FG	13-28	13-25
2-Point FG	29-47	24-44
3-Point FG	16-39	13-36
Free Throws	15-17	16-22
Fast Break Pts	14	13
2nd Chance Pts	14	15
Points in Paint	52	38
Pts off Turnovers	15	21
Bench Points	47	36
Biggest Lead	23	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg