Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, December 23, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Rockets	68%	113	108	120.0	90	88.1
	13	Clippers	32%	108	128	142.2	90	92.0

Prediction updated: Dec 24, 2025 03:34 AM

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+16

-13

LAC

-8

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.15 57.4%

LAC

1.39 69.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 23	34.7	19	73%	9	5	2	0	3	2	4	5	5-8	63%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23	32.0	16	62%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	4-10	40%
Kevin Durant #7 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 37	29.4	22	69%	5	1	0	2	3	1	1	4	5-5	100%	7-11	64%	1-4	25%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 23	28.1	19	59%	11	7	2	1	3	2	6	5	1-1	100%	9-16	56%	0-0	-
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	11.7	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%

Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 21	26.3	8	44%	1	3	0	1	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	18.3	7	50%	5	0	0	1	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-5	20%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	16.1	3	38%	0	1	0	0	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	14.0	2	33%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	13.7	7	88%	3	3	0	1	0	3	2	1	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	5.3	2	33%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	5.3	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	5.3	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	57%	42	25	5	6	13	20	15	27	13-18	72%	34-56	61%	9-30	30%

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3 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 23	34.7	19	73%	9	5	2	0	3	2	4	5	5-8	63%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23	32.0	16	62%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	4-10	40%
Kevin Durant #7 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 37	29.4	22	69%	5	1	0	2	3	1	1	4	5-5	100%	7-11	64%	1-4	25%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 23	28.1	19	59%	11	7	2	1	3	2	6	5	1-1	100%	9-16	56%	0-0	-
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	11.7	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%

Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 21	26.3	8	44%	1	3	0	1	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	18.3	7	50%	5	0	0	1	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-5	20%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	16.1	3	38%	0	1	0	0	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	14.0	2	33%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	13.7	7	88%	3	3	0	1	0	3	2	1	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	5.3	2	33%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	5.3	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	5.3	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	57%	42	25	5	6	13	20	15	27	13-18	72%	34-56	61%	9-30	30%

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13 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 34	36.8	41	82%	8	5	0	0	2	2	1	7	5-5	100%	12-18	67%	4-5	80%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	34.7	29	76%	4	6	2	0	4	2	0	4	12-13	92%	4-6	67%	3-8	38%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	29.4	13	81%	5	5	2	2	0	3	2	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-3	100%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	27.3	5	42%	6	4	0	2	0	2	1	5	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 32	25.6	11	69%	4	2	1	0	0	1	0	4	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	3-7	43%

Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	25.2	6	75%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	19.4	3	25%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	15.3	3	150%	2	0	1	0	0	5	1	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 24	13.4	13	108%	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	3-3	100%
Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	4.3	4	100%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	4.3	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	4.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
RayJ Dennis #10 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Fracture
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 41	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	70%	34	25	7	4	8	19	6	28	24-27	89%	22-40	55%	20-37	54%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	LAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.15 57.4%

LAC

1.39 69.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

73%

LAC

61%

Midrange

HOU

50%

LAC

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

13.5

30%

45%

LAC

30.0

54%

81%

Free Throws

HOU

72%

LAC

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Durant	22	69%	11.0 / 16
A. Thompson	19	73%	9.5 / 13
A. Sengun	19	59%	9.5 / 16
J. Smith	16	62%	8.0 / 13
R. Sheppard	8	44%	4.0 / 9
T. Eason	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Tate	7	88%	3.5 / 4
A. Holiday	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Green	3	75%	1.5 / 2
S. Adams	2	33%	1.0 / 3
C. Capela	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Okogie	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	41	82%	20.5 / 25
J. Harden	29	76%	14.5 / 19
J. Collins	13	81%	6.5 / 8
K. Sanders	13	108%	6.5 / 6
K. Dunn	11	69%	5.5 / 8
N. Batum	6	75%	3.0 / 4
B. Lopez	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Miller	4	100%	2.0 / 2
B. Bogdanović	3	25%	1.5 / 6
Y. Niederhäuser	3	150%	1.5 / 1
K. Brown	0	-	0.0 / 1
C. Christie	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 117.5 11 116.4	HOU 120.0 LAC 142.2 +22.2
Pace	29 96.9 28 97.3	HOU 88.1 LAC 92.0 +3.9
Avg. Poss. Time	1 15.8 5 15.0	HOU 16.3 LAC 15.7 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 54.2% 8 55.9%	HOU 55.2% LAC 67.5% +12.3%
TO %	25 14.7% 17 13.9%	HOU 12.2% LAC 10.1% −2.1%
ORB %	1 34.8% 23 23.7%	HOU 34.9% +16.7% LAC 18.2%
FTrt	18 26.0 3 29.5	HOU 20.9 LAC 35.1 +14.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 59.1% 29 58.6%	HOU 58.1% LAC 59.5% +1.4%
STL %	9 8.7% 5 9.2%	HOU 5.6% LAC 7.8% +2.2%
BLK %	4 10.9% 13 9.5%	HOU 15.0% +7.9% LAC 7.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.81 and 2.81.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 56.1% 3 58.7%	HOU 57.4% LAC 69.6% +12.2%
Rim FG%	13 64.8% 3 67.1%	HOU 73.1% +12.0% LAC 61.1%
Mid FG%	9 44.3% 10 44.2%	HOU 50.0% LAC 50.0%
3P %	10 36.4% 7 36.8%	HOU 30.0% LAC 54.1% +24.1%
FT %	25 76.3% 1 82.3%	HOU 72.2% LAC 88.9% +16.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 30.7% 15 31.6%	HOU 30.2% +6.9% LAC 23.4%
Mid Att. %	29 34.2% 20 27.9%	HOU 34.9% LAC 28.6% −6.3%
3P Att. %	28 35.0% 19 40.4%	HOU 34.9% LAC 48.1% +13.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	HOU	LAC
Possessions	90	90
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	108	128
Rebounds	42	34
Assists	25	25
Steals	5	7
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	8 (2)
Fouls	20	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (1)	6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (0)	28 (2)
Field Goals	43-86	42-77
At-the-Rim FG	19-26	11-18
Midrange FG	15-30	11-22
2-Point FG	34-56	22-40
3-Point FG	9-30	20-37
Free Throws	13-18	24-27
Fast Break Pts	6	11
2nd Chance Pts	19	14
Points in Paint	60	44
Pts off Turnovers	14	16
Bench Points	32	29
Biggest Lead	9	26

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg