Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, December 18, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Lakers	79%	123	143	138.8	103	102.5
	30	Jazz	21%	112	135	132.4	102	102.5

Prediction updated: Dec 19, 2025 01:38 AM

Scoring Opportunities

LAL

+16

-7

112

UTA

+13

-13

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL

1.28 63.8%

UTA

1.31 65.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

11 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 27	39.5	45	66%	11	14	5	0	1	2	2	9	13-16	81%	10-16	63%	4-12	33%
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	32.8	13	65%	3	1	0	1	0	4	0	3	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-3	33%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 41	32.6	28	61%	7	10	1	0	2	1	1	6	12-13	92%	8-12	67%	0-5	0%
Marcus Smart #36 · SG · 6'3" 220 · 32	27.7	17	77%	4	1	1	0	1	6	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	5-9	56%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	22.2	16	89%	3	0	0	0	1	4	2	1	2-4	50%	7-7	100%	0-0	-

Jake LaRavia #12 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 24	28.2	12	86%	6	4	0	0	1	5	3	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 27	25.2	7	50%	11	1	0	0	1	2	5	6	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 34	19.0	5	63%	2	1	0	1	0	3	0	2	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Nick Smith Jr. #20 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 22	5.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	4.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Adou Thiero #1 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 22	3.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Tightness
Drew Timme #26 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 25	INACTIVE
Chris Mañon #30 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 24	INACTIVE
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Deandre Ayton #5 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Soreness
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	143	64%	48	32	7	2	7	31	13	35	32-39	82%	36-54	67%	13-39	33%

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11 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 27	39.5	45	66%	11	14	5	0	1	2	2	9	13-16	81%	10-16	63%	4-12	33%
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	32.8	13	65%	3	1	0	1	0	4	0	3	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-3	33%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 41	32.6	28	61%	7	10	1	0	2	1	1	6	12-13	92%	8-12	67%	0-5	0%
Marcus Smart #36 · SG · 6'3" 220 · 32	27.7	17	77%	4	1	1	0	1	6	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	5-9	56%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	22.2	16	89%	3	0	0	0	1	4	2	1	2-4	50%	7-7	100%	0-0	-

Jake LaRavia #12 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 24	28.2	12	86%	6	4	0	0	1	5	3	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 27	25.2	7	50%	11	1	0	0	1	2	5	6	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 34	19.0	5	63%	2	1	0	1	0	3	0	2	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Nick Smith Jr. #20 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 22	5.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	4.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Adou Thiero #1 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 22	3.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Tightness
Drew Timme #26 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 25	INACTIVE
Chris Mañon #30 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 24	INACTIVE
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Deandre Ayton #5 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Soreness
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	143	64%	48	32	7	2	7	31	13	35	32-39	82%	36-54	67%	13-39	33%

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30 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	39.1	34	74%	4	8	0	0	2	3	0	4	11-12	92%	4-9	44%	5-11	45%
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	31.6	15	58%	8	7	1	0	5	3	4	4	4-11	36%	4-7	57%	1-1	100%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 22	27.2	6	43%	13	0	0	1	1	4	3	10	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Ace Bailey #19 · SG · 6'9" 200 · 19	26.2	19	63%	4	0	1	0	1	2	2	2	2-6	33%	4-7	57%	3-6	50%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	17.0	11	138%	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	3-3	100%

Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	28.1	18	60%	0	13	0	0	3	5	0	0	5-7	71%	5-10	50%	1-2	50%
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	22.8	4	100%	3	1	1	0	0	5	0	3	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	17.5	15	75%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	16.3	5	42%	2	1	0	0	0	3	0	2	2-3	67%	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Walter Clayton Jr. #13 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	14.3	8	80%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Cody Williams #5 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kyle Anderson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Tonje #17 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury Recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Injury Management
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fourth Metatarsal Stress Reaction
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	135	66%	39	31	4	1	13	29	9	30	31-47	66%	25-46	54%	18-37	49%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	UTA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

LAL

1.28 63.8%

UTA

1.31 65.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAL

73%

UTA

68%

Midrange

LAL

58%

UTA

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAL

19.5

33%

50%

UTA

27.0

49%

73%

Free Throws

LAL

82%

UTA

66%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Dončić	45	66%	22.5 / 34
L. James	28	61%	14.0 / 23
M. Smart	17	77%	8.5 / 11
J. Hayes	16	89%	8.0 / 9
R. Hachimura	13	65%	6.5 / 10
J. LaRavia	12	86%	6.0 / 7
J. Vanderbilt	7	50%	3.5 / 7
M. Kleber	5	63%	2.5 / 4
N. Smith	0	-	0.0 / 2
D. Knecht	0	-	0.0 / 1
A. Thiero	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. George	34	74%	17.0 / 23
A. Bailey	19	63%	9.5 / 15
I. Collier	18	60%	9.0 / 15
J. Nurkić	15	58%	7.5 / 13
B. Sensabaugh	15	75%	7.5 / 10
S. Mykhailiuk	11	138%	5.5 / 4
W. Clayton	8	80%	4.0 / 5
K. Filipowski	6	43%	3.0 / 7
K. Love	5	42%	2.5 / 6
T. Hendricks	4	100%	2.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 117.1 22 112.9	LAL 138.8 +6.5 UTA 132.4
Pace	21 99.2 2 103.4	LAL 102.5 UTA 102.5 +0.0
Avg. Poss. Time	6 14.8 27 13.8	LAL 14.0 UTA 14.0 −0.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 57.3% 20 53.6%	LAL 59.7% UTA 62.7% +3.0%
TO %	19 13.9% 23 14.4%	LAL 6.0% −5.1% UTA 11.1%
ORB %	22 23.9% 12 26.2%	LAL 30.2% +9.7% UTA 20.5%
FTrt	1 32.0 10 27.7	LAL 41.9 UTA 56.6 +14.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 61.5% 2 69.6%	LAL 65.3% UTA 72.1% +6.8%
STL %	12 8.6% 14 8.5%	LAL 6.8% +2.9% UTA 3.9%
BLK %	23 8.3% 30 7.5%	LAL 4.3% +2.4% UTA 1.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 59.4% 18 56.4%	LAL 63.8% UTA 65.5% +1.7%
Rim FG%	1 72.0% 17 64.5%	LAL 73.3% +4.9% UTA 68.4%
Mid FG%	4 46.8% 8 44.4%	LAL 58.3% +13.9% UTA 44.4%
3P %	14 35.9% 25 34.5%	LAL 33.3% UTA 48.6% +15.3%
FT %	26 76.3% 13 78.6%	LAL 82.1% +16.1% UTA 66.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 30.7% 17 31.3%	LAL 32.3% +9.4% UTA 22.9%
Mid Att. %	26 30.0% 23 28.4%	LAL 25.8% −6.7% UTA 32.5%
3P Att. %	22 39.4% 21 40.3%	LAL 41.9% UTA 44.6% +2.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.16 and 3.16.

Game Totals	LAL	UTA
Possessions	103	102
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	143	135
Rebounds	48	39
Assists	32	31
Steals	7	4
Blocks	2	1
Turnovers (Team)	7 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls	31	29
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (3)	9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (1)	30 (3)
Field Goals	49-93	43-83
At-the-Rim FG	22-30	13-19
Midrange FG	14-24	12-27
2-Point FG	36-54	25-46
3-Point FG	13-39	18-37
Free Throws	32-39	31-47
Fast Break Pts	24	9
2nd Chance Pts	17	11
Points in Paint	58	42
Pts off Turnovers	14	7
Bench Points	24	50
Biggest Lead	12	10

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg